Rational Behavior And Rational Expectations

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A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics

Author : Frederic S. Mishkin
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226531929
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (265 download)

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Book Synopsis A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics by : Frederic S. Mishkin

Download or read book A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics written by Frederic S. Mishkin and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics pursues a rational expectations approach to the estimation of a class of models widely discussed in the macroeconomics and finance literature: those which emphasize the effects from unanticipated, rather than anticipated, movements in variables. In this volume, Fredrick S. Mishkin first theoretically develops and discusses a unified econometric treatment of these models and then shows how to estimate them with an annotated computer program.

Predictably Rational?

Author : Richard B. McKenzie
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642015867
Total Pages : 319 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Predictably Rational? by : Richard B. McKenzie

Download or read book Predictably Rational? written by Richard B. McKenzie and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-10-21 with total page 319 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mainstream economists everywhere exhibit an "irrational passion for dispassionate rationality." Behavioral economists, and long-time critic of mainstream economics suggests that people in mainstrean economic models "can think like Albert Einstein, store as much memory as IBM’s Big Blue, and exercise the will power of Mahatma Gandhi," suggesting that such a view of real world modern homo sapiens is simply wrongheaded. Indeed, Thaler and other behavioral economists and psychology have documented a variety of ways in which real-world people fall far short of mainstream economists' idealized economic actor, perfectly rational homo economicus. Behavioral economist Daniel Ariely has concluded that real-world people not only exhibit an array of decision-making frailties and biases, they are "predictably irrational," a position now shared by so many behavioral economists, psychologists, sociologists, and evolutionary biologists that a defense of the core rationality premise of modedrn economics is demanded.

Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice

Author : Robert E. Lucas
Publisher : U of Minnesota Press
ISBN 13 : 1452908281
Total Pages : 335 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (529 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice by : Robert E. Lucas

Download or read book Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice written by Robert E. Lucas and published by U of Minnesota Press. This book was released on 1988 with total page 335 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assumptions about how people form expectations for the future shape the properties of any dynamic economic model. To make economic decisions in an uncertain environment people must forecast such variables as future rates of inflation, tax rates, governme.

Rational Expectations and Inflation

Author : Thomas J. Sargent
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400847648
Total Pages : 390 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations and Inflation by : Thomas J. Sargent

Download or read book Rational Expectations and Inflation written by Thomas J. Sargent and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-05-05 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A fully expanded edition of the Nobel Prize–winning economist's classic book This collection of essays uses the lens of rational expectations theory to examine how governments anticipate and plan for inflation, and provides insight into the pioneering research for which Thomas Sargent was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize in economics. Rational expectations theory is based on the simple premise that people will use all the information available to them in making economic decisions, yet applying the theory to macroeconomics and econometrics is technically demanding. Here, Sargent engages with practical problems in economics in a less formal, noneconometric way, demonstrating how rational expectations can satisfactorily interpret a range of historical and contemporary events. He focuses on periods of actual or threatened depreciation in the value of a nation's currency. Drawing on historical attempts to counter inflation, from the French Revolution and the aftermath of World War I to the economic policies of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, Sargent finds that there is no purely monetary cure for inflation; rather, monetary and fiscal policies must be coordinated. This fully expanded edition of Rational Expectations and Inflation includes Sargent's 2011 Nobel lecture, "United States Then, Europe Now." It also features new articles on the macroeconomics of the French Revolution and government budget deficits.

Predictably Irrational

Author : Dan Ariely
Publisher : Harper Collins
ISBN 13 : 006135323X
Total Pages : 310 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (613 download)

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Book Synopsis Predictably Irrational by : Dan Ariely

Download or read book Predictably Irrational written by Dan Ariely and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2008-02 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Intelligent, lively, humorous, and thoroughly engaging, "The Predictably Irrational" explains why people often make bad decisions and what can be done about it.

Is Behavioral Economics Doomed?

Author : David K. Levine
Publisher : Open Book Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1906924929
Total Pages : 154 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (69 download)

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Book Synopsis Is Behavioral Economics Doomed? by : David K. Levine

Download or read book Is Behavioral Economics Doomed? written by David K. Levine and published by Open Book Publishers. This book was released on 2012 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, David K. Levine questions the idea that behavioral economics is the answer to economic problems. He explores the successes and failures of contemporary economics both inside and outside the laboratory, and asks whether popular behavioral theories of psychological biases are solutions to the failures. The book not only provides an overview of popular behavioral theories and their history, but also gives the reader the tools for scrutinizing them.

The Rational Expectations Revolution

Author : Preston J. Miller
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262631556
Total Pages : 534 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis The Rational Expectations Revolution by : Preston J. Miller

Download or read book The Rational Expectations Revolution written by Preston J. Miller and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1994 with total page 534 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These 21 readings describe the orgins and growth of the macroeconomic analysis known as "rational expectations". The readings trace the development of this approach from the late 1970s to the 1990s.

Assessing Rational Expectations 2

Author : R. Guesnerie
Publisher : Mit Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262072588
Total Pages : 455 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (725 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing Rational Expectations 2 by : R. Guesnerie

Download or read book Assessing Rational Expectations 2 written by R. Guesnerie and published by Mit Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 455 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A theoretical assessment of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis through subjecting a collection of economic models to an "eductive stability" test.

Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems

Author : Cars Hommes
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 110701929X
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems by : Cars Hommes

Download or read book Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems written by Cars Hommes and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-24 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recognising that the economy is a complex system with boundedly rational interacting agents, applies complexity modelling to economics and finance.

An Inquiry Into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations

Author : Adam Smith
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 522 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis An Inquiry Into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations by : Adam Smith

Download or read book An Inquiry Into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations written by Adam Smith and published by . This book was released on 1822 with total page 522 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Microeconomics in Context

Author : Neva Goodwin
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317464788
Total Pages : 444 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (174 download)

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Book Synopsis Microeconomics in Context by : Neva Goodwin

Download or read book Microeconomics in Context written by Neva Goodwin and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-12-07 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Microeconomics in Context lays out the principles of microeconomics in a manner that is thorough, up to date, and relevant to students. Like its counterpart, Macroeconomics in Context, the book is uniquely attuned to economic realities. The "in Context" books offer affordability, accessible presentation, and engaging coverage of current policy issues from economic inequality and global climate change to taxes. Key features include: --Clear explanation of basic concepts and analytical tools, with advanced models presented in optional chapter appendices; --Presentation of policy issues in historical, institutional, social, political, and ethical context--an approach that fosters critical evaluation of the standard microeconomic models, such as welfare analysis, labor markets, and market competition; --A powerful graphical presentation of various measures of well-being in the United States, from income inequality and educational attainment to home prices; --Broad definition of well-being using both traditional economic metrics and factors such as environmental quality, health, equity, and political inclusion; --New chapters on the economics of the environment, taxes and tax policy, common property and public goods, and welfare analysis; --Expanded coverage of high-interest topics such as behavioral economics, labor markets, and healthcare; --Full complement of instructor and student support materials online, including test banks and grading through Canvas.

Consumer Expectations

Author : Richard Thomas Curtin
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108576931
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Consumer Expectations by : Richard Thomas Curtin

Download or read book Consumer Expectations written by Richard Thomas Curtin and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019-02-07 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Richard Curtin has directed the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment surveys for more than four decades. His analyses of recent trends in consumer expectations are regularly covered in the worldwide press. In this book, Curtin presents a new theory of expectations. Whereas conventional theories presume that consumers play a passive role in the macro economy, simply reacting to current trends in incomes, prices, and interest rates, Curtin proposes a new empirically consistent theory. He argues that expectations are formed by an automatic process that utilizes conscious and nonconscious processes, passion and reason, information from public and private sources, and social networks. Consumers ultimately reach a decision that serves both the micro decision needs of individuals and reflects the common influence of the macro environment. Drawing on empirical observations, Curtin not only demonstrates the importance of consumer sentiment, but also how it can foreshadow the cyclical turning points in the economy.

Utility and Probability

Author : John Eatwell
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349205680
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (492 download)

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Book Synopsis Utility and Probability by : John Eatwell

Download or read book Utility and Probability written by John Eatwell and published by Springer. This book was released on 1990-02-23 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an excerpt from the 4-volume dictionary of economics, a reference book which aims to define the subject of economics today. 1300 subject entries in the complete work cover the broad themes of economic theory. This extract concentrates on utility and probability.

Modeling Bounded Rationality

Author : Ariel Rubinstein
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262681001
Total Pages : 226 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Bounded Rationality by : Ariel Rubinstein

Download or read book Modeling Bounded Rationality written by Ariel Rubinstein and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The notion of bounded rationality was initiated in the 1950s by Herbert Simon; only recently has it influenced mainstream economics. In this book, Ariel Rubinstein defines models of bounded rationality as those in which elements of the process of choice are explicitly embedded. The book focuses on the challenges of modeling bounded rationality, rather than on substantial economic implications. In the first part of the book, the author considers the modeling of choice. After discussing some psychological findings, he proceeds to the modeling of procedural rationality, knowledge, memory, the choice of what to know, and group decisions.In the second part, he discusses the fundamental difficulties of modeling bounded rationality in games. He begins with the modeling of a game with procedural rational players and then surveys repeated games with complexity considerations. He ends with a discussion of computability constraints in games. The final chapter includes a critique by Herbert Simon of the author's methodology and the author's response. The Zeuthen Lecture Book series is sponsored by the Institute of Economics at the University of Copenhagen.

Models in Microeconomic Theory

Author : Martin J. Osborne
Publisher : Open Book Publishers
ISBN 13 : 180511123X
Total Pages : 382 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (51 download)

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Book Synopsis Models in Microeconomic Theory by : Martin J. Osborne

Download or read book Models in Microeconomic Theory written by Martin J. Osborne and published by Open Book Publishers. This book was released on 2023-06-26 with total page 382 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Models in Microeconomic Theory covers basic models in current microeconomic theory. Part I (Chapters 1-7) presents models of an economic agent, discussing abstract models of preferences, choice, and decision making under uncertainty, before turning to models of the consumer, the producer, and monopoly. Part II (Chapters 8-14) introduces the concept of equilibrium, beginning, unconventionally, with the models of the jungle and an economy with indivisible goods, and continuing with models of an exchange economy, equilibrium with rational expectations, and an economy with asymmetric information. Part III (Chapters 15-16) provides an introduction to game theory, covering strategic and extensive games and the concepts of Nash equilibrium and subgame perfect equilibrium. Part IV (Chapters 17-20) gives a taste of the topics of mechanism design, matching, the axiomatic analysis of economic systems, and social choice. The book focuses on the concepts of model and equilibrium. It states models and results precisely, and provides proofs for all results. It uses only elementary mathematics (with almost no calculus), although many of the proofs involve sustained logical arguments. It includes about 150 exercises. With its formal but accessible style, this textbook is designed for undergraduate students of microeconomics at intermediate and advanced levels.

Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics

Author : Richard H. Thaler
Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
ISBN 13 : 0393246779
Total Pages : 502 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (932 download)

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Book Synopsis Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics by : Richard H. Thaler

Download or read book Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics written by Richard H. Thaler and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2015-05-11 with total page 502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics Get ready to change the way you think about economics. Nobel laureate Richard H. Thaler has spent his career studying the radical notion that the central agents in the economy are humans—predictable, error-prone individuals. Misbehaving is his arresting, frequently hilarious account of the struggle to bring an academic discipline back down to earth—and change the way we think about economics, ourselves, and our world. Traditional economics assumes rational actors. Early in his research, Thaler realized these Spock-like automatons were nothing like real people. Whether buying a clock radio, selling basketball tickets, or applying for a mortgage, we all succumb to biases and make decisions that deviate from the standards of rationality assumed by economists. In other words, we misbehave. More importantly, our misbehavior has serious consequences. Dismissed at first by economists as an amusing sideshow, the study of human miscalculations and their effects on markets now drives efforts to make better decisions in our lives, our businesses, and our governments. Coupling recent discoveries in human psychology with a practical understanding of incentives and market behavior, Thaler enlightens readers about how to make smarter decisions in an increasingly mystifying world. He reveals how behavioral economic analysis opens up new ways to look at everything from household finance to assigning faculty offices in a new building, to TV game shows, the NFL draft, and businesses like Uber. Laced with antic stories of Thaler’s spirited battles with the bastions of traditional economic thinking, Misbehaving is a singular look into profound human foibles. When economics meets psychology, the implications for individuals, managers, and policy makers are both profound and entertaining. Shortlisted for the Financial Times & McKinsey Business Book of the Year Award

A Prescription for Monetary Policy

Author : Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Publisher : The Minerva Group, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 0894990683
Total Pages : 113 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (949 download)

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Book Synopsis A Prescription for Monetary Policy by : Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Download or read book A Prescription for Monetary Policy written by Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and published by The Minerva Group, Inc.. This book was released on 2001 with total page 113 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A Prescription for Monetary Policy," originally published in 1976, contains the proceedings from a series of seminars. The seminars addressed the question, "How should the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) make monetary policy?" The need to carefully reexamine this question gained in urgency as the economic distress story of the mid-1970s unfolded. In recognition of the unsatisfactory state of the economy, a major Federal Reserve System research program was launched under the auspices of the FOMC?s Committee on the Directive. The study?s objective was to produce for the FOMC?s consideration a set of recommendations on how to improve the execution of monetary stabilization policy.