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House Prices And Economic Risks
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Book Synopsis Housing Markets and the Economy by : Karl E. Case
Download or read book Housing Markets and the Economy written by Karl E. Case and published by Lincoln Inst of Land Policy. This book was released on 2009 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on the work of Karl "Chip" Case, who is renowned for his scientific contributions to the economics of housing and public policy, this is a must read during a time of restructuring our nation's system of housing finance.
Book Synopsis Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices and Macro-Financial Stability by : Andrea Deghi
Download or read book Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices and Macro-Financial Stability written by Andrea Deghi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-01-17 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper predicts downside risks to future real house price growth (house-prices-at-risk or HaR) in 32 advanced and emerging market economies. Through a macro-model and predictive quantile regressions, we show that current house price overvaluation, excessive credit growth, and tighter financial conditions jointly forecast higher house-prices-at-risk up to three years ahead. House-prices-at-risk help predict future growth at-risk and financial crises. We also investigate and propose policy solutions for preventing the identified risks. We find that overall, a tightening of macroprudential policy is the most effective at curbing downside risks to house prices, whereas a loosening of conventional monetary policy reduces downside risks only in advanced economies and only in the short-term.
Book Synopsis Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries by : Mr.Adrian Alter
Download or read book Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries written by Mr.Adrian Alter and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-02-28 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To identify and quantify downside risks to housing markets, we apply the house price-at-risk methodology to a sample of 37 cities across the United States and Canada using quarterly data from 1983 to 2018. This paper finds that downside risks to housing markets in the United States have seemingly fallen over the past decade, while having increased in Canada. Supply-side drivers, valuation, household debt, and financial conditions jointly play a key role in forecasting house price risks. In addition, capital flows are found to be significantly associated with future downside risks to major housing markets, but the net effect depends on the type of flows and varies across cities and forecast horizons. Using micro-level data, we identify households vulnerable to potential housing shocks and assess the riskiness of household debt.
Book Synopsis Foreign Demand and Local House Prices: Evidence from the US by : Mr.Damien Puy
Download or read book Foreign Demand and Local House Prices: Evidence from the US written by Mr.Damien Puy and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-02-28 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We test whether foreign demand matters for local house prices in the US using an identification strategy based on the existence of “home bias abroad” in international real estate markets. Following an extreme political crisis event abroad, a proxy for a strong and exogenous shift in foreign demand, we show that house prices rise disproportionately more in neighbourhoods with a high concentration of population originating from the crisis country. This effect is strong, persistent, and robust to the exclusion of major cities. We also show that areas that were already expensive in the late 1990s have experienced the strongest foreign demand shocks and the biggest drop in affordability between 2000 and 2017. Our findings suggest a non-trivial causal effect of foreign demand shocks on local house prices over the last 20 years, especially in neighbourhoods that were already rather unaffordable for the median household.
Book Synopsis The Housing Boom and Bust by : Thomas Sowell
Download or read book The Housing Boom and Bust written by Thomas Sowell and published by Basic Books (AZ). This book was released on 2009-05-12 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explains how we got into the current economic disaster that developed out of the economics and politics of the housing boom and bust. The "creative" financing of home mortgages and "creative" marketing of financial securities based on these mortgages to countries around the world, are part of the story of how a financial house of cards was built up--and then collapsed.
Download or read book Hot Property written by Rob Nijskens and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-06-14 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book discusses booming housing markets in cities around the globe, and the resulting challenges for policymakers and central banks. Cities are booming everywhere, leading to a growing demand for urban housing. In many cities this demand is out-pacing supply, which causes house prices to soar and increases the pressure on rental markets. These developments are posing major challenges for policymakers, central banks and other authorities responsible for ensuring financial stability, and economic well-being in general.This volume collects views from high-level policymakers and researchers, providing essential insights into these challenges, their impact on society, the economy and financial stability, and possible policy responses. The respective chapters address issues such as the popularity of cities, the question of a credit-fueled housing bubble, the role of housing supply frictions and potential policy solutions. Given its scope, the book offers a revealing read and valuable guide for everyone involved in practical policymaking for housing markets, mortgage credit and financial stability.
Book Synopsis Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies by : Ms.Nan Geng
Download or read book Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies written by Ms.Nan Geng and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-13 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially followed by adjustments that impact macroeconomic and financial stability. Therefore there is a need to monitor house prices and assess whether they are sustainable. This paper focuses on fundamentals expected to drive long run trends in house prices, including institutional and structural factors. The scale of potential valuation gaps is gauged on the basis of a cross-country panel analysis of house prices in 20 OECD countries.
Book Synopsis House Prices and Economic Risks by : Dirk G. Baur
Download or read book House Prices and Economic Risks written by Dirk G. Baur and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Assessing China’s Residential Real Estate Market by : Ding Ding
Download or read book Assessing China’s Residential Real Estate Market written by Ding Ding and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-16 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s real estate market rebounded sharply after a temporary slowdown in 2014-2015. This paper uses city-level data to estimate the range of house price overvaluation across city-tiers and assesses the main risks of a sharp housing market slowdown. If house prices rise further beyond “fundamental” levels and the bubble expands to smaller cities, it would increase the likelihood and costs of a sharp correction, which would weaken growth, undermine financial stability, reduce local government spending room, and spur capital outflows. Empirical analysis suggests that the increasing intensity of macroprudential policies tailored to local conditions is appropriate. The government should expand its toolkit to include additional macroprudential measures and push forward reforms to address the fundamental imbalances in the residential housing market.
Book Synopsis Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies by : Ms.Nan Geng
Download or read book Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies written by Ms.Nan Geng and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-18 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially followed by adjustments that impact macroeconomic and financial stability. Therefore there is a need to monitor house prices and assess whether they are sustainable. This paper focuses on fundamentals expected to drive long run trends in house prices, including institutional and structural factors. The scale of potential valuation gaps is gauged on the basis of a cross-country panel analysis of house prices in 20 OECD countries.
Book Synopsis Cash in on the Coming Real Estate Crash by : David J. Decker
Download or read book Cash in on the Coming Real Estate Crash written by David J. Decker and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-04-03 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After five years of skyrocketing real estate prices, fueled by low interest rates, aggressive lenders, and relative economic prosperity, something has to give. Thanks to nonstop recent press coverage of America's overheated housing market, you are probably wary of buying your next property at the top of the market. So what should you do? Whether you're an individual investor or a homeowner, Cash In on the Coming Real Estate Crash shows you how to gauge the risk of a housing bust in your own local market. More importantly, it shows you how to hedge against a crash and position yourself to profit if the bubble bursts. Critical advice covers: * Identifying signs of an impending collapse * Balancing your real estate portfolio so a crash doesn't wipe you out * Conservative financing strategies * Developing a vision for value in any market * Buying low after the bubble bursts * Knowing when to sell * And many more strategies for making money when the real estate market collapses Peppered with true stories of how homeowners, small investors, and bona? fide real estate tycoons handled and mishandled past crashes, Cash In on the Coming Real Estate Crash is the resource you need to prepare for the comingdownturn, weather the storm, and emerge on the other side stronger than ever.
Book Synopsis House Prices and the Macroeconomy by : Charles Goodhart
Download or read book House Prices and the Macroeconomy written by Charles Goodhart and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2006-12-21 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: House price bubbles, and their aftermath, have become a focus of macro-economic policy concern in most developed countries. This book elucidates the two-way relationship between house-price fluctuations and economic fundamentals. Housing has many features which make it distinct from other assets, like equity. Real estate is not only an asset but also a durable consumption good for households, providing shelter and other housing services. As a result, a house is often the largest and most important asset of households and therefore accounts for a major share of household wealth. Similarly a large share of bank assets is tied to housing values. House price fluctuations may, therefore, have a major effect on economic activity and the soundness of the financial system. Following an introductory chapter, the book is structured into three parts. The first demonstrates the importance of house prices as determinants or indicators of inflation and economic activity. The second focuses on the inter-relationships between bank credit extension and housing prices, and how bubbles can lead to financial crises. The third discusses resultant public policy issues, such as whether, and how, to include housing prices in a general inflation index, and how to restrain the housing/bank credit cycle.
Book Synopsis House Prices and Risk Sharing by : Maria José Luengo-Prado
Download or read book House Prices and Risk Sharing written by Maria José Luengo-Prado and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Challenges of the Housing Economy by : Colin Jones
Download or read book Challenges of the Housing Economy written by Colin Jones and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-03-05 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely book addresses key challenges faced by policy makers and the house-building industry in a post-credit crunch world. It examines the implications for households, the housing market, the economy, as well as for government's policy choices. Challenges of the Housing Economy: an international perspective brings together experts from around the world to examine recent housing market trends. The contributions reveal common long-term trends in housing markets worldwide. Despite differences in supply conditions and the role of planning, there is a trend toward rising house prices that has created significant barriers to home ownership for young households while increasing the wealth of older generations. The financial crisis had a differential impact on housing markets but in many countries where mortgage finance became severely constrained, house prices fell and there was a dramatic fall in housing construction. The falls in house prices in these countries have ostensibly improved affordability but the housing markets have been dominated by the lowering of loan to values applicable to new mortgages which has further raised the hurdles to potential first-time purchasers. At the same time as young households are increasingly rationed out of owner-occupation, public sector expenditure cut-backs in many countries result in limited new social housing. Instead, value for money imperatives will mean new funding models for affordable housing that require greater use of public-private partnerships. The private rented sector could potentially meet the demand for the new generation of long-term renters. However, there are doubts - in the UK at least - that this sector will be able to expand significantly or provide an appropriate type and standard of housing. This is an essential advanced text for students and researchers of land economy and land management; property and real estate; housing policy; and urban studies.
Book Synopsis House Prices and the Macroeconomy by : Charles Goodhart
Download or read book House Prices and the Macroeconomy written by Charles Goodhart and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2007 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: House price bubbles, and their aftermath, have become a focus of macro-economic policy concern in most developed countries. This book elucidates the two-way relationship between house-price fluctuations and economic fundamentals. Housing has many features which make it distinct from other assets, like equity. Real estate is not only an asset but also a durable consumption good for households, providing shelter and other housing services. As a result, a house is often the largest and most important asset of households and therefore accounts for a major share of household wealth. Similarly a large share of bank assets is tied to housing values. House price fluctuations may, therefore, have a major effect on economic activity and the soundness of the financial system. Following an introductory chapter, the book is structured into three parts. The first demonstrates the importance of house prices as determinants or indicators of inflation and economic activity. The second focuses on the inter-relationships between bank credit extension and housing prices, and how bubbles can lead to financial crises. The third discusses resultant public policy issues, such as whether, and how, to include housing prices in a general inflation index, and how to restrain the housing/bank credit cycle.
Book Synopsis The Economics of the US House Price Bubble in the early 21st century by : Michael Kemmer
Download or read book The Economics of the US House Price Bubble in the early 21st century written by Michael Kemmer and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2012-07-06 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2009 in the subject Business economics - Economic and Social History, grade: 1,7, University of Applied Sciences Berlin, language: English, abstract: Why do we have a financial crisis today? Apparently stable and profitable companies, banks and even markets begin to struggle. Where are the roots for this development? The financial crisis of today can be tracked back to the housing bubble and to the following housing crisis in the USA. But who where the participants and what were their actions? The following chapters try to give some explanations and reasons for this. The housing bubble in the U.S and the following financial crisis had got their own reasons and drives. It is important to know these explanations and mechanisms to avoid such developments in the future. Managers and leaders should know, which reactions follow which actions. The objective of this assignment is to explain the reasons for the U.S housing bubble and the mistakes made by the participants of this development. The work on the assignment started with a mind map of questions like: who are participants of the house bubble crisis, what are the connections between these participants, and what were their actions. All findings of this assignment are mainly Internet based and complemented by literature sources regarding topics like financial crisis, housing bubble, and subprime mortgage crisis. After providing a brief overview of the advance of the housing bubble, with a look to the Asia crisis, the premises of the housing bubble are explained. Following to that the housing boom is described in more detail. Afterwards, the focus will be changed to customer loyalty. Along with that the customer value and satisfaction is very important for a long term company-customer relationship. At the end of this assignment the conclusion sums up with the genesis of the housing bubble.
Book Synopsis Fixing the Housing Market by : Franklin Allen
Download or read book Fixing the Housing Market written by Franklin Allen and published by Pearson Prentice Hall. This book was released on 2012 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explains the financial history leading to the mortgage meltdown and assesses today's housing finance systems in the United States and abroad.
