Panel Markov-switching Models of Economic Phenomena

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 382 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Panel Markov-switching Models of Economic Phenomena by : Paul Victor Hamilton

Download or read book Panel Markov-switching Models of Economic Phenomena written by Paul Victor Hamilton and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 382 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Advances in Markov-Switching Models

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642511821
Total Pages : 267 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Markov-Switching Models by : James D. Hamilton

Download or read book Advances in Markov-Switching Models written by James D. Hamilton and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 267 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a collection of state-of-the-art papers on the properties of business cycles and financial analysis. The individual contributions cover new advances in Markov-switching models with applications to business cycle research and finance. The introduction surveys the existing methods and new results of the last decade. Individual chapters study features of the U. S. and European business cycles with particular focus on the role of monetary policy, oil shocks and co movements among key variables. The short-run versus long-run consequences of an economic recession are also discussed. Another area that is featured is an extensive analysis of currency crises and the possibility of bubbles or fads in stock prices. A concluding chapter offers useful new results on testing for this kind of regime-switching behaviour. Overall, the book provides a state-of-the-art over view of new directions in methods and results for estimation and inference based on the use of Markov-switching time-series analysis. A special feature of the book is that it includes an illustration of a wide range of applications based on a common methodology. It is expected that the theme of the book will be of particular interest to the macroeconomics readers as well as econometrics professionals, scholars and graduate students. We wish to express our gratitude to the authors for their strong contributions and the reviewers for their assistance and careful attention to detail in their reports.

Hidden Markov Models

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1402078994
Total Pages : 167 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Hidden Markov Models by : Ramaprasad Bhar

Download or read book Hidden Markov Models written by Ramaprasad Bhar and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2004-07-20 with total page 167 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Markov chains have increasingly become useful way of capturing stochastic nature of many economic and financial variables. Although the hidden Markov processes have been widely employed for some time in many engineering applications e.g. speech recognition, its effectiveness has now been recognized in areas of social science research as well. The main aim of Hidden Markov Models: Applications to Financial Economics is to make such techniques available to more researchers in financial economics. As such we only cover the necessary theoretical aspects in each chapter while focusing on real life applications using contemporary data mainly from OECD group of countries. The underlying assumption here is that the researchers in financial economics would be familiar with such application although empirical techniques would be more traditional econometrics. Keeping the application level in a more familiar level, we focus on the methodology based on hidden Markov processes. This will, we believe, help the reader to develop more in-depth understanding of the modeling issues thereby benefiting their future research.

Estimating and Testing Markov Switching Models with Economic and Financial Applications

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Publisher : Ann Arbor, Mich. : University Microfilms International
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating and Testing Markov Switching Models with Economic and Financial Applications by : René Garcia

Download or read book Estimating and Testing Markov Switching Models with Economic and Financial Applications written by René Garcia and published by Ann Arbor, Mich. : University Microfilms International. This book was released on 1992 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Reconnecting the Markov Switching Model with Economic Fundamentals

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (535 download)

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Book Synopsis Reconnecting the Markov Switching Model with Economic Fundamentals by : Ulf G. Erlandsson

Download or read book Reconnecting the Markov Switching Model with Economic Fundamentals written by Ulf G. Erlandsson and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Granger-Causality in Markov Switching Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Granger-Causality in Markov Switching Models by : Monica Billio

Download or read book Granger-Causality in Markov Switching Models written by Monica Billio and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we propose a new parametrisation of transition probabilities that allows us to characterize and test Granger-causality in Markov switching models by means of an appropriate specification of the transition matrix. Test for independence are also provided. We illustrate our methodology with an empirical application. In particular, we investigate the causality and interdependence between financial and economic cycles using a bivariate Markov switching model. When applied to U.S. data, we find that financial variables are useful for forecasting the direction of aggregate economic activity, and vice versa.

Panel Data Econometrics

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128158603
Total Pages : 1011 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Panel Data Econometrics by : Mike Tsionas

Download or read book Panel Data Econometrics written by Mike Tsionas and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2019-06-20 with total page 1011 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Panel Data Econometrics: Empirical Applications introduces econometric modelling. Written by experts from diverse disciplines, the volume uses longitudinal datasets to illuminate applications for a variety of fields, such as banking, financial markets, tourism and transportation, auctions, and experimental economics. Contributors emphasize techniques and applications, and they accompany their explanations with case studies, empirical exercises and supplementary code in R. They also address panel data analysis in the context of productivity and efficiency analysis, where some of the most interesting applications and advancements have recently been made. Provides a vast array of empirical applications useful to practitioners from different application environments Accompanied by extensive case studies and empirical exercises Includes empirical chapters accompanied by supplementary code in R, helping researchers replicate findings Represents an accessible resource for diverse industries, including health, transportation, tourism, economic growth, and banking, where researchers are not always econometrics experts

MIDAS Versus Mixed-frequency VAR

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783865585097
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis MIDAS Versus Mixed-frequency VAR by : Vladimir Kuzin

Download or read book MIDAS Versus Mixed-frequency VAR written by Vladimir Kuzin and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressions

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 364251684X
Total Pages : 369 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressions by : Hans-Martin Krolzig

Download or read book Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressions written by Hans-Martin Krolzig and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contributes to re cent developments on the statistical analysis of multiple time series in the presence of regime shifts. Markov-switching models have become popular for modelling non-linearities and regime shifts, mainly, in univariate eco nomic time series. This study is intended to provide a systematic and operational ap proach to the econometric modelling of dynamic systems subject to shifts in regime, based on the Markov-switching vector autoregressive model. The study presents a comprehensive analysis of the theoretical properties of Markov-switching vector autoregressive processes and the related statistical methods. The statistical concepts are illustrated with applications to empirical business cyde research. This monograph is a revised version of my dissertation which has been accepted by the Economics Department of the Humboldt-University of Berlin in 1996. It con sists mainly of unpublished material which has been presented during the last years at conferences and in seminars. The major parts of this study were written while I was supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschajt (DFG), Berliner Graduier tenkolleg Angewandte Mikroökonomik and Sondeiforschungsbereich 373 at the Free University and Humboldt-University of Berlin. Work was finally completed in the project The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Forecasting founded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) at the Institute of Economies and Statistics, University of Oxford. It is a pleasure to record my thanks to these institutions for their support of my research embodied in this study.

Panel Data Econometrics

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128144319
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Panel Data Econometrics by : Mike Tsionas

Download or read book Panel Data Econometrics written by Mike Tsionas and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2019-06-19 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Panel Data Econometrics: Theory introduces econometric modelling. Written by experts from diverse disciplines, the volume uses longitudinal datasets to illuminate applications for a variety of fields, such as banking, financial markets, tourism and transportation, auctions, and experimental economics. Contributors emphasize techniques and applications, and they accompany their explanations with case studies, empirical exercises and supplementary code in R. They also address panel data analysis in the context of productivity and efficiency analysis, where some of the most interesting applications and advancements have recently been made. Provides a vast array of empirical applications useful to practitioners from different application environments Accompanied by extensive case studies and empirical exercises Includes empirical chapters accompanied by supplementary code in R, helping researchers replicate findings Represents an accessible resource for diverse industries, including health, transportation, tourism, economic growth, and banking, where researchers are not always econometrics experts

Multifractal Volatility

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0080559964
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Multifractal Volatility by : Laurent E. Calvet

Download or read book Multifractal Volatility written by Laurent E. Calvet and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2008-10-13 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Calvet and Fisher present a powerful, new technique for volatility forecasting that draws on insights from the use of multifractals in the natural sciences and mathematics and provides a unified treatment of the use of multifractal techniques in finance. A large existing literature (e.g., Engle, 1982; Rossi, 1995) models volatility as an average of past shocks, possibly with a noise component. This approach often has difficulty capturing sharp discontinuities and large changes in financial volatility. Their research has shown the advantages of modelling volatility as subject to abrupt regime changes of heterogeneous durations. Using the intuition that some economic phenomena are long-lasting while others are more transient, they permit regimes to have varying degrees of persistence. By drawing on insights from the use of multifractals in the natural sciences and mathematics, they show how to construct high-dimensional regime-switching models that are easy to estimate, and substantially outperform some of the best traditional forecasting models such as GARCH. The goal of Multifractal Volatility is to popularize the approach by presenting these exciting new developments to a wider audience. They emphasize both theoretical and empirical applications, beginning with a style that is easily accessible and intuitive in early chapters, and extending to the most rigorous continuous-time and equilibrium pricing formulations in final chapters. Presents a powerful new technique for forecasting volatility Leads the reader intuitively from existing volatility techniques to the frontier of research in this field by top scholars at major universities The first comprehensive book on multifractal techniques in finance, a cutting-edge field of research

Journal of Economic Literature

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 448 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Journal of Economic Literature by :

Download or read book Journal of Economic Literature written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128134100
Total Pages : 435 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications by : Massimo Guidolin

Download or read book Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications written by Massimo Guidolin and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2018-05-29 with total page 435 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications serves as an agile reference for upper level students and practitioners who desire a formal, easy-to-follow introduction to the most important time series methods applied in financial applications (pricing, asset management, quant strategies, and risk management). Real-life data and examples developed with EViews illustrate the links between the formal apparatus and the applications. The examples either directly exploit the tools that EViews makes available or use programs that by employing EViews implement specific topics or techniques. The book balances a formal framework with as few proofs as possible against many examples that support its central ideas. Boxes are used throughout to remind readers of technical aspects and definitions and to present examples in a compact fashion, with full details (workout files) available in an on-line appendix. The more advanced chapters provide discussion sections that refer to more advanced textbooks or detailed proofs. Provides practical, hands-on examples in time-series econometrics Presents a more application-oriented, less technical book on financial econometrics Offers rigorous coverage, including technical aspects and references for the proofs, despite being an introduction Features examples worked out in EViews (9 or higher)

Dissertation Abstracts International

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 734 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Dissertation Abstracts International by :

Download or read book Dissertation Abstracts International written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 734 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

State-space Models with Regime Switching

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Publisher : Mit Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262112383
Total Pages : 297 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (123 download)

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Book Synopsis State-space Models with Regime Switching by : Chang-Jin Kim

Download or read book State-space Models with Regime Switching written by Chang-Jin Kim and published by Mit Press. This book was released on 1999 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both state-space models and Markov switching models have been highly productive paths for empirical research in macroeconomics and finance. This book presents recent advances in econometric methods that make feasible the estimation of models that have both features. One approach, in the classical framework, approximates the likelihood function; the other, in the Bayesian framework, uses Gibbs-sampling to simulate posterior distributions from data.The authors present numerous applications of these approaches in detail: decomposition of time series into trend and cycle, a new index of coincident economic indicators, approaches to modeling monetary policy uncertainty, Friedman's "plucking" model of recessions, the detection of turning points in the business cycle and the question of whether booms and recessions are duration-dependent, state-space models with heteroskedastic disturbances, fads and crashes in financial markets, long-run real exchange rates, and mean reversion in asset returns.

The Econometrics of Sequential Trade Models

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 364217115X
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (421 download)

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Book Synopsis The Econometrics of Sequential Trade Models by : Stefan Kokot

Download or read book The Econometrics of Sequential Trade Models written by Stefan Kokot and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-08-27 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present study has been accepted as a doctoral thesis by the Depart ment of Economics of the Johann Wolfgang Goethe-University in Frankfurt am Main. It grew out from my five year long participation in two research projects, "Econometric analysis of transaction intensity and volatility on fi nancial markets", and "Microstructure on financial markets", that were both conducted by the chair of Statistics and Econometrics (Empirical Economic Research) at the Department of Economics and Business Administration, Jo hann Wolfgang Goethe-University in Frankfurt am Main and financed by the state of Hessen. During this time I have benefitted from many people. First and foremost I would like to thank my thesis supervisor, Prof. Dr. Reinhard Hujer, for initiating and supporting my studies with great encouragement. I am also very grateful to Prof. Dr. Christian Schlag for acting as the second thesis supervisor. Furthermore, I wish to thank Prof. Dr. Joachim Grammig who introduced me to the topics covered in this study in the first place and helped me to sharpen my views on econometrics and financial market microstructure theory through many discussions and also through his willingness to work with me on several related studies.

Financial Risk Management with Bayesian Estimation of GARCH Models

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540786570
Total Pages : 206 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Risk Management with Bayesian Estimation of GARCH Models by : David Ardia

Download or read book Financial Risk Management with Bayesian Estimation of GARCH Models written by David Ardia and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-05-08 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents in detail methodologies for the Bayesian estimation of sing- regime and regime-switching GARCH models. These models are widespread and essential tools in n ancial econometrics and have, until recently, mainly been estimated using the classical Maximum Likelihood technique. As this study aims to demonstrate, the Bayesian approach o ers an attractive alternative which enables small sample results, robust estimation, model discrimination and probabilistic statements on nonlinear functions of the model parameters. The author is indebted to numerous individuals for help in the preparation of this study. Primarily, I owe a great debt to Prof. Dr. Philippe J. Deschamps who inspired me to study Bayesian econometrics, suggested the subject, guided me under his supervision and encouraged my research. I would also like to thank Prof. Dr. Martin Wallmeier and my colleagues of the Department of Quantitative Economics, in particular Michael Beer, Roberto Cerratti and Gilles Kaltenrieder, for their useful comments and discussions. I am very indebted to my friends Carlos Ord as Criado, Julien A. Straubhaar, J er ^ ome Ph. A. Taillard and Mathieu Vuilleumier, for their support in the elds of economics, mathematics and statistics. Thanks also to my friend Kevin Barnes who helped with my English in this work. Finally, I am greatly indebted to my parents and grandparents for their support and encouragement while I was struggling with the writing of this thesis.