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Author : Chan G. Huh
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Output, Money and Price Correlations in a Real Business Cycle Model written by Chan G. Huh and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Chan G. HUH
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (119 download)
Download or read book OUTPUT, MONEY AND PRICE CORRELATIONS IN A REAL BUSINESS CYCLES MODEL written by Chan G. HUH and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Robert Graham King
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 122 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)
Download or read book Money, Prices, Interest Rates and the Business Cycle written by Robert Graham King and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Mr.Pau Rabanal
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451875657
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)
Download or read book Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations written by Mr.Pau Rabanal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-12-01 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the strong positive comovement between output and labor input measures.
Author : Finn E. Kydland
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 556 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (126 download)
Download or read book Business Cycle Theory written by Finn E. Kydland and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1995 with total page 556 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is a collection of key articles on modern business cycle theory. Fundamental to business cycle theory is the estimation of the role played by different impulses or shocks for aggregate fluctuations, and identifying the mechanisms by which these impulses propagate over time to create the cycles we observe. Business Cycles Theory is divided into three parts. Part I deals with issues of measurement and methodology and describes empirical business cycle regularities. Parts II and III centre around the study of real and nominal shocks and impulses.
Author : Ms.Valerie Cerra
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513536990
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)
Download or read book Hysteresis and Business Cycles written by Ms.Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-05-29 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.
Author : Victor Zarnowitz
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226978907
Total Pages : 614 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (269 download)
Download or read book Business Cycles written by Victor Zarnowitz and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 1992-06-15 with total page 614 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Victor Zarnowitz has long been a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting. These papers represent a carefully integrated and up-to-date study of business cycles, reexamining some of his earlier research as well as addressing recent developments in the literature and in history. In part one, Zarnowitz reviews with characteristic insight various theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories as well as more recent rational expectations and real business cycle theories. In doing so, he examines how the business cycle may have changed as the size of government, the exercise of fiscal and monetary policies, the openness of the economy to international forces, and the industrial structure have evolved over time. Emphasizing important research from the 1980s, Zarnowitz discusses in part two various measures of the trends and cycles in economic activity, including output, prices, inventories, investment in residential and nonresidential structures, equipment, and other economic variables. Here the author explores the duration and severity of U.S. business cycles over more than 150 years, and evaluates the ability of macro models to simulate past behavior of the economy. In part three the performance of leading, coincident, and lagging indicators is described and assessed and evidence is presented on the value of their composite measures. Finally, part four offers an analysis of the degree of success of large commercial forecasting firms and of many individual economists in predicting the course of inflation, real growth, unemployment, interest rates, and other key economic variables. Business Cycles is a timely study, certain tobecome a basic reference for professional forecasters and economists in government, academia, and the business community.
Author : Robert Miguel W. K. Kollman
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145185062X
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)
Download or read book Explaining International Comovements of Output and Asset Returns written by Robert Miguel W. K. Kollman and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-06-01 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Empirically, output and asset returns are highly positively correlated across the United States and the other major industrialized countries. Standard business cycle models that assume flexible prices and wages, in the Real Business Cycle tradition, have great difficulties explaining this fact. This paper presents a dynamic-optimizing stochastic general equilibrium model of a two-country world with sticky nominal prices and wages and a flexible exchange rate. The structure here predicts positive international transmission of country-specific monetary policy and technology shocks, and it generates sizable cross-country correlations of output and of asset returns.
Author : Qazi Haque
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3656909806
Total Pages : 86 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (569 download)
Download or read book The Role of Monetary Shocks in the U.S. Business Cycle written by Qazi Haque and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2015-03-02 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bachelor Thesis from the year 2013 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: First Class Honours, The University of Adelaide, language: English, abstract: The purpose of this study is to illustrate how the basic Real Business Cycle (RBC) model can be modified to incorporate money in an attempt to construct monetary business cycle models of the U.S. economy. This is done for one case where money enters the model as direct lump-sum transfers to households and for the other case where money injections enter the economy through the financial system. Interestingly, the two channels generate very different responses to a money growth shock. In the first case, a positive money growth shock increases nominal interest rates and depresses economic activity, which is called the anticipated inflation effect. However, the popular consensus among economists is that nominal interest rates fall after a positive monetary shock. This motivates the construction of our second model where it is conjectured that the banking sector plays an important role in the monetary transmission mechanism and money is injected into the model through financial intermediaries. It is observed in this model that a positive monetary shock reduces interest rates and stimulates economic activity, which is called the liquidity effect. Furthermore, the statistics generated by the models show that monetary shocks have no effect on real variables when money enters as direct lump-sum transfers to households. On the contrary, such shocks have significant real impact when money enters through the financial system. Taken together, this implies that how money enters into the model significantly matters for the impact of monetary shocks and such shocks entering through financial intermediaries may be important in determining the cyclical fluctuations of the U.S. economy.
Author : Raphael Bergoeing
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Testing Real Business Cycles Models in an Emerging Economy written by Raphael Bergoeing and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Robert Kollmann
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)
Download or read book Explaining International Comovements of Output and Asset Returns written by Robert Kollmann and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Output and asset returns are highly positively correlated across the U.S. and the remaining major industrialized countries. Standard business cycle models that assume flexible prices and wages, in the Real Business Cycle (RBC) tradition, have great difficulties explaining this fact. This paper presents a dynamic-optimizing stochastic general equilibrium model of a two-country world with sticky nominal prices and wages. In RBC models, money supply shocks have a negligible effect on real variables. This changes when nominal rigidities are assumed. The nominal rigidities model here predicts that an exogenous money supply increase, in a given country, induces a sizable rise in that country's output, consumption and investment, a fall in its interest rate, as well as a nominal and real depreciation of its currency. Foreign output, consumption and investment are likewise predicted to rise. Nominal rigidities influence also the response of the economy to productivity shocks: in the nominal rigidities structure here, these shocks induce output responses that are much more strongly positively correlated across countries, than predicted responses to productivity shocks generated by standard RBC models. The structure here generates thus cross-country correlations of output (and of aset returns) that are markedly higher, and hence closer to the data, than the correlations that obtain under flexible prices and wages. monetary policy, asset returns.
Author : Jonathan Michie
Publisher : Burns & Oates
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Wages in the Business Cycle written by Jonathan Michie and published by Burns & Oates. This book was released on 1987 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Wouter J. Den Haan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book The Comovements Between Real Activity and Prices at Different Business Cycle Frequencies written by Wouter J. Den Haan and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, I present two different methods that can be used to obtain a concise set of descriptive results about the comovement of variables. The statistics are easy to interpret and capture important information about the dynamics in the system that would be lost if one focused only on the unconditional correlation coefficient of detrended data. The methods do not require assumptions about the order of integration. That is, the methods can be used for stationary as well as integrated processes. They do not require the types of assumptions needed for VAR decompositions either. Both methods give similar results. In the postwar period, the comovement between output and prices is positive in the During the same period, the comovement between hours and real wages is negative in the that a model in which demand shocks dominate in the short run and supply shocks dominate in the long run can explain the empirical results, while standard sticky-price models with only demand shocks cannot.
Author : M.T. Belongia
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401129568
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (11 download)
Download or read book The Business Cycle: Theories and Evidence written by M.T. Belongia and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These proceedings, from a conference held at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on October 17-18, 1991, attempted to layout what we currently know about aggregate economic fluctuations. Identifying what we know inevitably reveals what we do not know about such fluctuations as well. From the vantage point of where the conference's participants view our current understanding to be, these proceedings can be seen as suggesting an agenda for further research. The conference was divided into five sections. It began with the formu lation of an empirical definition of the "business cycle" and a recitation of the stylized facts that must be explained by any theory that purports to capture the business cycle's essence. After outlining the historical develop ment and key features of the current "theories" of business cycles, the conference evaluated these theories on the basis of their ability to explain the facts. Included in this evaluation was a discussion of whether (and how) the competing theories could be distinguished empirically. The conference then examined the implications for policy of what is known and not known about business cycles. A panel discussion closed the conference, high lighting important unresolved theoretical and empirical issues that should be taken up in future business cycle research. What Is a Business Cycle? Before gaining a genuine understanding of business cycles, economists must agree and be clear about what they mean when they refer to the cycle.
Author : Chan Guk Huh
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (267 download)
Download or read book Causality and Correlations of Output and Nominal Variables in a Real Business Cycle Model written by Chan Guk Huh and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Jeffrey A. Miron
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262133234
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (332 download)
Download or read book The Economics of Seasonal Cycles written by Jeffrey A. Miron and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1996 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Focuses on economic rather than purely statistical issues, looking at which of the alternative statistical models of seasonality are plausible for economic variables, and asking why seasonal fluctuations in economic variables require special treatment relative to other kinds of fluctuations.
Author : Thomas F. Cooley
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780691043234
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (432 download)
Download or read book Frontiers of Business Cycle Research written by Thomas F. Cooley and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 1995-02-26 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t
