International and Domestic Collateral Constraints in a Model of Emerging Market Crises

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis International and Domestic Collateral Constraints in a Model of Emerging Market Crises by : Ricardo J. Caballero

Download or read book International and Domestic Collateral Constraints in a Model of Emerging Market Crises written by Ricardo J. Caballero and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We build a model of emerging markets crises which features two types of collateral constraints. Firms in a domestic economy have limited borrowing capacity from international investors. They also have limited borrowing capacity with respect to each other. We study how the presence of and changes in these collateral constraints affect financial and real variables. A binding international constraint in the aggregate leads to a sharp rise in interest rates and fire sales of domestic assets, while limited domestic collateral can lead to wasted international collateral. These two collateral constraints can interact in important ways. The first is disintermediation: a fire sale of domestic assets causes banks to fail in their function of reallocating resources across the economy leading to wasted international collateral. The second is a dynamic effect. We show that firms in an economy with limited domestic collateral and a binding international collateral constraint will not adequately precaution against adverse shocks, increasing the severity of these shocks. Our approach is distinctive in that, while much of the literature on the role of financial constraints in macroeconomics draws their insights within either of these collateral deficiencies, we argue that their static and dynamic interactions have important consequences for emerging markets' performance.

Emerging Markets Crisis

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451855095
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Markets Crisis by : Mr.Ricardo J. Caballero

Download or read book Emerging Markets Crisis written by Mr.Ricardo J. Caballero and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-09-01 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The entire difference between a mild downturn and a devastating crisis is the occurrence of sharp fire sales of domestic assets and possibly foreign exchange and the ensuing collapse in the balance sheets of both the financial and nonfinancial sector. Why and how do such crises materialize? And why doesn’t the private sector take appropriate precautions to avoid the consequences of crises? In this paper we argue that the combination of weak international financial links and underdeveloped domestic financial markets offers a parsimonious account of these and related phenomena present in emerging markets.

Emerging Market Crises

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Market Crises by : Ricardo J. Caballero

Download or read book Emerging Market Crises written by Ricardo J. Caballero and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although internal policy mismanagements can be cited in most recent emerging market crises, they seldom account fully for the severity of these crises. The reluctance of international investors to provide the resources that would limit the extent of the reversal almost invariably plays a key role in bringing a previously (over?)-heated economy to a costly halt. Domestic assets experience dramatic depreciation and otherwise solvent investment projects and production, especially in the nontradeables sector, find no financiers and are wastefully shutdown. Ultimately, the reason for this breakdown of a country's access to international capital markets must lie in the inadequacy (real or perceived) of its international collateral. We build a framework where this insufficiency and its consequences stem from microeconomic contractual problems. Fire sales of domestic assets naturally arise as a result of desperate competition for scarce international collateral. This begs the question of why the private sector does not take steps to ensure sufficient international collateral when crises are likely. The answer lies in the presence of a pecuniary externality. We show that contractual problems also lead to a problem of insufficient domestic collateral, which restricts the transfer of surplus arising from the use of international collateral between the users and providers of this international collateral. The interaction between domestic and international collateral also sheds light on when pre-crisis capital flows ought to be regulated and on whether there is scope for currency support measures during the crisis or not.

INTERNATIONAL AND DOMESTIC COLLETERAL CONSTRAINTS IN A MODEL OF EMERGING MARKET CRISES

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis INTERNATIONAL AND DOMESTIC COLLETERAL CONSTRAINTS IN A MODEL OF EMERGING MARKET CRISES by : Ricardo Jorge CABALLERO

Download or read book INTERNATIONAL AND DOMESTIC COLLETERAL CONSTRAINTS IN A MODEL OF EMERGING MARKET CRISES written by Ricardo Jorge CABALLERO and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Financial Crises in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521800204
Total Pages : 494 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises in Emerging Markets by : Reuven Glick

Download or read book Financial Crises in Emerging Markets written by Reuven Glick and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2001-04-23 with total page 494 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The essays in this volume analyze causes of financial crises in emerging markets and different policy responses.

Global Financial Crisis, Financial Contagion, and Emerging Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475518498
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Financial Crisis, Financial Contagion, and Emerging Markets by : Mr.F. Gulcin Ozkan

Download or read book Global Financial Crisis, Financial Contagion, and Emerging Markets written by Mr.F. Gulcin Ozkan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-12-13 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent global financial crisis was the first in recent history that was triggered by problems in the financial system of the mature economies. Existing work on financial crisis in emerging market countries, however, almost exclusively focus on the role of financial frictions in the domestic economy. In contrast, we propose a two-country DSGE model to investigate the transmission of a global financial crisis that originates from financial frictions in the rest of the world. We find that the scale of financial spillovers from the global to the domestic economy and trade openness are key determinants of the severity of the financial crisis for the domestic economy. Our results also suggest that the welfare ranking of alternative monetary policy regimes is determined by the degree of financial contagion, the degree of trade openness as well as the scale of foreign currency denominated debt in the domestic economy.

A Model of Crises in Emerging Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis A Model of Crises in Emerging Markets by : Michael P. Dooley

Download or read book A Model of Crises in Emerging Markets written by Michael P. Dooley and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Credit Frictions and 'sudden Stops' in Small Open Economies

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 102 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Credit Frictions and 'sudden Stops' in Small Open Economies by : Cristina Arellano

Download or read book Credit Frictions and 'sudden Stops' in Small Open Economies written by Cristina Arellano and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial frictions are a central element of most of the models that the literature on emerging markets crises has proposed for explaining the Sudden Stop' phenomenon. To date, few studies have aimed to examine the quantitative implications of these models and to integrate them with an equilibrium business cycle framework for emerging economies. This paper surveys these studies viewing them as ability-to-pay and willingness-to-pay variations of a framework that adds occasionally binding borrowing constraints to the small open economy real-business-cycle model. A common feature of the different models is that agents factor in the risk of future Sudden Stops in their optimal plans, so that equilibrium allocations and prices are distorted even when credit constraints do not bind. Sudden Stops are a property of the unique, flexible-price competitive equilibrium of these models that occurs in a particular region of the state space in which negative shocks make borrowing constraints bind. The resulting nonlinear effects imply that solving the models requires non-linear numerical methods, which are described in the survey. The results show that the models can yield relatively infrequent Sudden Stops with large current account reversals and deep recessions nested within smoother business cycles. Still, research in this area is at an early stage and this survey aims to stimulate further work.

Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226185052
Total Pages : 783 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets by : Sebastian Edwards

Download or read book Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets written by Sebastian Edwards and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2009-02-15 with total page 783 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists and policymakers are still trying to understand the lessons recent financial crises in Asia and other emerging market countries hold for the future of the global financial system. In this timely and important volume, distinguished academics, officials in multilateral organizations, and public and private sector economists explore the causes of and effective policy responses to international currency crises. Topics covered include exchange rate regimes, contagion (transmission of currency crises across countries), the current account of the balance of payments, the role of private sector investors and of speculators, the reaction of the official sector (including the multilaterals), capital controls, bank supervision and weaknesses, and the roles of cronyism, corruption, and large players (including hedge funds). Ably balancing detailed case studies, cross-country comparisons, and theoretical concerns, this book will make a major contribution to ongoing efforts to understand and prevent international currency crises.

Financial Crises in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : Universities Press
ISBN 13 : 9788173714122
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (141 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises in Emerging Markets by : Roberto Chang

Download or read book Financial Crises in Emerging Markets written by Roberto Chang and published by Universities Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a simple model that can account for the main features of recent financial crises in emerging markets. The international illiquidity of the domestic financial system is at the center of the problem. Illiquid banks are a necessary and a sufficient condition for financial crises to occur. Domestic financial liberalization and capital flows from abroad (especially if short term) can aggravate the illiquidity of banks and increase their vulnerability to exogenous shocks and shifts in expectations. A bank collapse multiplies the harmful effects of an initial shock, as a credit squeeze and costly liquidation of investment projects cause real output drops and collapses in asset prices. Under fixed exchange rates, a run on banks becomes a run on the currency if the Central Bank attempts to act as a lender of last resort.

Emerging Market Crises

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Market Crises by : Ricardo J. Caballero

Download or read book Emerging Market Crises written by Ricardo J. Caballero and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although internal policy mismanagements can be cited in most recent emerging market crises, they seldom acount fully for the severity of these crises. The reluctance of international investors to provide the resources that would limit the extent of the reversal, almost invariably plays a key role in bringing a previously (over?)-heated economy to a costly halt. Domestic assets experience dramatic depreciation and otherwise solvent investment projects and production, especially in the nontradeables sector, find no financiers and are wastefully shutdown. Ultimately, the reason for this breakdown of a country?s access to international capital markets must lie in the inadequacy (real or perceived) of its international collateral. We build a framework where this insufficiency and its consequences stem from microeconomic contractual problems. Fire sales of domestic assets naturally arise as the result of desperate competition for scarce international collateral. This begs the question of why the private sector does not take steps to ensure sufficient international collateral when crises are likely. The answer lies in the presence of a pecuniary externality. We show that contractual problems also lead to a problem of insufficient domestic collateral, which restricts the transfer of surplus arising from the use of international collateral between the users and providers of this international collateral. The interaction between domestic and international collateral also sheds light on when pre-crisis capital flows ought to be regulated and on whether there is scope for currency support measures during the crisis or not.

Multiple Equilibria, Contagion, and the Emerging Market Crises

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451857977
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Multiple Equilibria, Contagion, and the Emerging Market Crises by : Mr.Paul R. Masson

Download or read book Multiple Equilibria, Contagion, and the Emerging Market Crises written by Mr.Paul R. Masson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-12-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper surveys the types of models producing multiple equilibria in financial markets. It argues that such models are consistent with observed phenomena, such as the greater volatility of financial asset prices than of macroeconomic fundamentals. Alternative explanations are compared with the stylized facts concerning capital flows, portfolio shifts, and exchange rate crises. Implications for crisis prediction and prevention are then discussed.

Economic and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226241106
Total Pages : 541 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies by : Martin Feldstein

Download or read book Economic and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies written by Martin Feldstein and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 541 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the late 1990s, economic and financial crises raged through East Asia, devastating economies that had previously been considered among the strongest in the developing world. The crises eventually spread to Russia, Turkey, and Latin America, and impacted the economies of many industrialized nations as well. In today's increasingly interdependent world, finding ways to reduce the risk of future crises—and to improve the management of crises when they occur—has become an international policy challenge of paramount importance. This book rises to that challenge, presenting accessible papers and commentaries on the topic not only from leading academic economists, but also from high-ranking government officials (in both industrial and developing nations), senior policymakers at international institutions, and major financial investors. Six non-technical papers, each written by a specialist in the topic, provide essential economic background, introducing sections on exchange rate regimes, financial policies, industrial country policies, IMF stabilization policies, IMF structural programs, and creditor relations. Next, personal statements from the major players give firsthand accounts of what really went on behind the scenes during the crises, giving us a rare glimpse into how international economic policy decisions are actually made. Finally, wide-ranging discussions and debates sparked by these papers and statements are summarized at the end of each section. The result is an indispensable overview of the key issues at work in these crises, written by the people who move markets and reshape economies, and accessible to not just economists and policymakers, but also to educated general readers. Contributors: Montek S. Ahluwalia, Domingo F. Cavallo, William R. Cline, Andrew Crockett, Michael P. Dooley, Sebastian Edwards, Stanley Fischer, Arminio Fraga, Jeffrey Frankel, Jacob Frenkel, Timothy F. Geithner, Morris Goldstein, Paul Keating, Mervyn King, Anne O. Krueger, Roberto Mendoza, Frederic S. Mishkin, Guillermo Ortiz, Yung Chul Park, Nouriel Roubini, Robert Rubin, Jeffrey Sachs, Ammar Siamwalla, George Soros

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475561008
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications by : Mr.Stijn Claessens

Download or read book Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

A "vertical" Analysis of Crises and Intervention

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis A "vertical" Analysis of Crises and Intervention by : Ricardo J. Caballero

Download or read book A "vertical" Analysis of Crises and Intervention written by Ricardo J. Caballero and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emerging economies are prone to crises triggered by external shocks. During these crises, should the central bank stabilize the currency or domestic interest rates? If the choice is outside the central bank's control, as in a currency board, are there good policy substitutes? We argue that these questions are best analyzed in a "vertical" framework, where the supply of external funds faced by the country is inelastic during the crisis and monetary policy affects mostly the domestic cost of scarce international liquidity. This is in contrast to the standard "horizontal" framework where supply is elastic at the (now higher) international interest rate. In this vertical view, raising domestic interest rates during a crisis has relatively limited output consequences, while not doing so causes a sharp exchange rate overshooting. This asymmetry naturally leads to the widely observed fear of floating. However, while this response is ex-post rationalizable, it has negative ex-ante consequences as it exacerbates the structurally insufficient private sector incentives to insure against crises. Ex-ante, optimal monetary policy is countercyclical, and increasingly so as financial development falls. The silver lining for countries with limited financial development that cannot (or should not) overcome this conservative-central-bank time inconsistency problem, is that since the main role of monetary policy in the vertical view is one of incentives, it can be substituted by ex-ante measures to induce the private sector to insure against crises. Keywords: External shocks, domestic and international liquidity, monetary policy, interest parity departures, exchange rate systems, overshooting

Report of the Working Group on Financial Crises in Emerging Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 110 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Report of the Working Group on Financial Crises in Emerging Markets by : Institute of International Finance. Working Group on Financial Crisis in Emerging Markets

Download or read book Report of the Working Group on Financial Crises in Emerging Markets written by Institute of International Finance. Working Group on Financial Crisis in Emerging Markets and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Global Waves of Debt

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815453
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Waves of Debt by : M. Ayhan Kose

Download or read book Global Waves of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.