Macroeconomic Patterns and Monetary Policy in the Run-up to Asset Price Busts

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451873999
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Patterns and Monetary Policy in the Run-up to Asset Price Busts by : Mr.Pau Rabanal

Download or read book Macroeconomic Patterns and Monetary Policy in the Run-up to Asset Price Busts written by Mr.Pau Rabanal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-11-01 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We find that inflation, output and the stance of monetary policy do not typically display unusual behavior ahead of asset price busts. By contrast, credit, shares of investment in GDP, current account deficits, and asset prices typically rise, providing useful, if not perfect, leading indicators of asset price busts. These patterns could also be observed in the build-up to the current crisis. Monetary policy was not the main, systematic cause of the current crisis. But, with inflation typically under control, central banks effectively accommodated these growing imbalances, raising the risk of damaging busts.

What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts?

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451871325
Total Pages : 77 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts? by : Mr.Ayhan Kose

Download or read book What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts? written by Mr.Ayhan Kose and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-12-01 with total page 77 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide a comprehensive empirical characterization of the linkages between key macroeconomic and financial variables around business and financial cycles for 21 OECD countries over the period 1960–2007. In particular, we analyze the implications of 122 recessions, 112 (28) credit contraction (crunch) episodes, 114 (28) episodes of house price declines (busts), 234 (58) episodes of equity price declines (busts) and their various overlaps in these countries over the sample period. Our results indicate that interactions between macroeconomic and financial variables can play major roles in determining the severity and duration of recessions. Specifically, we find evidence that recessions associated with credit crunches and house price busts tend to be deeper and longer than other recessions. JEL Classification Numbers: E32; E44; E51; F42

Leaning Against the Wind and the Timing of Monetary Policy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484378385
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Leaning Against the Wind and the Timing of Monetary Policy by : Mr.Itai Agur

Download or read book Leaning Against the Wind and the Timing of Monetary Policy written by Mr.Itai Agur and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-04-03 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: If monetary policy is to aim also at financial stability, how would it change? To analyze this question, this paper develops a general-form framework. Financial stability objectives are shown to make monetary policy more aggressive: in reaction to negative shocks, cuts are deeper but shorter-lived than otherwise. By keeping cuts brief, monetary policy tightens as soon as bank risk appetite heats up. Within this shorter time span, cuts must then be deeper than otherwise to also achieve standard objectives. Finally, we analyze how robust this result is to the presence of a bank regulatory tool, and provide a parameterized example.

World Economic Outlook, October 2009

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589068076
Total Pages : 229 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, October 2009 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, October 2009 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-10-15 with total page 229 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edition of the World Economic Outlook explores the prospects for growth in the aftermath of the financial crisis. The fragile nature of the recovery will present many challenges. These include the need for continued strong monetary, fiscal, and financial policies, ongoing efforts to restore the financial sector to health, improvements in private demand, and preparation of exit strategies on the fiscal, monetary, and financial fronts. The first of two analytical chapters included in this edition, "Monetary Policy and Asset Prices: What Do We Learn from Booms and Busts?" explores whether there is a role for monetary policy in preventing asset price busts. The second, "Medium-Run Output Evolutions after Crises: A Historical Perspective," explores the effect of large economic shocks on output and its composition, including variations related to initial conditions, the type of shock, and economic policies.

Bank Credit Extension and Real Economic Activity in South Africa

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319435515
Total Pages : 582 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Bank Credit Extension and Real Economic Activity in South Africa by : Nombulelo Gumata

Download or read book Bank Credit Extension and Real Economic Activity in South Africa written by Nombulelo Gumata and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-03-13 with total page 582 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents empirical evidence that supports and facilitates a practical, integrated approach to how bank regulatory and selected macro-prudential tools interact with monetary policy to achieve price and financial stability. The empirical results contained in various chapters accompany in-depth historical analysis and counterfactual scenarios that enable proper policy evaluation and the interaction of bank regulatory, macro-prudential and monetary policy tools in South Africa. The presented evidence also identifies financial asset boom and bust episodes and the associated costly output losses. In addition, the authors explore the amplification of credit dynamics by commodity prices and sector credit re-allocation due to capital inflows shocks. The book’s empirical analysis uses a wide range of statistical and econometric approaches on granular data and economic variables to derive policy implications and recommendations. This in-depth quantitative analysis includes determining inverse transmission of global liquidity, as well as the effects of capital flows, lending-rate margins, financial regulatory uncertainty, the National Credit Act, bank capital-adequacy ratios, bank loan loss provisions, loan-to-value ratios and repayment-to-income ratios on the macro-economy.

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475561008
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications by : Mr.Stijn Claessens

Download or read book Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030791823
Total Pages : 619 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes by : Harold L. Vogel

Download or read book Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes written by Harold L. Vogel and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-12-17 with total page 619 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists broadly define financial asset price bubbles as episodes in which prices rise with notable rapidity and depart from historically established asset valuation multiples and relationships. Financial economists have for decades attempted to study and interpret bubbles through the prisms of rational expectations, efficient markets, equilibrium, arbitrage, and capital asset pricing models, but they have not made much if any progress toward a consistent and reliable theory that explains how and why bubbles (and crashes) evolve and are defined, measured, and compared. This book develops a new and different approach that is based on the central notion that bubbles and crashes reflect urgent short-side rationing, which means that, as such extreme conditions unfold, considerations of quantities owned or not owned begin to displace considerations of price.

Crashed

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Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0143110357
Total Pages : 722 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (431 download)

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Book Synopsis Crashed by : Adam Tooze

Download or read book Crashed written by Adam Tooze and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2019-08-27 with total page 722 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: WINNER OF THE LIONEL GELBER PRIZE A NEW YORK TIMES NOTABLE BOOK OF 2018 ONE OF THE ECONOMIST'S BOOKS OF THE YEAR A NEW YORK TIMES CRITICS' TOP BOOK "An intelligent explanation of the mechanisms that produced the crisis and the response to it...One of the great strengths of Tooze's book is to demonstrate the deeply intertwined nature of the European and American financial systems."--The New York Times Book Review From the prizewinning economic historian and author of Shutdown and The Deluge, an eye-opening reinterpretation of the 2008 economic crisis (and its ten-year aftermath) as a global event that directly led to the shockwaves being felt around the world today. We live in a world where dramatic shifts in the domestic and global economy command the headlines, from rollbacks in US banking regulations to tariffs that may ignite international trade wars. But current events have deep roots, and the key to navigating today’s roiling policies lies in the events that started it all—the 2008 economic crisis and its aftermath. Despite initial attempts to downplay the crisis as a local incident, what happened on Wall Street beginning in 2008 was, in fact, a dramatic caesura of global significance that spiraled around the world, from the financial markets of the UK and Europe to the factories and dockyards of Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America, forcing a rearrangement of global governance. With a historian’s eye for detail, connection, and consequence, Adam Tooze brings the story right up to today’s negotiations, actions, and threats—a much-needed perspective on a global catastrophe and its long-term consequences.

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Rules in a Model with House Price Booms

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451873980
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Rules in a Model with House Price Booms by : Mr.Pau Rabanal

Download or read book Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Rules in a Model with House Price Booms written by Mr.Pau Rabanal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-11-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We argue that a stronger emphasis on macrofinancial risk could provide stabilization benefits. Simulations results suggest that strong monetary reactions to accelerator mechanisms that push up credit growth and asset prices could help macroeconomic stability. In addition, using a macroprudential instrument designed specifically to dampen credit market cycles would also be useful. But invariant and rigid policy responses raise the risk of policy errors that could lower, not raise, macroeconomic stability. Hence, discretion would be required.

IMF Research Bulletin, September 2011

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1463904908
Total Pages : 12 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Research Bulletin, September 2011 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Research Bulletin, September 2011 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-09-01 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The September 2011 issue of the IMF's quarterly "Research Bulletin" features a Q&A discussion about economic recovery in countries emerging after war or other open. The research summaries in this issue include: "Revisiting Capital Controls"; and "Capital Flows and Financial Stability: Monetary Policy and Macroprudential Responses." The September issue also provides details on IMF visiting scholars (mainly during the September - December 2011 period), as well as recent Working Papers and Staff Discussion Notes published by the IMF.

Global Growth and Financial Spillovers and the South African Macro-economy

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137512962
Total Pages : 187 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (375 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Growth and Financial Spillovers and the South African Macro-economy by : Mthuli Ncube

Download or read book Global Growth and Financial Spillovers and the South African Macro-economy written by Mthuli Ncube and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-29 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To what extent is South Africa affected by G8 economies and BRIC growth shocks? This book identifies channels that amplify these shock effects, the relevance of third country transmission effects and the effects of the first and second rounds of US quantitative easing. The changing reactions of South African variables over time to financial shocks emanating from the US and selected countries in the Euro area, is presented. The book quantifies the effects of capital flow shocks, determines the counterfactuals of asset prices and economic growth variables, and compares the contribution of capital flows and domestic macro factors on asset prices. The effects of the exchange rate depreciation are contrasted to the decline in investment as key drivers of the trade balance. Stock market interdependence is determined amongst South African, Indian and Brazilian equities. The contributions of stock price returns and volatility on South African economic growth are contrasted. The authors construct a financial stress index for South Africa and determine how it amplifies shocks.

Financial Crises

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475543409
Total Pages : 670 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises by : Mr.Stijn Claessens

Download or read book Financial Crises written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-02-19 with total page 670 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The lingering effects of the economic crisis are still visible—this shows a clear need to improve our understanding of financial crises. This book surveys a wide range of crises, including banking, balance of payments, and sovereign debt crises. It begins with an overview of the various types of crises and introduces a comprehensive database of crises. Broad lessons on crisis prevention and management, as well as the short-term economic effects of crises, recessions, and recoveries, are discussed.

International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319790757
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis by : Laurent Ferrara

Download or read book International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis written by Laurent Ferrara and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-06-13 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book collects selected articles addressing several currently debated issues in the field of international macroeconomics. They focus on the role of the central banks in the debate on how to come to terms with the long-term decline in productivity growth, insufficient aggregate demand, high economic uncertainty and growing inequalities following the global financial crisis. Central banks are of considerable importance in this debate since understanding the sluggishness of the recovery process as well as its implications for the natural interest rate are key to assessing output gaps and the monetary policy stance. The authors argue that a more dynamic domestic and external aggregate demand helps to raise the inflation rate, easing the constraint deriving from the zero lower bound and allowing monetary policy to depart from its current ultra-accommodative position. Beyond macroeconomic factors, the book also discusses a supportive financial environment as a precondition for the rebound of global economic activity, stressing that understanding capital flows is a prerequisite for economic-policy decisions.

Eurostat-OECD Compilation guide on land estimations

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Author :
Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264235175
Total Pages : 174 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (642 download)

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Book Synopsis Eurostat-OECD Compilation guide on land estimations by : OECD

Download or read book Eurostat-OECD Compilation guide on land estimations written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2015-07-03 with total page 174 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The repercussions of the 2007–2008 financial crisis have acted as an impetus to improve the quality and availability of statistical information. One such initiative addresses the importance of compiling a complete accounting of a nation’s wealth, and especially the wealth of households. This is ...

Rethinking Expectations

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691155232
Total Pages : 440 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Rethinking Expectations by : Roman Frydman

Download or read book Rethinking Expectations written by Roman Frydman and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book originated from a 2010 conference marking the fortieth anniversary of the publication of the landmark "Phelps volume," Microeconomic Foundations of Employment and Inflation Theory, a book that is often credited with pioneering the currently dominant approach to macroeconomic analysis. However, in their provocative introductory essay, Roman Frydman and Edmund Phelps argue that the vast majority of macroeconomic and finance models developed over the last four decades derailed, rather than built on, the Phelps volume's "microfoundations" approach. Whereas the contributors to the 1970 volume recognized the fundamental importance of according market participants' expectations an autonomous role, contemporary models rely on the rational expectations hypothesis (REH), which rules out such a role by design. The financial crisis that began in 2007, preceded by a spectacular boom and bust in asset prices that REH models implied could never happen, has spurred a quest for fresh approaches to macroeconomic analysis. While the alternatives to REH presented in Rethinking Expectations differ from the approach taken in the original Phelps volume, they are notable for returning to its major theme: understanding aggregate outcomes requires according expectations an autonomous role. In the introductory essay, Frydman and Phelps interpret the various efforts to reconstruct the field--some of which promise to chart its direction for decades to come. The contributors include Philippe Aghion, Sheila Dow, George W. Evans, Roger E. A. Farmer, Roman Frydman, Michael D. Goldberg, Roger Guesnerie, Seppo Honkapohja, Katarina Juselius, Enisse Kharroubi, Blake LeBaron, Edmund S. Phelps, John B. Taylor, Michael Woodford, and Gylfi Zoega.

Asset Prices and Central Bank Policy

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Author :
Publisher : Centre for Economic Policy Research
ISBN 13 : 9781898128533
Total Pages : 164 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (285 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Prices and Central Bank Policy by : Stephen Giovanni Cecchetti

Download or read book Asset Prices and Central Bank Policy written by Stephen Giovanni Cecchetti and published by Centre for Economic Policy Research. This book was released on 2000 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Concludes the role of asset prices in monetary policy is one of the most important, and difficult, questions confronting central banks.

Global Financial Stability Report

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 376 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Global Financial Stability Report by :

Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report written by and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: