Modeling Infectious Disease Parameters Based On Serological And Social Contact Data

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Modeling Infectious Disease Parameters Based on Serological and Social Contact Data

Author : Niel Hens
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461440726
Total Pages : 300 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Infectious Disease Parameters Based on Serological and Social Contact Data by : Niel Hens

Download or read book Modeling Infectious Disease Parameters Based on Serological and Social Contact Data written by Niel Hens and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-10-24 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical epidemiology of infectious diseases usually involves describing the flow of individuals between mutually exclusive infection states. One of the key parameters describing the transition from the susceptible to the infected class is the hazard of infection, often referred to as the force of infection. The force of infection reflects the degree of contact with potential for transmission between infected and susceptible individuals. The mathematical relation between the force of infection and effective contact patterns is generally assumed to be subjected to the mass action principle, which yields the necessary information to estimate the basic reproduction number, another key parameter in infectious disease epidemiology. It is within this context that the Center for Statistics (CenStat, I-Biostat, Hasselt University) and the Centre for the Evaluation of Vaccination and the Centre for Health Economic Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases (CEV, CHERMID, Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp) have collaborated over the past 15 years. This book demonstrates the past and current research activities of these institutes and can be considered to be a milestone in this collaboration. This book is focused on the application of modern statistical methods and models to estimate infectious disease parameters. We want to provide the readers with software guidance, such as R packages, and with data, as far as they can be made publicly available.

Handbook of Infectious Disease Data Analysis

Author : Leonhard Held
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1351839314
Total Pages : 472 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Infectious Disease Data Analysis by : Leonhard Held

Download or read book Handbook of Infectious Disease Data Analysis written by Leonhard Held and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-11-07 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent years have seen an explosion in new kinds of data on infectious diseases, including data on social contacts, whole genome sequences of pathogens, biomarkers for susceptibility to infection, serological panel data, and surveillance data. The Handbook of Infectious Disease Data Analysis provides an overview of many key statistical methods that have been developed in response to such new data streams and the associated ability to address key scientific and epidemiological questions. A unique feature of the Handbook is the wide range of topics covered. Key features Contributors include many leading researchers in the field Divided into four main sections: Basic concepts, Analysis of Outbreak Data, Analysis of Seroprevalence Data, Analysis of Surveillance Data Numerous case studies and examples throughout Provides both introductory material and key reference material

Modeling Infectious Diseases in Humans and Animals

Author : Matt J. Keeling
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400841038
Total Pages : 385 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Infectious Diseases in Humans and Animals by : Matt J. Keeling

Download or read book Modeling Infectious Diseases in Humans and Animals written by Matt J. Keeling and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-09-19 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For epidemiologists, evolutionary biologists, and health-care professionals, real-time and predictive modeling of infectious disease is of growing importance. This book provides a timely and comprehensive introduction to the modeling of infectious diseases in humans and animals, focusing on recent developments as well as more traditional approaches. Matt Keeling and Pejman Rohani move from modeling with simple differential equations to more recent, complex models, where spatial structure, seasonal "forcing," or stochasticity influence the dynamics, and where computer simulation needs to be used to generate theory. In each of the eight chapters, they deal with a specific modeling approach or set of techniques designed to capture a particular biological factor. They illustrate the methodology used with examples from recent research literature on human and infectious disease modeling, showing how such techniques can be used in practice. Diseases considered include BSE, foot-and-mouth, HIV, measles, rubella, smallpox, and West Nile virus, among others. Particular attention is given throughout the book to the development of practical models, useful both as predictive tools and as a means to understand fundamental epidemiological processes. To emphasize this approach, the last chapter is dedicated to modeling and understanding the control of diseases through vaccination, quarantine, or culling. Comprehensive, practical introduction to infectious disease modeling Builds from simple to complex predictive models Models and methodology fully supported by examples drawn from research literature Practical models aid students' understanding of fundamental epidemiological processes For many of the models presented, the authors provide accompanying programs written in Java, C, Fortran, and MATLAB In-depth treatment of role of modeling in understanding disease control

Analyzing and Modeling Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Infectious Diseases

Author : Dongmei Chen
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118629914
Total Pages : 496 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (186 download)

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Book Synopsis Analyzing and Modeling Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Infectious Diseases by : Dongmei Chen

Download or read book Analyzing and Modeling Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Infectious Diseases written by Dongmei Chen and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-12-08 with total page 496 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Features modern research and methodology on the spread of infectious diseases and showcases a broad range of multi-disciplinary and state-of-the-art techniques on geo-simulation, geo-visualization, remote sensing, metapopulation modeling, cloud computing, and pattern analysis Given the ongoing risk of infectious diseases worldwide, it is crucial to develop appropriate analysis methods, models, and tools to assess and predict the spread of disease and evaluate the risk. Analyzing and Modeling Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Infectious Diseases features mathematical and spatial modeling approaches that integrate applications from various fields such as geo-computation and simulation, spatial analytics, mathematics, statistics, epidemiology, and health policy. In addition, the book captures the latest advances in the use of geographic information system (GIS), global positioning system (GPS), and other location-based technologies in the spatial and temporal study of infectious diseases. Highlighting the current practices and methodology via various infectious disease studies, Analyzing and Modeling Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Infectious Diseases features: Approaches to better use infectious disease data collected from various sources for analysis and modeling purposes Examples of disease spreading dynamics, including West Nile virus, bird flu, Lyme disease, pandemic influenza (H1N1), and schistosomiasis Modern techniques such as Smartphone use in spatio-temporal usage data, cloud computing-enabled cluster detection, and communicable disease geo-simulation based on human mobility An overview of different mathematical, statistical, spatial modeling, and geo-simulation techniques Analyzing and Modeling Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Infectious Diseases is an excellent resource for researchers and scientists who use, manage, or analyze infectious disease data, need to learn various traditional and advanced analytical methods and modeling techniques, and become aware of different issues and challenges related to infectious disease modeling and simulation. The book is also a useful textbook and/or supplement for upper-undergraduate and graduate-level courses in bioinformatics, biostatistics, public health and policy, and epidemiology.

An Introduction to Infectious Disease Modelling

Author : Emilia Vynnycky
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198565763
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (985 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Infectious Disease Modelling by : Emilia Vynnycky

Download or read book An Introduction to Infectious Disease Modelling written by Emilia Vynnycky and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2010-05-13 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical models are increasingly used to guide public health policy decisions and explore questions in infectious disease control. Written for readers without advanced mathematical skills, this book provides an introduction to this area.

Modeling and Dynamics of Infectious Diseases

Author : Zhien Ma
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814261254
Total Pages : 355 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (142 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling and Dynamics of Infectious Diseases by : Zhien Ma

Download or read book Modeling and Dynamics of Infectious Diseases written by Zhien Ma and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2009 with total page 355 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a systematic introduction to the fundamental methods and techniques and the frontiers of ? along with many new ideas and results on ? infectious disease modeling, parameter estimation and transmission dynamics. It provides complementary approaches, from deterministic to statistical to network modeling; and it seeks viewpoints of the same issues from different angles, from mathematical modeling to statistical analysis to computer simulations and finally to concrete applications.

Charting the Next Pandemic

Author : Ana Pastore y Piontti
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 331993290X
Total Pages : 221 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Charting the Next Pandemic by : Ana Pastore y Piontti

Download or read book Charting the Next Pandemic written by Ana Pastore y Piontti and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-07 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an introduction to the computational and complex systems modeling of the global spreading of infectious diseases. The latest developments in the area of contagion processes modeling are discussed, and readers are exposed to real world examples of data-model integration impacting the decision-making process. Recent advances in computational science and the increasing availability of real-world data are making it possible to develop realistic scenarios and real-time forecasts of the global spreading of emerging health threats. The first part of the book guides the reader through sophisticated complex systems modeling techniques with a non-technical and visual approach, explaining and illustrating the construction of the modern framework used to project the spread of pandemics and epidemics. Models can be used to transform data to knowledge that is intuitively communicated by powerful infographics and for this reason, the second part of the book focuses on a set of charts that illustrate possible scenarios of future pandemics. The visual atlas contained allows the reader to identify commonalities and patterns in emerging health threats, as well as explore the wide range of models and data that can be used by policy makers to anticipate trends, evaluate risks and eventually manage future events. Charting the Next Pandemic puts the reader in the position to explore different pandemic scenarios and to understand the potential impact of available containment and prevention strategies. This book emphasizes the importance of a global perspective in the assessment of emerging health threats and captures the possible evolution of the next pandemic, while at the same time providing the intelligence needed to fight it. The text will appeal to a wide range of audiences with diverse technical backgrounds.

The Geographic Spread of Infectious Diseases

Author : Lisa Sattenspiel
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 069112132X
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis The Geographic Spread of Infectious Diseases by : Lisa Sattenspiel

Download or read book The Geographic Spread of Infectious Diseases written by Lisa Sattenspiel and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-07-26 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 1918-19 influenza epidemic killed more than fifty million people worldwide. The SARS epidemic of 2002-3, by comparison, killed fewer than a thousand. The success in containing the spread of SARS was due largely to the rapid global response of public health authorities, which was aided by insights resulting from mathematical models. Models enabled authorities to better understand how the disease spread and to assess the relative effectiveness of different control strategies. In this book, Lisa Sattenspiel and Alun Lloyd provide a comprehensive introduction to mathematical models in epidemiology and show how they can be used to predict and control the geographic spread of major infectious diseases. Key concepts in infectious disease modeling are explained, readers are guided from simple mathematical models to more complex ones, and the strengths and weaknesses of these models are explored. The book highlights the breadth of techniques available to modelers today, such as population-based and individual-based models, and covers specific applications as well. Sattenspiel and Lloyd examine the powerful mathematical models that health authorities have developed to understand the spatial distribution and geographic spread of influenza, measles, foot-and-mouth disease, and SARS. Analytic methods geographers use to study human infectious diseases and the dynamics of epidemics are also discussed. A must-read for students, researchers, and practitioners, no other book provides such an accessible introduction to this exciting and fast-evolving field.

Infectious Disease Modeling

Author : Xinzhi Liu
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319532081
Total Pages : 271 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Infectious Disease Modeling by : Xinzhi Liu

Download or read book Infectious Disease Modeling written by Xinzhi Liu and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-02-25 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents infectious diseases modeled mathematically, taking seasonality and changes in population behavior into account, using a switched and hybrid systems framework. The scope of coverage includes background on mathematical epidemiology, including classical formulations and results; a motivation for seasonal effects and changes in population behavior, an investigation into term-time forced epidemic models with switching parameters, and a detailed account of several different control strategies. The main goal is to study these models theoretically and to establish conditions under which eradication or persistence of the disease is guaranteed. In doing so, the long-term behavior of the models is determined through mathematical techniques from switched systems theory. Numerical simulations are also given to augment and illustrate the theoretical results and to help study the efficacy of the control schemes.

Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases

Author : O. Diekmann
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780471492412
Total Pages : 324 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (924 download)

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Book Synopsis Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases by : O. Diekmann

Download or read book Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases written by O. Diekmann and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2000-04-07 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases Model Building, Analysis and Interpretation O. Diekmann University of Utrecht, The Netherlands J. A. P. Heesterbeek Centre for Biometry Wageningen, The Netherlands The mathematical modelling of epidemics in populations is a vast and important area of study. It is about translating biological assumptions into mathematics, about mathematical analysis aided by interpretation and about obtaining insight into epidemic phenomena when translating mathematical results back into population biology. Model assumptions are formulated in terms of, usually stochastic, behaviour of individuals and then the resulting phenomena, at the population level, are unravelled. Conceptual clarity is attained, assumptions are stated clearly, hidden working hypotheses are attained and mechanistic links between different observables are exposed. Features: * Model construction, analysis and interpretation receive detailed attention * Uniquely covers both deterministic and stochastic viewpoints * Examples of applications given throughout * Extensive coverage of the latest research into the mathematical modelling of epidemics of infectious diseases * Provides a solid foundation of modelling skills The reader will learn to translate, model, analyse and interpret, with the help of the numerous exercises. In literally working through this text, the reader acquires modelling skills that are also valuable outside of epidemiology, certainly within population dynamics, but even beyond that. In addition, the reader receives training in mathematical argumentation. The text is aimed at applied mathematicians with an interest in population biology and epidemiology, at theoretical biologists and epidemiologists. Previous exposure to epidemic concepts is not required, as all background information is given. The book is primarily aimed at self-study and ideally suited for small discussion groups, or for use as a course text.

Modern Infectious Disease Epidemiology

Author : Alexander Krämer
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387938354
Total Pages : 441 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (879 download)

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Book Synopsis Modern Infectious Disease Epidemiology by : Alexander Krämer

Download or read book Modern Infectious Disease Epidemiology written by Alexander Krämer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-01-23 with total page 441 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hardly a day goes by without news headlines concerning infectious disease threats. Currently the spectre of a pandemic of influenza A|H1N1 is raising its head, and heated debates are taking place about the pro’s and con’s of vaccinating young girls against human papilloma virus. For an evidence-based and responsible communication of infectious disease topics to avoid misunderstandings and overreaction of the public, we need solid scientific knowledge and an understanding of all aspects of infectious diseases and their control. The aim of our book is to present the reader with the general picture and the main ideas of the subject. The book introduces the reader to methodological aspects of epidemiology that are specific for infectious diseases and provides insight into the epidemiology of some classes of infectious diseases characterized by their main modes of transmission. This choice of topics bridges the gap between scientific research on the clinical, biological, mathematical, social and economic aspects of infectious diseases and their applications in public health. The book will help the reader to understand the impact of infectious diseases on modern society and the instruments that policy makers have at their disposal to deal with these challenges. It is written for students of the health sciences, both of curative medicine and public health, and for experts that are active in these and related domains, and it may be of interest for the educated layman since the technical level is kept relatively low.

Mathematical Modeling Approach To Infectious Diseases, A: Cross Diffusion Pde Models For Epidemiology

Author : Schiesser William E
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9813238801
Total Pages : 460 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (132 download)

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Book Synopsis Mathematical Modeling Approach To Infectious Diseases, A: Cross Diffusion Pde Models For Epidemiology by : Schiesser William E

Download or read book Mathematical Modeling Approach To Infectious Diseases, A: Cross Diffusion Pde Models For Epidemiology written by Schiesser William E and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2018-06-27 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Attribute assignment to a synthetic population in support of agent-based disease modeling

Author : James C. Cajka
Publisher : RTI Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 17 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Attribute assignment to a synthetic population in support of agent-based disease modeling by : James C. Cajka

Download or read book Attribute assignment to a synthetic population in support of agent-based disease modeling written by James C. Cajka and published by RTI Press. This book was released on 2010-09-27 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Communicable-disease transmission models are useful for the testing of prevention and intervention strategies. Agent-based models (ABMs) represent a new and important class of the many types of disease transmission models in use. Agent-based disease models benefit from their ability to assign disease transmission probabilities based on characteristics shared by individual agents. These shared characteristics allow ABMs to apply transmission probabilities when agents come together in geographic space. Modeling these types of social interactions requires data, and the results of the model largely depend on the quality of these input data. We initially generated a synthetic population for the United States, in support of the Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study. Subsequently, we created shared characteristics to use in ABMs. The specific goals for this task were to assign the appropriately aged populations to schools, workplaces, and public transit. Each goal presented its own challenges and problems; therefore, we used different techniques to create each type of shared characteristic. These shared characteristics have allowed disease models to more realistically predict the spread of disease, both spatially and temporally.

Mathematical Tools for Understanding Infectious Disease Dynamics

Author : Odo Diekmann
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691155399
Total Pages : 516 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Mathematical Tools for Understanding Infectious Disease Dynamics by : Odo Diekmann

Download or read book Mathematical Tools for Understanding Infectious Disease Dynamics written by Odo Diekmann and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explains how to translate biological assumptions into mathematics to construct useful and consistent models, and how to use the biological interpretation and mathematical reasoning to analyze these models. It shows how to relate models to data through statistical inference, and how to gain important insights into infectious disease dynamics by translating mathematical results back to biology.

Mathematical Epidemiology

Author : Fred Brauer
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540789103
Total Pages : 415 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Mathematical Epidemiology by : Fred Brauer

Download or read book Mathematical Epidemiology written by Fred Brauer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-04-30 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on lecture notes of two summer schools with a mixed audience from mathematical sciences, epidemiology and public health, this volume offers a comprehensive introduction to basic ideas and techniques in modeling infectious diseases, for the comparison of strategies to plan for an anticipated epidemic or pandemic, and to deal with a disease outbreak in real time. It covers detailed case studies for diseases including pandemic influenza, West Nile virus, and childhood diseases. Models for other diseases including Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, fox rabies, and sexually transmitted infections are included as applications. Its chapters are coherent and complementary independent units. In order to accustom students to look at the current literature and to experience different perspectives, no attempt has been made to achieve united writing style or unified notation. Notes on some mathematical background (calculus, matrix algebra, differential equations, and probability) have been prepared and may be downloaded at the web site of the Centre for Disease Modeling (www.cdm.yorku.ca).

COVID Transmission Modeling

Author : DM Basavarajaiah
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000593215
Total Pages : 458 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis COVID Transmission Modeling by : DM Basavarajaiah

Download or read book COVID Transmission Modeling written by DM Basavarajaiah and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-06-28 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: COVID Transmission Modeling: An Insight into Infectious Diseases Mechanism provides an interdisciplinary overview of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis and covers various aspects of newer modeling techniques and practical solutions for health emergencies. This book aims to formulate various innovative and pragmatic mathematical, statistical, and epidemiological models using COVID-19 real data sets. It emphasizes interdisciplinary theoretical postulates derived from practical insights and knowledge of public health. Each of the book’s 12 chapters provides invaluable and exploratory tools to enable explicit assumptions, highlights key health indicators, and determines the geometric progression and control measures of the disease. The present developed models will allow readers to extrapolate the exact reason for the outbreak and pave the way for scientific information on vaccine trials and socioeconomic, psychological, and disease burden worldwide. These advanced techniques of modeling and their applications are in greater need than ever for effective connection between mathematicians, statisticians, epidemiologists, researchers, clinicians, and policymakers for making appropriate decisions at the right time. With the advent of emerging health science, all models are demonstrated with real-life data sets and provided with illustrations and eye-catching graphs and diagrams so that the readers can easily understand the concept of COVID-19 pandemic interventions and their control measures, and their impact. Features Addresses all aspects of mitigation/control measures, estimation of transmission rate, economic impact assessment, genetic complexity of COVID-19, herd immunity, and various methods, including newer mathematical, statistical, and epidemiological models in the analysis of COVID-19 pandemic outbreak Covers the application of innovative, advanced statistical and epidemiological models and demonstrates possible solutions toward supportive treatment aspects of COVID-19 and its control measures Includes models that can easily be followed in formulating the mathematical derivations and key points Supplemented with ample illustrations, images, diagrams, and figures This book is aimed at postgraduate students studying medicine and healthcare, mathematics, and statistical information. Researchers will also find this book very helpful.

Models for Infectious Human Diseases

Author : Valerie Isham
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521453394
Total Pages : 518 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (533 download)

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Book Synopsis Models for Infectious Human Diseases by : Valerie Isham

Download or read book Models for Infectious Human Diseases written by Valerie Isham and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1996-03-29 with total page 518 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Infectious disease accounts for more death and disability globally than either non-infectious disease or injury. This book contains a breadth of different quantitative approaches to understanding the patterns of infectious diseases in populations, and the design of control strategies to lessen their effect. The contributors bring a great variety of mathematical expertise (including deterministic and stochastic modelling and statistical data analysis) and involvement in a wide range of applied fields across the spectrum of biological, medical and social sciences. The aim is to increase interaction between specialities by describing research on many of the infectious diseases that affect humans, including both viral diseases like measles and AIDS and tropical parasitic infections. The papers are divided into groups dealing with problems relating to transmissible diseases, vaccination strategies, the consequences of treatment interventions, the dynamics of immunity, heterogeneity of populations, and prediction.