Optimal Maturity Structure Of Sovereign Debt In Situation Of Near Default

Download Optimal Maturity Structure Of Sovereign Debt In Situation Of Near Default full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. Read online Optimal Maturity Structure Of Sovereign Debt In Situation Of Near Default ebook anywhere anytime directly on your device. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. We cannot guarantee that every ebooks is available!

Optimal Maturity Structure of Sovereign Debt in Situation of Near Default

Author : Gabriel Desgranges
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 149837977X
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Optimal Maturity Structure of Sovereign Debt in Situation of Near Default by : Gabriel Desgranges

Download or read book Optimal Maturity Structure of Sovereign Debt in Situation of Near Default written by Gabriel Desgranges and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-09-12 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the relationship between default and the maturity structure of the debt portfolio of a Sovereign, under uncertainty. The Sovereign faces a trade-off between a future costly default and a high current fiscal effort. This results into a debt crisis in case a large initial issuance of long term debt is followed by a sequence of negative macro shocks. Prior uncertainty about future fundamentals is then a source of default through its effect on long term interest rates and the optimal debt issuance. Intuitively, the Sovereign chooses a portfolio implying a risk of default because this risk generates a correlation between the future value of long term debt and future fundamentals. Long term debt serves as a hedging instrument against the risk on fundamentals. When expected fundamentals are high, the Sovereign issues a large amount of long term debt, the expected default probability increases, and so does the long term interest rate.

Parameterizing Debt Maturity

Author : Mr. Philip Barrett
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513582518
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Parameterizing Debt Maturity by : Mr. Philip Barrett

Download or read book Parameterizing Debt Maturity written by Mr. Philip Barrett and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-04-23 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines ways to summarize the maturity structure of public debts using a small number of parameters. We compile a novel dataset of all promised future payments for US and UK government debt from every month since 1869, and more recently for Peru, Poland, Egypt, and Nigeria. We show that there is a unique parametric form which does not arbitrarily restrict debt issuance – portfolios of bonds with exponential coupons. Compared to the most popular alternative, this form 1) more accurately describes changes in debt maturity for these six countries and 2) gives a quite different interpretation of historical debt maturity. Our work can be applied not just to analyze past debt movements, but – because parameter estimates are relatively similar across countries – also for monitoring changes in debt maturity, including in countries where data are partial or incomplete.

Optimal Maturity Structure of Sovereign Debt in Situation of Near Default

Author : Gabriel Desgranges
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498330436
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Optimal Maturity Structure of Sovereign Debt in Situation of Near Default by : Gabriel Desgranges

Sovereign Debt

Author : S. Ali Abbas
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192591401
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (925 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt by : S. Ali Abbas

Download or read book Sovereign Debt written by S. Ali Abbas and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019-10-21 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The last time global sovereign debt reached the level seen today was at the end of the Second World War, and this shaped a generation of economic policymaking. International institutions were transformed, country policies were often draconian and distortive, and many crises ensued. By the early 1970s, when debt fell back to pre-war levels, the world was radically different. It is likely that changes of a similar magnitude -for better and for worse - will play out over coming decades. Sovereign Debt: A Guide for Economists and Practitioners is an attempt to build some structure around the issues of sovereign debt to help guide economists, practitioners and policymakers through this complicated, but not intractable, subject. Sovereign Debt brings together some of the world's leading researchers and specialists in sovereign debt to cover a range of sub-disciplines within this vast topic. It explores debt management with debt sustainability; debt reduction policies with crisis prevention policies; and the history with the conjuncture. It is a foundation text for all those interested in sovereign debt, with a particular focus real world examples and issues.

Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010

Author : Mr.Udaibir S. Das
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475505531
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 by : Mr.Udaibir S. Das

Download or read book Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 written by Mr.Udaibir S. Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a comprehensive survey of pertinent issues on sovereign debt restructurings, based on a newly constructed database. This is the first complete dataset of sovereign restructuring cases, covering the six decades from 1950–2010; it includes 186 debt exchanges with foreign banks and bondholders, and 447 bilateral debt agreements with the Paris Club. We present new stylized facts on the outcome and process of debt restructurings, including on the size of haircuts, creditor participation, and legal aspects. In addition, the paper summarizes the relevant empirical literature, analyzes recent restructuring episodes, and discusses ongoing debates on crisis resolution mechanisms, credit default swaps, and the role of collective action clauses.

A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks

Author : Thordur Jonasson
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484350545
Total Pages : 133 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks by : Thordur Jonasson

Download or read book A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks written by Thordur Jonasson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-04-06 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides an overview of sovereign debt portfolio risks and discusses various liability management operations (LMOs) and instruments used by public debt managers to mitigate these risks. Debt management strategies analyzed in the context of helping reach debt portfolio targets and attain desired portfolio structures. Also, the paper outlines how LMOs could be integrated into a debt management strategy and serve as policy tools to reduce potential debt portfolio vulnerabilities. Further, the paper presents operational issues faced by debt managers, including the need to develop a risk management framework, interactions of debt management with fiscal policy, monetary policy, and financial stability, as well as efficient government bond markets.

A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles

Author : Mr.Enrique G. Mendoza
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 146230222X
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (623 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles by : Mr.Enrique G. Mendoza

Download or read book A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles written by Mr.Enrique G. Mendoza and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-07-01 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emerging markets business cycle models treat default risk as part of an exogenous interest rate on working capital, while sovereign default models treat income fluctuations as an exogenous endowment process with ad-noc default costs. We propose instead a general equilibrium model of both sovereign default and business cycles. In the model, some imported inputs require working capital financing; default on public and private obligations occurs simultaneously. The model explains several features of cyclical dynamics around default triggers an efficiency loss as these inputs are replaced by imperfect substitutes; and default on public and private obligations occurs simultaneously. The model explains several features of cyclical dynamics around deraults, countercyclical spreads, high debt ratios, and key business cycle moments.

Slapped by the Invisible Hand

Author : Gary B. Gorton
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780199742110
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (421 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Slapped by the Invisible Hand by : Gary B. Gorton

Download or read book Slapped by the Invisible Hand written by Gary B. Gorton and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2010-03-08 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally written for a conference of the Federal Reserve, Gary Gorton's "The Panic of 2007" garnered enormous attention and is considered by many to be the most convincing take on the recent economic meltdown. Now, in Slapped by the Invisible Hand, Gorton builds upon this seminal work, explaining how the securitized-banking system, the nexus of financial markets and instruments unknown to most people, stands at the heart of the financial crisis. Gorton shows that the Panic of 2007 was not so different from the Panics of 1907 or of 1893, except that, in 2007, most people had never heard of the markets that were involved, didn't know how they worked, or what their purposes were. Terms like subprime mortgage, asset-backed commercial paper conduit, structured investment vehicle, credit derivative, securitization, or repo market were meaningless. In this superb volume, Gorton makes all of this crystal clear. He shows that the securitized banking system is, in fact, a real banking system, allowing institutional investors and firms to make enormous, short-term deposits. But as any banking system, it was vulnerable to a panic. Indeed the events starting in August 2007 can best be understood not as a retail panic involving individuals, but as a wholesale panic involving institutions, where large financial firms "ran" on other financial firms, making the system insolvent. An authority on banking panics, Gorton is the ideal person to explain the financial calamity of 2007. Indeed, as the crisis unfolded, he was working inside an institution that played a central role in the collapse. Thus, this book presents the unparalleled and invaluable perspective of a top scholar who was also a key insider.

Debt Dilution and Sovereign Default Risk

Author : Dr. Leonardo Martinez
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455225045
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Debt Dilution and Sovereign Default Risk by : Dr. Leonardo Martinez

Download or read book Debt Dilution and Sovereign Default Risk written by Dr. Leonardo Martinez and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-03-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a modification to a baseline sovereign default framework that allows us to quantify the importance of debt dilution in accounting for the level and volatility of the interest rate spread paid by sovereigns. We measure the effects of debt dilution by comparing the simulations of the baseline model (with debt dilution) with the ones of the modified model without dilution. We calibrate the baseline model to mimic the mean and standard deviation of the spread, as well as the external debt level, the mean debt duration and a measure of default frequency in the data. We find that, even without commitment to future repayment policies and withoutcontingency of sovereign debt, if the sovereign could eliminate debt dilution, the number of default per 100 years decreases from 3.10 to 0.42. The mean spread decreases from 7.38% to 0.57%. The standard deviation of the spread decreases from 2.45 to 0.72. Default risk falls in part because of a reduction of the level of sovereign debt (36% of the face value and of 11% of the market value). But we show that the most important effect of dilution on default risk results from a shift in the set of government''s borrowing opportunities. Our analysis is also relevant for the study of other credit markets where the debt dilution problem could be present.

Why Not Default?

Author : Jerome E. Roos
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691184933
Total Pages : 398 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Why Not Default? by : Jerome E. Roos

Download or read book Why Not Default? written by Jerome E. Roos and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2019-02-12 with total page 398 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How creditors came to wield unprecedented power over heavily indebted countries—and the dangers this poses to democracy The European debt crisis has rekindled long-standing debates about the power of finance and the fraught relationship between capitalism and democracy in a globalized world. Why Not Default? unravels a striking puzzle at the heart of these debates—why, despite frequent crises and the immense costs of repayment, do so many heavily indebted countries continue to service their international debts? In this compelling and incisive book, Jerome Roos provides a sweeping investigation of the political economy of sovereign debt and international crisis management. He takes readers from the rise of public borrowing in the Italian city-states to the gunboat diplomacy of the imperialist era and the wave of sovereign defaults during the Great Depression. He vividly describes the debt crises of developing countries in the 1980s and 1990s and sheds new light on the recent turmoil inside the Eurozone—including the dramatic capitulation of Greece’s short-lived anti-austerity government to its European creditors in 2015. Drawing on in-depth case studies of contemporary debt crises in Mexico, Argentina, and Greece, Why Not Default? paints a disconcerting picture of the ascendancy of global finance. This important book shows how the profound transformation of the capitalist world economy over the past four decades has endowed private and official creditors with unprecedented structural power over heavily indebted borrowers, enabling them to impose painful austerity measures and enforce uninterrupted debt service during times of crisis—with devastating social consequences and far-reaching implications for democracy.

Guidelines for Public Debt Management -- Amended

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 149832892X
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Guidelines for Public Debt Management -- Amended by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Guidelines for Public Debt Management -- Amended written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-09-12 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL

The Economics of Sovereign Debt and Default

Author : Mark Aguiar
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691231435
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis The Economics of Sovereign Debt and Default by : Mark Aguiar

Download or read book The Economics of Sovereign Debt and Default written by Mark Aguiar and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2023-09-26 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An integrated approach to the economics of sovereign default Fiscal crises and sovereign default repeatedly threaten the stability and growth of economies around the world. Mark Aguiar and Manuel Amador provide a unified and tractable theoretical framework that elucidates the key economics behind sovereign debt markets, shedding light on the frictions and inefficiencies that prevent the smooth functioning of these markets, and proposing sensible approaches to sovereign debt management. The Economics of Sovereign Debt and Default looks at the core friction unique to sovereign debt—the lack of strong legal enforcement—and goes on to examine additional frictions such as deadweight costs of default, vulnerability to runs, the incentive to “dilute” existing creditors, and sovereign debt’s distortion of investment and growth. The book uses the tractable framework to isolate how each additional friction affects the equilibrium outcome, and illustrates its counterpart using state-of-the-art computational modeling. The novel approach presented here contrasts the outcome of a constrained efficient allocation—one chosen to maximize the joint surplus of creditors and government—with the competitive equilibrium outcome. This allows for a clear analysis of the extent to which equilibrium prices efficiently guide the government’s debt and default decisions, and of what drives divergences with the efficient outcome. Providing an integrated approach to sovereign debt and default, this incisive and authoritative book is an ideal resource for researchers and graduate students interested in this important topic.

Global Waves of Debt

Author : M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815453
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Global Waves of Debt by : M. Ayhan Kose

Download or read book Global Waves of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.

Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term?

Author : Fernando Broner
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term? by : Fernando Broner

Download or read book Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term? written by Fernando Broner and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Broner, Lorenzoni, and Schmukler argue that emerging economies borrow short term due to the high risk premium charged by international capital markets on long-term debt. They first present a model where the debt maturity structure is the outcome of a risk-sharing problem between the government and bondholders. By issuing long-term debt, the government lowers the probability of a liquidity crisis, transferring risk to bondholders. In equilibrium, this risk is reflected in a higher risk premium and borrowing cost. Therefore, the government faces a tradeoff between safer long-term borrowing and cheaper short-term debt. Second, the authors construct a new database of sovereign bond prices and issuance. They show that emerging economies pay a positive term premium (a higher risk premium on long-term bonds than on short-term bonds). During crises, the term premium increases, with issuance shifting toward shorter maturities. This suggests that changes in bondholders' risk aversion are important to understand emerging market crises. This paper--a product of the Investment Climate Team, Development Research Group--is part of a larger effort in the group to understand financial markets in emerging economies"--World Bank web site.

Public Debt Through the Ages

Author : Mr.Barry J. Eichengreen
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484392892
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Public Debt Through the Ages by : Mr.Barry J. Eichengreen

Download or read book Public Debt Through the Ages written by Mr.Barry J. Eichengreen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-01-15 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We consider public debt from a long-term historical perspective, showing how the purposes for which governments borrow have evolved over time. Periods when debt-to-GDP ratios rose explosively as a result of wars, depressions and financial crises also have a long history. Many of these episodes resulted in debt-management problems resolved through debasements and restructurings. Less widely appreciated are successful debt consolidation episodes, instances in which governments inheriting heavy debts ran primary surpluses for long periods in order to reduce those burdens to sustainable levels. We analyze the economic and political circumstances that made these successful debt consolidation episodes possible.

The Liquidation of Government Debt

Author : Ms. Carmen Reinhart
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498338380
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis The Liquidation of Government Debt by : Ms. Carmen Reinhart

Download or read book The Liquidation of Government Debt written by Ms. Carmen Reinhart and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-21 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: High public debt often produces the drama of default and restructuring. But debt is also reduced through financial repression, a tax on bondholders and savers via negative or belowmarket real interest rates. After WWII, capital controls and regulatory restrictions created a captive audience for government debt, limiting tax-base erosion. Financial repression is most successful in liquidating debt when accompanied by inflation. For the advanced economies, real interest rates were negative ½ of the time during 1945–1980. Average annual interest expense savings for a 12—country sample range from about 1 to 5 percent of GDP for the full 1945–1980 period. We suggest that, once again, financial repression may be part of the toolkit deployed to cope with the most recent surge in public debt in advanced economies.

The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts

Author : Mr.Francisco Roch
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475533241
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts by : Mr.Francisco Roch

Download or read book The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts written by Mr.Francisco Roch and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-06 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the recent European debt crisis, this paper investigates the scope for a bailout guarantee in a sovereign debt crisis. Defaults may arise from negative income shocks, government impatience or a "sunspot"-coordinated buyers strike. We introduce a bailout agency, and characterize the minimal actuarially fair intervention that guarantees the no-buyers-strike fundamental equilibrium, relying on the market for residual financing. The intervention makes it cheaper for governments to borrow, inducing them borrow more, leaving default probabilities possibly rather unchanged. The maximal backstop will be pulled precisely when fundamentals worsen.