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Fiscal Policies In High Debt Euro Area Countries
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Book Synopsis Fiscal Policies in High Debt Euro-Area Countries by : Antonella Cavallo
Download or read book Fiscal Policies in High Debt Euro-Area Countries written by Antonella Cavallo and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-11-15 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the role of national fiscal policies in a selected group of Euro-area countries under the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). In particular, the authors characterize the response of output to fiscal consolidations and expansions in the small Euro-area open economies affected by high public and private debt. It is shown that the macroeconomic outcome of fiscal shocks is strongly related to debt levels. The Euro-area countries included in the investigation are Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, and Portugal, over the sample period 1999–2016, i.e., the EMU period. The main econometric tools used in this research are structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models, including panel VAR models. The available literature relating to the subject is also fully reviewed. A further closely investigated topic is the potential spillover effects of German fiscal policies on the selected small Euro-area economies. Moreover, in the perspective of the evolution of the Euro Area towards a full Monetary and Fiscal Union, the authors study the effects of area-wide government spending shocks on aggregate output and other macroeconomic variables during the EMU period. The closing chapter of the book considers evidence on the consequences of austerity policies for European labour markets during recent years.
Book Synopsis Shared Problem, Shared Solution: Benefits from Fiscal-Monetary Interactions in the Euro Area by : Robert C. M. Beyer
Download or read book Shared Problem, Shared Solution: Benefits from Fiscal-Monetary Interactions in the Euro Area written by Robert C. M. Beyer and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-07-21 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper employs two established macroeconomic models to show that fiscal policy in the euro area can help monetary policy in reducing inflation. Specifically, a fiscal consolidation of 1 percent of GDP for two years and 0.5 percent in the third year across the euro area would ease the policy interest rate by 30-50 basis points relative to the baseline scenario, while lowering inflation. It would also put the public debt-to-GDP ratio on a downward path, with the output costs reversing after the second year. Additionally, a stronger fiscal contribution to the policy mix could mitigate financial fragmentation risks. In the current context of elevated inflation in all euro area economies, the findings suggest two key takeaways: first, synchronized fiscal and monetary policies offer gains even when monetary policy is unconstrained and, second, sharing the burden of lowering inflation through fiscal consolidation among euro area members is beneficial for union-wide inflation reduction, improving debt sustainability and inducing a lower policy rate path.
Book Synopsis Toward A Fiscal Union for the Euro Area by : Céline Allard
Download or read book Toward A Fiscal Union for the Euro Area written by Céline Allard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-09-25 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is on a highly topical issue and addresses a key policy issue for Europe—namely, reinforcing EMU institutional architecture along with the Banking Union. Some proposals have emerged in Europe, and it will be important to put out staff views on this issue. In that context, publication as an SDN is appropriate, given the high profile nature and relevance of the topic—much like the Banking Union paper done a few months ago.
Book Synopsis Revisiting the Case for Debt Mutualization in the Euro Area: a Quantitative Exploration by : Sakai Ando
Download or read book Revisiting the Case for Debt Mutualization in the Euro Area: a Quantitative Exploration written by Sakai Ando and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-03-17 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Revisiting the Case for Debt Mutualization in the Euro Area: A Quantitative Exploration
Author :International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1513523082 Total Pages :112 pages Book Rating :4.5/5 (135 download)
Book Synopsis Euro Area Policies by : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Download or read book Euro Area Policies written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-07-27 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper discusses the risks of low growth and inflation over the medium term for the euro area. It examines the consequences of longer term trends that predate the crisis and the progress made in addressing the crisis legacies of high unemployment and debt. The paper illustrates, in a downside scenario, how low potential growth and crisis legacies leave the euro area vulnerable to the risks of stagnation. The weak medium-term prospect and limited policy space leave the euro area vulnerable to shocks that could lead to a prolonged period of low growth and inflation. Model simulations suggest that a modest shock to investor confidence could push up risk premia and real interest rates, as policy space is constrained at the zero lower bound and fiscal policy space to provide stimulus is limited. Moreover, the lingering crisis legacies of high debt and unemployment could amplify the original shocks, creating a bad feedback loop and keeping the economy stuck in equilibrium of stagnation.
Book Synopsis Sovereign Risk and Belief-Driven Fluctuations in the Euro Area by : Giancarlo Corsetti
Download or read book Sovereign Risk and Belief-Driven Fluctuations in the Euro Area written by Giancarlo Corsetti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-11-06 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sovereign risk premia in several euro area countries have risen markedly since 2008, driving up credit spreads in the private sector as well. We propose a New Keynesian model of a two-region monetary union that accounts for this “sovereign risk channel.” The model is calibrated to the euro area as of mid-2012. We show that a combination of sovereign risk in one region and strongly procyclical fiscal policy at the aggregate level exacerbates the risk of belief-driven deflationary downturns. The model provides an argument in favor of coordinated, asymmetric fiscal stances as a way to prevent selffulfilling debt crises.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Politics in the Euro Area by : Luc Eyraud
Download or read book Fiscal Politics in the Euro Area written by Luc Eyraud and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-01-30 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides evidence of fiscal procyclicality, excessive deficits, distorted budget composition and poor compliance with fiscal rules in the euro area. Our analysis relies on real-time data for 19 countries participating in the euro area over 1999–2015. We look for, but do not find, conclusive evidence of bias in procedures in relation to country size. The paper also briefly reviews the literature on political economy factors and policy biases, and offers some reflections on the euro area architecture.
Book Synopsis Effects of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) on Taxation and Interest Spending of National Governments by : Mr.Francesco P. Mongelli
Download or read book Effects of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) on Taxation and Interest Spending of National Governments written by Mr.Francesco P. Mongelli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-07-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the interest spending and taxation channels through which EMU could affect the public finances. It provides a framework for examining different views on a further narrowing of interest rate differentials. A model of Blanchard and Fischer is amended to analyze the two channels, and empirical evidence on the tax harmonization process is presented. The paper argues that “high-debt” and “high-tax” countries pursuing prudent fiscal policies could benefit the most from EMU: if monetary and widespread fiscal discipline are jointly established, interest rates could decline rapidly, while tax harmonization is likely to be gradual.
Book Synopsis Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies of the Euro Area by : Marco Annunziata
Download or read book Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies of the Euro Area written by Marco Annunziata and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies of the Euro Area
Book Synopsis Fiscal Spillovers in the Euro Area: Letting the Data Speak by : Ms.Era Dabla-Norris
Download or read book Fiscal Spillovers in the Euro Area: Letting the Data Speak written by Ms.Era Dabla-Norris and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-15 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate a panel VAR model that captures cross-country, dynamic interlinkages for 10 euro area countries using quarterly data for the period 1999-2016. Our analysis suggests that fiscal spillovers are significant and tend to be larger for countries with close trade and financial links as well, as for fiscal shocks originating from larger countries. The current account appears to be the main channel of transmission, although strong trade integration among countries in the euro area and spillback effects tend to zero-out the net trade impact in some cases. A subsample analysis shows that the effects of fiscal policy have changed over time, with larger estimated domestic multipliers and spillovers between 2011 and 2014.
Book Synopsis Economic Spillovers, Structural Reforms and Policy Coordination in the Euro Area by : Bas van Aarle
Download or read book Economic Spillovers, Structural Reforms and Policy Coordination in the Euro Area written by Bas van Aarle and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-10-31 with total page 235 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyzes economic interdependence in the Euro Area. It offers expert estimates of the sign and size of economic spillovers. Moreover, the authors explore the impact of economic policy coordination on economic performance in the Euro Area. Among the many topics explored are the link between fiscal and monetary policies in the Euro Area and the coordination of fiscal policies and of structural reforms.
Book Synopsis Government Debt Issuance in the Euro Area by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Government Debt Issuance in the Euro Area written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-01-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper documents and analyzes crisis-related changes in government debt issuance practices in the 16 euro zone countries and Denmark. Using a newly constructed database on primary market debt issuance during 2007-09, we find evidence of a shift away from pre-crisis standards of best funding practices competitive auctions of debt instruments with a fixed coupon, long maturity and local currency denomination (DLTF). Exploiting the cross-country panel data dimension of the data, we conclude that the crisis and related changes in the macroeconomic environment and investor sentiment can account for a significant proportion of the deviation. The negative effect of the crisis on DLTF debt issuance was especially pronounced in high deficit and high debt euro area countries, and has forced governments to assume additional risk.
Author :International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1484347854 Total Pages :72 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (843 download)
Book Synopsis Euro Area Policies by : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Download or read book Euro Area Policies written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-07-25 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper on Euro Area Policies 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights the monetary transmission mechanism and monetary policies. The European Central Bank has announced the Outright Monetary Transactions framework to address severe distortions in sovereign bond markets and safeguard monetary transmission. The cost of unsecured bond issuance remains elevated for both core and periphery banks, but there is a growing divergence between the two, driven mainly by rising periphery spreads. Weak growth and high levels of private balance sheet debt in the periphery are weighing on the health of bank balance sheets.
Book Synopsis Playing by the Rules: Reforming Fiscal Governance in Europe by : Luc Eyraud
Download or read book Playing by the Rules: Reforming Fiscal Governance in Europe written by Luc Eyraud and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-03-24 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper contributes to the discussions on fiscal governance in Europe. It takes stock of recent reforms, identifies areas for further progress, and discusses a menu of policy options for the medium-term. The issues covered include: (i) the growing complexity of the European framework and ways to simplify it; (ii) the difficulties to measure and implement structural stance indicators; (iii) the challenge of reconciling fiscal sustainability and growth; (iv) the need to enhance coordination in the area of monitoring; and (v) the obstacles to compliance and proposals to strengthen enforcement.
Book Synopsis Multi-level Finance and the Euro Crisis by : Ehtisham Ahmad
Download or read book Multi-level Finance and the Euro Crisis written by Ehtisham Ahmad and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2016-01-29 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Representing a unique contribution to the analysis and discussion of the unfolding Eurozone crisis in terms of the relationship between central and local government, this book addresses a number of important fiscal and political economy questions. To what extent have local and regional governments contributed to the crisis? To what degree have sub-national services and investments borne the brunt of the adjustments? How have multi-level fissures affected tensions between different levels of government from the supranational to the local? This volume covers these and many other critical issues that have been largely ignored despite their relevance. The book first addresses general issues of fiscal coordination and management across levels of government in the context of incentives, which can be altered by the existence of a supranational tier. The country-specific chapters, prepared by leading experts, provide a thorough review of the key problems of multi-levels of government in the biggest economies in the Eurozone (France and Germany) and Southern Europe (Portugal, Spain, Italy and Greece). In further chapters the juxtaposition of Barcelona and Turin provides an opportunity to evaluate large investments in a multi-level context, associated, in this case, with the Olympics. Macedonia provides a discussion of the related issues in an EU accession country. As a whole, the book explores the long-term impact of the crisis on local service delivery and investment, and the consequences for sustainable growth and political cohesion. It also offers rarely found insights and suggestions to increase the stability and strength of multi-level European institutions. This is an enlightening resource for all those, from academics and graduates to policy makers and practitioners, seeking a comprehensive understanding of European fiscal, federal and financial issues.
Book Synopsis Adjustment in Euro Area Deficit Countries by : Mr.Thierry Tressel
Download or read book Adjustment in Euro Area Deficit Countries written by Mr.Thierry Tressel and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-07-14 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Imbalances within the euro area have been a defining feature of the crisis. This paper provides a critical analysis of the ongoing rebalancing of euro area “deficit economies” (Greece, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain) that accumulated large current account deficits and external liability positions in the run-up to the crisis. It shows that relative price adjustments have been proceeding gradually. Real effective exchange rates have depreciated by 10-25 percent, driven largely by reductions in unit labor costs due to labor shedding. While exports have typically rebounded, subdued demand accounts for much of the reduction in current account deficits. Hence, the current account balance of the euro area as a whole has shifted into surplus. Internal rebalancing has come with subdued activity—notably very high unemployment in the deficit economies—and made continued adjustment more difficult. To advance rebalancing further, the paper emphasizes the need for: (1) macroeconomic policies that support demand and bring inflation in line with the ECB’s medium-term price stability objective; (2) continued EMU reforms (banking union) to ensure proper financial intermediation; and (3) structural reforms in product and labor markets to improve productivity and support the reallocation of resources to tradable sectors.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Consolidation in the Euro Area by : Mr.Derek Anderson
Download or read book Fiscal Consolidation in the Euro Area written by Mr.Derek Anderson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-10-16 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The IMF’s Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is used to examine the scope for structural reforms in the euro area to offset the negative impact of fiscal consolidation required to put public debt back on a sustainable path. The results suggest that structural reforms in core countries could quite reasonably be expected to offset the near term negative impact on activity arising from the required fiscal consolidation that uses a plausible mix of instruments to achieve the permanent improvement in the deficit. However, for the periphery, where the required consolidation is roughly twice as large as that required in the core, the results suggest that it would take several years before structural reforms could return the level of output back to its pre-consolidation path.
