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Public Debt Sustainability In The West African Monetary Zone
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Book Synopsis Public Debt Sustainability in the West African Monetary Zone by : Ngozi Egbuna
Download or read book Public Debt Sustainability in the West African Monetary Zone written by Ngozi Egbuna and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "WAMZ countries have accumulated high levels of public debt less than two decades after the massive debt forgiveness effected under the Highly Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative. This has raised sustainability concerns as rising debt levels have the potential to create negative spillover effects and derail the macroeconomic convergence process in the Zone. This study examines the response of WAMZ countries to increases in public debt levels. Utilizing pooled OLS and panel fixed effects (FE) on annual data covering the period 2000 - 2018, the study shows positive response of primary balance to changes in the debt to output ratio across WAMZ countries, indicating that public debt were sustainable during the period. Results from the Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) model indicate significant positive non-linear response of primary balance to increases in the debt ratio below a threshold debt-to-GDP ratio of 90 percent. The study recommends the continuation of fiscal consolidation efforts aimed at enhancing revenue and rationalizing unproductive expenditures in all Member States"--Page 4.
Book Synopsis Public Debt Sustainability in the West African Monetary Zone by : Ngozi E. Egbuna
Download or read book Public Debt Sustainability in the West African Monetary Zone written by Ngozi E. Egbuna and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: WAMZ countries have accumulated high levels of public debt less than two decades after the massive debt forgiveness effected under the Highly Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative. This has raised sustainability concerns as rising debt levels have the potential to create negative spillover effects and derail the macroeconomic convergence process in the Zone. This study examines the response of WAMZ countries to increases in public debt levels. Utilizing pooled OLS and panel fixed effects (FE) on annual data covering the period 2000 - 2018, the study shows positive response of primary balance to changes in the debt to output ratio across WAMZ countries, indicating that public debt were sustainable during the period. Results from the Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) model indicate significant positive non-linear response of primary balance to increases in the debt ratio below a threshold debt-to-GDP ratio of 90 percent. The study recommends the continuation of fiscal consolidation efforts aimed at enhancing revenue and rationalizing unproductive expenditures in all Member States.
Book Synopsis West African Economic and Monetary Union by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-03-07 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: West African Economic and Monetary Union: Selected Issues
Book Synopsis West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-29 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper reviews West African Economic and Monetary Union’s (WAEMU) regional macroeconomic surveillance framework to control all sources of debt accumulation and ensure debt sustainability. WAEMU’s regional surveillance framework aims at ensuring the sustainability of national fiscal policies and their consistency with the common monetary policy. While fiscal deficits have been the main driver of public debt across WAEMU member countries, the size of residual factors has varied greatly among these countries. The WAEMU Macroeconomic Surveillance Framework would benefit from adjustments to more effectively set the region’s public debt on a sustainable path. In addition, beyond adhering to the WAEMU fiscal deficit rule, member countries must curb below-the-budget-line operations. This would require improved monitoring of fiscal risks and the building of adequate budget provisions to address such risks before they materialize. Improved Treasury practices would also help eliminate the recourse to pre-financing arrangements and tighten control over expenditure. Public dissemination of the WAEMU progress report and strengthened peer-to-peer learning among member countries could improve the momentum for reforms.
Book Synopsis West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-04-03 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Military coups that occurred in Guinea-Bissau and Mali caused economic disruption in the WAEMU countries. Regional policies have been in line with the recommendations, and growth is expected to remain robust, risks are on the downside, and the macroeconomic policy is appropriate. Preserving debt sustainability and stability of the Union in the medium term requires better coordination of fiscal policies. Development of the financial system, and strengthening of the regulatory and supervisory framework is necessary to address existing and new risks.
Book Synopsis Revamping the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) Fiscal Framework by : Can Sever
Download or read book Revamping the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) Fiscal Framework written by Can Sever and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-04-26 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper aims to provide a broad perspective on the WAEMU fiscal framework. Based on backward looking exercises and forward looking scenarios, it shows that (i) repeated fiscal slippages and historically large stock flow adjustments contributed to the surge in the WAEMU public debt, and (ii) stock flow adjustments can have significant effects on the WAEMU debt dynamics going forward. This paper also discusses that it is essential and urgent to reintroduce the fiscal rules and the Convergence Pact and to enhance the rules. Revamping the fiscal rules should focus on introducing a correction mechanism (which could contain surges in debt in the future) and an escape clause (which would enhance fiscal discipline and predictability), as well as capturing the extensive extra-budgetary and below-the-line operations and strengthening the enforcement mechanism. Any consideration to changing the fiscal deficit target should also encompass addressing extra-budgetary and below-the-line transactions (for example by changing the definition of the deficit). It is not appropriate to increase the debt ceiling.
Book Synopsis West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-03-21 with total page 87 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) IMF staff report focuses on common policies for member countries. The region continued to experience a strong upswing in 2013, and the immediate outlook is for further vigorous growth and moderate inflation. Delays in implementing reforms, at both the national and regional levels, are the principal medium-term risk. It highlights that with continued strong growth projected for the region, countries are encouraged to seek opportunities to strengthen fiscal sustainability while maintaining public investment efforts.
Book Synopsis Local Currency Debt Markets in the West African Economic and Monetary Union by : Amadou N. R. Sy
Download or read book Local Currency Debt Markets in the West African Economic and Monetary Union written by Amadou N. R. Sy and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-11 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper reviews trends and developments in the rapidly growing local currency debt markets in the WAEMU. The main findings are that common institutions, such as a regional central bank and securities exchange have led to high cross-border transactions within the union. However, excess liquidity in the regional banking system has led to limited credit differentiation among issuers and a reliance on supply and demand conditions as a key determinant of yields. The paper also discusses a number of policy issues, including debt management, that are likely to emerge as the markets for government securities continue to develop.
Book Synopsis Responding to Shocks and Maintaining Stability in the West African Economic and Monetary Union by : Ms.Christina Kolerus
Download or read book Responding to Shocks and Maintaining Stability in the West African Economic and Monetary Union written by Ms.Christina Kolerus and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU), like other monetary unions, faces a number of challenges in dealing with macroeconomic shocks. The region experiences a large number of exogenous shocks: climate-related (e.g., droughts, floods), with a heavy toll on populations and agriculture, but also economic (e.g., terms of trade), with a large impact on key sectors and the cost of living. More generally business cycle synchronization within the WAEMU seems low. Addressing these shocks, while preserving the stability of the union, is therefore a critical issue in the WAEMU.This paper discusses these issues and suggests possible reforms.
Book Synopsis West African Economic and Monetary Union by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-04-17 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The WAEMU has seen strong growth and rising living standards over the past decade. Economic growth averaged 5.4 percent in 2013-2019 and 5.8 percent in 2021-2023. Policy efforts from regional and national authorities have cushioned the impact of several external and internal shocks, prompting a solid economic recovery since the COVID-19 pandemic, despite increasing security issues. Meanwhile, the Human Development Index has increased from 0.44 in 2013 to 0.48 in 2021.
Book Synopsis Public Debt Sustainability in Africa by : James Oppong-Gyebi
Download or read book Public Debt Sustainability in Africa written by James Oppong-Gyebi and published by . This book was released on 2023-03-31 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2022 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1.3, University of Siegen (Faculty 3), course: MSc Economic Policy, language: English, abstract: This study assesses the sustainability of public debt in Africa by estimating a fiscal reaction function using the feasible fixed effects generalized least squares estimator with panel data from 40 African countries and annual time series from 2001 to 2021. I find evidence in support of public debt sustainability in Africa, with low-debt African countries exerting a greater fiscal effort in maintaining sustainable debt levels than high-debt African countries. The research questions are: Is public debt in Africa sustainable? Has public debt sustainability in Africa been weaker following the global financial crisis? Which debt group has exerted a stronger fiscal effort toward maintaining sustainable public debt levels? Is Nigeria's public debt to GDP ratio unsustainable compared to Ghana, South Africa, Ethiopia, Algeria, Tunisia, and Egypt? The rising levels of public debt within the continent indicate the possibility of a debt crisis among African countries if not carefully managed. The latest Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA) under the Debt Sustainability Framework (DSF) for Low-Income Countries (LIC) jointly published by the IMF and World Bank affirms this fear as 25 African countries are either already in or at high risk of debt distress. . The report further indicates that 13 other African countries are at moderate risk of debt distress. Thus, with memories of the recent Greek debt crisis still fresh in mind, African countries are presented with a scenario of the destructive impact of a debt crisis if not expertly handled. It is therefore of great importance that African countries display robust fiscal discipline and pursue sound policies so as not to be at the risk of debt distress. Given the evidence of rising public debt levels and the possibility of debt distress in several Afri
Book Synopsis West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-29 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This regional consultation IMF staff report for West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) highlights that growth remained strong in 2018, the fiscal deficit narrowed by 1/2 percentage point of GDP, external reserves increased, and important banking reforms were put in place, including the introduction of Basel II/III standards. The medium-term outlook remains positive despite somewhat less favorable global conditions, but critically hinges on planned fiscal consolidation and structural reforms to improve competitiveness and allow the private sector to become the main engine of growth. Other risks relate to terms-of-trade and weather shocks, and a difficult security situation in some countries. The report also discusses that collectively adhering to fiscal consolidation commitments, with a greater focus on domestic revenue mobilization and more effective control of below-the-line operations, is essential to lower risks of public debt distress, support international reserves, and preserve external viability. Structural policies aimed at improving competitiveness and growth inclusiveness are critical to reducing vulnerabilities to external shocks, building external buffers, stimulating private-sector-led growth, and making the growth momentum sustainable.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Convergence in the West African Monetary Zone by : Olorunsola E. Olowofeso
Download or read book Fiscal Convergence in the West African Monetary Zone written by Olorunsola E. Olowofeso and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Achieving fiscal convergence between countries of a monetary union helps in the design and implementation of policies to strengthen macroeconomic convergence, which mitigates the contagion effects of macroeconomic instability and ensures the long-term viability of the proposed union. This paper assesses the extent of fiscal convergence among the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) countries and explores the response of fiscal convergence to divergence of public debt levels, inflation rates and current account balances to determine whether strengthening of policy synchronisation would contribute to fostering fiscal convergence in these countries. Allowing for heterogeneous fiscal policies among the WAMZ countries, the result from the log t convergence test estimated over the period 2001-2019 provides strong evidence of fiscal divergence among these countries during the period. Equally, by exploiting nonlinearities in policy behaviour among the WAMZ countries in the response of fiscal convergence to policy synchronisation, the results from the dynamic panel threshold models show remarkably strong evidence that reducing divergence in public debt levels, inflation rates and current account balances would reduce fiscal divergence. Given these empirical insights, WAMZ countries would need to strengthen fiscal consolidation measures to improve the primary balance and enhance capacity to reduce public debt to sustainable levels. Similarly, these countries should provide support to enhance domestic productive capacity and diversify the export sector to improve external sector performance. These measures should be accompanied by additional fiscal reforms to constrain discretion in fiscal policies to promote fiscal convergence, including the implementation of fiscal rules and Fiscal Responsibility Act.
Book Synopsis West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-04-25 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report reviews the discussions between the IMF and the regional institutions of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU). It highlights that the economic activity in the WAEMU remains strong but vulnerabilities persist. Despite lower terms of trade, social tensions, and security challenges within the region, real GDP growth is estimated to have exceeded 6 percent in 2017, underpinned by strong domestic demand. The outlook remains positive but hinges critically on the planned fiscal consolidation and implementation of structural reforms by member countries. Growth is projected to stay above 6 percent with continued low inflation over the medium term. Risks are tilted to the downside.
Book Synopsis West African Economic and Monetary Union by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-05-06 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 2010, average inflation has remained low in all West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) countries, but has edged up in the second half of the year. After a moderate fiscal easing by about 11⁄2 percentage points of GDP in 2009, mostly the result of higher capital spending, the area-wide average deficit is estimated to have declined slightly to 3.1 percent of GDP in 2010. A compression of imports in 2009, the region’s external current account deficit is estimated to have returned to about 51⁄2 percent of GDP in 2010.
Book Synopsis Current Account Sustainability in the West African Economic and Monetary Union Countries by : Keita Zakarya
Download or read book Current Account Sustainability in the West African Economic and Monetary Union Countries written by Keita Zakarya and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Regional Integration in West Africa by : Eswar Prasad
Download or read book Regional Integration in West Africa written by Eswar Prasad and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2021-07-13 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: " Assessing the potential benefits and risks of a currency union Leaders of the fifteen-member Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) have set a goal of achieving a monetary and currency union by late 2020. Although some progress has been made toward achieving this ambitious goal, major challenges remain if the region is to realize the necessary macroeconomic convergence and establish the required institutional framework in a relatively short period of time. The proposed union offers many potential benefits, especially for countries with historically high inflation rates and weak central banks. But, as implementation of the euro over the past two decades has shown, folding multiple currencies, representing disparate economies, into a common union comes with significant costs, along with operational challenges and transitional risks. All these potential negatives must be considered carefully by ECOWAS leaders seeking tomeet a self-imposed deadline. This book, by two leading experts on economics and Africa, makes a significant analytical contribution to the debates now under way about how ECOWAS could achieve and manage its currency union, andthe ramifications for the African continent. "
