Nonlinearities in the Phillips Curve for the United States

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinearities in the Phillips Curve for the United States by : Nathan R. Babb

Download or read book Nonlinearities in the Phillips Curve for the United States written by Nathan R. Babb and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Is the Short-run Phillips Curve Nonlinear?

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (247 download)

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Book Synopsis Is the Short-run Phillips Curve Nonlinear? by : Ann-Charlotte Eliasson

Download or read book Is the Short-run Phillips Curve Nonlinear? written by Ann-Charlotte Eliasson and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Sources and Channels of Nonlinearities and Instabilities of the Phillips Curve

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (132 download)

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Book Synopsis Sources and Channels of Nonlinearities and Instabilities of the Phillips Curve by : Karsten Reichold

Download or read book Sources and Channels of Nonlinearities and Instabilities of the Phillips Curve written by Karsten Reichold and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents evidence for sources and channels of nonlinearities and instabilities of the new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) for the euro area and all but four member states over the last two decades prior to the COVID-19 crisis. The approach rests upon misspecification testing using auxiliary regressions based on the standard open-economy hybrid NKPC. Using a large number of specifications, this approach allows to systematically, i. e., based on a literature review, disentangle the evidence for nonlinearities and instabilities of the NKPC according to sources and channels. For the euro area and most considered member states, there is substantial evidence for nonlinearities and instabilities. The relatively most important channels of nonlinearities and instabilities are similar across countries, whereas the relatively most important sources differ across countries. The results strongly indicate the need for considering nonlinear NKPC relationships in empirical analyses and also point towards potentially useful nonlinear specifications.

Nonlinearities in the Phillips Curve? : Empirical Evidence for Some European Countries

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (932 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinearities in the Phillips Curve? : Empirical Evidence for Some European Countries by : Sarah Rupprecht

Download or read book Nonlinearities in the Phillips Curve? : Empirical Evidence for Some European Countries written by Sarah Rupprecht and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Wage Curve

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262023757
Total Pages : 504 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (237 download)

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Book Synopsis The Wage Curve by : David G. Blanchflower

Download or read book The Wage Curve written by David G. Blanchflower and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1994 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Wage Curve casts doubt on some of the most important ideas in macroeconomics, labor economics, and regional economics. According to macroeconomic orthodoxy, there is a relationship between unemployment and the rate of change of wages. According to orthodoxy in labor economics and regional economics an area's wage is positively related to the amount of joblessness in the area. The Wage Curve suggests that both these beliefs are incorrect. Blanchflower and Oswald argue that the stable relationship is a downward-sloping convex curve linking local unemployment and the level of pay. Their study, one of the most intensive in the history of social science, is based on random samples that provide computerized information on nearly four million people from sixteen countries. Throughout, the authors systematically present evidence and possible explanations for their empirical law of economics.

Monetary Policy with a Convex Phillips Curve and Asymmetric Loss

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451921713
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy with a Convex Phillips Curve and Asymmetric Loss by : Demosthenes N. Tambakis

Download or read book Monetary Policy with a Convex Phillips Curve and Asymmetric Loss written by Demosthenes N. Tambakis and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-02-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent theoretical and empirical work has cast doubt on the hypotheses of a linear Phillips curve and a symmetric quadratic loss function underlying traditional thinking on monetary policy. This paper analyzes the Barro-Gordon optimal monetary policy problem under alternative loss functions—including an asymmetric loss function corresponding to the “opportunistic approach” to disinflation—when the Phillips curve is convex. Numerical simulations are used to compare the implications of the alternative loss functions for equilibrium levels of inflation and unemployment. For parameter estimates relevant to the United States, the symmetric loss function dominates the asymmetric alternative.

Inflation Expectations

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135179778
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (351 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Expectations by : Peter J. N. Sinclair

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Piecewise Linear Feedback Rules in a Non Linear Model of the Phillips Curve

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (248 download)

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Book Synopsis Piecewise Linear Feedback Rules in a Non Linear Model of the Phillips Curve by : Luisa Corrado

Download or read book Piecewise Linear Feedback Rules in a Non Linear Model of the Phillips Curve written by Luisa Corrado and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Nonlinearities in Economics

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030709825
Total Pages : 361 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinearities in Economics by : Giuseppe Orlando

Download or read book Nonlinearities in Economics written by Giuseppe Orlando and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-08-31 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This interdisciplinary book argues that the economy has an underlying non-linear structure and that business cycles are endogenous, which allows a greater explanatory power with respect to the traditional assumption that dynamics are stochastic and shocks are exogenous. The first part of this work is formal-methodological and provides the mathematical background needed for the remainder, while the second part presents the view that signal processing involves construction and deconstruction of information and that the efficacy of this process can be measured. The third part focuses on economics and provides the related background and literature on economic dynamics and the fourth part is devoted to new perspectives in understanding nonlinearities in economic dynamics: growth and cycles. By pursuing this approach, the book seeks to (1) determine whether, and if so where, common features exist, (2) discover some hidden features of economic dynamics, and (3) highlight specific indicators of structural changes in time series. Accordingly, it is a must read for everyone interested in a better understanding of economic dynamics, business cycles, econometrics and complex systems, as well as non-linear dynamics and chaos theory.

Nonparametric Estimation and Comparison of the G7 Phillips Curves

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3869436743
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (694 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonparametric Estimation and Comparison of the G7 Phillips Curves by : Benjamin Kluge

Download or read book Nonparametric Estimation and Comparison of the G7 Phillips Curves written by Benjamin Kluge and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2012-03-02 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Diploma Thesis from the year 2004 in the subject Economics - Statistics and Methods, grade: 1, Bielefeld University, language: English, abstract: Ziel der Arbeit ist es den seit langem wissenschaftlich diskutierten Zusammenhang zwischen Inflation und Arbeitslosigkeit, die Phillips-Kurve, mit Hilfe neuer statistischer Methoden zu untersuchen und seine verschiedenen Ausprägungen bei den G7-Staaten miteinander zu vergleichen. Dabei werden zwei weitere Einflüsse, Produktivität und Inflationsklima, miteinbezogen. Der erste Teil führt in die Diskussion der Phillips-Kurve ein. Im Folgenden werden die zur Analyse notwendigen Nichtparametrischen Verfahren vorgestellt und eingehend beschrieben. Die Analyse und der Vergleich der G7-Phillips-Kurven wird im vierten Kapitel durchgeführt. Im Anschluss daran folgt eine Zusammenfassung der Ergebnisse und ein Ausblick.

Inflation Dynamics and the Great Recession

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455263389
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Dynamics and the Great Recession by : Laurence M. Ball

Download or read book Inflation Dynamics and the Great Recession written by Laurence M. Ball and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-06-01 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines inflation dynamics in the United States since 1960, with a particular focus on the Great Recession. A puzzle emerges when Phillips curves estimated over 1960-2007 are ussed to predice inflation over 2008-2010: inflation should have fallen by more than it did. We resolve this puzzle with two modifications of the Phillips curve, both suggested by theories of costly price adjustment: we measure core inflation with the median CPI inflation rate, and we allow the slope of the Phillips curve to change with the level and vairance of inflation. We then examine the hypothesis of anchored inflation expectations. We find that expectations have been fully "shock-anchored" since the 1980s, while "level anchoring" has been gradual and partial, but significant. It is not clear whether expectations are sufficiently anchored to prevent deflation over the next few years. Finally, we show that the Great Recession provides fresh evidence against the New Keynesian Phillips curve with rational expectations.

United States

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484312708
Total Pages : 86 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis United States by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Download or read book United States written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-07-27 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 2017 Article IV Consultation highlights that the United States is in the longest expansion since 1850. The unemployment rate has fallen to 4.4 percent and job growth continues to be strong. The economy has gone through a temporary growth dip in the early part of 2017, but momentum has picked up. The economy is expected to grow at 2.1 percent in 2017 and 2018, supported by solid consumption growth and a rebound in investment. Over the next 12–18 months, personal consumer expenditure inflation is expected to slowly rise above 2 percent, before returning to the Federal Reserve’s medium-term target of 2 percent.

Feedback Systems

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 069121347X
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis Feedback Systems by : Karl Johan Åström

Download or read book Feedback Systems written by Karl Johan Åström and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-02-02 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The essential introduction to the principles and applications of feedback systems—now fully revised and expanded This textbook covers the mathematics needed to model, analyze, and design feedback systems. Now more user-friendly than ever, this revised and expanded edition of Feedback Systems is a one-volume resource for students and researchers in mathematics and engineering. It has applications across a range of disciplines that utilize feedback in physical, biological, information, and economic systems. Karl Åström and Richard Murray use techniques from physics, computer science, and operations research to introduce control-oriented modeling. They begin with state space tools for analysis and design, including stability of solutions, Lyapunov functions, reachability, state feedback observability, and estimators. The matrix exponential plays a central role in the analysis of linear control systems, allowing a concise development of many of the key concepts for this class of models. Åström and Murray then develop and explain tools in the frequency domain, including transfer functions, Nyquist analysis, PID control, frequency domain design, and robustness. Features a new chapter on design principles and tools, illustrating the types of problems that can be solved using feedback Includes a new chapter on fundamental limits and new material on the Routh-Hurwitz criterion and root locus plots Provides exercises at the end of every chapter Comes with an electronic solutions manual An ideal textbook for undergraduate and graduate students Indispensable for researchers seeking a self-contained resource on control theory

Business Cycles

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226978923
Total Pages : 613 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (269 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycles by : Victor Zarnowitz

Download or read book Business Cycles written by Victor Zarnowitz and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 613 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.

Economic Policy and the Great Stagflation

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 1483264564
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Policy and the Great Stagflation by : Alan S. Blinder

Download or read book Economic Policy and the Great Stagflation written by Alan S. Blinder and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-09-11 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Policy and the Great Stagflation discusses the national economic policy and economics as a policy-oriented science. This book summarizes what economists do and do not know about the inflation and recession that affected the U.S. economy during the years of the Great Stagflation in the mid-1970s. The topics discussed include the basic concepts of stagflation, turbulent economic history of 1971-1976, anatomy of the great recession and inflation, and legacy of the Great Stagflation. The relation of wage-price controls, fiscal policy, and monetary policy to the Great Stagflation is also elaborated. This publication is beneficial to economists and students researching on the history of the Great Stagflation and policy errors of the 1970s.

Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressions

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 364251684X
Total Pages : 369 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressions by : Hans-Martin Krolzig

Download or read book Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressions written by Hans-Martin Krolzig and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contributes to re cent developments on the statistical analysis of multiple time series in the presence of regime shifts. Markov-switching models have become popular for modelling non-linearities and regime shifts, mainly, in univariate eco nomic time series. This study is intended to provide a systematic and operational ap proach to the econometric modelling of dynamic systems subject to shifts in regime, based on the Markov-switching vector autoregressive model. The study presents a comprehensive analysis of the theoretical properties of Markov-switching vector autoregressive processes and the related statistical methods. The statistical concepts are illustrated with applications to empirical business cyde research. This monograph is a revised version of my dissertation which has been accepted by the Economics Department of the Humboldt-University of Berlin in 1996. It con sists mainly of unpublished material which has been presented during the last years at conferences and in seminars. The major parts of this study were written while I was supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschajt (DFG), Berliner Graduier tenkolleg Angewandte Mikroökonomik and Sondeiforschungsbereich 373 at the Free University and Humboldt-University of Berlin. Work was finally completed in the project The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Forecasting founded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) at the Institute of Economies and Statistics, University of Oxford. It is a pleasure to record my thanks to these institutions for their support of my research embodied in this study.

Macroeconomics of Growth Cycles and Financial Instability

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1849809178
Total Pages : 223 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (498 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomics of Growth Cycles and Financial Instability by : Piero Ferri

Download or read book Macroeconomics of Growth Cycles and Financial Instability written by Piero Ferri and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2011-01-01 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In light of the recent economic crisis and in keeping with Hyman Minsky's analysis of financial instability, this book considers the important interaction between cycles and growth, via the interplay between demand, supply andreal-world financial issues. This challenging book will prove a thought-provoking read for students and scholars of macroeconomics, heterodox economics, labour markets andmoney, finance and banking.