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Expected Changes In Transportation Demand In Virginia By 2025
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Book Synopsis Expected Changes in Transportation Demand in Virginia by 2025 by : John Sanders Miller
Download or read book Expected Changes in Transportation Demand in Virginia by 2025 written by John Sanders Miller and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To support Virginia's initiatives to design a multimodal transportation plan for the year 2025, this report summarizes how transportation demand is expected to change over the next two decades. Four broad areas affecting transportation demand are explored: socioeconomic changes, public policy changes, freight trends, and changes in how the transportation network is used. Accordingly, socioeconomic, policy, and freight influences on travel demand and resultant measures of freight and passenger use are discussed here. Sources include the U.S. Census Bureau, the U.S. Department of Transportation, the Virginia Employment Commission, the Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service at the University of Virginia, NPA Data Services, Inc., and literature references identified in the Transportation Research Information Service. Specific citations are given in the body of the report.
Download or read book Public Roads written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Socioeconomic and Travel Demand Forecasts for Virginia and Potential Policy Responses by : John Sanders Miller
Download or read book Socioeconomic and Travel Demand Forecasts for Virginia and Potential Policy Responses written by John Sanders Miller and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: VTrans2035, Virginia's statewide multimodal transportation plan, requires 25-year forecasts of socioeconomic and travel activity. Between 2010 and 2035, daily vehicle miles traveled (DVMT) will increase between 35% and 45%, accompanied by increases in population (28% to 36%), real household income (50%), employment (49%), transit trips (75%), and enplanements (104%). Of the 2.27 to 2.87 million additional Virginians forecast by 2035, most (1.72 to 2.34 million) will settle in one of four planning district commissions (PDCs). These PDCs, and their expected population increases, are George Washington Regional (0.25 to 0.28 million), Richmond Regional (0.33 to 0.41 million), Hampton Roads (0.31 to 0.41 million), and Northern Virginia (0.83 to 1.23 million). Virginia will likely see the number of people age 65 and over double from 1 million at present to 2 million in 2035. Four potential policy responses to these forecasts are given in this report: (1) encourage increased density at select urban locations to reduce CO2 emissions; (2) use cost-effectiveness as a criterion to select project-level alternatives for achieving a particular goal; (3) identify policy initiatives to serve increased demographic market segments, and (4) quantify the economic harm of general aviation airport closures. These policy responses are not the only ones feasible but were selected because they necessitate the interagency coordination that is the premise of VTrans2035. The first two policy responses demonstrate limited but real promise. The first may reduce DVMT by 1.1% to 6.4% of the baseline 2035 DVMT forecast, for a reduction of 1.507 million metric tons of CO2 annually. Yet DVMT is affected to a greater degree by factors over which decision makers exert less influence than with density. For example, the 2035 baseline DVMT decreases by 7% if an alternative population forecast is assumed; 10% to 65% if real household income remains relatively flat; and 49% to 82% if fuel costs increase to $10/gal by year 2035. Thus, the best estimates of travel activity are highly sensitive to underlying assumptions regarding economic conditions, and the report accordingly documents, for each desired forecast, a range of possible values. The analysis of the second policy response found that the cost-effectiveness of plausible alternatives in a hypothetical case study varied by a factor of 3. By extension, this finding suggests that an ability to choose project alternatives based solely on each alternative's ability to meet a single goal or a limited number of goals--and without constraint by funding source (e.g., highway or transit, capital or operations)--can increase the cost-effectiveness of a project. The remaining two policy responses suggest that consideration of diverse alternatives, such as programs to help older persons continue driving, may be productive as suggested in some literature. Because the report does not contain the data necessary to evaluate the impacts of these programs, the report merely identifies such programs and demonstrates how they could be considered given the demographic changes forecast to occur between now and 2035.
Book Synopsis Improving ADA Complementary Paratransit Demand Estimation by : David Koffman
Download or read book Improving ADA Complementary Paratransit Demand Estimation written by David Koffman and published by Transportation Research Board. This book was released on 2007 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis VTrans 2025, Virginia's Statewide Multimodal Long-range Transportation Plan, Phase Two by : Virginia. Commonwealth Transportation Board
Download or read book VTrans 2025, Virginia's Statewide Multimodal Long-range Transportation Plan, Phase Two written by Virginia. Commonwealth Transportation Board and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 173 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Dulles Corridor Rapid Transit Project by :
Download or read book Dulles Corridor Rapid Transit Project written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 844 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis VTrans 2025, Virginia's Statewide Multimodal Long-range Transportation Plan by : Virginia. Department of Transportation
Download or read book VTrans 2025, Virginia's Statewide Multimodal Long-range Transportation Plan written by Virginia. Department of Transportation and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis VTrans 2025, Virginia's Statewide Multimodal Long-range Transportation Plan, Phase One by :
Download or read book VTrans 2025, Virginia's Statewide Multimodal Long-range Transportation Plan, Phase One written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Progress Report on Virginia's Statewide Multimodal Long-range Transportation Plan-- VTrans2025 by : Virginia. Secretary of Transportation
Download or read book Progress Report on Virginia's Statewide Multimodal Long-range Transportation Plan-- VTrans2025 written by Virginia. Secretary of Transportation and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Virginia State Documents written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Virginia State Rail Plan written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis VTrans2025 by : Virginia. Commonwealth Transportation Board
Download or read book VTrans2025 written by Virginia. Commonwealth Transportation Board and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 139 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Potential Socioeconomic Forecasts in Support of VTrans by : Haritha Bhairavabhatla
Download or read book Potential Socioeconomic Forecasts in Support of VTrans written by Haritha Bhairavabhatla and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In support of VTrans, this report summarizes potential changes in population, employment, and household income that are forecast from various sources and identifies potential transportation implications. Statewide, Virginia's population is forecast to grow 24% to 33% from 2017-2045, with four regions clustered along the I-95 corridor (roughly the planning district commissions [PDCs] of Northern Virginia, George Washington, and Richmond Regional) and the eastern portion of the I-64 corridor (Hampton Roads) accounting for 83% to 85% of this growth. Employment is also forecast to grow statewide from 18% to 44%, with the same PDCs accounting for 80% to 87% of new jobs by 2045. Household income is forecast to increase, in real dollars, by 25% to 38%. These forecasts do not account for unexpected shocks: a case study with a sudden arrival of a large employer (not anticipated in the original forecasts) suggests that the affected PDCs' 2045 forecasts for employment and population are increased by 3% and 6%, respectively. Virginia forecasts reflect the observation that uncertainty for employment forecasts is greater than that of population forecasts. Examination of two different forecast sources for 2017-2045 shows that the difference for expected population growth (9%) is smaller than the difference for expected employment growth (27%). Virginia historical data also show employment is more volatile than population: for all nine VDOT districts, average annual employment growth rates for the period 1975-2000 exceeded those for the period 2000-2017; the same was applicable for population (except for the case of the VDOT Lynchburg District). However, the average difference in the employment growth rates for these two periods (about 2.80%) was much larger than the average difference in the population growth rates (about 0.35%). These socioeconomic changes have the potential to affect the need for travel in Virginia. Although aggregate population and employment increases generally correspond to an increase in travel demand, the types of population and employment changes may affect how this demand is met. Virginia's population age 65+ is forecast to increase from 1.27 million to between 1.99 million and 2.26 million from 2017-2045. Although persons age 75+ are a relatively small percentage of the state's population at present (6%), this group is expected to grow by 104% to 150%, becoming 10% to 11% of the total state's population. This has implications for how travel is provided for seniors, affecting dimensions such as pedestrian facilities, support for aging in place, transit options, driving options, and demand for new technologies such as driverless vehicles. Employment growth is also uneven by sector; for instance, professional and technical services employment, which presently is associated with longer commute times than for most other employment, is expected to grow 31% to 61% from 2017-2045 (statewide), but this varies greatly by region (e.g., increases of 67% to 89% are forecast for Richmond Regional compared to increases of 27% to 34% for West Piedmont), suggesting uneven impacts in travel demand throughout Virginia.
Book Synopsis An Interim Update to the 2035 Socioeconomic and Travel Demand Forecasts for Virginia by : John Sanders Miller
Download or read book An Interim Update to the 2035 Socioeconomic and Travel Demand Forecasts for Virginia written by John Sanders Miller and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In support of the update to Virginia's 2035 Statewide Multimodal Plan, this report provides an update to select socioeconomic forecasts initially made in 2009 based on a review of data from national sources and the literature. Mobility needs exist for diverse Virginia subpopulations, such as persons without access to a vehicle (6.3% of statewide households or 8.8% of the state's workforce); non-drivers (a group whose composition is changing, with recent decreases in the percentage of Virginians age 15-24 with a driver's license contrasted with increases in the percentage of females age 65 or older [65+] with a driver's license); persons age 65+ (e.g., in 2010, the number of Virginians age 65+ outnumbered those age 19 or younger in only 1 of Virginia's 21 regions; by 2035, this will be the case in 8 of Virginia's 21 regions); and persons protected by environmental justice regulations (e.g., the income of 17.3% of Virginians was below 150% of the poverty level for 2006-2010, and the minority population was 35.2% of Virginia's population in 2010). Subpopulations may also be defined by geography. Although a projected increase in fuel prices between 2010 and 2035 of 48% for autos and 50% for trucks is expected to reduce highway travel more than would be the case without a price increase, the increase in population that is expected based on 2010-2035 levels may offset this decrease; with a variety of assumptions including elasticity of demand, an expected congestion cost in urban areas approaches $5.7 billion based on delay and costs associated with excess fuel consumption. In non-urbanized areas, a rough order of magnitude estimate of the cost of delays, derived in this report, is $285 million at present. Geographical differences are apparent; notably, the largest group of workers by income using public transportation in the Northern Virginia region and, just to its south, the George Washington Regional Commission comprised those with an income of $75,000 or more; by contrast, in the Richmond and Hampton Roads regions, the largest group comprised workers with an income below $10,000. Another geographical difference is that the percentage of those who speak English less than "very well" varies by region, from 0.6% to 13.4%. Implications of these forecasts are noted. For example, because more than one-third of the population age 65+ has a disability compared with about 7% of the population under age 65, the increase in persons age 65+ suggests that the percentage of Virginians with disabilities may also increase. As another example, despite the relatively large costs of congestion in Virginia's urbanized areas, other sources suggest that crash costs may be approximately 2.4 times as large as these congestion costs. As a third example, ways to increase motorist and transit passenger comfort may merit exploration as a means to reduce the perceived cost of travel. Because these implications transcend regional boundaries, they may offer opportunities to garner consensus on some transportation improvements and thus are appropriate to consider in future planning efforts.
Book Synopsis How Might Virginia Age and Grow by 2040? by :
Download or read book How Might Virginia Age and Grow by 2040? written by and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 135 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The development of Virginia’s Statewide Multimodal Transportation Plan for 2040, also known as “VTrans 2040,” requires the identification of population forecasts, employment forecasts, and changes in population-related factors that might influence future travel demand. The research documented in this report fulfills that requirement. Key findings are that Virginia’s population is forecast to grow over roughly a quarter century from a 2012 population of 8.2 million to a 2040 population of 10.5 or 11.7 million, depending on the forecast source. The 14% difference between these two population forecasts is a degree of uncertainty that would be expected given previous comparisons of actual and forecast populations. The forecast growth varies by age group: the number of people age 65+ is projected to almost double over this period, with the fastest growing cohort within this age group being those age 85+. The forecast growth varies by location, with 4 of Virginia’s 21 planning district commissions accounting for between 77% and 81% of the forecast growth from 2012-2040. Employment is forecast to grow by about 60% over this period. Changes in other population-related factors that influence travel demand include density (about one-half of Virginia’s growth from 2012-2040 is projected to be in areas that will by 2040 have a transit-compatible population density), the use of alternative fuel vehicles, and vehicle ownership (which is not expected to increase). These forecasts do not necessarily suggest a single policy response for all Virginia locations. For example, decreasing rates of licensure might suggest increased use of public transportation; however, this impact would presumably be less in areas with lower population density. As shown by the two sample stakeholder input exercises developed in Appendix D, a variety of responses to transportation policies is possible. Because knowledge of the forecasts noted in this report may help inform consideration of diverse transportation alternatives, it is recommended that the material available in the report continue to be shared with Virginia planners.
Book Synopsis Richmond/Hampton Roads Passenger Rail Project by :
Download or read book Richmond/Hampton Roads Passenger Rail Project written by and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis I-270/US 15 Multi Modal Corridor Study, Montgomery and Frederick Counties by :
Download or read book I-270/US 15 Multi Modal Corridor Study, Montgomery and Frederick Counties written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 852 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
