Investment Behavior Under Ambiguity

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (254 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment Behavior Under Ambiguity by : Alexander Ludwig

Download or read book Investment Behavior Under Ambiguity written by Alexander Ludwig and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Investment Under Ambiguity with the Best and Worst in Mind

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment Under Ambiguity with the Best and Worst in Mind by : David Schröder

Download or read book Investment Under Ambiguity with the Best and Worst in Mind written by David Schröder and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent literature on optimal investment has stressed the difference between the impact of risk and the impact of ambiguity - also called Knightian uncertainty - on investors' decisions. In this paper, we show that a decision maker's attitude towards ambiguity is similarly crucial for investment decisions. We capture the investor's individual ambiguity attitude by applying alpha-MEU preferences to a standard investment problem. We show that the presence of ambiguity often leads to an increase in the subjective project value, and entrepreneurs are more eager to invest. Thereby, our investment model helps to explain differences in investment behavior in situations which are objectively identical.

Investment Decisions Under Ambiguity

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment Decisions Under Ambiguity by : C. Wei Li

Download or read book Investment Decisions Under Ambiguity written by C. Wei Li and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide novel evidence on the role of ambiguity aversion in determining the response of mutual fund investors to fund performance. Our analysis is motivated by theoretical models of decision making by ambiguity-averse investors. A key implication of the models is that when investors face information signals of uncertain quality, they place a greater weight on the worst signal. We find strong empirical support for this prediction in the form of heightened sensitivity of investor fund flows to the worst performance measure across multiple horizons. This effect is particularly pronounced for retail funds in contrast to institutional funds.

Robustness

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691170975
Total Pages : 453 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Robustness by : Lars Peter Hansen

Download or read book Robustness written by Lars Peter Hansen and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2016-06-28 with total page 453 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The standard theory of decision making under uncertainty advises the decision maker to form a statistical model linking outcomes to decisions and then to choose the optimal distribution of outcomes. This assumes that the decision maker trusts the model completely. But what should a decision maker do if the model cannot be trusted? Lars Hansen and Thomas Sargent, two leading macroeconomists, push the field forward as they set about answering this question. They adapt robust control techniques and apply them to economics. By using this theory to let decision makers acknowledge misspecification in economic modeling, the authors develop applications to a variety of problems in dynamic macroeconomics. Technical, rigorous, and self-contained, this book will be useful for macroeconomists who seek to improve the robustness of decision-making processes.

Investment under Uncertainty

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400830176
Total Pages : 484 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment under Uncertainty by : Robert K. Dixit

Download or read book Investment under Uncertainty written by Robert K. Dixit and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2012-07-14 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending. This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.

Trust, Ambiguity, and Financial Decision-Making

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Trust, Ambiguity, and Financial Decision-Making by :

Download or read book Trust, Ambiguity, and Financial Decision-Making written by and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Monthly Effect in Stock Returns

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Publisher : Palala Press
ISBN 13 : 9781379114314
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (143 download)

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Book Synopsis A Monthly Effect in Stock Returns by : Robert A. Ariel

Download or read book A Monthly Effect in Stock Returns written by Robert A. Ariel and published by Palala Press. This book was released on 2018-03-03 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.

The Wiley Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making, 2 Volume Set

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118468392
Total Pages : 1056 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis The Wiley Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making, 2 Volume Set by : Gideon Keren

Download or read book The Wiley Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making, 2 Volume Set written by Gideon Keren and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-16 with total page 1056 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive, up-to-date examination of the most important theory, concepts, methodological approaches, and applications in the burgeoning field of judgment and decision making (JDM) Emphasizes the growth of JDM applications with chapters devoted to medical decision making, decision making and the law, consumer behavior, and more Addresses controversial topics from multiple perspectives – such as choice from description versus choice from experience – and contrasts between empirical methodologies employed in behavioral economics and psychology Brings together a multi-disciplinary group of contributors from across the social sciences, including psychology, economics, marketing, finance, public policy, sociology, and philosophy 2 Volumes

Risk, Uncertainty and Profit

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Publisher : Cosimo, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 1602060053
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk, Uncertainty and Profit by : Frank H. Knight

Download or read book Risk, Uncertainty and Profit written by Frank H. Knight and published by Cosimo, Inc.. This book was released on 2006-11-01 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A timeless classic of economic theory that remains fascinating and pertinent today, this is Frank Knight's famous explanation of why perfect competition cannot eliminate profits, the important differences between "risk" and "uncertainty," and the vital role of the entrepreneur in profitmaking. Based on Knight's PhD dissertation, this 1921 work, balancing theory with fact to come to stunning insights, is a distinct pleasure to read. FRANK H. KNIGHT (1885-1972) is considered by some the greatest American scholar of economics of the 20th century. An economics professor at the University of Chicago from 1927 until 1955, he was one of the founders of the Chicago school of economics, which influenced Milton Friedman and George Stigler.

Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty

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Publisher : Newnes
ISBN 13 : 0444536868
Total Pages : 897 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty by : Mark Machina

Download or read book Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty written by Mark Machina and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-11-14 with total page 897 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The need to understand the theories and applications of economic and finance risk has been clear to everyone since the financial crisis, and this collection of original essays proffers broad, high-level explanations of risk and uncertainty. The economics of risk and uncertainty is unlike most branches of economics in spanning from the individual decision-maker to the market (and indeed, social decisions), and ranging from purely theoretical analysis through individual experimentation, empirical analysis, and applied and policy decisions. It also has close and sometimes conflicting relationships with theoretical and applied statistics, and psychology. The aim of this volume is to provide an overview of diverse aspects of this field, ranging from classical and foundational work through current developments. Presents coherent summaries of risk and uncertainty that inform major areas in economics and finance Divides coverage between theoretical, empirical, and experimental findings Makes the economics of risk and uncertainty accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (131 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity by : Cosmin L. Ilut

Download or read book Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity written by Cosmin L. Ilut and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We survey literature on ambiguity with an emphasis on recent applications in macroeconomics and finance. Like risk, ambiguity leads to cautious behavior and uncertainty premia in asset markets. Unlike risk, ambiguity can generate first order welfare losses. As a result, precautionary behavior and ambiguity premia obtain even when agents have linear utility and are reflected in linear approximations to model dynamics. Quantitative work exploits this insight to estimate models that jointly match the dynamics of asset prices and macro aggregates. In micro data, inertia and inaction due to ambiguity help understand patterns such as non-participation in asset markets, price rigidities and simple contracts. Learning under ambiguity generates asymmetric responses to news that help connect higher moments in micro and macro data. Survey evidence is increasingly used to provide direct evidence on ambiguity averse behavior, as well as to discipline quantitative models.

Ambiguity and Investor Behavior

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (123 download)

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Book Synopsis Ambiguity and Investor Behavior by : Dimitrios Kostopoulos

Download or read book Ambiguity and Investor Behavior written by Dimitrios Kostopoulos and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Characterization of Risk-neutral and Ambiguity-averse Behavior

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 6 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (937 download)

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Book Synopsis A Characterization of Risk-neutral and Ambiguity-averse Behavior by : Georgios Gerasimou

Download or read book A Characterization of Risk-neutral and Ambiguity-averse Behavior written by Georgios Gerasimou and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 6 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This paper studies a decision maker who chooses monetary bets/investment portfolios under pure uncertainty. Necessary and sufficient conditions on his preferences over these objects are provided for his choice behavior to be guided by the maxmin expected value rule, and therefore to exhibit both "risk neutrality" and ambiguity aversion. This result is obtained as an extension of a simple re-characterization of de Finetti's theorem on maximization of subjective expected value."--Abstract from publisher's website.

Social Comparison with Ambiguity

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (139 download)

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Book Synopsis Social Comparison with Ambiguity by : Yuzhe Sun

Download or read book Social Comparison with Ambiguity written by Yuzhe Sun and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study presents an investment and consumption model with two ambiguityaverse comparative agents whose utility depends on the opponent's consumption. In Nash equilibrium, social comparison induces more ambiguous agents to invest and consume more aggressively, decreasing the magnitude difference between agents. Their ambiguity level impacts the opponent's behavior through comparison incentives. The opponent's reduced ambiguity decreases the agent's investment and consumption. However, the rival's ambiguity level does not affect the agent's welfare in our one-period model, distinguished from conclusions in continuous time. These results have important implications for the literature about competition and ambiguity.

Prospect Theory

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139489100
Total Pages : 519 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Prospect Theory by : Peter P. Wakker

Download or read book Prospect Theory written by Peter P. Wakker and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-07-22 with total page 519 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prospect Theory: For Risk and Ambiguity, provides a comprehensive and accessible textbook treatment of the way decisions are made both when we have the statistical probabilities associated with uncertain future events (risk) and when we lack them (ambiguity). The book presents models, primarily prospect theory, that are both tractable and psychologically realistic. A method of presentation is chosen that makes the empirical meaning of each theoretical model completely transparent. Prospect theory has many applications in a wide variety of disciplines. The material in the book has been carefully organized to allow readers to select pathways through the book relevant to their own interests. With numerous exercises and worked examples, the book is ideally suited to the needs of students taking courses in decision theory in economics, mathematics, finance, psychology, management science, health, computer science, Bayesian statistics, and engineering.

Information Acquisition and Decisions Under Risk and Ambiguity

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783867885560
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (855 download)

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Book Synopsis Information Acquisition and Decisions Under Risk and Ambiguity by : Ralf Bergheim

Download or read book Information Acquisition and Decisions Under Risk and Ambiguity written by Ralf Bergheim and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Irreversible Investments and Ambiguity Aversion

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Irreversible Investments and Ambiguity Aversion by : Álvaro Cartea

Download or read book Irreversible Investments and Ambiguity Aversion written by Álvaro Cartea and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Real option valuation has traditionally been concerned with investment under project value uncertainty while assuming the agent has perfect confidence in a specific model. However, agents do not generally have perfect confidence in their model and this { it ambiguity} affects their decisions. Moreover, real investments are not typically fully spanned by tradable assets--hence markets are inherently incomplete. In this work, we account for the agent's aversion to model ambiguity and address market incompleteness through the notation of { it robust indifference prices}. We derive analytical results for the perpetual option to invest and the linear complementarity problem that the finite time problem satisfies. Ambiguity aversion is found to have dual effects that are similar, but distinct from risk aversion. Agent's are found to exercise options both earlier and later than their ambiguity neutral counterparts, depending on whether ambiguity stems from uncertainty in the investment or a hedging asset.