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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (898 download)
Download or read book Pricing Sovereign Credit Risk of an Emerging Market written by and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Iva Petrova
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455210889
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)
Download or read book Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads written by Iva Petrova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyses the determimants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads by examining the short and long-run effects of fundamental (macroeconomic) and temporary (financial market) factors on these spreads. During the current global financial and economic crisis, sovereign bond spreads widened dramatically for both developed and emerging market economies. This deterioration has widely been attributed to rapidly growing public debts and balance sheet risks. Our results indicate that in the long run, fundamentals are significant determinants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads, while in the short run, financial volatility is a more important determinant of sperads than fundamentals indicators.
Author : Paolo Mauro
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199272697
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (992 download)
Download or read book Emerging Markets and Financial Globalization written by Paolo Mauro and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2006-03-16 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The frequency and virulence of recent financial crises have led to calls for reform of the current international financial architecture. In an effort to learn more about today's international financial environment, the authors turn to an earlier era of financial globalization between 1870 and 1913. By examining data on sovereign bonds issued by borrowing developing countries in this earlier period and in the present day, the authors are able to identify the characteristics ofsuccessful borrowers in the two periods. They are then able to show that global crises or contagion are a feature of the 1990s which was hardly known in the previous era of globalization. Finally, the authors draw lessons for today from archival data on mechanisms used by British investors in the 19thcentury to address sovereign defaults. Using new qualitative and quantitative data, the authors skilfully apply a variety of approaches in order to better understand how problems of volatility and debt crises are dealt with in international financial markets.
Author : Laura Jaramillo
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455218987
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)
Download or read book Sovereign Credit Ratings and Spreads in Emerging Markets written by Laura Jaramillo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-03-01 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sovereign investment grade status is often associated with lower spreads in international markets. Using a panel framework for 35 emerging markets between 1997 and 2010, thispaper finds that investment grade status reduces spreads by 36 percent, above and beyond what is implied by macroeconomic fundamentals. This compares to a 5-10 percent reduction in spreads following upgrades within the investment grade asset class, and no impact formovements within the speculative grade asset class, ceteris paribus. While global financial conditions play a central role in determining spreads, market sentiment improves with lower external public debt to GDP levels and higher domestic growth rates.
Author : Mr.Emre Alper
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1463933770
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)
Download or read book Pricing of Sovereign Credit Risk written by Mr.Emre Alper and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the pricing of sovereign credit risk over the period 2008-2010 for selected advanced economies by examining two widely-used indicators: sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and relative asset swap (RAS) spreads. Cointegration analysis suggests the existence of an imperfect market arbitrage relationship between the cash (RAS) and the derivatives (CDS) markets, with price discovery taking place in the latter. Likewise, panel regressions aimed at uncovering the fundamental drivers of the two indicators show that the CDS market, although less liquid, has provided a better signal for sovereign credit risk during the period of the recent financial crisis.
Author : Delong Li
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513573411
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)
Download or read book The Long-Run Impact of Sovereign Yields on Corporate Yields in Emerging Markets written by Delong Li and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-06-04 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze the long-run impact of emerging-market sovereign bond yields on corporate bond yields, finding that the average pass-through is around one. The pass-through is larger in countries with greater sovereign risks and where sovereign bonds are more liquid. It is also greater for corporate bonds with lower ratings, shorter maturities, and for those issued by financial companies and government-related firms. Our results support theoretical arguments that corporate and sovereign yields are linked together through credit risks and liquidity premiums. Consequently, high sovereign risks may slowdown growth by persistently increasing private sector borrowing costs.
Author : Mr.Udaibir S. Das
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451961944
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)
Download or read book Sovereign Default Risk and Private Sector Access to Capital in Emerging Markets written by Mr.Udaibir S. Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Top down spillovers of sovereign default risk can have serious consequences for the private sector in emerging markets. This paper analyzes the effects of these spillovers using firm-level data from 31 emerging market economies. We assess how sovereign risk affects corporate access to international capital markets, in the form of external credit (loans and bond issuances) and equity issuances. The study first analyzes the impact of sovereign debt crises during the 1980s and 1990s. It goes on to examine the 1993 to 2007 period, using additional measures of sovereign risk-sovereign bond spreads and sovereign ratings-as explanatory variables. Overall, we find that sovereign default risk is a crucial determinant of private sector access to capital, be it external debt or equity. We also find that crisis resolution patterns matter and that defaults towards private creditors have stronger adverse consequences than defaults to official creditors.
Author : N. Finch
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137450665
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (374 download)
Download or read book Emerging Markets and Sovereign Risk written by N. Finch and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-12-09 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emerging Markets and Sovereign Risk provides case studies, commentary and analysis on the financial risk management and measurement in the context of frontier and developing counties from international experts covering three key areas of emerging market investments, the rating sovereign risk and managing sovereign risk.
Author : Roman Kräussl
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783831426102
Total Pages : 220 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (261 download)
Download or read book Sovereign Risk, Credit Ratings and the Recent Financial Crisis in Emerging Markets written by Roman Kräussl and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Andrea Deghi
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)
Download or read book The Sovereign-Bank Nexus in Emerging Markets in the Wake of the COVID-19 Pandemic written by Andrea Deghi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-11-11 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic has brought the relationship between sovereigns and banks—the so-called sovereign-bank nexus—in emerging market economies to the fore as bank holdings of domestic sovereign debt have surged. This paper examines the empirical relevance of this nexus to assess how it could amplify macro-financial stability risks. The findings show that an increase in sovereign credit risk can adversely affect banks’ balance sheets and credit supply, especially in countries with less-well-capitalized banking systems. Sovereign distress can also impact banks indirectly through the nonfinancial corporate sector by constraining their funding and reducing their capital expenditure. Notably, the effects on banks and corporates are strongly nonlinear in the size of the sovereign distress.
Author : Graciela Laura Kaminsky
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)
Download or read book Emerging Markets Instability written by Graciela Laura Kaminsky and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2001 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Changes in sovereign ratings affect country risk and stock returns. And these changes are transmitted across countries, with neighbor-country effects being more significant.
Author : Mr.Amine Mati
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451871171
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)
Download or read book Is it (Still) Mostly Fiscal? Determinants of Sovereign Spreads in Emerging Markets written by Mr.Amine Mati and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-11-01 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a panel of 30 emerging market economies from 1997 to 2007, this paper investigates the determinants of country risk premiums as measured by sovereign bond spreads. Unlike previous studies, the results indicate that both fiscal and political factors matter for credit risk in emerging markets. Lower levels of political risk are associated with tighter spreads, while efforts at fiscal consolidation narrow credit spreads, especially in countries that experienced prior defaults. The composition of fiscal policy matters: spending on public investment contributes to lower spreads as long as the fiscal position remains sustainable and the fiscal deficit does not worsen.
Author : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484359623
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)
Download or read book Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-07 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.
Author : Mr.Itai Agur
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484339223
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)
Download or read book On International Integration of Emerging Sovereign Bond Markets written by Mr.Itai Agur and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-01-25 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper investigates the international integration of EM sovereign dollar-denominated and local-currency bond markets. Factor analysis is used to examine movements in sovereign bond yields and common sources of yield variation. The results suggest that EM dollar-denominated sovereign debt markets are highly integrated; a single common factor that is highly correlated with US and EU interest rates explains, on average, about 80 percent of the total variability in yields. EM sovereign local currency bond markets are not as internationally integrated, and three common factors explain about 74 percent of the total variability. But a factor highly correlated with US and EU interest rates still explains 63 percent of the yield variation accounted for by common factors. That said, there is some diversity among EM countries in the importance of common factors in affecting sovereign debt yields.
Author : Mr.Amadou N. R. Sy
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781451858051
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (58 download)
Download or read book Emerging Market Bond Spreads and Sovereign Credit Ratings written by Mr.Amadou N. R. Sy and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2001-10-01 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses a panel data estimation of a simple univariate model of sovereign spreads on ratings to analyze statistically significant deviations from the estimated relationship. We find evidence of an asymmetric adjustment of spreads and ratings when such deviations are significant. In addition, the paper illustrates how significant disagreements between market and rating agencies' views can be used as a signal that further technical and sovereign analysis is warranted. For instance, we find that spreads were "excessively low" for most emerging markets before the Asian crisis. More recently, spreads were "excessively high" for a number of emerging markets.
Author : Ani Stoykova
Publisher : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN 13 : 3110648326
Total Pages : 102 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (16 download)
Download or read book SOUTHEAST EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS: DYNAMICS, RELATIONSHIP AND SOVEREIGN CREDIT RISK written by Ani Stoykova and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2019-05-15 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Important contribution of this book is testing the investors’ influence and accounting information on the Bulgarian capital markets and their relations with credit default swap spreads. Bulgarian capital market is a part of the SEE group countries and it is a developing country and in the process of its development, people and investors should learn more about risk, credit risk management, and their relation to the rules of the listed companies and agencies. Many factors may provoke a change in stock prices: financial and monetary policies, macroeconomic conditions, investors’ expectations and country’s sovereign credit risk. Accepting sovereign CDS spreads as measurements of investment expectations regarding the development of Bulgarian capital market, we review the role of accounting information in CDS pricing because the accounting data may help investors make the most effective decision. The aim will be accomplished by creating an empirical model, based on the theoretical ones, including a panel data approach, several accounting variables, which are expected to have an impact on CDS spreads.n this research, we analyze the joint movement of eleven financial markets of South East Europe (SEE) - Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Serbia, Slovenia, Turkey, Romania, Montenegro, Macedonia, Banja Luka and Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina) using correlation and regression analysis during the period 2005-2015. We reveal the role of investors’ expectations on the capital markets dynamics and sovereign credit risk in Bulgaria. Buy this book on degruyter.com“A href="https://www.degruyter.com/view/product/525145">https://www.degruyter.com/view/product/525145
Author : Marco S. Matsumura
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Analysis of Emerging Markets Sovereign Credit Spreads written by Marco S. Matsumura and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
