And Yet it Moves

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Author :
Publisher : Geneva Reports on the World Ec
ISBN 13 : 9781912179053
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (79 download)

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Book Synopsis And Yet it Moves by : David Miles

Download or read book And Yet it Moves written by David Miles and published by Geneva Reports on the World Ec. This book was released on 2018-10-30 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the last decade, the developed world has been hit by the deepest recession since the Great Depression and a rollercoaster in commodity prices. And yet, core inflation has been both low and fairly stable. A rule of thumb that inflation is always near 2%, though more often than not just a bit below, has been quite reliable. The young, or those with short memories, could be forgiven for looking condescendingly at their older friends who speak of inflation as a major economic problem. But, like Galileo Galilei told his contemporaries who thought the Earth was immovable, "Eppur si muove" ("and yet it moves"). Since most societies regard stable inflation as a goal, it is tempting to describe this solid anchoring of inflation as a great achievement of monetary policy. But what if it was just luck? Will the great anchoring soon lead a great bout of inflation, just as the Great Moderation was followed by the Great Recession? Do we need to change the way in which policy is set to better handle changed circumstances since the financial crash? The 19th Geneva Report on the World Economy starts by analysing outcomes across countries for the last ten years. Inflation is compared with its behaviour in the period before the financial crash to assess the extent to which it really has been stable, what the proximate causes are, and whether it will stay low in future. The report then assesses theories of inflation in light of these facts, and tries to make sense of them. Next, the report turns to the question we posed at the start: was it good policy or good luck that prevented severe deflation and kept inflation relatively steady? A description of what policies were adopted and how they interacted with economic shocks informs the conclusions on appropriate policies--both monetary and fiscal--for the future. The report pays particular attention tothe role of central banks and the extent of their activities.

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513536990
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Hysteresis and Business Cycles by : Ms.Valerie Cerra

Download or read book Hysteresis and Business Cycles written by Ms.Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-05-29 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Inflation and Activity – Two Explorations and their Monetary Policy Implications

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513555839
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation and Activity – Two Explorations and their Monetary Policy Implications by : Mr.Olivier J. Blanchard

Download or read book Inflation and Activity – Two Explorations and their Monetary Policy Implications written by Mr.Olivier J. Blanchard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-11-06 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We explore two issues triggered by the crisis. First, in most advanced countries, output remains far below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years in 23 countries. We find that a high proportion of them have been followed by lower output or even lower growth. To examine the second, we estimate a Phillips curve relation over the past 50 years for 20 countries. We find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then. We draw implications of our findings for monetary policy.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1986

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780262560375
Total Pages : 409 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (63 download)

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Book Synopsis NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1986 by :

Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1986 written by and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 409 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Confronting Finance

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Publisher : International Labor Office
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Confronting Finance by : Nicolas Pons-Vignon

Download or read book Confronting Finance written by Nicolas Pons-Vignon and published by International Labor Office. This book was released on 2012 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The unfolding economic crisis has unequivocally proved that neoliberal policies were no better for growth than for social progress. As poverty and inequality are rising to alarming levels in Europe, the old continent seems at a loss to respond. Political leaders seem content to liquidate the social gains made by workers' struggles. A small minority, possibly even smaller than 1 per cent, associated with the financial sector, stands to benefit from a deepening of neoliberalism. This new anthology of essays from the Global Labour Column explores Europe's turmoil and challenges the deep-rooted consequences of neoliberalism in the North and the South. It sheds light on new movements and ideas which are emerging to defend and mobilise workers, and points to encouraging new policies and directions which could lay the foundations of a new order that would put decent work and life at its core. A number of these come from the South, from which the North may have much to learn. [ILO website]

Fiscal Consolidation and Public Wages

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498320236
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Consolidation and Public Wages by : Juin-Jen Chang

Download or read book Fiscal Consolidation and Public Wages written by Juin-Jen Chang and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-06-10 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A New Keynesian model with government production, public compensation, and unemployment is fit to U.S. data to study the macroeconomic and fiscal effects of public wage reductions. We find that accounting for the type of government spending is crucial for its macroeconomic implications. Although reductions in public wages and government purchases of goods have similar effects on total output and the fiscal balance, the former can raise private output slightly, in contrast to the substantial contractionary effects of the latter. In addition, the baseline estimation finds that exogenous public wage reductions decrease private wages. Model counterfactuals show that sufficiently rigid nominal private wages can reverse the response of private wages, as the rigidity dampens the labor reallocation effect from the public to private sector that exerts downward pressure on private wages.

Explaining Unemployment in Spain

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451852576
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Explaining Unemployment in Spain by : Mr.Jeffrey R. Franks

Download or read book Explaining Unemployment in Spain written by Mr.Jeffrey R. Franks and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-09-01 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Spain has the most serious and persistent unemployment problem in Europe, with an unemployment rate that reached 24.6 percent in early 1994. This paper explores the characteristics of this unemployment problem, its causes, and provides a brief discussion of recent labor market reform measures and their likely Impact. A demographic shift in recent years has produced a large rise in female labor force participation and a decrease in agricultural jobs to which the economy has been unable to adjust. The effects of generous unemployment benefits and the large underground economy may explain 6–12 percentage points of the resulting unemployment, but the remainder must be explained by failures and rigidities in the labor market. The paper presents econometric evidence that unemployment displays hysteresis, and that wages are not responsive to changes in the unemployment rate. This evidence supports the claim that insider-outsider factors and rigidities in the legal structure of the labor market are responsible for much of the high unemployment rate. Recent reforms have improved the functioning of the labor market, but they are unlikely to be sufficient to reduce unemployment to single digit rates without further action.

Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis

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Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022601844X
Total Pages : 596 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis by : Alberto Alesina

Download or read book Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis written by Alberto Alesina and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-06-25 with total page 596 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent recession has brought fiscal policy back to the forefront, with economists and policy makers struggling to reach a consensus on highly political issues like tax rates and government spending. At the heart of the debate are fiscal multipliers, whose size and sensitivity determine the power of such policies to influence economic growth. Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis focuses on the effects of fiscal stimuli and increased government spending, with contributions that consider the measurement of the multiplier effect and its size. In the face of uncertainty over the sustainability of recent economic policies, further contributions to this volume discuss the merits of alternate means of debt reduction through decreased government spending or increased taxes. A final section examines how the short-term political forces driving fiscal policy might be balanced with aspects of the long-term planning governing monetary policy. A direct intervention in timely debates, Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis offers invaluable insights about various responses to the recent financial crisis.

One Market, One Money

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780198773245
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (732 download)

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Book Synopsis One Market, One Money by : Michael Emerson

Download or read book One Market, One Money written by Michael Emerson and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The European Community is negotiating a new treaty to establish the constitutional foundations of an economic and monetary union in the course of the 1990s. This study provides the only comprehensive guide to the economic implications of economic and monetary union. The work of an economist inside the Commission of the European Community, it reflects the considerations influencing the design of the union. The study creates a unique bridge between the insights of modern economic analysis and the work of the policy makers preparing for economic and monetary union.

The Regulated Economy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Regulated Economy by : New Zealand Planning Council. Economic Monitoring Group

Download or read book The Regulated Economy written by New Zealand Planning Council. Economic Monitoring Group and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Doing Business 2020

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464814414
Total Pages : 254 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Doing Business 2020 by : World Bank

Download or read book Doing Business 2020 written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2019-11-21 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seventeen in a series of annual reports comparing business regulation in 190 economies, Doing Business 2020 measures aspects of regulation affecting 10 areas of everyday business activity.

Europe Reforms Labour Markets

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Publisher : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN 13 : 3110365103
Total Pages : 398 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Europe Reforms Labour Markets by : Aart De Geus

Download or read book Europe Reforms Labour Markets written by Aart De Geus and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2016-03-07 with total page 398 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Focusing on the perspectives of policy-makers, the book's purpose is to closely examine the factors that make for successful/unsuccessful labor market related policy reforms. The aim is to reveal the political aspects, namely the chances, challenges and impediments to designing labor market reforms and to establish the conditions under which successful labor market reforms can be advocated, adopted and implemented (process). The work includes exclusive interviews with twelve former European prime ministers about the labour market reforms they initiated in their respective countries: Wolfgang Schüssel Anders Fogh Rasmussen Andrus Ansip François Fillon Gerhard Schröder Georgios Papandreou Mario Monti Jan Peter Balkenende Jerzy Buzek Iveta Radicová Luis Rodríguez Zapatero Tony Blair

Modeling Economic Growth in Contemporary Greece

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Author :
Publisher : Emerald Publishing Limited
ISBN 13 : 9781800711235
Total Pages : 404 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Economic Growth in Contemporary Greece by : Vasileios Vlachos

Download or read book Modeling Economic Growth in Contemporary Greece written by Vasileios Vlachos and published by Emerald Publishing Limited. This book was released on 2021-11-04 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modeling Economic Growth in Contemporary Greece assesses the conditions shaping the Greek economy's restart, discussing the effect of institutions on the business environment and highlighting the factors which are critical for achieving sustainable economic growth.

OECD Employment Outlook

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Publisher : OCDE
ISBN 13 : 9789264210929
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis OECD Employment Outlook by : OCDE

Download or read book OECD Employment Outlook written by OCDE and published by OCDE. This book was released on 2014-09-11 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The OECD Employment Outlook 2014 looks at labour markets in the wake of the crisis. As always, it includes an extensive statistical annex.

Macroeconomic Imbalances

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Imbalances by : European Commission. Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs

Download or read book Macroeconomic Imbalances written by European Commission. Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: On 14 February 2012, the European Commission presented its first Alert Mechanism Report (AMR), prepared in accordance with Article 3 of Regulation (EU) No 1176/2011 on the prevention and correction of macroeconomic imbalances. The AMR serves as an initial screening device, helping to identify Member States that warrant further in-depth analysis to determine whether imbalances exist or risk emerging. According to Article 5 of Regulation No. 1176/2011, these country-specific ?in-depth reviews? should examine the nature, origin and severity of macroeconomic developments in the Member State concerned which constitute, or could lead to, imbalances. On the basis of this analysis, the Commission will establish whether it considers that an imbalance exists and what type of policy follow-up it will recommend to the Council. For Slovenia, the AMR noted that two indicators in the scoreboard exceeded their thresholds in 2010 and suggested the need to assess the development and drivers of potential imbalances. The AMR explained that in the years before the crisis, Slovenia enjoyed strong growth and domestic demand conditions, coupled with some losses in price competitiveness and a gradual widening of the current account deficit. It identified signs that overheating occurred, particularly as regards private sector credit growth, construction value added and property prices. The Slovenian economy was hit hard by the global crisis and the AMR noted that this has brought some, perhaps temporary, adjustment in the external balance but this is still at an early stage. Against this background, Section 2 examines the external and internal dimensions of imbalances including developments in competitiveness, private sector indebtedness and in asset markets. This is followed by a closer look at the implications of indebtedness of non-financial corporations for the banking sector in Section 3. Section 4 presents possible policy considerations.

Lessons from the Great Recession

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 350 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (16 download)

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Book Synopsis Lessons from the Great Recession by :

Download or read book Lessons from the Great Recession written by and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Annotation This volume examines global cases of environmental sustainability and economics in the context of nations from multi-disciplinary perspectives. It analyses the problems faced globally as economies try to build a sustainable future in the aftermath of the 'great recession', and the recent economic and financial crisis.

The European Union in the 21st Century

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789290799290
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (992 download)

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Book Synopsis The European Union in the 21st Century by : Stefano Micossi

Download or read book The European Union in the 21st Century written by Stefano Micossi and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The contributors to this book are all members of EuropEos, a multidisciplinary group of jurists, economists, political scientists, and journalists in an ongoing forum discussing European institutional issues. The essays analyze emerging shifts in common policies, institutional settings, and legitimization, sketching out possible scenarios for the European Union of the 21st century. They are grouped into three sections, devoted to economics and consensus, international projection of the Union, and the institutional framework. Even after the major organizational reforms introduced to the EU by the new Treaty of Lisbon, which came into force in December 2009, Europe appears to remain an entity in flux, in search of its ultimate destiny. In line with the very essence of EuropEos, the views collected in this volume are sometimes at odds in their specific conclusions, but they stem from a common commitment to the European construction.