Read Books Online and Download eBooks, EPub, PDF, Mobi, Kindle, Text Full Free.
Modelisation En Probabilites
Download Modelisation En Probabilites full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. Read online Modelisation En Probabilites ebook anywhere anytime directly on your device. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. We cannot guarantee that every ebooks is available!
Book Synopsis Exploring Probability in School by : Graham A. Jones
Download or read book Exploring Probability in School written by Graham A. Jones and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-03-30 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exploring Probability in School provides a new perspective into research on the teaching and learning of probability. It creates this perspective by recognizing and analysing the special challenges faced by teachers and learners in contemporary classrooms where probability has recently become a mainstream part of the curriculum from early childhood through high school. The authors of the book discuss the nature of probability, look at the meaning of probabilistic literacy, and examine student access to powerful ideas in probability during the elementary, middle, and high school years. Moreover, they assemble and analyse research-based pedagogical knowledge for teachers that can enhance the learning of probability throughout these school years. With the book’s rich application of probability research to classroom practice, it will not only be essential reading for researchers and graduate students involved in probability education; it will also capture the interest of educational policy makers, curriculum personnel, teacher educators, and teachers.
Book Synopsis Probability and Bayesian Modeling by : Jim Albert
Download or read book Probability and Bayesian Modeling written by Jim Albert and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-12-06 with total page 553 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability and Bayesian Modeling is an introduction to probability and Bayesian thinking for undergraduate students with a calculus background. The first part of the book provides a broad view of probability including foundations, conditional probability, discrete and continuous distributions, and joint distributions. Statistical inference is presented completely from a Bayesian perspective. The text introduces inference and prediction for a single proportion and a single mean from Normal sampling. After fundamentals of Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are introduced, Bayesian inference is described for hierarchical and regression models including logistic regression. The book presents several case studies motivated by some historical Bayesian studies and the authors’ research. This text reflects modern Bayesian statistical practice. Simulation is introduced in all the probability chapters and extensively used in the Bayesian material to simulate from the posterior and predictive distributions. One chapter describes the basic tenets of Metropolis and Gibbs sampling algorithms; however several chapters introduce the fundamentals of Bayesian inference for conjugate priors to deepen understanding. Strategies for constructing prior distributions are described in situations when one has substantial prior information and for cases where one has weak prior knowledge. One chapter introduces hierarchical Bayesian modeling as a practical way of combining data from different groups. There is an extensive discussion of Bayesian regression models including the construction of informative priors, inference about functions of the parameters of interest, prediction, and model selection. The text uses JAGS (Just Another Gibbs Sampler) as a general-purpose computational method for simulating from posterior distributions for a variety of Bayesian models. An R package ProbBayes is available containing all of the book datasets and special functions for illustrating concepts from the book. A complete solutions manual is available for instructors who adopt the book in the Additional Resources section.
Book Synopsis Concepts in Probability and Stochastic Modeling by : James J. Higgins
Download or read book Concepts in Probability and Stochastic Modeling written by James J. Higgins and published by Duxbury Resource Center. This book was released on 1995 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text stresses modern ideas, including simulation and interpretation of results. It focuses on the aspects of probability most relevant to applications, such as stochastic modeling, Markov chains, reliability, and queuing.
Book Synopsis Probability, Statistics and Modelling in Public Health by : M.S. Nikulin
Download or read book Probability, Statistics and Modelling in Public Health written by M.S. Nikulin and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-02-10 with total page 501 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability, Statistics and Modelling in Public Health consists of refereed contributions by expert biostatisticians that discuss various probabilistic and statistical models used in public health. Many of them are based on the work of Marvin Zelen of the Harvard School of Public Health. Topics discussed include models based on Markov and semi-Markov processes, multi-state models, models and methods in lifetime data analysis, accelerated failure models, design and analysis of clinical trials, Bayesian methods, pharmaceutical and environmental statistics, degradation models, epidemiological methods, screening programs, early detection of diseases, and measurement and analysis of quality of life.
Book Synopsis Probability Modeling and Computer Simulation by : Norman S. Matloff
Download or read book Probability Modeling and Computer Simulation written by Norman S. Matloff and published by Wadsworth Publishing Company. This book was released on 1988 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Modelling Extremal Events by : Paul Embrechts
Download or read book Modelling Extremal Events written by Paul Embrechts and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 657 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A reader's first impression on leafing through this book is of the large number of graphs and diagrams, used to illustrate shapes of distributions...and to show real data examples in various ways. A closer reading reveals a nice mix of theory and applications, with the copious graphical illustrations alluded to. Such a mixture is of course dear to the heart of the applied probabilist/statistician, and should impress even the most ardent theorists." --MATHEMATICAL REVIEWS
Book Synopsis Geometric Modeling in Probability and Statistics by : Ovidiu Calin
Download or read book Geometric Modeling in Probability and Statistics written by Ovidiu Calin and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-07-17 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book covers topics of Informational Geometry, a field which deals with the differential geometric study of the manifold probability density functions. This is a field that is increasingly attracting the interest of researchers from many different areas of science, including mathematics, statistics, geometry, computer science, signal processing, physics and neuroscience. It is the authors’ hope that the present book will be a valuable reference for researchers and graduate students in one of the aforementioned fields. This textbook is a unified presentation of differential geometry and probability theory, and constitutes a text for a course directed at graduate or advanced undergraduate students interested in applications of differential geometry in probability and statistics. The book contains over 100 proposed exercises meant to help students deepen their understanding, and it is accompanied by software that is able to provide numerical computations of several information geometric objects. The reader will understand a flourishing field of mathematics in which very few books have been written so far.
Book Synopsis Teaching Statistics in School Mathematics-Challenges for Teaching and Teacher Education by : Carmen Batanero
Download or read book Teaching Statistics in School Mathematics-Challenges for Teaching and Teacher Education written by Carmen Batanero and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-07-31 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Teaching Statistics in School Mathematics-Challenges for Teaching and Teacher Education results from the Joint ICMI/IASE Study Teaching Statistics in School Mathematics: Challenges for Teaching and Teacher Education. Oriented to analyse the teaching of statistics in school and to recommend improvements in the training of mathematics teachers to encourage success in preparing statistically literate students, the volume provides a picture of the current situation in both the teaching of school statistics and the pre-service education of mathematics teachers. A primary goal of Teaching Statistics in School Mathematics-Challenges for Teaching and Teacher Education is to describe the essential elements of statistics, teacher’s professional knowledge and their learning experiences. Moreover, a research agenda that invites new research, while building from current knowledge, is developed. Recommendations about strategies and materials, available to train prospective teachers in university and in-service teachers who have not been adequately prepared, are also accessible to the reader.
Book Synopsis Probability Theory and Statistical Inference by : Aris Spanos
Download or read book Probability Theory and Statistical Inference written by Aris Spanos and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1999-09-02 with total page 848 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This major new textbook is intended for students taking introductory courses in Probability Theory and Statistical Inference. The primary objective of this book is to establish the framework for the empirical modelling of observational (non-experimental) data. The text is extremely student-friendly, with pathways designed for semester usage, and although aimed primarily at students at second-year undergraduate level and above studying econometrics and economics, Probability Theory and Statistical Inference will also be useful for students in other disciplines which make extensive use of observational data, including Finance, Biology, Sociology and Psychology.
Book Synopsis Probabilités et statistiques à l'usage de l'ingénieur by : ZAÏDI Abdelhamid
Download or read book Probabilités et statistiques à l'usage de l'ingénieur written by ZAÏDI Abdelhamid and published by Lavoisier. This book was released on 2012-09-05 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: La théorie des probabilités concerne la modélisation du hasard et le calcul des probabilités, son évaluation. La statistique fournit des outils pour la caractérisation du hasard à partir de son observation et constitue un outil incontournable d'aide à la décision. Ce livre présente la théorie des probabilités et de la statistique généralement enseignée aux ingénieurs. Tout en consacrant plus d'espace aux probabilités, il contient tous les sujets essentiels de la statistique. Il comporte trois parties : la première est une introduction à la théorie des probabilités, la deuxième partie est consacrée à l'étude des processus de Markov à temps discret et continu et aux systèmes de files d'attente, la troisième partie aborde des sujets d'usage courant de la statistique inférentielle : l'estimation, la théorie des tests et la régression linéaire. L'accent est mis sur les applications des résultats théoriques. Des exercices corrigés extraits de divers champs d'application et des programmes de simulation accompagnent chaque chapitre de l'ouvrage. Les algorithmes de simulation sont traduits en langage MATLAB en vertu de la simplicité de la syntaxe de ce dernier et de son accessibilité à bon nombre de scientifiques. Les fonctions prédéfinies dans les boîtes à outils accompagnant le logiciel MATLAB ne sont pas systématiquement utilisées afin de permettre au lecteur de traduire les programmes proposés dans n'importe quel autre langage. Ce manuel s'adresse principalement aux étudiants en génie et en sciences appliquées. Il intéresse également les enseignants, les chercheurs, les ingénieurs (génie logiciel, télécommunication, maintenance, finance) et constitue un support de cours dans les écoles d'ingénieurs et les universités.
Book Synopsis Computational Probability and Simulation by : Sidney J. Yakowitz
Download or read book Computational Probability and Simulation written by Sidney J. Yakowitz and published by Addison Wesley Publishing Company. This book was released on 1977 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Random processes and Random number generators; Simulation of probability experiments; Gaming, Random Walks, and linear equations; Gambler's ruin with extensions to inventory control; Limiting processes for Random Walks and time series simulation; Monte Carlo integration and solution of differential equations.
Book Synopsis Classic Problems of Probability by : Prakash Gorroochurn
Download or read book Classic Problems of Probability written by Prakash Gorroochurn and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-05-02 with total page 341 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner of the 2012 PROSE Award for Mathematics from The American Publishers Awards for Professional and Scholarly Excellence. "A great book, one that I will certainly add to my personal library." —Paul J. Nahin, Professor Emeritus of Electrical Engineering, University of New Hampshire Classic Problems of Probability presents a lively account of the most intriguing aspects of statistics. The book features a large collection of more than thirty classic probability problems which have been carefully selected for their interesting history, the way they have shaped the field, and their counterintuitive nature. From Cardano's 1564 Games of Chance to Jacob Bernoulli's 1713 Golden Theorem to Parrondo's 1996 Perplexing Paradox, the book clearly outlines the puzzles and problems of probability, interweaving the discussion with rich historical detail and the story of how the mathematicians involved arrived at their solutions. Each problem is given an in-depth treatment, including detailed and rigorous mathematical proofs as needed. Some of the fascinating topics discussed by the author include: Buffon's Needle problem and its ingenious treatment by Joseph Barbier, culminating into a discussion of invariance Various paradoxes raised by Joseph Bertrand Classic problems in decision theory, including Pascal's Wager, Kraitchik's Neckties, and Newcomb's problem The Bayesian paradigm and various philosophies of probability Coverage of both elementary and more complex problems, including the Chevalier de Méré problems, Fisher and the lady testing tea, the birthday problem and its various extensions, and the Borel-Kolmogorov paradox Classic Problems of Probability is an eye-opening, one-of-a-kind reference for researchers and professionals interested in the history of probability and the varied problem-solving strategies employed throughout the ages. The book also serves as an insightful supplement for courses on mathematical probability and introductory probability and statistics at the undergraduate level.
Book Synopsis Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modelling by : Mauricio Suárez
Download or read book Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modelling written by Mauricio Suárez and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-01-21 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Element has two main aims. The first one (sections 1-7) is an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability. It describes recent historiography, lays out the distinction between subjective and objective notions, and concludes by applying the historical lessons to the main interpretations of probability. The second aim (sections 8-13) focuses entirely on objective probability, and advances a number of novel theses regarding its role in scientific practice. A distinction is drawn between traditional attempts to interpret chance, and a novel methodological study of its application. A radical form of pluralism is then introduced, advocating a tripartite distinction between propensities, probabilities and frequencies. Finally, a distinction is drawn between two different applications of chance in statistical modelling which, it is argued, vindicates the overall methodological approach. The ensuing conception of objective probability in practice is the 'complex nexus of chance'.
Book Synopsis Elements of Stochastic Modelling by : K Borovkov
Download or read book Elements of Stochastic Modelling written by K Borovkov and published by World Scientific Publishing Company. This book was released on 2003-02-28 with total page 357 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook has been developed from the lecture notes for a one-semester course on stochastic modelling. It reviews the basics of probability theory and then covers the following topics: Markov chains, Markov decision processes, jump Markov processes, elements of queueing theory, basic renewal theory, elements of time series and simulation. Rigorous proofs are often replaced with sketches of arguments — with indications as to why a particular result holds, and also how it is connected with other results — and illustrated by examples. Wherever possible, the book includes references to more specialised texts containing both proofs and more advanced material related to the topics covered.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Simulation and Monte Carlo Methods by : Carl Graham
Download or read book Stochastic Simulation and Monte Carlo Methods written by Carl Graham and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-07-16 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In various scientific and industrial fields, stochastic simulations are taking on a new importance. This is due to the increasing power of computers and practitioners’ aim to simulate more and more complex systems, and thus use random parameters as well as random noises to model the parametric uncertainties and the lack of knowledge on the physics of these systems. The error analysis of these computations is a highly complex mathematical undertaking. Approaching these issues, the authors present stochastic numerical methods and prove accurate convergence rate estimates in terms of their numerical parameters (number of simulations, time discretization steps). As a result, the book is a self-contained and rigorous study of the numerical methods within a theoretical framework. After briefly reviewing the basics, the authors first introduce fundamental notions in stochastic calculus and continuous-time martingale theory, then develop the analysis of pure-jump Markov processes, Poisson processes, and stochastic differential equations. In particular, they review the essential properties of Itô integrals and prove fundamental results on the probabilistic analysis of parabolic partial differential equations. These results in turn provide the basis for developing stochastic numerical methods, both from an algorithmic and theoretical point of view. The book combines advanced mathematical tools, theoretical analysis of stochastic numerical methods, and practical issues at a high level, so as to provide optimal results on the accuracy of Monte Carlo simulations of stochastic processes. It is intended for master and Ph.D. students in the field of stochastic processes and their numerical applications, as well as for physicists, biologists, economists and other professionals working with stochastic simulations, who will benefit from the ability to reliably estimate and control the accuracy of their simulations.
Book Synopsis Martingale Methods in Financial Modelling by : Marek Musiela
Download or read book Martingale Methods in Financial Modelling written by Marek Musiela and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-01-20 with total page 721 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A new edition of a successful, well-established book that provides the reader with a text focused on practical rather than theoretical aspects of financial modelling Includes a new chapter devoted to volatility risk The theme of stochastic volatility reappears systematically and has been revised fundamentally, presenting a much more detailed analyses of interest-rate models
Download or read book In All Likelihood written by Yudi Pawitan and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2013-01-17 with total page 626 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on a course in the theory of statistics this text concentrates on what can be achieved using the likelihood/Fisherian method of taking account of uncertainty when studying a statistical problem. It takes the concept ot the likelihood as providing the best methods for unifying the demands of statistical modelling and the theory of inference. Every likelihood concept is illustrated by realistic examples, which are not compromised by computational problems. Examples range from a simile comparison of two accident rates, to complex studies that require generalised linear or semiparametric modelling. The emphasis is that the likelihood is not simply a device to produce an estimate, but an important tool for modelling. The book generally takes an informal approach, where most important results are established using heuristic arguments and motivated with realistic examples. With the currently available computing power, examples are not contrived to allow a closed analytical solution, and the book can concentrate on the statistical aspects of the data modelling. In addition to classical likelihood theory, the book covers many modern topics such as generalized linear models and mixed models, non parametric smoothing, robustness, the EM algorithm and empirical likelihood.
