Polling Unpacked

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Polling UnPacked

Author : Mark Pack
Publisher : Reaktion Books
ISBN 13 : 1789145686
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (891 download)

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Book Synopsis Polling UnPacked by : Mark Pack

Download or read book Polling UnPacked written by Mark Pack and published by Reaktion Books. This book was released on 2022-05-13 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From a political-polling expert, an eye-opening—and hilarious—look at the origins of polls and how they have been used and abused ever since. Opinion polls dominate media coverage of politics, especially elections. But how do the polls work? How do we tell the good from the bad? And in light of recent polling disasters, can we trust them at all? Polling UnPacked gives us the full story, from the first rudimentary polls in the nineteenth century, through attempts by politicians to ban polling in the twentieth century, to the very latest techniques and controversies from the last few years. Equal parts enlightening and hilarious, the book requires no prior knowledge of polling or statistics to understand. But even hardened pollsters will find much to enjoy, from how polling has been used to help plan military invasions to why an exhausted interviewer was accidentally instrumental in inventing exit polls. Written by a former political pollster and the creator of Britain’s foremost polling-intention database, Polling UnPacked reveals which opinion polls to trust, which to ignore, and which, frankly, to laugh at. It will change the way we see political coverage forever.

Manipulating the Message

Author : Cecil Rosner
Publisher : Dundurn
ISBN 13 : 1459751272
Total Pages : 164 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (597 download)

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Book Synopsis Manipulating the Message by : Cecil Rosner

Download or read book Manipulating the Message written by Cecil Rosner and published by Dundurn. This book was released on 2023-10-31 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Journalists hate the term fake news, but there’s a troubling reality: spin doctors routinely try to dupe them into reporting misleading and distorted stories. Check the news on any given day and here’s what you’ll find: Governments routinely lie. Companies inflate claims about their products and practices. Institutions release studies with misleading data meant to deceive. Police departments, infected by systemic racism, downplay crimes against Indigenous and racialized people. The public depends on the media to help them understand the world, but are journalists catching all the daily lies, omissions, and distortions? Shrinking newsrooms and an army of spin doctors mean journalists can get duped. Despite valiant efforts by a handful of investigative journalists, the truth is routinely left behind. Award-winning journalist Cecil Rosner insists there is something we can do about this. We can pressure news organizations to stop blindly regurgitating the firehose of press releases and focus instead on determining what is actually true. Rosner empowers readers by sharing his techniques for detecting misinformation and disinformation.

Lost in a Gallup

Author : W. Joseph Campbell
Publisher : Univ of California Press
ISBN 13 : 0520397827
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (23 download)

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Book Synopsis Lost in a Gallup by : W. Joseph Campbell

Download or read book Lost in a Gallup written by W. Joseph Campbell and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 2024-02-20 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This update of a lively, first-of-its-kind study of polling misfires and fiascoes in U.S. presidential campaigns takes up pollsters’ failure over the decades to offer accurate assessments of the most important of American elections. Lost in a Gallup tells the story of polling flops and failures in presidential elections since 1936. Polls do go bad, as outcomes in 2020, 2016, 2012, 2004, and 2000 all remind us. This updated edition includes a new chapter and conclusion that address the 2020 polling surprise and considers whether polls will get it right in 2024. As author W. Joseph Campbell discusses, polling misfires in presidential elections are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides have occurred. They have pointed to the wrong winner in closer elections. Misleading state polls have thrown off expected national outcomes. Polling failure also can lead to media error. Journalists covering presidential races invariably take their lead from polls. When polls go bad, media narratives can be off-target as well. Lost in a Gallup encourages readers to treat election polls with healthy skepticism, recognizing that they could be wrong.

101 Ways to Win an Election

Author : Mark Pack
Publisher : Biteback Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1785901699
Total Pages : 316 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (859 download)

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Book Synopsis 101 Ways to Win an Election by : Mark Pack

Download or read book 101 Ways to Win an Election written by Mark Pack and published by Biteback Publishing. This book was released on 2021-07-08 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In politics there are no prizes For second place. Luckily, seasoned campaign professionals Mark Pack and Edward Maxfield have distilled successful electoral tactics from around the globe into 101 bite-sized lessons to help steer you on the course to power. Learn how to pass the three-seconds test, why you should actually embrace online trolls, and why you must never, ever, forget the law of the left nostril. Packed with advice and practical tips, this new, fully updated third edition of the classic political guide reveals the insider secrets and skills you need to make sure you're in pole position on election day.

Bad News

Author : Mark Pack
Publisher : Biteback Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1785905791
Total Pages : 178 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (859 download)

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Book Synopsis Bad News by : Mark Pack

Download or read book Bad News written by Mark Pack and published by Biteback Publishing. This book was released on 2020-03-12 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bad News is a popular guide that helps you make sense of the news wherever it appears – print, broadcast or online. Peppered with examples from around the world, the book turns a serious subject into an enjoyable read. You will learn as you are entertained. Readers will discover all the tricks and techniques required to work out whether to trust a story based on an anonymous source, when big numbers are really small and when small numbers are really big, why you should ignore what appears behind someone on the TV and much more. You'll even learn why you should always read stories in the Daily Mail backwards and when correlation is causation. But readers will also learn how ill-suited the news is to understanding and interpreting the modern world, even when it comes from honest journalists working for reputable outlets. The news has a role, but readers will learn how to ensure they don't confuse that with understanding the world.

Inventing American Religion

Author : Robert Wuthnow
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 019025890X
Total Pages : 257 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Inventing American Religion by : Robert Wuthnow

Download or read book Inventing American Religion written by Robert Wuthnow and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2015 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today, a billion-dollar-a-year polling industry floods the media with information. Pollsters tell us not only which political candidates will win, but how we are practicing our faith. How many Americans went to church last week? Have they been born again? Is Jesus as popular as Harry Potter? Polls tell us that 40 percent of Americans attend religious services each week. They show that African Americans are no more religious than white Americans, and that Jews are abandoning their religion in record numbers. According to leading sociologist Robert Wuthnow, none of that is correct. Pollsters say that attendance at religious services has been constant for decades. But during that time response rates in polls have plummeted, robotic push poll calls have proliferated, and sampling has become more difficult. The accuracy of political polling can be known because elections actually happen. But there are no election results to show if the proportion of people who say they pray every day or attend services every week is correct. A large majority of the public doubts that polls can be trusted, and yet night after night on TV, polls experts sum up the nation's habits to an eager audience of millions. Inventing American Religion offers a provocative new argument about the influence of polls in contemporary American society. Wuthnow contends that polls and surveys have shaped-and distorted-how religion is understood and portrayed in the media and also by religious leaders, practitioners, and scholars. He calls for a robust public discussion about American religion that extends well beyond the information provided by polls and surveys, and suggests practical steps to facilitate such a discussion, including changes in how the results of polls and surveys are presented.

Dominion

Author : C. J. Sansom
Publisher : Mulholland Books
ISBN 13 : 0316254924
Total Pages : 640 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (162 download)

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Book Synopsis Dominion by : C. J. Sansom

Download or read book Dominion written by C. J. Sansom and published by Mulholland Books. This book was released on 2014-01-28 with total page 640 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: C.J. Sansom rewrites history in a thrilling novel that dares to imagine Britain under the thumb of Nazi Germany. 1952. Twelve years have passed since Churchill lost to the appeasers and Britain surrendered to Nazi Germany. The global economy strains against the weight of the long German war against Russia still raging in the east. The British people find themselves under increasingly authoritarian rule -- the press, radio, and television tightly controlled, the British Jews facing ever greater constraints. But Churchill's Resistance soldiers on. As defiance grows, whispers circulate of a secret that could forever alter the balance of the global struggle. The keeper of that secret? Scientist Frank Muncaster, who languishes in a Birmingham mental hospital. Civil Servant David Fitzgerald, a spy for the Resistance and University friend of Frank's, is given the mission to rescue Frank and get him out of the country. Hard on his heels is Gestapo agent Gunther Hoth, a brilliant, implacable hunter of men, who soon has Frank and David's innocent wife, Sarah, directly in his sights. C.J. Sansom's literary thriller Winter in Madrid earned Sansom comparisons to Graham Greene, Sebastian Faulks, and Ernest Hemingway. Now, in his first alternative history epic, Sansom doesn't just recreate the past -- he reinvents it. In a spellbinding tale of suspense, oppression and poignant love, Dominion dares to explore how, in moments of crisis, history can turn on the decisions of a few brave men and women -- the secrets they choose to keep and the bonds they share.

Interpreting Qualitative Data

Author : David Silverman
Publisher : SAGE Publications Limited
ISBN 13 : 1529672597
Total Pages : 675 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (296 download)

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Book Synopsis Interpreting Qualitative Data by : David Silverman

Download or read book Interpreting Qualitative Data written by David Silverman and published by SAGE Publications Limited. This book was released on 2024-01-25 with total page 675 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In his signature pragmatic and friendly style, David Silverman acts as your stand-in supervisor in the seventh edition of this book, taking you step-by-step through different methods for making sense of qualitative data. Whether you are interested in analysing visual images, interviews, focus groups or online data, this book provides a clear framework for using qualitative data to answer your research questions. The book provides: • A strong grounding in research design principles so you can embed best practice into your research project. • Diverse real-world examples so you can see how principles are applied in practice. • Coverage of new developments in qualitative research including working with online data. If you are new to qualitative research or conducting your first research project in the social sciences, this book gives you the practical grounding in qualitative methods you need to get started.

Vote Buying in Indonesia

Author : Burhanuddin Muhtadi
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9811367795
Total Pages : 318 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (113 download)

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Book Synopsis Vote Buying in Indonesia by : Burhanuddin Muhtadi

Download or read book Vote Buying in Indonesia written by Burhanuddin Muhtadi and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-01-01 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Muhtadi’s analysis of vote-buying in post-democratization Indonesia is original, profound, subtle, nuanced, and convincing as well as beautifully organized and well written. Equally important, its imaginative policy prescriptions will be widely read and cited as a significant contribution to the literature of comparative electoral politics. —William Liddle, Ohio State University, USA This book presents a pathbreaking analysis of vote-buying in Indonesia. Drawing on a stunning array of evidence, Muhtadi reveals the mechanics, patterns and effects of vote-buying with unprecedented clarity. [Title] is a must read for anyone interested in Indonesian politics or in the comparative politics of clientelism. —Edward Aspinall, Australian National University, Australia This book contains a trove of interesting research questions, a novel theoretical contribution, impressive empirical work, and a deep and nuanced understanding of the Indonesian case. —Allen Hicken, University of Michigan, USA This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. This book investigates the impact of vote buying on the accountability of democratic institutions and policy representation in newly democratic countries, with a focus on Indonesia. In doing so, the book presents a wide-ranging study of the dynamics of vote buying in Indonesia’s young democracy, exploring the nature, extent, determinants, targeting and effectiveness of this practice. It addresses these central issues in the context of comparative studies of vote buying, arguing that although party loyalists are disproportionately targeted in vote buying efforts, in total numbers—given the relatively small number of party loyalists in Indonesia—vote buying hits more uncommitted voters. It also demonstrates that the effectiveness of vote buying on vote choice is in the 10 percent range, which is sufficient for many candidates to secure a seat and thus explains why they still engage in vote buying despite high levels of leakage. Burhanuddin Muhtadi is a lecturer at State Islamic University, Jakarta. He is also an executive director of Indonesian Political Indicator and Director of Public Affairs at Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI). He has published his articles in numerous scholarly journals.--

Giving Voice to Values

Author : Mary C. Gentile
Publisher : Yale University Press
ISBN 13 : 0300161328
Total Pages : 329 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Giving Voice to Values by : Mary C. Gentile

Download or read book Giving Voice to Values written by Mary C. Gentile and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2010-08-24 with total page 329 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How can you effectively stand up for your values when pressured by your boss, customers, or shareholders to do the opposite? Drawing on actual business experiences as well as on social science research, Babson College business educator and consultant Mary Gentile challenges the assumptions about business ethics at companies and business schools. She gives business leaders, managers, and students the tools not just to recognize what is right, but also to ensure that the right things happen. The book is inspired by a program Gentile launched at the Aspen Institute with Yale School of Management, and now housed at Babson College, with pilot programs in over one hundred schools and organizations, including INSEAD and MIT Sloan School of Management. She explains why past attempts at preparing business leaders to act ethically too often failed, arguing that the issue isn’t distinguishing what is right or wrong, but knowing how to act on your values despite opposing pressure. Through research-based advice, practical exercises, and scripts for handling a wide range of ethical dilemmas, Gentile empowers business leaders with the skills to voice and act on their values, and align their professional path with their principles. Giving Voice to Values is an engaging, innovative, and useful guide that is essential reading for anyone in business.

Five Year Mission

Author : Tim Bale
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191007471
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Five Year Mission by : Tim Bale

Download or read book Five Year Mission written by Tim Bale and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2015-04-02 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In May 2010, Labour suffered one of its worst ever election defeats. A few months later it chose Ed Miliband as its new leader. His task? To win back power after just one term in opposition - a tall order given how many voters had come to blame Labour for the economic mess the country was in, and to see the party as a soft-touch when it came to immigration and welfare. Even those who were more sympathetic had their doubts. Was Ed Miliband really leadership material? Would he be able to overcome defeating his elder brother to get to the top? Would he have to do as he was told by the trade union leaders who had helped him win? Could he resolve the tensions between Blairites and Brownites, Blue Labour and New Labour? Might his desire to keep his colleagues united mean Labour stayed stuck in its comfort zone? Would he, in seeking to break from the party's recent past, take it too far to the left? Could he offer the electorate something really radical in 2015 or would he instead choose something safer but ultimately less inspiring? And what should twenty-first social democracy look like now that the money had run out? This book, by one of the country's foremost experts on party politics, seeks to answer all those questions and, in the run up to the 2015 general election, to ask one more: will Ed Miliband's five year mission turn out to be 'mission impossible'?

The New Sultan

Author : Soner Cagaptay
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1786722364
Total Pages : 324 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (867 download)

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Book Synopsis The New Sultan by : Soner Cagaptay

Download or read book The New Sultan written by Soner Cagaptay and published by Bloomsbury Publishing. This book was released on 2017-04-30 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a world of rising tensions between Russia and the United States, the Middle East and Europe, Sunnis and Shiites, Islamism and liberalism, Turkey is at the epicentre. And at the heart of Turkey is its right-wing populist president, Recep Tayyip Erdo?an. Since 2002, Erdo?an has consolidated his hold on domestic politics while using military and diplomatic means to solidify Turkey as a regional power. His crackdown has been brutal and consistent - scores of journalists arrested, academics officially banned from leaving the country, university deans fired and many of the highest-ranking military officers arrested. In some senses, the nefarious and failed 2016 coup has given Erdo?an the licence to make good on his repeated promise to bring order and stability under a 'strongman'. Here, leading Turkish expert Soner Cagaptay will look at Erdo?an's roots in Turkish history, what he believes in and how he has cemented his rule, as well as what this means for the world. The book will also unpick the 'threats' Erdogan has worked to combat - from the liberal Turks to the Gulen movement, from coup plotters to Kurdish nationalists - all of which have culminated in the crisis of modern Turkey.

Republic in Transition

Author : Pamela Reeves
Publisher : IFES
ISBN 13 : 9781879720299
Total Pages : 362 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (22 download)

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Book Synopsis Republic in Transition by : Pamela Reeves

Download or read book Republic in Transition written by Pamela Reeves and published by IFES. This book was released on 1995 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Lillian's Right to Vote

Author : Jonah Winter
Publisher : Anne Schwartz Books
ISBN 13 : 0385390300
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (853 download)

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Book Synopsis Lillian's Right to Vote by : Jonah Winter

Download or read book Lillian's Right to Vote written by Jonah Winter and published by Anne Schwartz Books. This book was released on 2015-07-14 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An elderly African American woman, en route to vote, remembers her family’s tumultuous voting history in this picture book publishing in time for the fiftieth anniversary of the Voting Rights Act of 1965. As Lillian, a one-hundred-year-old African American woman, makes a “long haul up a steep hill” to her polling place, she sees more than trees and sky—she sees her family’s history. She sees the passage of the Fifteenth Amendment and her great-grandfather voting for the first time. She sees her parents trying to register to vote. And she sees herself marching in a protest from Selma to Montgomery. Veteran bestselling picture-book author Jonah Winter and Coretta Scott King Illustrator Award winner Shane W. Evans vividly recall America’s battle for civil rights in this lyrical, poignant account of one woman’s fierce determination to make it up the hill and make her voice heard. "Moving.... Stirs up a potent mixture of grief, anger, and pride at the history of black people’s fight for access to the ballot box." —The New York Times "A much-needed picture book that will enlighten a new generation about battles won and a timely call to uphold these victories in the present." —Kirkus Reviews, Starred "A valuable introduction to and overview of the civil rights movement." —Publishers Weekly, Starred "An important book that will give you goose bumps." —Booklist, Starred

Taiwan Electoral, Political Parties Laws and Regulations Handbook - Strategic Information and Regulations

Author : IBP, Inc.
Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 1514517930
Total Pages : 247 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (145 download)

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Book Synopsis Taiwan Electoral, Political Parties Laws and Regulations Handbook - Strategic Information and Regulations by : IBP, Inc.

Download or read book Taiwan Electoral, Political Parties Laws and Regulations Handbook - Strategic Information and Regulations written by IBP, Inc. and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2016-09-08 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Taiwan Electoral, Political Parties Laws and Regulations Handbook - Strategic Information, Regulations, Procedures

White Working Class

Author : Joan C. Williams
Publisher : Harvard Business Press
ISBN 13 : 1633693791
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (336 download)

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Book Synopsis White Working Class by : Joan C. Williams

Download or read book White Working Class written by Joan C. Williams and published by Harvard Business Press. This book was released on 2017-05-16 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "I recommend a book by Professor Williams, it is really worth a read, it's called White Working Class." -- Vice President Joe Biden on Pod Save America An Amazon Best Business and Leadership book of 2017 Around the world, populist movements are gaining traction among the white working class. Meanwhile, members of the professional elite—journalists, managers, and establishment politicians--are on the outside looking in, left to argue over the reasons. In White Working Class, Joan C. Williams, described as having "something approaching rock star status" by the New York Times, explains why so much of the elite's analysis of the white working class is misguided, rooted in class cluelessness. Williams explains that many people have conflated "working class" with "poor"--but the working class is, in fact, the elusive, purportedly disappearing middle class. They often resent the poor and the professionals alike. But they don't resent the truly rich, nor are they particularly bothered by income inequality. Their dream is not to join the upper middle class, with its different culture, but to stay true to their own values in their own communities--just with more money. While white working-class motivations are often dismissed as racist or xenophobic, Williams shows that they have their own class consciousness. White Working Class is a blunt, bracing narrative that sketches a nuanced portrait of millions of people who have proven to be a potent political force. For anyone stunned by the rise of populist, nationalist movements, wondering why so many would seemingly vote against their own economic interests, or simply feeling like a stranger in their own country, White Working Class will be a convincing primer on how to connect with a crucial set of workers--and voters.

Angola Presidential and Legislative Elections, September 29-30, 1992

Author : Tom Bayer
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Angola Presidential and Legislative Elections, September 29-30, 1992 by : Tom Bayer

Download or read book Angola Presidential and Legislative Elections, September 29-30, 1992 written by Tom Bayer and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: