Risk Analysis In Theory And Practice

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Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice

Author : Jean-Paul Chavas
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080516335
Total Pages : 247 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice by : Jean-Paul Chavas

Download or read book Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice written by Jean-Paul Chavas and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2004-07-01 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice is to present this analytical framework and to illustrate how it can be used in the investigation of economic decisions under risk. In a sense, the economics of risk is a difficult subject: it involves understanding human decisions in the absence of perfect information. How do we make decisions when we do not know some of events affecting us? The complexities of our uncertain world and of how humans obtain and process information make this difficult. In spite of these difficulties, much progress has been made. First, probability theory is the corner stone of risk assessment. This allows us to measure risk in a fashion that can be communicated among decision makers or researchers. Second, risk preferences are now better understood. This provides useful insights into the economic rationality of decision making under uncertainty. Third, over the last decades, good insights have been developed about the value of information. This helps better understand the role of information in human decision making and this book provides a systematic treatment of these issues in the context of both private and public decisions under uncertainty. Balanced treatment of conceptual models and applied analysis Considers both private and public decisions under uncertainty Website presents application exercises in Excel

Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice

Author : Jean-Paul Chavas
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0121706214
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (217 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice by : Jean-Paul Chavas

Download or read book Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice written by Jean-Paul Chavas and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2004-06-04 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice is to present this analytical framework and to illustrate how it can be used in the investigation of economic decisions under risk. In a sense, the economics of risk is a difficult subject: it involves understanding human decisions in the absence of perfect information. How do we make decisions when we do not know some of events affecting us? The complexities of our uncertain world and of how humans obtain and process information make this difficult. In spite of these difficulties, much progress has been made. First, probability theory is the corner stone of risk assessment. This allows us to measure risk in a fashion that can be communicated among decision makers or researchers. Second, risk preferences are now better understood. This provides useful insights into the economic rationality of decision making under uncertainty. Third, over the last decades, good insights have been developed about the value of information. This helps better understand the role of information in human decision making and this book provides a systematic treatment of these issues in the context of both private and public decisions under uncertainty. Balanced treatment of conceptual models and applied analysis Considers both private and public decisions under uncertainty Website presents application exercises in Excel

Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice

Author : Jean-Paul Chavas
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 9781493300259
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice by : Jean-Paul Chavas

Download or read book Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice written by Jean-Paul Chavas and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this book is to present this analytical framework and to illustrate how it can be used in the investigation of economic decisions under risk. In a sense, the economics of risk is a difficult subject: it involves understanding human decisions in the absence of perfect information. How do we make decisions when we do not know some of events affecting us? The complexities of our uncertain world and of how humans obtain and process information make this difficult. In spite of these difficulties, much progress has been made. First, probability theory is the corner stone of risk assessment. This allows us to measure risk in a fashion that can be communicated among decision makers or researchers. Second, risk preferences are now better understood. This provides useful insights into the economic rationality of decision making under uncertainty. Third, over the last decades, good insights have been developed about the value of information. This helps better understand the role of information in human decision making and this book provides a systematic treatment of these issues in the context of both private and public decisions under uncertainty. * Balanced treatment of conceptual models and applied analysis * Considers both private and public decisions under uncertainty * Website presents application exercises in EXCEL

Risk Assessment

Author : Marvin Rausand
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119377234
Total Pages : 784 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (193 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Assessment by : Marvin Rausand

Download or read book Risk Assessment written by Marvin Rausand and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-03-31 with total page 784 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduces risk assessment with key theories, proven methods, and state-of-the-art applications Risk Assessment: Theory, Methods, and Applications remains one of the few textbooks to address current risk analysis and risk assessment with an emphasis on the possibility of sudden, major accidents across various areas of practice—from machinery and manufacturing processes to nuclear power plants and transportation systems. Updated to align with ISO 31000 and other amended standards, this all-new 2nd Edition discusses the main ideas and techniques for assessing risk today. The book begins with an introduction of risk analysis, assessment, and management, and includes a new section on the history of risk analysis. It covers hazards and threats, how to measure and evaluate risk, and risk management. It also adds new sections on risk governance and risk-informed decision making; combining accident theories and criteria for evaluating data sources; and subjective probabilities. The risk assessment process is covered, as are how to establish context; planning and preparing; and identification, analysis, and evaluation of risk. Risk Assessment also offers new coverage of safe job analysis and semi-quantitative methods, and it discusses barrier management and HRA methods for offshore application. Finally, it looks at dynamic risk analysis, security and life-cycle use of risk. Serves as a practical and modern guide to the current applications of risk analysis and assessment, supports key standards, and supplements legislation related to risk analysis Updated and revised to align with ISO 31000 Risk Management and other new standards and includes new chapters on security, dynamic risk analysis, as well as life-cycle use of risk analysis Provides in-depth coverage on hazard identification, methodologically outlining the steps for use of checklists, conducting preliminary hazard analysis, and job safety analysis Presents new coverage on the history of risk analysis, criteria for evaluating data sources, risk-informed decision making, subjective probabilities, semi-quantitative methods, and barrier management Contains more applications and examples, new and revised problems throughout, and detailed appendices that outline key terms and acronyms Supplemented with a book companion website containing Solutions to problems, presentation material and an Instructor Manual Risk Assessment: Theory, Methods, and Applications, Second Edition is ideal for courses on risk analysis/risk assessment and systems engineering at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. It is also an excellent reference and resource for engineers, researchers, consultants, and practitioners who carry out risk assessment techniques in their everyday work.

Scenario Analysis in Risk Management

Author : Bertrand K. Hassani
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319250566
Total Pages : 162 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Scenario Analysis in Risk Management by : Bertrand K. Hassani

Download or read book Scenario Analysis in Risk Management written by Bertrand K. Hassani and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-10-26 with total page 162 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on identifying and explaining the key determinants of scenario analysis in the context of operational risk, stress testing and systemic risk, as well as management and planning. Each chapter presents alternative solutions to perform reliable scenario analysis. The author also provides technical notes and describes applications and key characteristics for each of the solutions. In addition, the book includes a section to help practitioners interpret the results and adjust them to real-life management activities. Methodologies, including those derived from consensus strategies, extreme value theory, Bayesian networks, Neural networks, Fault Trees, frequentist statistics and data mining are introduced in such a way as to make them understandable to readers without a quantitative background. Particular emphasis is given to the added value of the implementation of these methodologies.

Risk-Return Analysis: The Theory and Practice of Rational Investing (Volume One)

Author : Harry M. Markowitz
Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 0071817948
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (718 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk-Return Analysis: The Theory and Practice of Rational Investing (Volume One) by : Harry M. Markowitz

Download or read book Risk-Return Analysis: The Theory and Practice of Rational Investing (Volume One) written by Harry M. Markowitz and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2013-09-06 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Nobel Prize-winning Father of Modern Portfolio Theory re-introduces his theories for the current world of investing Legendary economist Harry M. Markowitz provides the insight and methods you need to build a portfolio that generates strong returns for the long run In Risk-Return Analysis, Markowitz corrects common misunderstandings about Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) to help advanced financial practitioners dramatically improve their decision making. In this first volume of a groundbreaking four-part series sure to draw the attention of anyone interested in MPT, Markowitz provides the criteria necessary for judging among risk-measures; surveys a half-century of literature (nearly all of which has been ignored by textbooks) on the applicability of MPT; and presents an empirical study of which functions of mean and some risk-measure is best for those who seek to maximize return in the long run. Harry M. Markowitz is a Nobel Laureate and the father of Modern Portfolio Theory.

Risk Management

Author : Hongmu Lee
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811634688
Total Pages : 261 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (116 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Management by : Hongmu Lee

Download or read book Risk Management written by Hongmu Lee and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-11-25 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book outlines risk management theory systematically and comprehensively while distinguishing it from academic fields such as insurance theory. In addition, the book builds a risk financing theory that is independent of insurance theory. Until now, risk management (RM) theory has been discussed while the framework of the theory has remained unclear. However, this book, unlike previous books of this type, provides risk management theory after presenting a framework for it. Enterprise risk management (ERM) is seen differently depending on one’s position. For accountants, it is a means for internal control to prevent accounting fraud, whereas for financial institutions, it quantifies the risk that administrators can take to meet supervisory standards. Therefore, most of the ERM outlines are written to suit the intended uses or topics, with no systematic RM overviews. This book discusses a systematic RM theory linked to the framework of it, unlike previous books that were written according to topic. After the Enron scandal in December 2001 and WorldCom accounting fraud in June 2002, several laws were enacted or revised throughout the world, such as the SOX Act(Sarbanes-Oxley Act) in the United States and the Financial Instruments and Exchange Law and Companies Act in Japan. In this process, the COSO(Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of Treadway Commission) published their ERM framework, while the ISO (International Organization for Standardization) published their RM framework. The author believes that the competition between these frameworks was an opportunity to systematize RM theory and greatly develop it as an independent discipline from insurance. On the other hand, the Great East Japan Earthquake that occurred on March 11, 2011, caused enormous losses. Also, because pandemics and cyber risks are increasing, businesses must have a comprehensive and systematic ERM for these risks associated with their business activities

Handbook of Phytosanitary Risk Management

Author : Charles Yoe
Publisher : CABI
ISBN 13 : 1780648790
Total Pages : 423 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (86 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Phytosanitary Risk Management by : Charles Yoe

Download or read book Handbook of Phytosanitary Risk Management written by Charles Yoe and published by CABI. This book was released on 2020-09-30 with total page 423 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Phytosanitary risk management is essential to the global economy as well as the world's ability to feed itself. This book is about understanding the fundamentals of phytosanitary risk management for trade and non-trade issues, and how to manage those risks in an effective and efficient manner that is consistent with the international regulatory framework. Its purpose is to provide the international phytosanitary community and its principal stakeholders with a strong foundation in risk management concepts and a thorough guide to best practices.

The Economic Foundations of Risk Management

Author : Robert Jarrow
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9813147539
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (131 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economic Foundations of Risk Management by : Robert Jarrow

Download or read book The Economic Foundations of Risk Management written by Robert Jarrow and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2016-11-02 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Economic Foundations of Risk Management presents the theory, the practice, and applies this knowledge to provide a forensic analysis of some well-known risk management failures. By doing so, this book introduces a unified framework for understanding how to manage the risk of an individual's or corporation's or financial institution's assets and liabilities. The book is divided into five parts. The first part studies the markets and the assets and liabilities that trade therein. Markets are differentiated based on whether they are competitive or not, frictionless or not (and the type of friction), and actively traded or not. Assets are divided into two types: primary assets and financial derivatives. The second part studies models for determining the risks of the traded assets. Models provided include the Black-Scholes-Merton, the Heath-Jarrow-Morton, and the reduced form model for credit risk. Liquidity risk, operational risk, and trading constraint models are also contained therein. The third part studies the conceptual solution to an individual's, firm's, and bank's risk management problem. This formulation involves solving a complex dynamic programming problem that cannot be applied in practice. Consequently, Part IV investigates how risk management is actually done in practice via the use of diversification, static hedging, and dynamic hedging. Finally, Part V applies these collective insights to six case studies, which are famous risk management failures. These are Penn Square Bank, Metallgesellschaft, Orange County, Barings Bank, Long Term Capital Management, and Washington Mutual. The credit crisis is also discussed to understand how risk management failed for many institutions and why.

Operational Risk Modelling and Analysis

Author : Marcelo Cruz
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781904339342
Total Pages : 360 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (393 download)

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Book Synopsis Operational Risk Modelling and Analysis by : Marcelo Cruz

Download or read book Operational Risk Modelling and Analysis written by Marcelo Cruz and published by . This book was released on 2004-01 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The definitive journey into operational risk - this best-selling multi-contributor title will guide you with the identification, modelling, implementation, analysis and integration of operational risk into your overall risk management framework.

Modern Credit Risk Management

Author : Panayiota Koulafetis
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137524073
Total Pages : 234 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (375 download)

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Book Synopsis Modern Credit Risk Management by : Panayiota Koulafetis

Download or read book Modern Credit Risk Management written by Panayiota Koulafetis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-02-08 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a practical guide to the latest risk management tools and techniques applied in the market to assess and manage credit risks at bank, sovereign, corporate and structured finance level. It strongly advocates the importance of sound credit risk management and how this can be achieved with prudent origination, credit risk policies, approval process, setting of meaningful limits and underwriting criteria. The book discusses the various quantitative techniques used to assess and manage credit risk, including methods to estimate default probabilities, credit value at risk approaches and credit exposure analysis. Basel I, II and III are covered, as are the true meaning of credit ratings, how these are assigned, their limitations, the drivers of downgrades and upgrades, and how credit ratings should be used in practise is explained. Modern Credit Risk Management not only discusses credit risk from a quantitative angle but further explains how important the qualitative and legal assessment is. Credit risk transfer and mitigation techniques and tools are explained, as are netting, ISDA master agreements, centralised counterparty clearing, margin collateral, overcollateralization, covenants and events of default. Credit derivatives are also explained, as are Total Return Swaps (TRS), Credit Linked Notes (CLN) and Credit Default Swaps (CDS). Furthermore, the author discusses what we have learned from the financial crisis of 2007 and sovereign crisis of 2010 and how credit risk management has evolved. Finally the book examines the new regulatory environment, looking beyond Basel to the European Union (EU) Capital Requirements Regulation and Directive (CRR-CRD) IV, the Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. This book is a fully up to date resource for credit risk practitioners and academics everywhere, outlining the latest best practices and providing both quantitative and qualitative insights. It will prove a must-have reference for the field.

Risk, Reliability and Safety: Innovating Theory and Practice

Author : Lesley Walls
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 149878898X
Total Pages : 2983 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk, Reliability and Safety: Innovating Theory and Practice by : Lesley Walls

Download or read book Risk, Reliability and Safety: Innovating Theory and Practice written by Lesley Walls and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-11-25 with total page 2983 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk, Reliability and Safety contains papers describing innovations in theory and practice contributed to the scientific programme of the European Safety and Reliability conference (ESREL 2016), held at the University of Strathclyde in Glasgow, Scotland (25—29 September 2016). Authors include scientists, academics, practitioners, regulators and other key individuals with expertise and experience relevant to specific areas. Papers include domain specific applications as well as general modelling methods. Papers cover evaluation of contemporary solutions, exploration of future challenges, and exposition of concepts, methods and processes. Topics include human factors, occupational health and safety, dynamic and systems reliability modelling, maintenance optimisation, uncertainty analysis, resilience assessment, risk and crisis management.

Financial Risk Forecasting

Author : Jon Danielsson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119977118
Total Pages : 307 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Risk Forecasting by : Jon Danielsson

Download or read book Financial Risk Forecasting written by Jon Danielsson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-04-20 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Risk Forecasting is a complete introduction to practical quantitative risk management, with a focus on market risk. Derived from the authors teaching notes and years spent training practitioners in risk management techniques, it brings together the three key disciplines of finance, statistics and modeling (programming), to provide a thorough grounding in risk management techniques. Written by renowned risk expert Jon Danielsson, the book begins with an introduction to financial markets and market prices, volatility clusters, fat tails and nonlinear dependence. It then goes on to present volatility forecasting with both univatiate and multivatiate methods, discussing the various methods used by industry, with a special focus on the GARCH family of models. The evaluation of the quality of forecasts is discussed in detail. Next, the main concepts in risk and models to forecast risk are discussed, especially volatility, value-at-risk and expected shortfall. The focus is both on risk in basic assets such as stocks and foreign exchange, but also calculations of risk in bonds and options, with analytical methods such as delta-normal VaR and duration-normal VaR and Monte Carlo simulation. The book then moves on to the evaluation of risk models with methods like backtesting, followed by a discussion on stress testing. The book concludes by focussing on the forecasting of risk in very large and uncommon events with extreme value theory and considering the underlying assumptions behind almost every risk model in practical use – that risk is exogenous – and what happens when those assumptions are violated. Every method presented brings together theoretical discussion and derivation of key equations and a discussion of issues in practical implementation. Each method is implemented in both MATLAB and R, two of the most commonly used mathematical programming languages for risk forecasting with which the reader can implement the models illustrated in the book. The book includes four appendices. The first introduces basic concepts in statistics and financial time series referred to throughout the book. The second and third introduce R and MATLAB, providing a discussion of the basic implementation of the software packages. And the final looks at the concept of maximum likelihood, especially issues in implementation and testing. The book is accompanied by a website - www.financialriskforecasting.com – which features downloadable code as used in the book.

Pesticide Risk Assessment in Rice Paddies: Theory and Practice

Author : Ettore Capri
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 9780080551142
Total Pages : 266 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (511 download)

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Book Synopsis Pesticide Risk Assessment in Rice Paddies: Theory and Practice by : Ettore Capri

Download or read book Pesticide Risk Assessment in Rice Paddies: Theory and Practice written by Ettore Capri and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2011-08-11 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rice is cultivated throughout the world under submerged conditions. The high water requirements and the heavy pesticide load used in rice paddies worldwide have resulted in contamination of associated surface water, such as streams, ditches, rivers and lakes. The uniform risk assessment approach which has been developed for other crops is not applicable to rice paddies, because of the specific conditions applied to rice cultivation. Pesticide Risk Assessment in Rice Paddies: Theory and Practice fills the gap in information on this subject. Written by experts, this book summarizes the methods used for pesticide risk assessment in rice paddies, the limitations and problems encountered and future developments. It also examines the various agronomic, pesticide application and risk assessment approaches used in different rice cultivated zones in Asia, America and Europe and is an essential reference for those working in this area. * The only up-to-date book dealing with pesticide risk assessment in the flooded conditions of rice paddies * Offers guidelines on the use and application of existing modeling tools, specific for rice cultivation * Presents the differences and similarities in rice cropping systems and how these relate to pesticide risk assessment

Theory and Practice in Policy Analysis

Author : M. Granger Morgan
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1316886999
Total Pages : 608 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (168 download)

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Book Synopsis Theory and Practice in Policy Analysis by : M. Granger Morgan

Download or read book Theory and Practice in Policy Analysis written by M. Granger Morgan and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-10-12 with total page 608 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many books instruct readers on how to use the tools of policy analysis. This book is different. Its primary focus is on helping readers to look critically at the strengths, limitations, and the underlying assumptions analysts make when they use standard tools or problem framings. Using examples, many of which involve issues in science and technology, the book exposes readers to some of the critical issues of taste, professional responsibility, ethics, and values that are associated with policy analysis and research. Topics covered include policy problems formulated in terms of utility maximization such as benefit-cost, decision, and multi-attribute analysis, issues in the valuation of intangibles, uncertainty in policy analysis, selected topics in risk analysis and communication, limitations and alternatives to the paradigm of utility maximization, issues in behavioral decision theory, issues related to organizations and multiple agents, and selected topics in policy advice and policy analysis for government.

Empowered Enterprise Risk Management

Author : Hakan Jankensgard
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119700159
Total Pages : 227 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis Empowered Enterprise Risk Management by : Hakan Jankensgard

Download or read book Empowered Enterprise Risk Management written by Hakan Jankensgard and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-03-15 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, two experts on the topic raise the question of why many ERM programmes end up as box-checking silos with almost no connection to important decision-making processes, whereas others are empowered and end up having a profound impact on the firm’s culture, governance structures, and strategy process. The book establishes a path to empowered ERM by drawing on insights from theory and hard-won lessons from practice. Success factors enabling this transition are thoroughly discussed in a start-to-finish narrative describing the theoretical underpinnings of ERM, its proven best practices, and onto more advanced topic such as risk budgeting and the integration of ERM into strategic decision-making.

Risk and the Theory of Security Risk Assessment

Author : Carl S. Young
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030306003
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk and the Theory of Security Risk Assessment by : Carl S. Young

Download or read book Risk and the Theory of Security Risk Assessment written by Carl S. Young and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-01-28 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides the conceptual foundation of security risk assessment and thereby enables reasoning about risk from first principles. It presents the underlying theory that is the basis of a rigorous and universally applicable security risk assessment methodology. Furthermore, the book identifies and explores concepts with profound operational implications that have traditionally been sources of ambiguity if not confusion in security risk management. Notably, the text provides a simple quantitative model for complexity, a significant driver of risk that is typically not addressed in security-related contexts. Risk and The Theory of Security Risk Assessment is a primer of security risk assessment pedagogy, but it also provides methods and metrics to actually estimate the magnitude of security risk. Concepts are explained using numerous examples, which are at times both enlightening and entertaining. As a result, the book bridges a longstanding gap between theory and practice, and therefore will be a useful reference to students, academics and security practitioners.