Opinion Polls

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Polling UnPacked

Author : Mark Pack
Publisher : Reaktion Books
ISBN 13 : 1789145686
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (891 download)

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Book Synopsis Polling UnPacked by : Mark Pack

Download or read book Polling UnPacked written by Mark Pack and published by Reaktion Books. This book was released on 2022-05-13 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From a political-polling expert, an eye-opening—and hilarious—look at the origins of polls and how they have been used and abused ever since. Opinion polls dominate media coverage of politics, especially elections. But how do the polls work? How do we tell the good from the bad? And in light of recent polling disasters, can we trust them at all? Polling UnPacked gives us the full story, from the first rudimentary polls in the nineteenth century, through attempts by politicians to ban polling in the twentieth century, to the very latest techniques and controversies from the last few years. Equal parts enlightening and hilarious, the book requires no prior knowledge of polling or statistics to understand. But even hardened pollsters will find much to enjoy, from how polling has been used to help plan military invasions to why an exhausted interviewer was accidentally instrumental in inventing exit polls. Written by a former political pollster and the creator of Britain’s foremost polling-intention database, Polling UnPacked reveals which opinion polls to trust, which to ignore, and which, frankly, to laugh at. It will change the way we see political coverage forever.

Numbered Voices

Author : Susan Herbst
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 9780226327433
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (274 download)

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Book Synopsis Numbered Voices by : Susan Herbst

Download or read book Numbered Voices written by Susan Herbst and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 1995-08-15 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Quantifying the American mood through opinion polls appears to be an unbiased means for finding out what people want. But in Numbered Voices, Susan Herbst demonstrates that the way public opinion is measured affects the use that voters, legislators, and journalists make of it. Exploring the history of public opinion in the United States from the mid-nineteenth century to the present day, Herbst shows how numbers served both instrumental and symbolic functions, not only conveying neutral information but creating a basis authority. Addressing how the quantification of public opinion has affected contemporary politics and the democratic process, Herbst asks difficult but fundamental questions about the workings of American politics. "An original and thought-provoking analysis of why we have polls, what they accomplish, and how they affect the current political scene. Herbst's scholarship is impeccable, her writing is clear and crisp, and her findings are original. . . . Every reader will benefit by carefully weighing the issues she raises and the conclusions she draws."—Doris A. Graber, Political Science Quarterly "An intelligent, theoretically rich, and historically broad account of public opinion over several millennia. . . . The historical accounts are interesting and her interpretations are thought-provoking."—Paul Brace, Journal of American History

Follow The Leader

Author : Paul Brace
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Follow The Leader by : Paul Brace

Download or read book Follow The Leader written by Paul Brace and published by . This book was released on 1992-11-10 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Carter, for example, emerges as "the median president": average in activity, success in Congress, and public support. Follow the Leader shows that presidents often do make Faustian bargains on behalf of their popularity, but they get surprisingly little in return. For example, while it is true that the use of force by the United States abroad has followed bad economic times at home much more frequently than would be expected by chance, the use of force itself does not boost a president's popularity. In fact, foreign policy activities show a variety of different effects. There is an uneasy balance at best between being liked and being president. Conventional wisdom suggests that popular presidents are strong leaders. But Brace and Hinckley demonstrate that things are not so simple. Indeed, presidents who structured their agendas solely on the basis of public approval would often be making choices the American people would not support.

Opinion Polls and the Media

Author : C. Holtz-Bacha
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230374956
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Opinion Polls and the Media by : C. Holtz-Bacha

Download or read book Opinion Polls and the Media written by C. Holtz-Bacha and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-04-05 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Opinion Polls and the Media provides the most comprehensive analysis to date on the relationship between the media, opinion polls, and public opinion. Looking at the extent to which the media, through their use of opinion polls, both reflect and shape public opinion, it brings together a team of leading scholars and analyzes theoretical and methodological approaches to the media and their use of opinion polls. The contributors explore how the media use opinion polls in a range of countries across the world, and analyze the effects and uses of opinion polls by the public as well as political actors.

The 2016 Presidential Election

Author : Amnon Cavari
Publisher : Lexington Books
ISBN 13 : 1498557376
Total Pages : 277 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (985 download)

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Book Synopsis The 2016 Presidential Election by : Amnon Cavari

Download or read book The 2016 Presidential Election written by Amnon Cavari and published by Lexington Books. This book was released on 2017-10-04 with total page 277 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 2016 Presidential Election: The Causes and Consequences of a Political Earthquake critically analyzes the 2016 presidential election. The chapters in this book identify key factors behind the election of Donald J. Trump, explore the unconventional campaign, analyze the unexpected election result, evaluate the forecasting models, and speculate on the effect of the election outcome on politics and governance in the Trump Administration.

From Tea Leaves to Opinion Polls

Author : John Gray Geer
Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780231102797
Total Pages : 254 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (27 download)

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Book Synopsis From Tea Leaves to Opinion Polls by : John Gray Geer

Download or read book From Tea Leaves to Opinion Polls written by John Gray Geer and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 1996 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first in-depth analysis of the link between politicians' behavior and opinion polls. Exploring political action within a broad historical context, the book develops a theory to show how the behavior of politicians, and the unfolding of political change, have been irrevocably altered since the advent of opinion polling in the 1930s.

Improving Public Opinion Surveys

Author : John H. Aldrich
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691151466
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Improving Public Opinion Surveys by : John H. Aldrich

Download or read book Improving Public Opinion Surveys written by John H. Aldrich and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2012 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The American National Election Studies (ANES) is the premier social science survey program devoted to voting and elections. Conducted during the presidential election years and midterm Congressional elections, the survey is based on interviews with voters and delves into why they make certain choices. In this edited volume, John Aldrich and Kathleen McGraw bring together a group of leading social scientists that developed and tested new measures that might be added to the ANES, with the ultimate goal of extending scholarly understanding of the causes and consequences of electoral outcomes. The contributors--leading experts from several disciplines in the fields of polling, public opinion, survey methodology, and elections and voting behavior--illuminate some of the most important questions and results from the ANES 2006 pilot study. They look at such varied topics as self-monitoring in the expression of political attitudes, personal values and political orientations, alternate measures of political trust, perceptions of similarity and disagreement in partisan groups, measuring ambivalence about government, gender preferences in politics, and the political issues of abortion, crime, and taxes. Testing new ideas in the study of politics and the political psychology of voting choices and turnout, this collection is an invaluable resource for all students and scholars working to understand the American electorate.

The SAGE Handbook of Public Opinion Research

Author : Wolfgang Donsbach
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1446206513
Total Pages : 641 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (462 download)

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Book Synopsis The SAGE Handbook of Public Opinion Research by : Wolfgang Donsbach

Download or read book The SAGE Handbook of Public Opinion Research written by Wolfgang Donsbach and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2007-12-18 with total page 641 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ′Some of the most experienced and thoughtful research experts in the world have contributed to this comprehensive Handbook, which should have a place on every serious survey researcher′s bookshelf′ - Sir Robert Worcester, Founder of MORI and President of WAPOR ′82-′84. ′This is the book I have been waiting for. It not only reflects the state of the art, but will most likely also shape public opinion on public opinion research′ - Olof Petersson, Professor of political science, SNS, Stockholm, Sweden ′The Handbook of Public Opinion Research is very authoritative, well organized, and sensitive to key issues in opinion research around the world. It will be my first choice as a general reference book for orienting users and training producers of opinion polls in Southeast Asia′ - Mahar K. Mangahas, Ph.D., President of Social Weather Stations, Philippines (www.sws.org.ph) ′This is the most comprehensive book on public opinion research to date′ - Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Secretary-Treasurer, World Association for Public Opinion Research (WAPOR); Director of Public Opinion Programme, The University of Hong Kong Public opinion theory and research are becoming increasingly significant in modern societies as people′s attitudes and behaviours become ever more volatile and opinion poll data becomes ever more readily available. This major new Handbook is the first to bring together into one volume the whole field of public opinion theory, research methodology, and the political and social embeddedness of polls in modern societies. It comprehensively maps out the state-of-the-art in contemporary scholarship on these topics. With over fifty chapters written by distinguished international researchers, both academic and from the commercial sector, this Handbook is designed to: - give the reader an overview of the most important concepts included in and surrounding the term ′public opinion′ and its application in modern social research - present the basic empirical concepts for assessing public opinion and opinion changes in society - provide an overview of the social, political and legal status of public opinion research, how it is perceived by the public and by journalists, and how it is used by governments - offer a review of the role and use of surveys for selected special fields of application, ranging from their use in legal cases to the use of polls in marketing and campaigns. The Handbook of Public Opinion Research provides an indispensable resource for both practitioners and students alike.

Political Polling in the Digital Age

Author : Kirby Goidel
Publisher : LSU Press
ISBN 13 : 0807137847
Total Pages : 157 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Political Polling in the Digital Age by : Kirby Goidel

Download or read book Political Polling in the Digital Age written by Kirby Goidel and published by LSU Press. This book was released on 2011-05-02 with total page 157 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 2008 presidential election provided a "perfect storm" for pollsters. A significant portion of the population had exchanged their landlines for cellphones, which made them harder to survey. Additionally, a potential Bradley effect -- in which white voters misrepresent their intentions of voting for or against a black candidate -- skewed predictions, and aggressive voter registration and mobilization campaigns by Barack Obama combined to challenge conventional understandings about how to measure and report public preferences. In the wake of these significant changes, Political Polling in the Digital Age, edited by Kirby Goidel, offers timely and insightful interpretations of the impact these trends will have on polling. In this groundbreaking collection, contributors place recent developments in public-opinion polling into a broader historical context, examine how to construct accurate meanings from public-opinion surveys, and analyze the future of public-opinion polling. Notable contributors include Mark Blumenthal, editor and publisher of Pollster.com; Anna Greenberg, a leading Democratic pollster; and Scott Keeter, director of survey research for the Pew Research Center. In an era of increasingly personalized and interactive communications, accurate political polling is more difficult and also more important. Political Polling in the Digital Age presents fresh perspectives and relevant tactics that demystify the variable world of opinion taking.

Polling and the Public

Author : Herb Asher
Publisher : CQ Press
ISBN 13 : 1483324079
Total Pages : 367 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (833 download)

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Book Synopsis Polling and the Public by : Herb Asher

Download or read book Polling and the Public written by Herb Asher and published by CQ Press. This book was released on 2016-07-13 with total page 367 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Polling and the Public helps readers become savvy consumers of public opinion polls, offering solid grounding on how the media cover them, their use in campaigns and elections, and their interpretation. This trusted, brief guide by Herb Asher also provides a non-technical explanation of the methodology of polling so that students become informed participants in political discourse. Fully updated with new data and scholarship, the Ninth Edition examines recent elections and the use and misuse of polls in campaigns, and delivers new coverage of web-based and smartphone polling.

The Opinion Makers

Author : David William Moore
Publisher : Beacon Press
ISBN 13 : 9780807042328
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (423 download)

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Book Synopsis The Opinion Makers by : David William Moore

Download or read book The Opinion Makers written by David William Moore and published by Beacon Press. This book was released on 2008 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: On January 8, 2008, the date of the New Hampshire primary, media pollsters made their biggest prediction gaffe since dubbing Thomas Dewey a shoo-in to beat incumbent president Harry S. Truman. Eleven different polls forecast a solid win by Barack Obama; instead, Hillary Clinton took New Hampshire and recharged her candidacy. The months that followed only brought more dismal performances and contradictory results--undeniable evidence that something is terribly wrong with the polling industry today. It's easy to spot the election polls that get it wrong. Equally misleading and often far more disastrous are polls misrepresenting public opinion on government policy. For instance, in the period leading up to the U.S. invasion of Iraq, every major media poll showed substantial public support for a preemptive strike. In truth, there was no majority of Americans calling for war. For the first time, David W. Moore--praised as a "scholarly crusader" by the New York Times--reveals that pollsters don't report public opinion, they manufacture it. And they do so at the peril of our democratic process. While critics cry foul over partisan favoritism in the mainstream media, what's really at work is a power bias that polls legitimate by providing the stamp of public approval. Drawing on over a decade's experience at the Gallup Poll and a distinguished academic career in survey research, Moore describes the questionable tactics pollsters use to create poll-driven news stories--including force-feeding respondents, slanting question wording, and ignoring public ignorance on even the most arcane issues. More than proof that the numbers do lie,The Opinion Makersclearly and convincingly spells out how urgent it is that we make polls deliver on their promise to monitor, not manipulate, the pulse of democracy.

Collective Preferences in Democratic Politics

Author : Scott L. Althaus
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521527873
Total Pages : 388 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (278 download)

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Book Synopsis Collective Preferences in Democratic Politics by : Scott L. Althaus

Download or read book Collective Preferences in Democratic Politics written by Scott L. Althaus and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2003-09-08 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since so few people appear knowledgeable about public affairs, one might question whether collective policy preferences revealed in opinion surveys accurately convey the distribution of voices and interests in a society. This study, the first comprehensive treatment of the relationship between knowledge, representation, and political equality in opinion surveys, suggests some surprising answers. Knowledge does matter, and the way it is distributed in society can cause collective preferences to reflect disproportionately the opinions of some groups more than others. Sometimes collective preferences seem to represent something like the will of the people, but frequently they do not. Sometimes they rigidly enforce political equality in the expression of political viewpoints, but often they do not. The primary culprit is not any inherent shortcoming in the methods of survey research. Rather, it is the limited degree of knowledge held by ordinary citizens about public affairs. Accounting for these factors can help survey researchers, journalists, politicians, and concerned citizens better appreciate the pitfalls and possibilities for using opinion polls to represent the people s voice.

Strength in Numbers: How Polls Work and Why We Need Them

Author : G. Elliott Morris
Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
ISBN 13 : 039386698X
Total Pages : 178 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (938 download)

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Book Synopsis Strength in Numbers: How Polls Work and Why We Need Them by : G. Elliott Morris

Download or read book Strength in Numbers: How Polls Work and Why We Need Them written by G. Elliott Morris and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2022-07-12 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An insightful exploration of political polling and a bold defense of its crucial role in a modern democracy. Public opinion polling is the ultimate democratic process; it gives every person an equal voice in letting elected leaders know what they need and want. But in the eyes of the public, polls today are tarnished. Recent election forecasts have routinely missed the mark and media coverage of polls has focused solely on their ability to predict winners and losers. Polls deserve better. In Strength in Numbers, data journalist G. Elliott Morris argues that the larger purpose of political polls is to improve democracy, not just predict elections. Whether used by interest groups, the press, or politicians, polling serves as a pipeline from the governed to the government, giving citizens influence they would otherwise lack. No one who believes in democracy can afford to give up on polls; they should commit, instead, to understanding them better. In a vibrant history of polling, Morris takes readers from the first semblance of data-gathering in the ancient world through to the development of modern-day scientific polling. He explains how the internet and “big data” have solved many challenges in polling—and created others. He covers the rise of polling aggregation and methods of election forecasting, reveals how data can be distorted and misrepresented, and demystifies the real uncertainty of polling. Candidly acknowledging where polls have gone wrong in the past, Morris charts a path for the industry’s future where it can truly work for the people. Persuasively argued and deeply researched, Strength in Numbers is an essential guide to understanding and embracing one of the most important and overlooked democratic institutions in the United States.

The Phantom Respondents

Author : John O. Brehm
Publisher : University of Michigan Press
ISBN 13 : 0472750496
Total Pages : 277 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (727 download)

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Book Synopsis The Phantom Respondents by : John O. Brehm

Download or read book The Phantom Respondents written by John O. Brehm and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 2016-10-30 with total page 277 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: DIVExamines a fundamental problem for opinion polls and those who use them. /div

The Timeline of Presidential Elections

Author : Robert S. Erikson
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226922162
Total Pages : 221 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (269 download)

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Book Synopsis The Timeline of Presidential Elections by : Robert S. Erikson

Download or read book The Timeline of Presidential Elections written by Robert S. Erikson and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2012-08-24 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In presidential elections, do voters cast their ballots for the candidates whose platform and positions best match their own? Or is the race for president of the United States come down largely to who runs the most effective campaign? It’s a question those who study elections have been considering for years with no clear resolution. In The Timeline of Presidential Elections, Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien reveal for the first time how both factors come into play. Erikson and Wlezien have amassed data from close to two thousand national polls covering every presidential election from 1952 to 2008, allowing them to see how outcomes take shape over the course of an election year. Polls from the beginning of the year, they show, have virtually no predictive power. By mid-April, when the candidates have been identified and matched in pollsters’ trial heats, preferences have come into focus—and predicted the winner in eleven of the fifteen elections. But a similar process of forming favorites takes place in the last six months, during which voters’ intentions change only gradually, with particular events—including presidential debates—rarely resulting in dramatic change. Ultimately, Erikson and Wlezien show that it is through campaigns that voters are made aware of—or not made aware of—fundamental factors like candidates’ policy positions that determine which ticket will get their votes. In other words, fundamentals matter, but only because of campaigns. Timely and compelling, this book will force us to rethink our assumptions about presidential elections.

Opinion Polls and the Media

Author : C. Holtz-Bacha
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230374956
Total Pages : 303 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Opinion Polls and the Media by : C. Holtz-Bacha

Download or read book Opinion Polls and the Media written by C. Holtz-Bacha and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-04-05 with total page 303 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Opinion Polls and the Media provides the most comprehensive analysis to date on the relationship between the media, opinion polls, and public opinion. Looking at the extent to which the media, through their use of opinion polls, both reflect and shape public opinion, it brings together a team of leading scholars and analyzes theoretical and methodological approaches to the media and their use of opinion polls. The contributors explore how the media use opinion polls in a range of countries across the world, and analyze the effects and uses of opinion polls by the public as well as political actors.

Public Opinion Polls

Author : United States. Congress. House. House Administration
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 314 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Public Opinion Polls by : United States. Congress. House. House Administration

Download or read book Public Opinion Polls written by United States. Congress. House. House Administration and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: