Probability In Social Science

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Probability and Social Science

Author : Daniel Courgeau
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9400728794
Total Pages : 333 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability and Social Science by : Daniel Courgeau

Download or read book Probability and Social Science written by Daniel Courgeau and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-02-22 with total page 333 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work examines in depth the methodological relationships that probability and statistics have maintained with the social sciences from their emergence. It covers both the history of thought and current methods. First it examines in detail the history of the different paradigms and axioms for probability, from their emergence in the seventeenth century up to the most recent developments of the three major concepts: objective, subjective and logicist probability. It shows the statistical inference they permit, different applications to social sciences and the main problems they encounter. On the other side, from social sciences—particularly population sciences—to probability, it shows the different uses they made of probabilistic concepts during their history, from the seventeenth century, according to their paradigms: cross-sectional, longitudinal, hierarchical, contextual and multilevel approaches. While the ties may have seemed loose at times, they have more often been very close: some advances in probability were driven by the search for answers to questions raised by the social sciences; conversely, the latter have made progress thanks to advances in probability. This dual approach sheds new light on the historical development of the social sciences and probability, and on the enduring relevance of their links. It permits also to solve a number of methodological problems encountered all along their history.

The Probability of God

Author : Dr. Stephen D. Unwin
Publisher : Forum Books
ISBN 13 : 1400097541
Total Pages : 274 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Probability of God by : Dr. Stephen D. Unwin

Download or read book The Probability of God written by Dr. Stephen D. Unwin and published by Forum Books. This book was released on 2004-10-26 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Does God exist? This is probably the most debated question in the history of mankind. Scholars, scientists, and philosophers have spent their lifetimes trying to prove or disprove the existence of God, only to have their theories crucified by other scholars, scientists, and philosophers. Where the debate breaks down is in the ambiguities and colloquialisms of language. But, by using a universal, unambiguous language—namely, mathematics—can this question finally be answered definitively? That’s what Dr. Stephen Unwin attempts to do in this riveting, accessible, and witty book, The Probability of God. At its core, this groundbreaking book reveals how a math equation developed more than 200 years ago by noted European philosopher Thomas Bayes can be used to calculate the probability that God exists. The equation itself is much more complicated than a simple coin toss (heads, He’s up there running the show; tails, He’s not). Yet Dr. Unwin writes with a clarity that makes his mathematical proof easy for even the nonmathematician to understand and a verve that makes his book a delight to read. Leading you carefully through each step in his argument, he demonstrates in the end that God does indeed exist. Whether you’re a devout believer and agree with Dr. Unwin’s proof or are unsure about all things divine, you will find this provocative book enlightening and engaging.

Statistics for the Social Sciences

Author : R. Mark Sirkin
Publisher : SAGE Publications, Incorporated
ISBN 13 : 9780761914181
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (141 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistics for the Social Sciences by : R. Mark Sirkin

Download or read book Statistics for the Social Sciences written by R. Mark Sirkin and published by SAGE Publications, Incorporated. This book was released on 1999-05-14 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do your students lack confidence in handling quantitative work? Do they get confused about how to enter statistical data on SAS and SPSS programs? This Second Edition of Mark Sirkin's popular textbook is the solution for these dilemmas. The book progresses from concepts that require little computational work to the more demanding. It emphasizes utilization so that students appreciate the usefulness of statistics and shows how the interpretation of data is related to the methods by which data was obtained. The author includes coverage of the scientific method, levels of measurement and the interpretation of tables.

Interpreting Probability Models

Author : Tim Futing Liao
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 9780803949997
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (499 download)

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Book Synopsis Interpreting Probability Models by : Tim Futing Liao

Download or read book Interpreting Probability Models written by Tim Futing Liao and published by SAGE. This book was released on 1994-06-30 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What is the probability that something will occur, and how is that probability altered by a change in an independent variable? To answer these questions, Tim Futing Liao introduces a systematic way of interpreting commonly used probability models. Since much of what social scientists study is measured in noncontinuous ways and, therefore, cannot be analyzed using a classical regression model, it becomes necessary to model the likelihood that an event will occur. This book explores these models first by reviewing each probability model and then by presenting a systematic way for interpreting the results from each.

Bayesian Analysis for the Social Sciences

Author : Simon Jackman
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780470686638
Total Pages : 598 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (866 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Analysis for the Social Sciences by : Simon Jackman

Download or read book Bayesian Analysis for the Social Sciences written by Simon Jackman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-10-27 with total page 598 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian methods are increasingly being used in the social sciences, as the problems encountered lend themselves so naturally to the subjective qualities of Bayesian methodology. This book provides an accessible introduction to Bayesian methods, tailored specifically for social science students. It contains lots of real examples from political science, psychology, sociology, and economics, exercises in all chapters, and detailed descriptions of all the key concepts, without assuming any background in statistics beyond a first course. It features examples of how to implement the methods using WinBUGS – the most-widely used Bayesian analysis software in the world – and R – an open-source statistical software. The book is supported by a Website featuring WinBUGS and R code, and data sets.

Statistics for the Social Sciences

Author : Russell T. Warne
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 110889853X
Total Pages : 612 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistics for the Social Sciences by : Russell T. Warne

Download or read book Statistics for the Social Sciences written by Russell T. Warne and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-12-17 with total page 612 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The second edition of Statistics for the Social Sciences prepares students from a wide range of disciplines to interpret and learn the statistical methods critical to their field of study. By using the General Linear Model (GLM), the author builds a foundation that enables students to see how statistical methods are interrelated enabling them to build on the basic skills. The author makes statistics relevant to students' varying majors by using fascinating real-life examples from the social sciences. Students who use this edition will benefit from clear explanations, warnings against common erroneous beliefs about statistics, and the latest developments in the philosophy, reporting, and practice of statistics in the social sciences. The textbook is packed with helpful pedagogical features including learning goals, guided practice, and reflection questions.

Quantitative Social Science

Author : Kosuke Imai
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691191093
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantitative Social Science by : Kosuke Imai

Download or read book Quantitative Social Science written by Kosuke Imai and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-03-16 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Princeton University Press published Imai's textbook, Quantitative Social Science: An Introduction, an introduction to quantitative methods and data science for upper level undergrads and graduates in professional programs, in February 2017. What is distinct about the book is how it leads students through a series of applied examples of statistical methods, drawing on real examples from social science research. The original book was prepared with the statistical software R, which is freely available online and has gained in popularity in recent years. But many existing courses in statistics and data sciences, particularly in some subject areas like sociology and law, use STATA, another general purpose package that has been the market leader since the 1980s. We've had several requests for STATA versions of the text as many programs use it by default. This is a "translation" of the original text, keeping all the current pedagogical text but inserting the necessary code and outputs from STATA in their place"--

The Probabilistic Revolution: Ideas in the sciences

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780262111188
Total Pages : 459 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (111 download)

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Book Synopsis The Probabilistic Revolution: Ideas in the sciences by :

Download or read book The Probabilistic Revolution: Ideas in the sciences written by and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 459 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Statistical Modeling and Inference for Social Science

Author : Sean Gailmard
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107003148
Total Pages : 393 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Modeling and Inference for Social Science by : Sean Gailmard

Download or read book Statistical Modeling and Inference for Social Science written by Sean Gailmard and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2014-06-09 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written specifically for graduate students and practitioners beginning social science research, Statistical Modeling and Inference for Social Science covers the essential statistical tools, models and theories that make up the social scientist's toolkit. Assuming no prior knowledge of statistics, this textbook introduces students to probability theory, statistical inference and statistical modeling, and emphasizes the connection between statistical procedures and social science theory. Sean Gailmard develops core statistical theory as a set of tools to model and assess relationships between variables - the primary aim of social scientists - and demonstrates the ways in which social scientists express and test substantive theoretical arguments in various models. Chapter exercises guide students in applying concepts to data, extending their grasp of core theoretical concepts. Students will also gain the ability to create, read and critique statistical applications in their fields of interest.

Data Analysis for Social Science

Author : Elena Llaudet
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691199434
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Data Analysis for Social Science by : Elena Llaudet

Download or read book Data Analysis for Social Science written by Elena Llaudet and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2022-11-29 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Data analysis has become a necessary skill across the social sciences, and recent advancements in computing power have made knowledge of programming an essential component. Yet most data science books are intimidating and overwhelming to a non-specialist audience, including most undergraduates. This book will be a shorter, more focused and accessible version of Kosuke Imai's Quantitative Social Science book, which was published by Princeton in 2018 and has been adopted widely in graduate level courses of the same title. This book uses the same innovative approach as Quantitative Social Science , using real data and 'R' to answer a wide range of social science questions. It assumes no prior knowledge of statistics or coding. It starts with straightforward, simple data analysis and culminates with multivariate linear regression models, focusing more on the intuition of how the math works rather than the math itself. The book makes extensive use of data visualizations, diagrams, pictures, cartoons, etc., to help students understand and recall complex concepts, provides an easy to follow, step-by-step template of how to conduct data analysis from beginning to end, and will be accompanied by supplemental materials in the appendix and online for both students and instructors"--

Introduction to Probability

Author : David F. Anderson
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 110824498X
Total Pages : 447 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (82 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Probability by : David F. Anderson

Download or read book Introduction to Probability written by David F. Anderson and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-11-02 with total page 447 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This classroom-tested textbook is an introduction to probability theory, with the right balance between mathematical precision, probabilistic intuition, and concrete applications. Introduction to Probability covers the material precisely, while avoiding excessive technical details. After introducing the basic vocabulary of randomness, including events, probabilities, and random variables, the text offers the reader a first glimpse of the major theorems of the subject: the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem. The important probability distributions are introduced organically as they arise from applications. The discrete and continuous sides of probability are treated together to emphasize their similarities. Intended for students with a calculus background, the text teaches not only the nuts and bolts of probability theory and how to solve specific problems, but also why the methods of solution work.

Statistics and Probability in Forensic Anthropology

Author : Zuzana Obertová
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128157658
Total Pages : 434 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistics and Probability in Forensic Anthropology by : Zuzana Obertová

Download or read book Statistics and Probability in Forensic Anthropology written by Zuzana Obertová and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2020-07-28 with total page 434 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistics and Probability in Forensic Anthropology provides a practical guide for forensic scientists, primarily anthropologists and pathologists, on how to design studies, how to choose and apply statistical approaches, and how to interpret statistical outcomes in the forensic practice. As with other forensic, medical and biological disciplines, statistics have become increasingly important in forensic anthropology and legal medicine, but there is not a single book, which specifically addresses the needs of forensic anthropologists in relation to the research undertaken in the field and the interpretation of research outcomes and case findings within the setting of legal proceedings. The book includes the application of both frequentist and Bayesian statistics in relation to topics relevant for the research and the interpretation of findings in forensic anthropology, as well as general chapters on study design and statistical approaches addressing measurement errors and reliability. Scientific terminology understandable to students and advanced practitioners of forensic anthropology, pathology and related disciplines is used throughout. Additionally, Statistics and Probability in Forensic Anthropology facilitates sufficient understanding of the statistical procedures and data interpretation based on statistical outcomes and models, which helps the reader confidently present their work within the forensic context, either in the form of case reports for legal purposes or as research publications for the scientific community. - Contains the application of both frequentist and Bayesian statistics in relation to topics relevant for forensic anthropology research and the interpretation of findings - Provides examples of study designs and their statistical solutions, partly following the layout of scientific manuscripts on common topics in the field - Includes scientific terminology understandable to students and advanced practitioners of forensic anthropology, legal medicine and related disciplines

Numerical Issues in Statistical Computing for the Social Scientist

Author : Micah Altman
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0471475742
Total Pages : 349 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (714 download)

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Book Synopsis Numerical Issues in Statistical Computing for the Social Scientist by : Micah Altman

Download or read book Numerical Issues in Statistical Computing for the Social Scientist written by Micah Altman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-02-15 with total page 349 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At last—a social scientist's guide through the pitfalls of modern statistical computing Addressing the current deficiency in the literature on statistical methods as they apply to the social and behavioral sciences, Numerical Issues in Statistical Computing for the Social Scientist seeks to provide readers with a unique practical guidebook to the numerical methods underlying computerized statistical calculations specific to these fields. The authors demonstrate that knowledge of these numerical methods and how they are used in statistical packages is essential for making accurate inferences. With the aid of key contributors from both the social and behavioral sciences, the authors have assembled a rich set of interrelated chapters designed to guide empirical social scientists through the potential minefield of modern statistical computing. Uniquely accessible and abounding in modern-day tools, tricks, and advice, the text successfully bridges the gap between the current level of social science methodology and the more sophisticated technical coverage usually associated with the statistical field. Highlights include: A focus on problems occurring in maximum likelihood estimation Integrated examples of statistical computing (using software packages such as the SAS, Gauss, Splus, R, Stata, LIMDEP, SPSS, WinBUGS, and MATLAB®) A guide to choosing accurate statistical packages Discussions of a multitude of computationally intensive statistical approaches such as ecological inference, Markov chain Monte Carlo, and spatial regression analysis Emphasis on specific numerical problems, statistical procedures, and their applications in the field Replications and re-analysis of published social science research, using innovative numerical methods Key numerical estimation issues along with the means of avoiding common pitfalls A related Web site includes test data for use in demonstrating numerical problems, code for applying the original methods described in the book, and an online bibliography of Web resources for the statistical computation Designed as an independent research tool, a professional reference, or a classroom supplement, the book presents a well-thought-out treatment of a complex and multifaceted field.

Introduction to Probability Models

Author : Sheldon M. Ross
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0123756871
Total Pages : 801 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (237 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Probability Models by : Sheldon M. Ross

Download or read book Introduction to Probability Models written by Sheldon M. Ross and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2006-12-11 with total page 801 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction to Probability Models, Tenth Edition, provides an introduction to elementary probability theory and stochastic processes. There are two approaches to the study of probability theory. One is heuristic and nonrigorous, and attempts to develop in students an intuitive feel for the subject that enables him or her to think probabilistically. The other approach attempts a rigorous development of probability by using the tools of measure theory. The first approach is employed in this text. The book begins by introducing basic concepts of probability theory, such as the random variable, conditional probability, and conditional expectation. This is followed by discussions of stochastic processes, including Markov chains and Poison processes. The remaining chapters cover queuing, reliability theory, Brownian motion, and simulation. Many examples are worked out throughout the text, along with exercises to be solved by students. This book will be particularly useful to those interested in learning how probability theory can be applied to the study of phenomena in fields such as engineering, computer science, management science, the physical and social sciences, and operations research. Ideally, this text would be used in a one-year course in probability models, or a one-semester course in introductory probability theory or a course in elementary stochastic processes. New to this Edition: - 65% new chapter material including coverage of finite capacity queues, insurance risk models and Markov chains - Contains compulsory material for new Exam 3 of the Society of Actuaries containing several sections in the new exams - Updated data, and a list of commonly used notations and equations, a robust ancillary package, including a ISM, SSM, and test bank - Includes SPSS PASW Modeler and SAS JMP software packages which are widely used in the field Hallmark features: - Superior writing style - Excellent exercises and examples covering the wide breadth of coverage of probability topics - Real-world applications in engineering, science, business and economics

Understanding Statistics for the Social Sciences with IBM SPSS

Author : Robert Ho
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 135172522X
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (517 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Statistics for the Social Sciences with IBM SPSS by : Robert Ho

Download or read book Understanding Statistics for the Social Sciences with IBM SPSS written by Robert Ho and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-09-22 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern statistical software provides the ability to compute statistics in a timely, orderly fashion. This introductory statistics textbook presents clear explanations of basic statistical concepts and introduces students to the IBM SPSS program to demonstrate how to conduct statistical analyses via the popular point-and-click and the "syntax file" methods. The focal point is to show students how easy it is to analyse data using SPSS once they have learned the basics. Provides clear explanation of basic statistical concepts that provides the foundation for the beginner students’ statistical journey. Introduces the SPSS software program. Gives clear explanation of the purpose of specific statistical procedures (e.g., frequency distributions, measures of central tendencies, measures of variability, etc.). Avoids the conventional cookbook approach that contributes very little to students’ understanding of the rationale of how the correct results were obtained. The advantage of learning the IBM SPSS software package at the introductory class level is that most social sciences students will employ this program in their later years of study. This is because SPSS is one of the most popular of the many statistical packages currently available. Learning how to use this program at the very start not only familiarizes students with the utility of this program but also provides them with the experience to employ the program to conduct more complex analyses in their later years.

Statistics for the Social Sciences

Author : R. Mark Sirkin
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 9781412905466
Total Pages : 636 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (54 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistics for the Social Sciences by : R. Mark Sirkin

Download or read book Statistics for the Social Sciences written by R. Mark Sirkin and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2006 with total page 636 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do your students lack confidence in their ability to handle quantitative work? Do they get confused about how to enter statistical data on SAS, SPSS, and Excel programs? The new Third Edition of the bestselling Statistics for the Social Sciences is the solution to these dilemmas Popular in previous editions, this Third Edition continues to help build students' confidence and ability in doing statistical analysis by slowly moving from concepts that require little computational work to those that require more. Author R. Mark Sirkin once again demonstrates how statistics can be used so that students come to appreciate their usefulness rather than fearing them. Statistics for the Social Sciences emphasizes the analysis and interpretation of data to give students a feel for how data interpretation is related to the methods by which the information was obtained. The book includes lists of key concepts, chapter exercises, topic boxes, and more

Realism and Complexity in Social Science

Author : Malcolm Williams
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0429812876
Total Pages : 263 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (298 download)

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Book Synopsis Realism and Complexity in Social Science by : Malcolm Williams

Download or read book Realism and Complexity in Social Science written by Malcolm Williams and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-12-30 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Realism and Complexity in Social Science is an argument for a new approach to investigating the social world, that of complex realism. Complex realism brings together a number of strands of thought, in scientific realism, complexity science, probability theory and social research methodology. It proposes that the reality of the social world is that it is probabilistic, yet there exists enough invariance to make the discovery and explanation of social objects and causal mechanisms possible. This forms the basis for the development of a complex realist foundation for social research, that utilises a number of new and novel approaches to investigation, alongside the more traditional corpus of quantitative and qualitative methods. Research examples are drawn from research in sociology, epidemiology, criminology, social policy and human geography. The book assumes no prior knowledge of realism, probability or complexity and in the early chapters, the reader is introduced to these concepts and the arguments against them. Although the book is grounded in philosophical reasoning, this is in a direct and accessible style that will appeal both to social researchers with a methodological interest and philosophers with an interest in social investigation.