Human preferences and risky choices

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Publisher : Frontiers E-books
ISBN 13 : 2889190560
Total Pages : 69 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (891 download)

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Book Synopsis Human preferences and risky choices by : Petko Kusev

Download or read book Human preferences and risky choices written by Petko Kusev and published by Frontiers E-books. This book was released on 2012 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "There are different views on what preferences for risks are and whether they are indicators of stable, underlying generic cognitive systems. Preferences could be conceived as an attitude towards a set of properties of context, memory and affect - a gauge of how much uncertainty one is willing to tolerate. This Research Topic aims to initiate a discussion on the stability of preferences for risks - as research has shown that different decision domains, response modes, and framing facilitate preference reversals. A consistent claim from behavioural decision researchers is that, contrary to the assumptions of classical economics, preferences are not stable and inherent constructs in individuals but are modified by levels of accessibility in memory, context, decision complexity, and type of psychological processing (e.g., sampling or computational "trade-offs" in processing). For example, in a sampling-based decision-making paradigm it is argued that preferences are not essential for making risky decisions. The existing theoretical and empirical evidence reveals that human preferences are relative and unstable, undermining the predictions of normative theory. Recent theoretical accounts in psychology have expanded the debate further by offering evolutionary models of decision-making under risk. While most of the researcher has explored optimisation goals (traditionally assumed in economics), evolutionary psychology has promoted adaptation-driven processes for risky choices. Moreover, we have witnessed a renaissance of preferences as affect rather than as a construct with psycho-economical properties. Although behavioural decision research is still engaged in challenging the foundation of economic theory, at present, opinions seem less unified as to whether preferences reflect common psychological constructs. The Research Topic will focus on human preferences and risky choices. Topics include: Normative, descriptive and experience-based decision making, Preference reversals, Accessibility in memory, Context dependence, Psychological processing (including i) probabilities, utilities, computations and 'trade-offs', and ii) sampling), Affect, and Evolutionary accounts." -- Provided by publisher.

Behavioural Economics: A Very Short Introduction

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 019107117X
Total Pages : 169 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioural Economics: A Very Short Introduction by : Michelle Baddeley

Download or read book Behavioural Economics: A Very Short Introduction written by Michelle Baddeley and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2017-01-19 with total page 169 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally economists have based their economic predictions on the assumption that humans are super-rational creatures, using the information we are given efficiently and generally making selfish decisions that work well for us as individuals. Economists also assume that we're doing the very best we can possibly do - not only for today, but over our whole lifetimes too. But increasingly the study of behavioural economics is revealing that our lives are not that simple. Instead, our decisions are complicated by our own psychology. Each of us makes mistakes every day. We don't always know what's best for us and, even if we do, we might not have the self-control to deliver on our best intentions. We struggle to stay on diets, to get enough exercise and to manage our money. We misjudge risky situations. We are prone to herding: sometimes peer pressure leads us blindly to copy others around us; other times copying others helps us to learn quickly about new, unfamiliar situations. This Very Short Introduction explores the reasons why we make irrational decisions; how we decide quickly; why we make mistakes in risky situations; our tendency to procrastination; and how we are affected by social influences, personality, mood and emotions. The implications of understanding the rationale for our own financial behaviour are huge. Behavioural economics could help policy-makers to understand the people behind their policies, enabling them to design more effective policies, while at the same time we could find ourselves assaulted by increasingly savvy marketing. Michelle Baddeley concludes by looking forward, to see what the future of behavioural economics holds for us. ABOUT THE SERIES: The Very Short Introductions series from Oxford University Press contains hundreds of titles in almost every subject area. These pocket-sized books are the perfect way to get ahead in a new subject quickly. Our expert authors combine facts, analysis, perspective, new ideas, and enthusiasm to make interesting and challenging topics highly readable.

Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309523893
Total Pages : 433 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (95 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior by : Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations

Download or read book Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior written by Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1998-08-14 with total page 433 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Simulations are widely used in the military for training personnel, analyzing proposed equipment, and rehearsing missions, and these simulations need realistic models of human behavior. This book draws together a wide variety of theoretical and applied research in human behavior modeling that can be considered for use in those simulations. It covers behavior at the individual, unit, and command level. At the individual soldier level, the topics covered include attention, learning, memory, decisionmaking, perception, situation awareness, and planning. At the unit level, the focus is on command and control. The book provides short-, medium-, and long-term goals for research and development of more realistic models of human behavior.

The Paradox of Choice

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Publisher : Harper Collins
ISBN 13 : 0061748994
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (617 download)

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Book Synopsis The Paradox of Choice by : Barry Schwartz

Download or read book The Paradox of Choice written by Barry Schwartz and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2009-10-13 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Whether we're buying a pair of jeans, ordering a cup of coffee, selecting a long-distance carrier, applying to college, choosing a doctor, or setting up a 401(k), everyday decisions—both big and small—have become increasingly complex due to the overwhelming abundance of choice with which we are presented. As Americans, we assume that more choice means better options and greater satisfaction. But beware of excessive choice: choice overload can make you question the decisions you make before you even make them, it can set you up for unrealistically high expectations, and it can make you blame yourself for any and all failures. In the long run, this can lead to decision-making paralysis, anxiety, and perpetual stress. And, in a culture that tells us that there is no excuse for falling short of perfection when your options are limitless, too much choice can lead to clinical depression. In The Paradox of Choice, Barry Schwartz explains at what point choice—the hallmark of individual freedom and self-determination that we so cherish—becomes detrimental to our psychological and emotional well-being. In accessible, engaging, and anecdotal prose, Schwartz shows how the dramatic explosion in choice—from the mundane to the profound challenges of balancing career, family, and individual needs—has paradoxically become a problem instead of a solution. Schwartz also shows how our obsession with choice encourages us to seek that which makes us feel worse. By synthesizing current research in the social sciences, Schwartz makes the counter intuitive case that eliminating choices can greatly reduce the stress, anxiety, and busyness of our lives. He offers eleven practical steps on how to limit choices to a manageable number, have the discipline to focus on those that are important and ignore the rest, and ultimately derive greater satisfaction from the choices you have to make.

Essays on Decision Making and the Role of Hunger in Risky Choice Behavior

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 142 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (114 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Decision Making and the Role of Hunger in Risky Choice Behavior by : Yuval Erez

Download or read book Essays on Decision Making and the Role of Hunger in Risky Choice Behavior written by Yuval Erez and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision making is an integral part of human life. It encompasses different domains (e.g., risky choice, intertemporal choice, etc.), and is affected by numerous factors (visceral factors, emotions, representations, etc.). Following a thorough review of the evolution of decision making as a field of study, this dissertation studies the effect of experimentally manipulated hunger - a typical drive state - on choices in the context of decision making under risk for both food and money. Using a risky-choice framing task, the effect of hunger was tested to assess its influence on: (a) choice consistency ("rational choice behavior") as reflected by the degree of framing bias exhibited by the participants, (b) risk preferences, and (c) sensitivity to midpoint probabilities. Furthermore, a number of theoretical hypotheses were driven from three distinct models - two traditional dual-system models and fuzzy-trace theory - and compared with participants' actual choice behavior. Results from the experiment show that being in a drive state of hunger increased risk aversion for food and money but did not generate a stronger framing bias, or significantly alter the sensitivity to midpoint probabilities. Particularly, this pattern of risk preferences was robust across both gain and loss-framed decisions. In addition, this work provides some evidence for oversensitivity to midpoint probabilities in the context of risky-choice framing task. These findings pose a challenge to the two traditional dual-system models, contradicting some of their formal predictions, while providing some support to fuzzy-trace theory. Future directions for theoretical research are discussed.

Behavioral Economics of Preferences, Choices, and Happiness

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 4431554025
Total Pages : 717 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Economics of Preferences, Choices, and Happiness by : Shinsuke Ikeda

Download or read book Behavioral Economics of Preferences, Choices, and Happiness written by Shinsuke Ikeda and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-01-13 with total page 717 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a collection of important contributions by Japanese researchers and their coauthors to present current advances in behavioral economics and finance, particularly in relation to decision making and human well-being. The topics covered in this volume include decision making under the conditions of inter-temporal choices, risk and social relations, happiness and the neuro-scientific/biological basis of behavior. The book includes works of research, both theoretical and empirical, on time discounting, time preferences, risk aversion, altruism, social status, happiness, addiction, limited attention and health and financial investments. The authors of the chapters add supplementary discussions to survey more recent advances on related topics or to provide detailed information that were abbreviated in the original publications. The addenda will enable readers to deepen their understanding of decision making and human well-being.

Risk and Decision Making

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Author :
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 76 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Risk and Decision Making by :

Download or read book Risk and Decision Making written by and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1982-01-01 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Preference Reversal in Risky Choices Under Time Pressure

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Preference Reversal in Risky Choices Under Time Pressure by : Najam Saqib

Download or read book Preference Reversal in Risky Choices Under Time Pressure written by Najam Saqib and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A pervasive aspect of time pressure is the salience of negative information, which causes individuals to adopt strategies that are consistent with risk-aversion. In four studies, however, we find that time pressure reverses risk preferences: risk-seeking individuals adopt risk-averse strategies whereas risk-averse individuals adopt risk-seeking ones. Study 1 demonstrates the basic effect, while Studies 2 and 3 explore the emphasis on negative (vs. positive) outcomes as the underlying mediator. Study 4 extends the findings to the domain of regulatory focus. Taken together, the four studies reveal the existence of a preference reversal in risky choices under time pressure, in direct contrast to the extant understanding of time pressure and decision-making. Consequences for everyday decision-making and consumers are discussed.

The Construction of Preference

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139457780
Total Pages : 709 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis The Construction of Preference by : Sarah Lichtenstein

Download or read book The Construction of Preference written by Sarah Lichtenstein and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2006-08-28 with total page 709 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the main themes that has emerged from behavioral decision research during the past three decades is the view that people's preferences are often constructed in the process of elicitation. This idea is derived from studies demonstrating that normatively equivalent methods of elicitation (e.g., choice and pricing) give rise to systematically different responses. These preference reversals violate the principle of procedure invariance that is fundamental to all theories of rational choice. If different elicitation procedures produce different orderings of options, how can preferences be defined and in what sense do they exist? This book shows not only the historical roots of preference construction but also the blossoming of the concept within psychology, law, marketing, philosophy, environmental policy, and economics. Decision making is now understood to be a highly contingent form of information processing, sensitive to task complexity, time pressure, response mode, framing, reference points, and other contextual factors.

Neuroscience of Preference and Choice

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0123814316
Total Pages : 357 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (238 download)

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Book Synopsis Neuroscience of Preference and Choice by : Raymond J. Dolan

Download or read book Neuroscience of Preference and Choice written by Raymond J. Dolan and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2012 with total page 357 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the most pressing questions in neuroscience, psychology and economics today is how does the brain generate preferences and make choices? With a unique interdisciplinary approach, this volume is among the first to explore the cognitive and neural mechanisms mediating the generation of the preferences that guide choice. From preferences determining mundane purchases, to social preferences influencing mating choice, through to moral decisions, the authors adopt diverse approaches to answer the question. Chapters explore the instability of preferences and the common neural processes that occur across preferences. Edited by one of the world's most renowned cognitive neuroscientists, each chapter is authored by an expert in the field, with a host of international contributors. Emphasis on common process underlying preference generation makes material applicable to a variety of disciplines - neuroscience, psychology, economics, law, philosophy, etc. Offers specific focus on how preferences are generated to guide decision making, carefully examining one aspect of the broad field of neuroeconomics and complementing existing volumes Features outstanding, international scholarship, with chapters written by an expert in the topic area

Behavioral Decision Making

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461323916
Total Pages : 570 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (613 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Decision Making by : George Wright

Download or read book Behavioral Decision Making written by George Wright and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-11 with total page 570 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0121706214
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (217 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice by : Jean-Paul Chavas

Download or read book Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice written by Jean-Paul Chavas and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2004-06-04 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice is to present this analytical framework and to illustrate how it can be used in the investigation of economic decisions under risk. In a sense, the economics of risk is a difficult subject: it involves understanding human decisions in the absence of perfect information. How do we make decisions when we do not know some of events affecting us? The complexities of our uncertain world and of how humans obtain and process information make this difficult. In spite of these difficulties, much progress has been made. First, probability theory is the corner stone of risk assessment. This allows us to measure risk in a fashion that can be communicated among decision makers or researchers. Second, risk preferences are now better understood. This provides useful insights into the economic rationality of decision making under uncertainty. Third, over the last decades, good insights have been developed about the value of information. This helps better understand the role of information in human decision making and this book provides a systematic treatment of these issues in the context of both private and public decisions under uncertainty. Balanced treatment of conceptual models and applied analysis Considers both private and public decisions under uncertainty Website presents application exercises in Excel

Risk, Choice, and Uncertainty

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Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0231550979
Total Pages : 413 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk, Choice, and Uncertainty by : George G. Szpiro

Download or read book Risk, Choice, and Uncertainty written by George G. Szpiro and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2020-01-07 with total page 413 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At its core, economics is about making decisions. In the history of economic thought, great intellectual prowess has been exerted toward devising exquisite theories of optimal decision making in situations of constraint, risk, and scarcity. Yet not all of our choices are purely logical, and so there is a longstanding tension between those emphasizing the rational and irrational sides of human behavior. One strand develops formal models of rational utility maximizing while the other draws on what behavioral science has shown about our tendency to act irrationally. In Risk, Choice, and Uncertainty, George G. Szpiro offers a new narrative of the three-century history of the study of decision making, tracing how crucial ideas have evolved and telling the stories of the thinkers who shaped the field. Szpiro examines economics from the early days of theories spun from anecdotal evidence to the rise of a discipline built around elegant mathematics through the past half century’s interest in describing how people actually behave. Considering the work of Locke, Bentham, Jevons, Walras, Friedman, Tversky and Kahneman, Thaler, and a range of other thinkers, he sheds light on the vast scope of discovery since Bernoulli first proposed a solution to the St. Petersburg Paradox. Presenting fundamental mathematical theories in easy-to-understand language, Risk, Choice, and Uncertainty is a revelatory history for readers seeking to grasp the grand sweep of economic thought.

Risk Communication and Vaccination

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309057906
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Communication and Vaccination by : Institute of Medicine

Download or read book Risk Communication and Vaccination written by Institute of Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1997-08-10 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Handbook of Experimental Economics Results

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444826424
Total Pages : 1175 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (448 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Experimental Economics Results by : Charles R. Plott

Download or read book Handbook of Experimental Economics Results written by Charles R. Plott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2008-08-21 with total page 1175 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While the field of economics makes sharp distinctions and produces precise theory, the work of experimental economics sometimes appears blurred and may produce uncertain results. The contributors to this volume have provided brief notes describing specific experimental results.

The Mathematics of Preference, Choice and Order

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540791280
Total Pages : 412 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis The Mathematics of Preference, Choice and Order by : Steven Brams

Download or read book The Mathematics of Preference, Choice and Order written by Steven Brams and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-02-11 with total page 412 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Peter Fishburn has had a splendidly productive career that led to path-breaking c- tributions in a remarkable variety of areas of research. His contributions have been published in a vast literature, ranging through journals of social choice and welfare, decision theory, operations research, economic theory, political science, mathema- cal psychology, and discrete mathematics. This work was done both on an individual basis and with a very long list of coauthors. The contributions that Fishburn made can roughly be divided into three major topical areas, and contributions to each of these areas are identi?ed by sections of this monograph. Section 1 deals with topics that are included in the general areas of utility, preference, individual choice, subjective probability, and measurement t- ory. Section 2 covers social choice theory, voting models, and social welfare. S- tion 3 deals with more purely mathematical topics that are related to combinatorics, graph theory, and ordered sets. The common theme of Fishburn’s contributions to all of these areas is his ability to bring rigorous mathematical analysis to bear on a wide range of dif?cult problems.

The Nature of Risk Preferences

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (82 download)

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Book Synopsis The Nature of Risk Preferences by : Levon Barseghyan

Download or read book The Nature of Risk Preferences written by Levon Barseghyan and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: