Rating Through The Cycle

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Rating Through-the-Cycle

Author : Mr.John Kiff
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 147551459X
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Rating Through-the-Cycle by : Mr.John Kiff

Download or read book Rating Through-the-Cycle written by Mr.John Kiff and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-03-08 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit rating agencies face a difficult trade-off between delivering both accurate and stable ratings. In particular, its users have consistently expressed a preference for rating stability, driven by the transactions costs induced by trading when ratings change frequently. Rating agencies generally assign ratings on a through-the-cycle basis whereas banks' internal valuations are often based on a point-in-time performance, that is they are related to the current value of the rated entity's or instrument's underlying assets. This paper compares the two approaches and assesses their impact on rating stability and accuracy. We find that while through-the-cycle ratings are initially more stable, they are prone to rating cliff effects and also suffer from inferior performance in predicting future defaults. This is because they are typically smooth and delay rating changes. Using a through-the-crisis methodology that uses a more stringent stress test goes halfway toward mitigating cliff effects, but is still prone to discretionary rating change delays.

Rating Through-The-Cycle

Author : John Kiff
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Rating Through-The-Cycle by : John Kiff

Download or read book Rating Through-The-Cycle written by John Kiff and published by . This book was released on 2013-03-08 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit rating agencies face a difficult trade-off between delivering both accurate and stable ratings. In particular, its users have consistently expressed a preference for rating stability, driven by the transactions costs induced by trading when ratings change frequently. Rating agencies generally assign ratings on a through-the-cycle basis whereas banks' internal valuations are often based on a point-in-time performance, that is they are related to the current value of the rated entity's or instrument's underlying assets. This paper compares the two approaches and assesses their impact on rating stability and accuracy. We find that while through-the-cycle ratings are initially more stable, they are prone to rating cliff effects and also suffer from inferior performance in predicting future defaults. This is because they are typically smooth and delay rating changes. Using a through-the-crisis methodology that uses a more stringent stress test goes halfway toward mitigating cliff effects, but is still prone to discretionary rating change delays.

Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470035498
Total Pages : 2163 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment by :

Download or read book Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment written by and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-09-02 with total page 2163 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Leading the way in this field, the Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment is the first publication to offer a modern, comprehensive and in-depth resource to the huge variety of disciplines involved. A truly international work, its coverage ranges across risk issues pertinent to life scientists, engineers, policy makers, healthcare professionals, the finance industry, the military and practising statisticians. Drawing on the expertise of world-renowned authors and editors in this field this title provides up-to-date material on drug safety, investment theory, public policy applications, transportation safety, public perception of risk, epidemiological risk, national defence and security, critical infrastructure, and program management. This major publication is easily accessible for all those involved in the field of risk assessment and analysis. For ease-of-use it is available in print and online.

Advances in Applied Economic Research

Author : Nicholas Tsounis
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319484540
Total Pages : 888 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Applied Economic Research by : Nicholas Tsounis

Download or read book Advances in Applied Economic Research written by Nicholas Tsounis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-06-07 with total page 888 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This proceedings volume aims to provide new research methods, theories and applications from various areas of applied economic research. Featuring papers from the 2016 International Conference on Applied Economics (ICOAE) organized by the University of Nicosia and the Western Macedonia University of Applied Sciences, this volume presents cutting edge research from all areas of economic science that use applied econometrics as the method of analysis. It also features country specific studies with specific economic policy analyses and proposals. Applied economics is a rapidly growing field of economics that combines economic theory with econometrics to analyse economic problems of the real world usually with economic policy interest. ICOAE is an annual conference started in 2008 with the aim to bring together economists from different fields of applied economic research in order to share methods and ideas. The goal of the conference and the enclosed papers is to allow for an exchange of experiences with different applied econometric methods and to promote joint initiatives among well-established fields likemacro- and microeconomics, international economics, finance, agricultural economics, health economics, education economics, international trade theory and management and marketing strategies. Featuring global contributions, this book will be of interest to researchers, academics, professionals and policy makers in the field of applied economics and econometrics.

Issues in Finance

Author : Stuart Sayer
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1444334018
Total Pages : 220 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (443 download)

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Book Synopsis Issues in Finance by : Stuart Sayer

Download or read book Issues in Finance written by Stuart Sayer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-01-04 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Issues in Finance: Credit, Crises and Policies presents a collection of surveys on key issues surrounding the relationship between credit, finance, and the macro-economy that are linked to the recent global financial crisis. Presents a timely collection of surveys that shed light on the recent financial crisis Offers insights for economists in government, business, and finance Shows how the mainstream economics literature was not blind to the potential problems of the financial framework and its interplay with the macro-economy

Cycles, Growth and the Great Recession

Author : Annalisa Cristini
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317751124
Total Pages : 277 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (177 download)

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Book Synopsis Cycles, Growth and the Great Recession by : Annalisa Cristini

Download or read book Cycles, Growth and the Great Recession written by Annalisa Cristini and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-11-13 with total page 277 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cycles, Growth and the Great Recession is a collection of papers that assess the nature and role of the business cycle in contemporary economies. These assessments are made in the context of the financial market instability that distinguishes the Great Recession from previous post-war slowdowns. Theorists and applied scholars in the fields of economics and mathematical economics discuss various approaches to understanding cycles and growth, and present mathematical and applied macro models to show how uncertainty shapes cycles by affecting the economic agent choice. Also included is an empirical section that investigates how the Great Recession affected households’ housing wealth, labour productivity and migration decisions. This book aims to: Propose a novel understanding of the business cycle by comparing the approaches of various scholars, starting from Hyman Minsky and Piero Ferri. Show that uncertainty is a main feature of the business cycle that affects decision-making and economic behaviour in general. Explain with mathematical models how the behaviour of economic agents can lead to cyclical paths for modern developed economies. Augment theory with empirical analysis of some central issues related to the Great Recession. This book comprises an original view of such widely discussed subjects as business cycles, uncertainty, economic growth and the Great Recession, constructed around theory, models and applications.

Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis

Author : Christopher Grafton
Publisher : Harriman House Limited
ISBN 13 : 0857191985
Total Pages : 384 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (571 download)

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Book Synopsis Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis by : Christopher Grafton

Download or read book Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis written by Christopher Grafton and published by Harriman House Limited. This book was released on 2011-11-30 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the best classical methods of technical analysis brought up to date This book offers a modern treatment of Hurst's original system of market cycle analysis. It will teach you how to get to the point where you can isolate cycles in any freely-traded financial instrument and make an assessment of their likely future course. Although Hurst's methodology can seem outwardly complex, the logic underpinning it is straightforward. With practice the skill needed to conduct a full cycle analysis quickly and effectively will become second nature. The rewards for becoming adept are high conviction trades, tight risk management and mastery of a largely non-correlated system of analysis. In this extensive step-by-step guide you will find a full description of the principal tools and techniques taught by Hurst as well as over 120 colour charts, together with tables and diagrams. The Updata and TradeStation code for all of the indicators shown is also included.

Rating Based Modeling of Credit Risk

Author : Stefan Trueck
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 9780080920306
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (23 download)

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Book Synopsis Rating Based Modeling of Credit Risk by : Stefan Trueck

Download or read book Rating Based Modeling of Credit Risk written by Stefan Trueck and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2009-01-15 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last decade rating-based models have become very popular in credit risk management. These systems use the rating of a company as the decisive variable to evaluate the default risk of a bond or loan. The popularity is due to the straightforwardness of the approach, and to the upcoming new capital accord (Basel II), which allows banks to base their capital requirements on internal as well as external rating systems. Because of this, sophisticated credit risk models are being developed or demanded by banks to assess the risk of their credit portfolio better by recognizing the different underlying sources of risk. As a consequence, not only default probabilities for certain rating categories but also the probabilities of moving from one rating state to another are important issues in such models for risk management and pricing. It is widely accepted that rating migrations and default probabilities show significant variations through time due to macroeconomics conditions or the business cycle. These changes in migration behavior may have a substantial impact on the value-at-risk (VAR) of a credit portfolio or the prices of credit derivatives such as collateralized debt obligations (D+CDOs). In Rating Based Modeling of Credit Risk the authors develop a much more sophisticated analysis of migration behavior. Their contribution of more sophisticated techniques to measure and forecast changes in migration behavior as well as determining adequate estimators for transition matrices is a major contribution to rating based credit modeling. Internal ratings-based systems are widely used in banks to calculate their value-at-risk (VAR) in order to determine their capital requirements for loan and bond portfolios under Basel II One aspect of these ratings systems is credit migrations, addressed in a systematic and comprehensive way for the first time in this book The book is based on in-depth work by Trueck and Rachev

Understanding the Securitization of Subprime Mortgage Credit

Author : Adam B. Ashcraft
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437925146
Total Pages : 76 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding the Securitization of Subprime Mortgage Credit by : Adam B. Ashcraft

Download or read book Understanding the Securitization of Subprime Mortgage Credit written by Adam B. Ashcraft and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2010-03 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides an overview of the subprime mortgage securitization process and the seven key informational frictions that arise. Discusses the ways that market participants work to minimize these frictions and speculate on how this process broke down. Continues with a complete picture of the subprime borrower and the subprime loan, discussing both predatory borrowing and predatory lending. Presents the key structural features of a typical subprime securitization, documents how rating agencies assign credit ratings to mortgage-backed securities, and outlines how these agencies monitor the performance of mortgage pools over time. The authors draw upon the example of a mortgage pool securitized by New Century Financial during 2006. Illustrations.

Basel III Credit Rating Systems

Author : L. Izzi
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230361188
Total Pages : 344 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Basel III Credit Rating Systems by : L. Izzi

Download or read book Basel III Credit Rating Systems written by L. Izzi and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-12-19 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: More than ever, banking competition is based on the ability to control the cost of risk and can only be managed with excellent internal rating models and very advanced risk management processes. This book is a comprehensive guide to quantitative and qualitative rating assessments with up-to-date methodologies in the international banking system.

Reverse Stress Testing in Banking

Author : Michael Eichhorn
Publisher : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN 13 : 3110647907
Total Pages : 583 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (16 download)

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Book Synopsis Reverse Stress Testing in Banking by : Michael Eichhorn

Download or read book Reverse Stress Testing in Banking written by Michael Eichhorn and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2021-05-10 with total page 583 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reverse stress testing was introduced in risk management as a regulatory tool for financial institutions more than a decade ago. The recent Covid-19 crisis illustrates its relevance and highlights the need for a systematic re-thinking of tail risks in the banking sector. This book addresses the need for practical guidance describing the entire reverse stress testing process. Reverse Stress Testing in Banking features contributions from a diverse range of established practitioners and academics. Organized in six parts, the book presents a series of contributions providing an in-depth understanding of: Regulatory requirements and ways to address them Quantitative and qualitative approaches to apply reverse stress testing at different levels – from investment portfolios and individual banks to the entire banking system The use of artificial intelligence, machine learning and quantum computing to gain insights into and address banks’ structural weaknesses Opportunities to co-integrate reverse stress testing with recovery and resolution planning Governance and processes for board members and C-suite executives Readers will benefit from the case studies, use cases from practitioners, discussion questions, recommendations and innovative practices provided in this insightful and pioneering book.

The Great Super Cycle

Author : David Skarica
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470940247
Total Pages : 275 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (79 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Super Cycle by : David Skarica

Download or read book The Great Super Cycle written by David Skarica and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-10-15 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States has a problem – a big problem. Due to costs associated with the massive bailout of financial institutions deemed "too big to fail," on-going armed conflicts, and a move towards socialism, another even bigger bubble is about to burst – the debt bubble. The Great Super Cycle: Profit from the Coming Inflation Tidal Wave and Dollar Devaluation is an intriguing look at the relationship between Washington and Wall Street; the history of political shifts in power and how those shifts influenced the global economy; and, the ways investors can profit as economies move away from U.S. dollar and debt. The book: Discusses how a socialist America will result in the U.S. economy becoming far less competitive, while causing funds to move offshore Details how investors can profit by investing in gold, oil, and Asian markets Explains major cyclical movements from the mega cycle of world power to stock market cycles which last 10-20 years. As the United States begins to deal with its massive debt bubble, The Great Super Cycle just might prove the most powerful tool an investor has for making money in the turbulent years to come.

Parallel and Distributed Computing, Applications and Technologies

Author : Hiroyuki Takizawa
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031299272
Total Pages : 526 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (312 download)

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Book Synopsis Parallel and Distributed Computing, Applications and Technologies by : Hiroyuki Takizawa

Download or read book Parallel and Distributed Computing, Applications and Technologies written by Hiroyuki Takizawa and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-04-07 with total page 526 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the proceedings of the 23rd International Conference on Parallel and Distributed Computing, Applications, and Technologies, PDCAT 2022, which took place in Sendai, Japan, during December 7-9, 2022. The 24 full papers and 16 short papers included in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 95 submissions. The papers are categorized into the following topical sub-headings: Heterogeneous System (1; HPC & AI; Embedded systems & Communication; Blockchain; Deep Learning; Quantum Computing & Programming Language; Best Papers; Heterogeneous System (2); Equivalence Checking & Model checking; Interconnect; Optimization (1); Optimization (2); Privacy; and Workflow.

Advanced Financial Risk Management

Author : Donald R. Van Deventer
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118278550
Total Pages : 834 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis Advanced Financial Risk Management by : Donald R. Van Deventer

Download or read book Advanced Financial Risk Management written by Donald R. Van Deventer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-02-06 with total page 834 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Practical tools and advice for managing financial risk, updated for a post-crisis world Advanced Financial Risk Management bridges the gap between the idealized assumptions used for risk valuation and the realities that must be reflected in management actions. It explains, in detailed yet easy-to-understand terms, the analytics of these issues from A to Z, and lays out a comprehensive strategy for risk management measurement, objectives, and hedging techniques that apply to all types of institutions. Written by experienced risk managers, the book covers everything from the basics of present value, forward rates, and interest rate compounding to the wide variety of alternative term structure models. Revised and updated with lessons from the 2007-2010 financial crisis, Advanced Financial Risk Management outlines a framework for fully integrated risk management. Credit risk, market risk, asset and liability management, and performance measurement have historically been thought of as separate disciplines, but recent developments in financial theory and computer science now allow these views of risk to be analyzed on a more integrated basis. The book presents a performance measurement approach that goes far beyond traditional capital allocation techniques to measure risk-adjusted shareholder value creation, and supplements this strategic view of integrated risk with step-by-step tools and techniques for constructing a risk management system that achieves these objectives. Practical tools for managing risk in the financial world Updated to include the most recent events that have influenced risk management Topics covered include the basics of present value, forward rates, and interest rate compounding; American vs. European fixed income options; default probability models; prepayment models; mortality models; and alternatives to the Vasicek model Comprehensive and in-depth, Advanced Financial Risk Management is an essential resource for anyone working in the financial field.

Credit Risk Management

Author : Tony Van Gestel
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191609307
Total Pages : 552 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Credit Risk Management by : Tony Van Gestel

Download or read book Credit Risk Management written by Tony Van Gestel and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2008-10-23 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit Risk Management: Basic Concepts is the first book of a series of three with the objective of providing an overview of all aspects, steps, and issues that should be considered when undertaking credit risk management, including the Basel II Capital Accord, which all major banks must comply with in 2008. The introduction of the recently suggested Basel II Capital Accord has raised many issues and concerns about how to appropriately manage credit risk. Managing credit risk is one of the next big challenges facing financial institutions. The importance and relevance of efficiently managing credit risk is evident from the huge investments that many financial institutions are making in this area, the booming credit industry in emerging economies (e.g. Brazil, China, India, ...), the many events (courses, seminars, workshops, ...) that are being organised on this topic, and the emergence of new academic journals and magazines in the field (e.g. Journal of Credit Risk, Journal of Risk Model Validation, Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, ...). Basic Concepts provides the introduction to the concepts, techniques, and practical examples to guide both young and experienced practitioners and academics in the fascinating, but complex world of risk modelling. Financial risk management, an area of increasing importance with the recent Basel II developments, is discussed in terms of practical business impact and the increasing profitability competition, laying the foundation for books II and III.

Cycle World Magazine

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1312 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Cycle World Magazine by :

Download or read book Cycle World Magazine written by and published by . This book was released on 1976-01 with total page 1312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Unified Financial Analysis

Author : Willi Brammertz
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119991102
Total Pages : 463 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Unified Financial Analysis by : Willi Brammertz

Download or read book Unified Financial Analysis written by Willi Brammertz and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-11-04 with total page 463 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unified Financial Analysis arrives at the right time, in the midst of the current financial crisis where the call for better and more efficient financial control cannot be overstated. The book argues that from a technical perspective, there is no need for more, but for better and more efficiently organized information. The title demonstrates that it is possible with a single but well organized set of information and algorithms to derive all types of financial analysis. This reaches far beyond classical risk and return or profitability management, spanning all risk categories, all valuation techniques (local GAAP, IFRS, full mark-to-market and so on) and static, historic and dynamic analysis, just to name the most important dimensions. The dedication of a complete section to dynamic analysis, which is based on a going concern view, is unique, contrasting with the static, liquidation-based view prevalent today in banks. The commonly applied arbitrage-free paradigm, which is too narrow, is expanded to real world market models. The title starts with a brief history of the evolution of financial analysis to create the current industry structure, with the organisation of many banks following a strict silo structure, and finishes with suggestions for the way forward from the current financial turmoil. Throughout the book, the authors advocate the adoption of a 'unified financial language' that could also be the basis for a new regulatory approach. They argue that such a language is indispensable, if the next regulatory wave – which is surely to come – should not end in an expensive regulatory chaos. Unified Financial Analysis will be of value to CEOs and CFOs in banking and insurance, risk and asset and liability managers, regulators and compliance officers, students of Finance or Economics, or anyone with a stake in the finance industry.