Political Fragility Coups Detat And Their Drivers

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Political Fragility: Coups D’État and Their Drivers

Author : Aliona Cebotari
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Political Fragility: Coups D’État and Their Drivers by : Aliona Cebotari

Download or read book Political Fragility: Coups D’État and Their Drivers written by Aliona Cebotari and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-02-16 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper explores the drivers of political fragility by focusing on coups d’état as symptomatic of such fragility. It uses event studies to identify factors that exhibit significantly different dynamics in the runup to coups, and machine learning to identify these stressors and more structural determinants of fragility—as well as their nonlinear interactions—that create an environment propitious to coups. The paper finds that the destabilization of a country’s economic, political or security environment—such as low growth, high inflation, weak external positions, political instability and conflict—set the stage for a higher likelihood of coups, with overlapping stressors amplifying each other. These stressors are more likely to lead to breakdowns in political systems when demographic pressures and underlying structural weaknesses (especially poverty, exclusion, and weak governance) are present or when policies are weaker, through complex interactions. Conversely, strengthened fundamentals and macropolicies have higher returns in structurally fragile environments in terms of staving off political breakdowns, suggesting that continued engagement by multilateral institutions and donors in fragile situations is likely to yield particularly high dividends. The model performs well in predicting coups out of sample, having predicted a high probability of most 2020-23 coups, including in the Sahel region.

The Democratic Coup D'état

Author : Ozan O. Varol
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 019062602X
Total Pages : 249 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (96 download)

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Book Synopsis The Democratic Coup D'état by : Ozan O. Varol

Download or read book The Democratic Coup D'état written by Ozan O. Varol and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2017 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The term coup d'état--French for stroke of the state--brings to mind coups staged by power-hungry generals who overthrow the existing regime, not to democratize, but to concentrate power in their own hands as dictators. We assume all coups look the same, smell the same, and present the same threats to democracy. It's a powerful, concise, and self-reinforcing idea. It's also wrong. In The Democratic Coup d'État, Ozan Varol advances a simple, yet controversial, argument: Sometimes, a democracy is established through a military coup. Covering events from the Athenian Navy's stance in 411 B.C. against a tyrannical home government, to coups in the American colonies that ousted corrupt British governors, to twentieth-century coups that toppled dictators and established democracy in countries as diverse as Guinea-Bissau, Portugal, and Colombia, the book takes the reader on a gripping journey. Connecting the dots between these neglected events, Varol weaves a balanced narrative that challenges everything we thought we knew about military coups. In so doing, he tackles several baffling questions: How can an event as undemocratic as a military coup lead to democracy? Why would imposing generals-armed with tanks and guns and all-voluntarily surrender power to civilian politicians? What distinguishes militaries that help build democracies from those that destroy them? Varol's arguments made headlines across the globe in major media outlets and were cited critically in a public speech by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Written for a general audience, this book will entertain, challenge, and provoke, but more importantly, serve as a reminder of the imperative to question the standard narratives about our world and engage with all ideas, no matter how controversial.

State Fragility

Author : Nematullah Bizhan
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1000683966
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (6 download)

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Book Synopsis State Fragility by : Nematullah Bizhan

Download or read book State Fragility written by Nematullah Bizhan and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2022-09-27 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presenting case studies and comparisons across seven countries, this book addresses key questions as to the nature of state fragility, policies used to mitigate it, assessment of outcomes and prospects. It offers a novel empirical contribution in examining a range of distinct but interdependent dimensions of state fragility, not only focusing on questions of state legitimacy, capacity and authority, but also involving the economy and resilience to political and economic shocks, as well as at vital questions of context and diversity. Examining Afghanistan, Lebanon, Burundi, Pakistan, Sierra Leone, Papua New Guinea and Rwanda within the context of their different local circumstances, and within broader questions of global security, the book identifies unique factors that have played a part in their specific context and explores key drivers and dominant features. This book will be of key interest to scholars and students of state fragility and more broadly to students of politics, public policy, development studies, state-society relations, political economy, state building, peace and conflict studies, international studies, security studies regional studies., as well as NGOs and international organizations.

States of Fragility 2022

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264901310
Total Pages : 113 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (649 download)

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Book Synopsis States of Fragility 2022 by : OECD

Download or read book States of Fragility 2022 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2022-09-19 with total page 113 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The report outlines the state of fragility in 2022, reviews current responses to it, and presents options to guide better policies for better lives in fragile contexts.

Small Arms, Crime and Conflict

Author : Owen Greene
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136652477
Total Pages : 321 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (366 download)

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Book Synopsis Small Arms, Crime and Conflict by : Owen Greene

Download or read book Small Arms, Crime and Conflict written by Owen Greene and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-07-03 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book critically examines the nexus between arms availability and armed violence.

How Democracies Die

Author : Steven Levitsky
Publisher : Crown
ISBN 13 : 1524762946
Total Pages : 321 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (247 download)

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Book Synopsis How Democracies Die by : Steven Levitsky

Download or read book How Democracies Die written by Steven Levitsky and published by Crown. This book was released on 2019-01-08 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • “Comprehensive, enlightening, and terrifyingly timely.”—The New York Times Book Review (Editors' Choice) WINNER OF THE GOLDSMITH BOOK PRIZE • SHORTLISTED FOR THE LIONEL GELBER PRIZE • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY The Washington Post • Time • Foreign Affairs • WBUR • Paste Donald Trump’s presidency has raised a question that many of us never thought we’d be asking: Is our democracy in danger? Harvard professors Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt have spent more than twenty years studying the breakdown of democracies in Europe and Latin America, and they believe the answer is yes. Democracy no longer ends with a bang—in a revolution or military coup—but with a whimper: the slow, steady weakening of critical institutions, such as the judiciary and the press, and the gradual erosion of long-standing political norms. The good news is that there are several exit ramps on the road to authoritarianism. The bad news is that, by electing Trump, we have already passed the first one. Drawing on decades of research and a wide range of historical and global examples, from 1930s Europe to contemporary Hungary, Turkey, and Venezuela, to the American South during Jim Crow, Levitsky and Ziblatt show how democracies die—and how ours can be saved. Praise for How Democracies Die “What we desperately need is a sober, dispassionate look at the current state of affairs. Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt, two of the most respected scholars in the field of democracy studies, offer just that.”—The Washington Post “Where Levitsky and Ziblatt make their mark is in weaving together political science and historical analysis of both domestic and international democratic crises; in doing so, they expand the conversation beyond Trump and before him, to other countries and to the deep structure of American democracy and politics.”—Ezra Klein, Vox “If you only read one book for the rest of the year, read How Democracies Die. . . .This is not a book for just Democrats or Republicans. It is a book for all Americans. It is nonpartisan. It is fact based. It is deeply rooted in history. . . . The best commentary on our politics, no contest.”—Michael Morrell, former Acting Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (via Twitter) “A smart and deeply informed book about the ways in which democracy is being undermined in dozens of countries around the world, and in ways that are perfectly legal.”—Fareed Zakaria, CNN

Governance and Political Adaptation in Fragile States

Author : John Idriss Lahai
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319907492
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Governance and Political Adaptation in Fragile States by : John Idriss Lahai

Download or read book Governance and Political Adaptation in Fragile States written by John Idriss Lahai and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-07-21 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book examines the various ways that fragile states (or states with limited statehood) in Africa, Asia, the Pacific, and the Americas have adopted, and adapted to, the processes of liberal political governance in their quests to address the problem of political fragility. It presents the stories of resilience in the political adaptation to Western liberal conceptions of governance. In addition to singular or comparative country case studies, this project also examines the interplay of culture, identities, and politics in the creation of people-centric governance reforms. Towards these ends, this volume sheds light on weak states’ often constructive engagement in the promotion of state governance with a variety of political conditions, adverse or otherwise; and their ability to remain resilient despite the complex political, sociocultural, and economic challenges affecting them. Through a multidisciplinary approach, the authors aim to counter the noticeable shortcomings in the discursive representations of fragility, and to contribute a more balanced examination of the narratives about and impact of political adaption and governance in people’s lives and experiences.

Historical Dictionary of Modern Coups d'état

Author : John J. Chin
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 1538120682
Total Pages : 1501 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (381 download)

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Book Synopsis Historical Dictionary of Modern Coups d'état by : John J. Chin

Download or read book Historical Dictionary of Modern Coups d'état written by John J. Chin and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2022-12-13 with total page 1501 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “For readers interested in international relations, politics, and global issues.” -Library Journal, Starred Review The Historical Dictionary of Modern Coups d’état surveys the history of coups d’état in the post-World War II period. The term “modern” in the title therefore demarcates the period since January 1946. This book documents over 582 coup attempts that have occurred in 108 different countries worldwide over a period of 75 years. Historical Dictionary of Modern Coups d'état contains a chronology, an introduction, and an extensive bibliography. The dictionary section has more than 1,400 cross-referenced dictionary entries. This book is an excellent resource for students, and researchers.

Comparative Politics

Author : Paul W. Zagorski
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135969809
Total Pages : 637 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (359 download)

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Book Synopsis Comparative Politics by : Paul W. Zagorski

Download or read book Comparative Politics written by Paul W. Zagorski and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-09-10 with total page 637 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Comparative Politics: Continuity and Breakdown in the Contemporary World is an exciting new core text for introduction to comparative politics courses, focusing on the dynamics of politics: modernization, revolution, coups and democratization. Unlike other texts, Comparative Politics integrates thematic and extensive country-specific material in each chapter, striking a unique balance between discussing a wide range of countries and civilizations in detail, whilst using shorter focused textboxes to clearly illustrate key thematic points. Key features and benefits include: explanations of core concepts such as state, nation, regime, legitimacy, modernization, globalization, revolution, and mass movements an introduction of key theoretical approaches such as institutionalism, structural functionalism, political culture, political economy, and game theory detailed coverage of democratization, advanced democracies, developing countries and communist and post-communist states a range of perspectives to present a nuanced view of the discipline and contemporary political developments case studies of individual countries including Germany, the United States, Russia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Nigeria, Zaire/Congo, South Africa, Brazil, Argentina, Peru, Pakistan, India, Japan, Indonesia, Taiwan, and the People’s Republic of China country-focused textboxes giving a chronology of key developments, including the United Kingdom, France, Afghanistan, and Kosovo. Extensively illustrated throughout with maps, photographs, tables and explanatory boxes, Comparative Politics is an innovative core text, and essential reading for all students of Comparative Politics.

Conflict and Fragility Preventing Violence, War and State Collapse The Future of Conflict Early Warning and Response

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264059814
Total Pages : 134 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (64 download)

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Book Synopsis Conflict and Fragility Preventing Violence, War and State Collapse The Future of Conflict Early Warning and Response by : OECD

Download or read book Conflict and Fragility Preventing Violence, War and State Collapse The Future of Conflict Early Warning and Response written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2009-02-19 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on literature review and inputs from surveyed agencies, this book assesses the value and role of early warning for the prevention of violent conflict and identifies the most effective systems.

Human Rights

Author : Gordon DiGiacomo
Publisher : University of Toronto Press
ISBN 13 : 1442609567
Total Pages : 561 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (426 download)

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Book Synopsis Human Rights by : Gordon DiGiacomo

Download or read book Human Rights written by Gordon DiGiacomo and published by University of Toronto Press. This book was released on 2016-02-10 with total page 561 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written largely by Canadian scholars for Canadian readers, this overview of contemporary human rights concerns introduces the human rights instruments—provincial, national, and international—which protect Canadians. The volume begins with an outline of the history of human rights before moving on to discuss such important topics as the relationship between political institutions and rights protection, rights issues pertaining to specific communities, and cross-cutting rights issues that affect most or all citizens. Contemporary and comprehensive, Human Rights: Current Issues and Controversies is a valuable resource for anyone interested in learning more about human rights.

Avoid a Fall Or Fly Again: Turning Points of State Fragility

Author : Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513573683
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Avoid a Fall Or Fly Again: Turning Points of State Fragility by : Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi

Download or read book Avoid a Fall Or Fly Again: Turning Points of State Fragility written by Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-06 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: High persistence of state fragility (a fragility trap) suggests the presence of substantial benefits from avoiding a fall into fragility and considerable hurdles to successful exit from fragility. This paper empirically examines the factors that affect the turning points of entering and exiting from state fragility by employing three different approaches: an event study, the synthetic control method, and a logit model. We find that avoiding economic contraction is critical to prevent a country on the brink of fragility from falling into fragility (e.g., among near fragile countries, the probability of entering fragility would rise by 40 percentage points should real GDP per capita growth decline from +2.5 percent to -2.5 percent). Also, strengthening government effectiveness together with increasing political inclusion and maintaining robust economic activity should help make exit from fragility more successful and sustainable. In the current environment (the COVID-19 crisis and its aftermath), the findings suggest the importance of providing well-directed fiscal stimulus with sufficient financing, (subject to appropriate governance safeguards and well-designed policies), and protecting critical socio-economic spending to keep vulnerable countries away from being caught in a fragility trap.

How Democracies Live

Author : Stein Ringen
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226819124
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (268 download)

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Book Synopsis How Democracies Live by : Stein Ringen

Download or read book How Democracies Live written by Stein Ringen and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2022-05-06 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Preface: We Need Democracy -- The Problem of Power -- The Problem of Statecraft -- The Problem of Freedom -- The Problem of Poverty -- The Problem of Democracy -- Postscript: We Need to Talk about Democracy.

Military Coups in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author : Staffan Wiking
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 154 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Military Coups in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Staffan Wiking

Download or read book Military Coups in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Staffan Wiking and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a comparative study of military coups between 1958 and 1980. Africa south of the Sahara. It also provides background information on the causes of some refugee exoduses, for example, from Zaire, Sudan, Burundi, Rwanda and Uganda. There are three parts. The first deals with different theories concerning 'coups d'état' on a general level. The second part is an empirical review concentrating on the justifications given by military leaders immediately after their interventions. The third part analyses the attempts by the military to explain their involvement in politics. The author concludes that military coups rarely take place during periods of social unrest and that the military are very sensitive to civilian intrusion into what they regard as primarily military business.

Coup d'État

Author : Edward N. Luttwak
Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 0674969650
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (749 download)

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Book Synopsis Coup d'État by : Edward N. Luttwak

Download or read book Coup d'État written by Edward N. Luttwak and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2016-04-11 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Edward Luttwak’s shocking 1968 handbook showed, step-by-step, how governments could be overthrown and inspired anti-coup precautions around the world. In addition to these instructions, his revised handbook offers a new way of looking at political power—one that considers the vulnerability of stable democracies after prolonged economic distress.

West Africa

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 820 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis West Africa by :

Download or read book West Africa written by and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 820 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Advancing Stability and Reconciliation in Guinea-Bissau

Author : Africa Strategic Africa Strategic Studies Institute (U.S.)
Publisher : Government Printing Office
ISBN 13 : 9780160937101
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (371 download)

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Book Synopsis Advancing Stability and Reconciliation in Guinea-Bissau by : Africa Strategic Africa Strategic Studies Institute (U.S.)

Download or read book Advancing Stability and Reconciliation in Guinea-Bissau written by Africa Strategic Africa Strategic Studies Institute (U.S.) and published by Government Printing Office. This book was released on 2013-06-30 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report takes an in-depth look at how the global drug trade has turned the West African nation into a crossroads of instability. Over the past decade, interdiction efforts in the Americas coupled with strong market forces in Europe have resulted in a growing transit of cocaine and other narcotics from Latin America across the Atlantic to West Africa and then into Europe. The report identifies three inter-woven trends that have contributed significantly to Guinea-Bissau's crises: First, a significant deterioration in civil-military relations over the last decade has led to increased political meddling by military officers, fragmentation within the security forces, and a sharp decline in military professionalism, according to the report. Second, a disproportionate concentration of power residing in the presidency has led to intense and oftentimes unproductive competition for control over the Office of the President. Finally, the rise of the narcotics trade in Guinea-Bissau has exacerbated many of the country's governance problems. "[T]he drug trade has amplified the level of instability in the country and refutes the common assumption that transshipment of drugs has a benign effect on the transited country." These events have directly contributed to instability in Senegal, Guinea, Liberia, Mali, Mauritania, Nigeria, and elsewhere in Africa. Meanwhile, emerging ethnic tensions, especially within the military, have complicated the country's cycle of crises. The report provides detailed recommendations for how to address Guinea-Bissau's complex challenges. The challenges faced by Guinea-Bissau, and the policies and strategies developed to address those challenges, provide valuable lessons for dealing with the challenges of narco-states emerging elsewhere on the continent.