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Incorporating Climate Change Predictions In Ecological Risk Assessment
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Book Synopsis Incorporating Climate Change Predictions in Ecological Risk Assessment by : Eric J. Lawrence
Download or read book Incorporating Climate Change Predictions in Ecological Risk Assessment written by Eric J. Lawrence and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change is expected to have widespread impacts on future ecosystem services in the Puget Sound and around the world. It is important that climate change be included in ecological risk assessment so that changing climate variables and potential interactive effects with chemical stressors can be taken into account. In this research, I focused on the question of how water temperature changes generated by climate change interact with organophosphate pesticide toxicity to affect Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) population size in the Skagit River, WA. To answer this question, I conducted an ecological risk assessment using the Bayesian network relative risk model (BN-RRM). It is a quantitative, probability-based approach that calculates complex relationships between ecological variables in a cause-and-effect framework to provide estimates of risk to valued receptors (endpoints). I used region and season specific measurement data for water temperature, dissolved oxygen, chlorpyrifos concentration, and diazinon concentration as the model input. Climate predictions were based on model output between the years 2071 and 2100 from an ensemble of global climate models (GCMs) selected from the Fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).
Book Synopsis Environmental Risk Assessment and Management from a Landscape Perspective by : Lawrence A. Kapustka
Download or read book Environmental Risk Assessment and Management from a Landscape Perspective written by Lawrence A. Kapustka and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-07-15 with total page 431 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An important guide to assessing and managing the environment from a landscape perspective Ecological relationships are nested within the landscape. Identifying the relevant spatial and temporal scales is critical for an effective understanding of ecological functions that human societies depend upon. Moreover, human encroachment into natural areas, or changes in climate, can alter spatial relationships, which in turn can negatively affect vital plant and wildlife patterns—and weaken economic structures needed to sustain human societies. This book is the first to combine multiple disciplines into one cohesive strategy to study these crucial connections, and looks toward building a social paradigm that embraces the dynamics of ecological systems. This book: Integrates landscape ecology, environmental risk assessment, valuation of ecological goods and services, and environmental management decision processes into one single source Includes chapters on quantitative measures, Bayesian modeling,¿economic analysis, and sustainable landscapes Covers marine, forest, agricultural, and pharmaceutical risk assessment Has a chapter on predicting climate change risk to ecosystems Has a companion ftp site with color graphics, animations, and risk assessment tools With material that is accessible across all knowledge levels, Environmental Risk Assessment and Management from a Landscape Perspective moves beyond looking solely at chemical contaminants to diagnose environmental threats, and aims to accomplish practical risk assessment in a manner that supports long-term sustainable management.
Book Synopsis Population-Level Ecological Risk Assessment by : Lawrence W. Barnthouse
Download or read book Population-Level Ecological Risk Assessment written by Lawrence W. Barnthouse and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2007-09-25 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most ecological risk assessments consider the risk to individual organisms or organism-level attributes. From a management perspective, however, risks to population-level attributes and processes are often more relevant. Despite many published calls for population risk assessment and the abundance of available scientific research and technical tool
Book Synopsis A Short Guide to Climate Change Risk by : Professor Nigel Arnell
Download or read book A Short Guide to Climate Change Risk written by Professor Nigel Arnell and published by Gower Publishing, Ltd.. This book was released on 2015-01-28 with total page 233 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change poses a risk to business operations and to markets--but at the same time it can bring opportunities for some businesses. With chapters on the nature, science and politics of climate change risk, as well as how to assess, then how to cope with it, and recommendations for incorporating climate change risks into a Company Climate Risk System, this concise guide serves the needs of business students and practitioners across a wide range of sectors, public and private.
Author :National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Publisher :National Academies Press ISBN 13 :030944554X Total Pages :101 pages Book Rating :4.3/5 (94 download)
Book Synopsis Characterizing Risk in Climate Change Assessments by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Download or read book Characterizing Risk in Climate Change Assessments written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2016-10-25 with total page 101 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) was established in 1990 to "assist the Nation and the world to understand, assess, predict, and respond to human-induced and natural processes of global change."1 A key responsibility for the program is to conduct National Climate Assessments (NCAs) every 4 years.2 These assessments are intended to inform the nation about "observed changes in climate, the current status of the climate, and anticipated trends for the future." The USGCRP hopes that government entities from federal agencies to small municipalities, citizens, communities, and businesses will rely on these assessments of climate- related risks for planning and decision-making. The third NCA (NCA3) was published in 2014 and work on the fourth is beginning. The USGCRP asked the Board on Environmental Change and Society of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine to conduct a workshop to explore ways to frame the NCA4 and subsequent NCA reports in terms of risks to society. The workshop was intended to collect experienced views on how to characterize and communicate information about climate-related hazards, risks, and opportunities that will support decision makers in their efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, reduce vulnerability to likely changes in climate, and increase resilience to those changes. Characterizing Risk in Climate Change Assessments summarizes the presentations and discussions from the workshop.
Book Synopsis Integrating Climate Change Vulnerability, Risk, and Resilience for Place-based Assessment of Socio-ecological Systems by : Mariana Goodall Cains
Download or read book Integrating Climate Change Vulnerability, Risk, and Resilience for Place-based Assessment of Socio-ecological Systems written by Mariana Goodall Cains and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding and planning for climate change is a complex systems problem that is interdisciplinary and requires place-based and impact-specific management practices for communities to become resilient to a changing environment. A growing challenge for risk, vulnerability, and resilience assessment is the ability to understand, characterize, and model the complexities of joint socio-ecological systems, often delineated with differing natural (e.g., watershed) and imposed (e.g., political) boundaries at the landscape scale. Risk assessment, in its most basic form, is a simplification of a complex problem in order to understand the basic cause and effect relationships within a system. Alternatively, an integrated risk and resilience assessment moves toward a solution-based assessment with the incorporation of adaptive management practices as one of four parts of cyclical system resilience (i.e., prepare, absorb, recover, and adapt). The greater Charleston Harbor Watershed region of South Carolina is highly susceptible to the current and projected impacts of climate change due to low lying geography, a strongly bimodal socioeconomic spectrum, and invaluable coastal ecosystem services. Using the Charleston Harbor Watershed region as a case study, this dissertation: 1) illustrates the incorporation of place-based social vulnerability into environmental risk assessment, 2) introduces a parameterization framework for the systematic deconstruction of management objectives and goals into assessment metrics and quantifiable measurement metrics, and 3) demonstrates the integration of risk and resilience quantification to produce scenario-based adaptive management options.
Book Synopsis New Approaches to Local Climate Change Risk Analysis by : Åsa Gerger Swartling
Download or read book New Approaches to Local Climate Change Risk Analysis written by Åsa Gerger Swartling and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2023-12-12 with total page 185 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The JPI Climate – AXIS project “Unpacking climate impact CHAINs. A new generation of action – and user-oriented climate change risk assessments” (UNCHAIN) is approaching its end date (31.12.2022), and the project is looking for an opportunity to collect its remaining scientific publications into a Research Topic. The overall objective of UNCHAIN is to improve climate change risk assessment frameworks aimed at informed decision-making and climate change adaptation action through six methodological innovations: • To also cover the possible need for long-term and large-scale efforts of societal transformation; • To refine a structured method of co-production of knowledge and integrate this into impact modelling; • To develop and test an applicable framework for analyzing how societal change can affect local climate change vulnerabilities; • To develop and test a standardized analytical framework for addressing uncertainties involved in local decision-making on climate change adaptation; • To integrate the trans-national impacts of climate change; and, • To link mitigation and adaptation in climate risk and vulnerability assessments.
Book Synopsis Advancing the Science of Climate Change by : National Research Council
Download or read book Advancing the Science of Climate Change written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-01-10 with total page 526 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change is occurring, is caused largely by human activities, and poses significant risks for-and in many cases is already affecting-a broad range of human and natural systems. The compelling case for these conclusions is provided in Advancing the Science of Climate Change, part of a congressionally requested suite of studies known as America's Climate Choices. While noting that there is always more to learn and that the scientific process is never closed, the book shows that hypotheses about climate change are supported by multiple lines of evidence and have stood firm in the face of serious debate and careful evaluation of alternative explanations. As decision makers respond to these risks, the nation's scientific enterprise can contribute through research that improves understanding of the causes and consequences of climate change and also is useful to decision makers at the local, regional, national, and international levels. The book identifies decisions being made in 12 sectors, ranging from agriculture to transportation, to identify decisions being made in response to climate change. Advancing the Science of Climate Change calls for a single federal entity or program to coordinate a national, multidisciplinary research effort aimed at improving both understanding and responses to climate change. Seven cross-cutting research themes are identified to support this scientific enterprise. In addition, leaders of federal climate research should redouble efforts to deploy a comprehensive climate observing system, improve climate models and other analytical tools, invest in human capital, and improve linkages between research and decisions by forming partnerships with action-oriented programs.
Book Synopsis Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design by : Patrick A. Ray
Download or read book Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design written by Patrick A. Ray and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2015-08-20 with total page 149 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design describes an approach to facing two fundamental and unavoidable issues brought about by climate change uncertainty in water resources planning and project design. The first is a risk assessment problem. The second relates to risk management. This book provides background on the risks relevant in water systems planning, the different approaches to scenario definition in water system planning, and an introduction to the decision-scaling methodology upon which the decision tree is based. The decision tree is described as a scientifically defensible, repeatable, direct and clear method for demonstrating the robustness of a project to climate change. While applicable to all water resources projects, it allocates effort to projects in a way that is consistent with their potential sensitivity to climate risk. The process was designed to be hierarchical, with different stages or phases of analysis triggered based on the findings of the previous phase. An application example is provided followed by a descriptions of some of the tools available for decision making under uncertainty and methods available for climate risk management. The tool was designed for the World Bank but can be applicable in other scenarios where similar challenges arise.
Book Synopsis Ecological Risk Assessment by : Glenn W. Suter II
Download or read book Ecological Risk Assessment written by Glenn W. Suter II and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-04-19 with total page 692 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The definitive reference in its field, Ecological Risk Assessment, Second Edition details the latest advances in science and practice. In the fourteen years since the publication of the best-selling first edition, ecological risk assessment (ERA) has moved from the margins into the spotlight. It is now commonly applied to the regulation of c
Book Synopsis Incorporating Climate Change Projections Into Risk Measures of Index-based Insurance by : Zhuoli Jin
Download or read book Incorporating Climate Change Projections Into Risk Measures of Index-based Insurance written by Zhuoli Jin and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a complete working example of using regional climate model projections to estimate the changing risks of temperature index-based insurance products defined for a series of locations in California. This region is a major agricultural producer for the US and the world. The climate model projections are an ensemble of six regional climate model runs obtained from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program. Hindcasts for the period of 1971-2000 are compared to historical observed temperature data for bias and variance corrections. Adjusted future model projections are used to estimate distributions of cooling degree days for 2041-2070, which are then used to estimate risk measures for index-based insurance products defined for cooling degree day indices. More broadly, this thesis provides a transparent illustration of climate data processing, climate model bias correction, and the use of climate data products to explore actuarial risks.
Author :Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Publisher :Cambridge University Press ISBN 13 :1107025060 Total Pages :593 pages Book Rating :4.1/5 (7 download)
Book Synopsis Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation by : Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Download or read book Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation written by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-05-28 with total page 593 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Extreme weather and climate events, interacting with exposed and vulnerable human and natural systems, can lead to disasters. This Special Report explores the social as well as physical dimensions of weather- and climate-related disasters, considering opportunities for managing risks at local to international scales. SREX was approved and accepted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) on 18 November 2011 in Kampala, Uganda.
Book Synopsis Ecological Risk Assessment and Climate Change in 21st Century by : Loren Gilbert
Download or read book Ecological Risk Assessment and Climate Change in 21st Century written by Loren Gilbert and published by . This book was released on 2016-05-24 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The depletion of various ecological resources and the adverse effects of climate variability have compelled different governments and organizations to monitor the utilization of ecological resources. This book attempts to provide a detailed examination of the topics related to this field such as optimization and management of ecological resources, impact of climate change, environmental policy analysis, tools and techniques for ecological risk assessment, etc. It is a collective contribution of internationally acclaimed experts with an aim to bring forth new topics for research and analysis. A number of latest case studies have been included to keep the readers up-to-date with the global concepts in this area of study.
Book Synopsis Community Ecotoxicology by : William H. Clements
Download or read book Community Ecotoxicology written by William H. Clements and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-02-14 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ecotoxicology is the study of the effects of toxicants on ecological systems. Ecological effects of contaminants may occur at several levels of biological organisation, from individual organisms to the entire biosphere. Communities consist of interacting populations that overlap in time and space. Thus, community ecotoxicology is concerned with effects of contaminants on communities. This is one of a series of five books that will provide a comprehensive treatment of field ecotoxicology, it provides important insights into how contaminants affect the distribution and abundance of organisms in nature. * Both authors are well known highly respected scientists in the field. * The first book to be dedicated to 'community ecotoxicology.'
Book Synopsis Ecological Risk Assessment by : Environmental Protection Agency U S
Download or read book Ecological Risk Assessment written by Environmental Protection Agency U S and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Authored by EPA, this reference book provides a complete guide to systematically evaluating and organizing data, information, assumptions, and uncertainties so that you can understand the relationships between human-induced changes and their ecological effects. Using that information, you can then predict the likelihood of future adverse effects, evaluate the likelihood that effects are caused by past exposure to stressors, and make informed environmental decisions.
Book Synopsis America's Climate Choices by : National Research Council
Download or read book America's Climate Choices written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-06-11 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change is occurring. It is very likely caused by the emission of greenhouse gases from human activities, and poses significant risks for a range of human and natural systems. And these emissions continue to increase, which will result in further change and greater risks. America's Climate Choices makes the case that the environmental, economic, and humanitarian risks posed by climate change indicate a pressing need for substantial action now to limit the magnitude of climate change and to prepare for adapting to its impacts. Although there is some uncertainty about future risk, acting now will reduce the risks posed by climate change and the pressure to make larger, more rapid, and potentially more expensive reductions later. Most actions taken to reduce vulnerability to climate change impacts are common sense investments that will offer protection against natural climate variations and extreme events. In addition, crucial investment decisions made now about equipment and infrastructure can "lock in" commitments to greenhouse gas emissions for decades to come. Finally, while it may be possible to scale back or reverse many responses to climate change, it is difficult or impossible to "undo" climate change, once manifested. Current efforts of local, state, and private-sector actors are important, but not likely to yield progress comparable to what could be achieved with the addition of strong federal policies that establish coherent national goals and incentives, and that promote strong U.S. engagement in international-level response efforts. The inherent complexities and uncertainties of climate change are best met by applying an iterative risk management framework and making efforts to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions; prepare for adapting to impacts; invest in scientific research, technology development, and information systems; and facilitate engagement between scientific and technical experts and the many types of stakeholders making America's climate choices.
Book Synopsis Regional Scale Ecological Risk Assessment by : Taylor & Francis Group
Download or read book Regional Scale Ecological Risk Assessment written by Taylor & Francis Group and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-06-30 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Addressing large-scale and comparative risks at the landscape level, this book focuses on assessments using the Relative Risk Model (RRM) pioneered over the last seven years, and includes case-studies from around the world.
