Commodity Price Dynamics

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139501976
Total Pages : 239 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (395 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Price Dynamics by : Craig Pirrong

Download or read book Commodity Price Dynamics written by Craig Pirrong and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2011-10-31 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.

Commodity Prices and Markets

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Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226386899
Total Pages : 346 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Prices and Markets by : Takatoshi Ito

Download or read book Commodity Prices and Markets written by Takatoshi Ito and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2011-03 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fluctuations of commodity prices, most notably of oil, capture considerable attention and have been tied to important economic effects. This book advances our understanding of the consequences of these fluctuations, providing both general analysis and a particular focus on the countries of the Pacific Rim.

Occupancy Estimation and Modeling

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0124072453
Total Pages : 668 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (24 download)

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Book Synopsis Occupancy Estimation and Modeling by : Darryl I. MacKenzie

Download or read book Occupancy Estimation and Modeling written by Darryl I. MacKenzie and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2017-11-17 with total page 668 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Occupancy Estimation and Modeling: Inferring Patterns and Dynamics of Species Occurrence, Second Edition, provides a synthesis of model-based approaches for analyzing presence-absence data, allowing for imperfect detection. Beginning from the relatively simple case of estimating the proportion of area or sampling units occupied at the time of surveying, the authors describe a wide variety of extensions that have been developed since the early 2000s. This provides an improved insight about species and community ecology, including, detection heterogeneity; correlated detections; spatial autocorrelation; multiple states or classes of occupancy; changes in occupancy over time; species co-occurrence; community-level modeling, and more. Occupancy Estimation and Modeling: Inferring Patterns and Dynamics of Species Occurrence, Second Edition has been greatly expanded and detail is provided regarding the estimation methods and examples of their application are given. Important study design recommendations are also covered to give a well rounded view of modeling. - Provides authoritative insights into the latest in occupancy modeling - Examines the latest methods in analyzing detection/no detection data surveys - Addresses critical issues of imperfect detectability and its effects on species occurrence estimation - Discusses important study design considerations such as defining sample units, sample size determination and optimal effort allocation

Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351917080
Total Pages : 247 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices by : Walter C. Labys

Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices written by Walter C. Labys and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-03-02 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent economic growth in China and other Asian countries has led to increased commodity demand which has caused price rises and accompanying price fluctuations not only for crude oil but also for the many other raw materials. Such trends mean that world commodity markets are once again under intense scrutiny. This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods of statistical time series analysis. The latter utilize econometric methods concerned with structural breaks, unobserved components, chaotic discovery, long memory, heteroskedasticity, wavelet estimation and fractional integration. Relevant tests employed include neural networks, correlation dimensions, Lyapunov exponents, fractional integration and rescaled range. The price forecasting involves structural time series trend plus cycle and cyclical trend models. Practical applications focus on the price behaviour of more than twenty international commodity markets.

Commodities and Commodity Derivatives

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470687738
Total Pages : 479 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (76 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodities and Commodity Derivatives by : Helyette Geman

Download or read book Commodities and Commodity Derivatives written by Helyette Geman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-09-24 with total page 479 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The last few years have been a watershed for the commodities, cash and derivatives industry. New regulations and products have led to an explosion in the commodities markets, creating a new asset for investors that includes hedge funds as well as University endowments, and has resulted in a spectacular growth in spot and derivative trading. This book covers hard and soft commodities (energy, agriculture and metals) and analyses: Economic and geopolitical issues in commodities markets Commodity price and volume risk Stochastic modelling of commodity spot prices and forward curves Real options valuation and hedging of physical assets in the energy industry It is required reading for energy companies and utilities practitioners, commodity cash and derivatives traders in investment banks, the Agrifood business, Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) and Hedge Funds. In Commodities and Commodity Derivatives, Hélyette Geman shows her powerful command of the subject by combining a rigorous development of its mathematical modelling with a compact institutional presentation of the arcane characteristics of commodities that makes the complex analysis of commodities derivative securities accessible to both the academic and practitioner who wants a deep foundation and a breadth of different market applications. It is destined to be a "must have" on the subject.” —Robert Merton, Professor, Harvard Business School "A marvelously comprehensive book of interest to academics and practitioners alike, by one of the world's foremost experts in the field." —Oldrich Vasicek, founder, KMV

Econometric Models For Industrial Organization

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 981310967X
Total Pages : 154 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (131 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometric Models For Industrial Organization by : Matthew Shum

Download or read book Econometric Models For Industrial Organization written by Matthew Shum and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2016-12-14 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Models for Industrial Organization focuses on the specification and estimation of econometric models for research in industrial organization. In recent decades, empirical work in industrial organization has moved towards dynamic and equilibrium models, involving econometric methods which have features distinct from those used in other areas of applied economics. These lecture notes, aimed for a first or second-year PhD course, motivate and explain these econometric methods, starting from simple models and building to models with the complexity observed in typical research papers. The covered topics include discrete-choice demand analysis, models of dynamic behavior and dynamic games, multiple equilibria in entry games and partial identification, and auction models.

Commodities

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1498712339
Total Pages : 725 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodities by : M. A. H. Dempster

Download or read book Commodities written by M. A. H. Dempster and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-11-05 with total page 725 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since a major source of income for many countries comes from exporting commodities, price discovery and information transmission between commodity futures markets are key issues for continued economic development.This book covers the fundamental theory of and derivatives pricing for major commodity markets as well as the interaction between commodi

Agricultural Commodity Markets and Trade

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Author :
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781781008027
Total Pages : 492 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Agricultural Commodity Markets and Trade by : Alexander Sarris

Download or read book Agricultural Commodity Markets and Trade written by Alexander Sarris and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2006-01-27 with total page 492 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book argues that the viability of many observed market and non-market interventions in agricultural products worldwide depends considerably on the underlying behaviour of the relevant commodity markets. Many of these policies have had distortive impacts, resulting in much discussion and controversy in the context of the World Trade Organization (WTO) Doha Round of trade negotiations.

Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9812812318
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (128 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets by : Fred Espen Benth

Download or read book Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets written by Fred Espen Benth and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The markets for electricity, gas and temperature have distinctive features, which provide the focus for countless studies. For instance, electricity and gas prices may soar several magnitudes above their normal levels within a short time due to imbalances in supply and demand, yielding what is known as spikes in the spot prices. The markets are also largely influenced by seasons, since power demand for heating and cooling varies over the year. The incompleteness of the markets, due to nonstorability of electricity and temperature as well as limited storage capacity of gas, makes spot-forward hedging impossible. Moreover, futures contracts are typically settled over a time period rather than at a fixed date. All these aspects of the markets create new challenges when analyzing price dynamics of spot, futures and other derivatives. This book provides a concise and rigorous treatment on the stochastic modeling of energy markets. OrnsteinOCoUhlenbeck processes are described as the basic modeling tool for spot price dynamics, where innovations are driven by time-inhomogeneous jump processes. Temperature futures are studied based on a continuous higher-order autoregressive model for the temperature dynamics. The theory presented here pays special attention to the seasonality of volatility and the Samuelson effect. Empirical studies using data from electricity, temperature and gas markets are given to link theory to practice. Sample Chapter(s). A Survey of Electricity and Related Markets (331 KB). Contents: A Survey of Electricity and Related Markets; Stochastic Analysis for Independent Increment Processes; Stochastic Models for the Energy Spot Price Dynamics; Pricing of Forwards and Swaps Based on the Spot Price; Applications to the Gas Markets; Modeling Forwards and Swaps Using the HeathOCoJarrowOCoMorton Approach; Constructing Smooth Forward Curves in Electricity Markets; Modeling of the Electricity Futures Market; Pricing and Hedging of Energy Options; Analysis of Temperature Derivatives. Readership: Researchers in energy and commodity markets, and mathematical finance.

Stochastic Models for Prices Dynamics in Energy and Commodity Markets

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031403673
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (314 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Models for Prices Dynamics in Energy and Commodity Markets by : Fred Espen Benth

Download or read book Stochastic Models for Prices Dynamics in Energy and Commodity Markets written by Fred Espen Benth and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-11-16 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph presents a theory for random field models in time and space, viewed as stochastic processes with values in a Hilbert space, to model the stochastic dynamics of forward and futures prices in energy, power, and commodity markets. In this book, the well-known Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach from interest rate theory is adopted and extended into an infinite-dimensional framework, allowing for flexible modeling of price stochasticity across time and along the term structure curve. Various models are introduced based on stochastic partial differential equations with infinite-dimensional Lévy processes as noise drivers, emphasizing random fields described by low-dimensional parametric covariance functions instead of classical high-dimensional factor models. The Filipović space, a separable Hilbert space of Sobolev type, is found to be a convenient state space for the dynamics of forward and futures term structures. The monograph provides a classification of important operators in this space, covering covariance operators and the stochastic modeling of volatility term structures, including the Samuelson effect. Fourier methods are employed to price many derivatives of interest in energy, power, and commodity markets, and sensitivity 'delta' expressions can be derived. Additionally, the monograph covers forward curve smoothing, the connection between forwards with fixed delivery and delivery period, as well as the classical theory of forward and futures pricing. This monograph will appeal to researchers and graduate students interested in mathematical finance and stochastic analysis applied in the challenging markets of energy, power, and commodities. Practitioners seeking sophisticated yet flexible and analytically tractable risk models will also find it valuable.

Computational Economics: Heterogeneous Agent Modeling

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444641327
Total Pages : 836 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (446 download)

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Book Synopsis Computational Economics: Heterogeneous Agent Modeling by : Cars Hommes

Download or read book Computational Economics: Heterogeneous Agent Modeling written by Cars Hommes and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2018-06-27 with total page 836 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Computational Economics: Heterogeneous Agent Modeling, Volume Four, focuses on heterogeneous agent models, emphasizing recent advances in macroeconomics (including DSGE), finance, empirical validation and experiments, networks and related applications. Capturing the advances made since the publication of Volume Two (Tesfatsion & Judd, 2006), it provides high-level literature with sections devoted to Macroeconomics, Finance, Empirical Validation and Experiments, Networks, and other applications, including Innovation Diffusion in Heterogeneous Populations, Market Design and Electricity Markets, and a final section on Perspectives on Heterogeneity. - Helps readers fully understand the dynamic properties of realistically rendered economic systems - Emphasizes detailed specifications of structural conditions, institutional arrangements and behavioral dispositions - Provides broad assessments that can lead researchers to recognize new synergies and opportunities

Uncertainty, Expectations and Asset Price Dynamics

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319987143
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty, Expectations and Asset Price Dynamics by : Fredj Jawadi

Download or read book Uncertainty, Expectations and Asset Price Dynamics written by Fredj Jawadi and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-30 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written in honor of Emeritus Professor Georges Prat (University of Paris Nanterre, France), this book includes contributions from eminent authors on a range of topics that are of interest to researchers and graduates, as well as investors and portfolio managers. The topics discussed include the effects of information and transaction costs on informational and allocative market efficiency, bubbles and stock price dynamics, paradox of rational expectations and the principle of limited information, uncertainty and expectation hypotheses, oil price dynamics, and nonlinearity in asset price dynamics.

Biologic and Economic Assessment of Benefits from Use of Phenoxy Herbicides in the United States

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Biologic and Economic Assessment of Benefits from Use of Phenoxy Herbicides in the United States by :

Download or read book Biologic and Economic Assessment of Benefits from Use of Phenoxy Herbicides in the United States written by and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030542521
Total Pages : 387 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data by : Gilles Dufrénot

Download or read book Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data written by Gilles Dufrénot and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-11-21 with total page 387 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book provides a comprehensive overview of the latest econometric methods for studying the dynamics of macroeconomic and financial time series. It examines alternative methodological approaches and concepts, including quantile spectra and co-spectra, and explores topics such as non-linear and non-stationary behavior, stochastic volatility models, and the econometrics of commodity markets and globalization. Furthermore, it demonstrates the application of recent techniques in various fields: in the frequency domain, in the analysis of persistent dynamics, in the estimation of state space models and new classes of volatility models. The book is divided into two parts: The first part applies econometrics to the field of macroeconomics, discussing trend/cycle decomposition, growth analysis, monetary policy and international trade. The second part applies econometrics to a wide range of topics in financial economics, including price dynamics in equity, commodity and foreign exchange markets and portfolio analysis. The book is essential reading for scholars, students, and practitioners in government and financial institutions interested in applying recent econometric time series methods to financial and economic data.

Games and Dynamics in Economics

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811536236
Total Pages : 303 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (115 download)

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Book Synopsis Games and Dynamics in Economics by : Ferenc Szidarovszky

Download or read book Games and Dynamics in Economics written by Ferenc Szidarovszky and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-04-11 with total page 303 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on the latest advances in nonlinear dynamic modeling in economics and finance, mainly—but not solely—based on the description of strategic interaction by using concepts and methods from dynamic and evolutionary game theory. The respective chapters cover a range of theoretical issues and examples concerning how the qualitative theory of dynamical systems is used to analyze the local and global bifurcations that characterize complex behaviors observed in social systems where heterogeneous and boundedly rational economic agents interact. Nonlinear dynamical systems, represented by difference and differential and functional equations, are extensively used to simulate the behavior of time-evolving economic systems, also in the presence of time lags, discontinuities, and hysteresis phenomena. In addition, some theoretical issues and particular applications are discussed, as well. The contributions gathered here offer an up-to-date review of the latest research in this rapidly developing research area.

The Interrelationship Between Financial and Energy Markets

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3642553826
Total Pages : 315 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis The Interrelationship Between Financial and Energy Markets by : Sofia Ramos

Download or read book The Interrelationship Between Financial and Energy Markets written by Sofia Ramos and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-08-09 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last decade, energy markets have developed substantially due to the growing activity of financial investors. One consequence of this massive presence of investors is a stronger link between the hitherto segmented energy and financial markets. This book addresses some of the recent developments in the interrelationship between financial and energy markets. It aims to further the understanding of the rich interplay between financial and energy markets by presenting several empirical studies that illustrate and discuss some of the main issues on this agenda.

Commodity Markets: Asset Allocation, Pricing and Risk Management

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Author :
Publisher : Ed. Universidad de Cantabria
ISBN 13 : 8481028029
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Markets: Asset Allocation, Pricing and Risk Management by : Carlos González Pedraz

Download or read book Commodity Markets: Asset Allocation, Pricing and Risk Management written by Carlos González Pedraz and published by Ed. Universidad de Cantabria. This book was released on 2017-04-26 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The increasing presence of investors and financial intermediaries in commodity markets, together with the huge increase in the volatility of commodity prices, have renewed the interest in commodities and commodity derivatives. In the last decade, a better understanding of the behavior of commodity prices and their idiosyncratic statistical features has emerged as a relevant financial and policy topic. This book tries to provide new insights, first, to analyze the multivariate distribution of commodity returns and its impact on portfolio selection and tail risk measures; and, second, to price commodity derivatives under the presence of non-Gaussian shocks in a continuous time framework.