Optimal Monetary Policy in a Micro-founded Model with Parameter Uncertainty

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Optimal Monetary Policy in a Micro-founded Model with Parameter Uncertainty by : Takeshi Kimura

Download or read book Optimal Monetary Policy in a Micro-founded Model with Parameter Uncertainty written by Takeshi Kimura and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498324584
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality by : Jonathan Benchimol

Download or read book Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality written by Jonathan Benchimol and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-08-02 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The form of bounded rationality characterizing the representative agent is key in the choice of the optimal monetary policy regime. While inflation targeting prevails for myopia that distorts agents' inflation expectations, price level targeting emerges as the optimal policy under myopia regarding the output gap, revenue, or interest rate. To the extent that bygones are not bygones under price level targeting, rational inflation expectations is a minimal condition for optimality in a behavioral world. Instrument rules implementation of this optimal policy is shown to be infeasible, questioning the ability of simple rules à la Taylor (1993) to assist the conduct of monetary policy. Bounded rationality is not necessarily associated with welfare losses.

Designing a Simple Loss Function for Central Banks

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484311752
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Designing a Simple Loss Function for Central Banks by : Davide Debortoli

Download or read book Designing a Simple Loss Function for Central Banks written by Davide Debortoli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-07-21 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Yes, it makes a lot of sense. This paper studies how to design simple loss functions for central banks, as parsimonious approximations to social welfare. We show, both analytically and quantitatively, that simple loss functions should feature a high weight on measures of economic activity, sometimes even larger than the weight on inflation. Two main factors drive our result. First, stabilizing economic activity also stabilizes other welfare relevant variables. Second, the estimated model features mitigated inflation distortions due to a low elasticity of substitution between monopolistic goods and a low interest rate sensitivity of demand. The result holds up in the presence of measurement errors, with large shocks that generate a trade-off between stabilizing inflation and resource utilization, and also when ensuring a low probability of hitting the zero lower bound on interest rates.

Welfare-maximizing Monetary Policy Under Parameter Uncertainty

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 78 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Welfare-maximizing Monetary Policy Under Parameter Uncertainty by : Rochelle Mary Edge

Download or read book Welfare-maximizing Monetary Policy Under Parameter Uncertainty written by Rochelle Mary Edge and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines welfare-maximizing monetary policy in an estimated micro-founded general equilibrium model of the U.S. economy where the policymaker faces uncertainty about model parameters. Uncertainty about parameters describing preferences and technology implies not only uncertainty about the dynamics of the economy. It also implies uncertainty about the model's utility-based welfare criterion and about the economy's natural rate measures of interest and output. We analyze the characteristics and performance of alternative monetary policy rules given the estimated uncertainty regarding parameter estimates. We find that the natural rates of interest and output are imprecisely estimated. We then show that, relative to the case of known parameters, optimal policy under parameter uncertainty responds less to natural-rate terms and more to other variables, such as price and wage inflation and measures of tightness or slack that do not depend on natural rates.

Optimal Monetary Policy under Uncertainty, Second Edition

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1784717193
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (847 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimal Monetary Policy under Uncertainty, Second Edition by : Richard T. Froyen

Download or read book Optimal Monetary Policy under Uncertainty, Second Edition written by Richard T. Froyen and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2019 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a thorough survey of the model-based literature on optimal monetary in a stochastic setting. The survey begins with the literature of the 1970s which focused on the information problem in policy design and extends to the New Keynesian approach of the 1990s which centered on evaluating alternative targeting strategies. New to the second edition is consideration of research since the world financial crisis on the role of financial markets and institutions in the conduct of monetary policy.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262072726
Total Pages : 479 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005 by : Kenneth S. Rogoff

Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005 written by Kenneth S. Rogoff and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2006-04 with total page 479 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 20th NBER Macroeconomics Annual, covering questions at the cutting edge of macroeconomics that are central to current policy debates.

Toward an Integrated Policy Framework

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Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781513558769
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (587 download)

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Book Synopsis Toward an Integrated Policy Framework by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Toward an Integrated Policy Framework written by International Monetary Fund and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2020-10-08 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Policymakers often face difficult tradeoffs in pursuing domestic and external stabilization objectives. The paper reflects staff’s work to advance the understanding of the policy options and tradeoffs available to policymakers in a systematic and analytical way. The paper recognizes that the optimal path of the IPF tools depends on structural characteristics and fiscal policies. The operational implications of IPF findings require careful consideration. Developing safeguards to minimize the risk of inappropriate use of IPF policies will be essential. Staff remains guided by the Fund’s Institutional View (IV) on the Liberalization and Management of Capital Flows.

Monetary Policy Strategy

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262134829
Total Pages : 561 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (621 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Strategy by : Frederic S. Mishkin

Download or read book Monetary Policy Strategy written by Frederic S. Mishkin and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2007 with total page 561 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book by a leading authority on monetary policy offers a unique view of the subject from the perspectives of both scholar and practitioner. Frederic Mishkin is not only an academic expert in the field but also a high-level policymaker. He is especially well positioned to discuss the changes in the conduct of monetary policy in recent years, in particular the turn to inflation targeting. Monetary Policy Strategydescribes his work over the last ten years, offering published papers, new introductory material, and a summing up, "Everything You Wanted to Know about Monetary Policy Strategy, But Were Afraid to Ask," which reflects on what we have learned about monetary policy over the last thirty years. Mishkin blends theory, econometric evidence, and extensive case studies of monetary policy in advanced and emerging market and transition economies. Throughout, his focus is on these key areas: the importance of price stability and a nominal anch fiscal and financial preconditions for achieving price stability; central bank independence as an additional precondition; central bank accountability; the rationale for inflation targeting; the optimal inflation target; central bank transparency and communication; and the role of asset prices in monetary policy.

Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691161089
Total Pages : 295 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models by : Edward P. Herbst

Download or read book Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models written by Edward P. Herbst and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2015-12-29 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have become one of the workhorses of modern macroeconomics and are extensively used for academic research as well as forecasting and policy analysis at central banks. This book introduces readers to state-of-the-art computational techniques used in the Bayesian analysis of DSGE models. The book covers Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques for linearized DSGE models, novel sequential Monte Carlo methods that can be used for parameter inference, and the estimation of nonlinear DSGE models based on particle filter approximations of the likelihood function. The theoretical foundations of the algorithms are discussed in depth, and detailed empirical applications and numerical illustrations are provided. The book also gives invaluable advice on how to tailor these algorithms to specific applications and assess the accuracy and reliability of the computations. Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models is essential reading for graduate students, academic researchers, and practitioners at policy institutions.

The Role of Policymakers in Business Cycle Fluctuations

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139450956
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis The Role of Policymakers in Business Cycle Fluctuations by : Jim Granato

Download or read book The Role of Policymakers in Business Cycle Fluctuations written by Jim Granato and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2006-03-13 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book's central theme is that a policymaker's role is to enhance the public's ability to coordinate their price information, price expectations, and economic activities. This role is fulfilled when policymakers maintain inflation stability. Inflation persists less when an implicit or explicit inflation target is met. Granato and Wong argue that inflation persistence is reduced when the public substitutes the prespecified inflation target for past inflation. A by-product of this co-ordination process is greater economic stability. In particular, inflation stability contributes to greater economic output stability, including the potential for the simultaneous reduction of both inflation and output variability - inflation-output co-stabilization (IOCS). Granato and Wong use historical, formal, and applied statistical analysis of business-cycle performance in the United States for the 1960 to 2000 period. They find that during periods when policymakers emphasize inflation stability, inflation uncertainty and persistence were reduced.

The Oxford Handbook of Bayesian Econometrics

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0191618268
Total Pages : 576 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Bayesian Econometrics by : John Geweke

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Bayesian Econometrics written by John Geweke and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2011-09-29 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian econometric methods have enjoyed an increase in popularity in recent years. Econometricians, empirical economists, and policymakers are increasingly making use of Bayesian methods. This handbook is a single source for researchers and policymakers wanting to learn about Bayesian methods in specialized fields, and for graduate students seeking to make the final step from textbook learning to the research frontier. It contains contributions by leading Bayesians on the latest developments in their specific fields of expertise. The volume provides broad coverage of the application of Bayesian econometrics in the major fields of economics and related disciplines, including macroeconomics, microeconomics, finance, and marketing. It reviews the state of the art in Bayesian econometric methodology, with chapters on posterior simulation and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, Bayesian nonparametric techniques, and the specialized tools used by Bayesian time series econometricians such as state space models and particle filtering. It also includes chapters on Bayesian principles and methodology.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262572217
Total Pages : 436 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (722 download)

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Book Synopsis NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003 by : Mark Gertler

Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003 written by Mark Gertler and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2004 with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The NBER Macroeconomics Annual presents pioneering work in macroeconomics by leading academic researchers to an audience of public policymakers and the academic community. Each commissioned paper is followed by comments and discussion. This year's edition provides a mix of cutting-edge research and policy analysis on such topics as productivity and information technology, the increase in wealth inequality, behavioral economics, and inflation.

A Computationally Efficient Characterization of Pure Strategy Nash Equilibria in Large Entry Games

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis A Computationally Efficient Characterization of Pure Strategy Nash Equilibria in Large Entry Games by : Andrew Cohen

Download or read book A Computationally Efficient Characterization of Pure Strategy Nash Equilibria in Large Entry Games written by Andrew Cohen and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400866278
Total Pages : 295 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle by : Jordi Galí

Download or read book Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle written by Jordi Galí and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2015-06-09 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The classic introduction to the New Keynesian economic model This revised second edition of Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle provides a rigorous graduate-level introduction to the New Keynesian framework and its applications to monetary policy. The New Keynesian framework is the workhorse for the analysis of monetary policy and its implications for inflation, economic fluctuations, and welfare. A backbone of the new generation of medium-scale models under development at major central banks and international policy institutions, the framework provides the theoretical underpinnings for the price stability–oriented strategies adopted by most central banks in the industrialized world. Using a canonical version of the New Keynesian model as a reference, Jordi Galí explores various issues pertaining to monetary policy's design, including optimal monetary policy and the desirability of simple policy rules. He analyzes several extensions of the baseline model, allowing for cost-push shocks, nominal wage rigidities, and open economy factors. In each case, the effects on monetary policy are addressed, with emphasis on the desirability of inflation-targeting policies. New material includes the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates and an analysis of unemployment’s significance for monetary policy. The most up-to-date introduction to the New Keynesian framework available A single benchmark model used throughout New materials and exercises included An ideal resource for graduate students, researchers, and market analysts

Monetary Policy with Imperfect Knowledge

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy with Imperfect Knowledge by : Athanasios Orphanides

Download or read book Monetary Policy with Imperfect Knowledge written by Athanasios Orphanides and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the performance and robustness of monetary policy rules when the central bank and the public have imperfect knowledge of the economy and continuously update their estimates of model parameters. We find that versions of the Taylor rule calibrated to perform well under rational expectations with perfect knowledge perform very poorly when agents are learning and the central bank faces uncertainty regarding natural rates. In contrast, difference rules, in which the change in the interest rate is determined by the inflation rate and the change in the unemployment rate, perform well when knowledge is both perfect and imperfect.

Monetary and Economic Studies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 830 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary and Economic Studies by :

Download or read book Monetary and Economic Studies written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 830 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Testing for Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard in Consumer Loan Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Testing for Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard in Consumer Loan Markets by : Wendy Edelberg

Download or read book Testing for Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard in Consumer Loan Markets written by Wendy Edelberg and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: