Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium by : Charles Engel

Download or read book Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium written by Charles Engel and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The well-known uncovered interest parity puzzle arises from the empirical regularity that, among developed country pairs, the high interest rate country tends to have high expected returns on its short term assets. At the same time, another strand of the literature has documented that high real interest rate countries tend to have currencies that are strong in real terms - indeed, stronger than can be accounted for by the path of expected real interest differentials under uncovered interest parity. These two strands - one concerning short-run expected changes and the other concerning the level of the real exchange rate - have apparently contradictory implications for the relationship of the foreign exchange risk premium and interest-rate differentials. This paper documents the puzzle, and shows that existing models appear unable to account for both empirical findings. The features of a model that might reconcile the findings are discussed.

“The” Real Exchange Rate, Real Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis “The” Real Exchange Rate, Real Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium by : Charles Engel

Download or read book “The” Real Exchange Rate, Real Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium written by Charles Engel and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The well-known uncovered interest parity puzzle arises from the empirical regularity that, among developed country pairs, the high interest rate country tends to have high expected returns on its short term assets. At the same time, another strand of the literature has documented that high real interest rate countries tend to have currencies that are strong in real terms - indeed, stronger than can be accounted for by the path of expected real interest differentials under uncovered interest parity. These two strands - one concerning short-run expected changes and the other concerning the level of the real exchange rate - have apparently contradictory implications for the relationship of the foreign exchange risk premium and interest-rate differentials. This paper documents the puzzle, and shows that existing models appear unable to account for both empirical findings. The features of a model that might reconcile the findings are discussed.

Exchange Rates and Corporate Performance

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Publisher : Beard Books
ISBN 13 : 9781587981593
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (815 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates and Corporate Performance by : Yakov Amihud

Download or read book Exchange Rates and Corporate Performance written by Yakov Amihud and published by Beard Books. This book was released on 2003 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a reprint of a previously published book. It consists of a series of papers by experts in the field on how the exchange rate volatility of the 1980s affected the financial policies of international firms.

Foreign Exchange

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030935558
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (39 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange by : Adam S. Iqbal

Download or read book Foreign Exchange written by Adam S. Iqbal and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-02-22 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the great challenges that many participants in foreign exchange (FX) markets face is sifting through the often overwhelming amount of information that is available. Media outlets stream updates on international politics, economics, and other factors that move FX prices twenty-four hours a day. It is difficult to work out what is and what is not important. This book helps its reader overcome these challenges by combining the insights gained from a market practitioner who has traded FX at Goldman Sachs, PIMCO, and Barclays Investment Bank, with textbook-level modern financial macroeconomic theory. The book covers macroeconomics relating to exchange rate determination. While you could obtain this information from a disparate set of sources―textbooks, academic literature, industry research notes, conversations with other market practitioners, and theories cited in media reports―this book brings all of these sources together to translate the information into concrete FX views that are firmly rooted in the macroeconomic theory of risk premiums, interest rates, and inflation, among other topics. The book promotes time consistent thought that avoids the daily temptation to jump from that day’s economic narrative to the next. Of particular interest to buy- and sell-side industry practitioners, finance and economics graduate students, academics, and others interested in FX markets, this book teaches its readers how to do this and improve their own trading and understanding of the FX markets.

On Exchange Rates

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262061544
Total Pages : 468 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (615 download)

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Book Synopsis On Exchange Rates by : Jeffrey A. Frankel

Download or read book On Exchange Rates written by Jeffrey A. Frankel and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1993 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These seventeen essays provide an accessible and thorough reference for understanding the role of exchange rates in the international monetary system since 1973, when the rates were allowed to float. The essays analyze such issues as exchange rate movements, exchange risk premia, investor expectations of exchange rates and behavior of exchange rates in different systems. Frankel's sound empirical treatment of exchange rate questions shows that it is possible to produce work that is interesting from a purely intellectual viewpoint while contributing to practical knowledge of the real world of international economics and finance.The essays have been organized in a way that provides an introduction to the field of empirical international finance. Part I documents the steady reduction in barriers to international capital movement and leads logically to part II, which explains how exchange rates are determined. Both monetary and portfolio-based models are surveyed in part II, providing a clear transition to the topic of part III; the possible existence of an exchange risk premium. Part IV applies the tools discussed in earlier sections to explore various policy questions related to exchange rate expectations such as whether foreign exchange intervention matters and whether the European monetary system had become credible by 1991. Each part begins with a detailed introduction explaining not only the central issues of that section but also suggesting connections with other essays in the book.Jeffrey A. Frankel is Professor of Economics at the University of California, Berkeley.

Foreign Exchange Risk Premium

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451845790
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Risk Premium by : Mr.Lorenzo Giorgianni

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Risk Premium written by Mr.Lorenzo Giorgianni and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-04-01 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper challenges the conventional view that foreign exchange risk premiums are small, not volatile, and unrelated to macroeconomic variables. For the Italian lira (1987-94), unconditional risk premiums—constructed using survey data to measure exchange rate expectations—are found to be sizable (relative to the dimension of the forward premium), highly volatile (relative to the variability of the forward bias), and predictable. Estimation of structural models of the risk premium suggests that anticipated fiscal contractions in Italy and lower uncertainty about the future path of fiscal policy are associated with a lower risk premium on lira-denominated assets.

The "Exchange Risk Premium," Uncovered Unterest Parity, and the Treatment of Exchange Rates in Multicountry Macroeconomic Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 120 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The "Exchange Risk Premium," Uncovered Unterest Parity, and the Treatment of Exchange Rates in Multicountry Macroeconomic Models by : Ralph C. Bryant

Download or read book The "Exchange Risk Premium," Uncovered Unterest Parity, and the Treatment of Exchange Rates in Multicountry Macroeconomic Models written by Ralph C. Bryant and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Theory of Exchange Rates and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis A Theory of Exchange Rates and the Term Structure of Interest Rates by : Hyoung-Seok Lim

Download or read book A Theory of Exchange Rates and the Term Structure of Interest Rates written by Hyoung-Seok Lim and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451850344
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations by : Jan Marc Berk

Download or read book Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations written by Jan Marc Berk and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-06-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates international co-movement in bond yields by testing for uncovered interest parity (UIP). Existing work is supplemented by focusing on long instead of short-term interest rates and by employing exchange rate expectations derived from purchasing power parity (PPP) instead of actual outcomes. Among the major currencies during 1975-97, the paper does not find a further increase in co-movement beyond that associated with the wave of financial market liberalization in the early 1980s. Given the similarity between PPP-based UIP tests and those employing actual exchange rate outcomes, the value added of the former lies mainly with data availability.

U.S. Dollar Dynamics

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475535155
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis U.S. Dollar Dynamics by : Mr.Ravi Balakrishnan

Download or read book U.S. Dollar Dynamics written by Mr.Ravi Balakrishnan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-08 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the drivers of dynamics of major U.S. FX bilaterals. We first construct a novel measure of FX risk premiums using Consensus exchange rate forecasts. We then use VAR analysis to show that (i) risk premium shocks play a key role in driving dynamics of the major U.S. FX bilaterals; (ii) longer-term interest differentials also matter, especially for the Canadian $ and the Euro; (iii) oil price shocks play a particularly important role for the Canadian $ (an oil exporter); and (iv) risk appetite shocks (e.g., VIX shocks) generally lead to U.S. dollar appreciation. The importance of risk premium and longer-term interest differential shocks fit well with a simple theoretical model and are supported by recent event studies.

Intervention and the Risk Premium in Foreign Exchange Rates

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Intervention and the Risk Premium in Foreign Exchange Rates by : William P. Osterberg

Download or read book Intervention and the Risk Premium in Foreign Exchange Rates written by William P. Osterberg and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Interest Rates and Risk Premia in the Stock Market and in the Foreign Exchange Market

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Interest Rates and Risk Premia in the Stock Market and in the Foreign Exchange Market by : Alberto Giovannini

Download or read book Interest Rates and Risk Premia in the Stock Market and in the Foreign Exchange Market written by Alberto Giovannini and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards

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Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 9291316695
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (913 download)

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Book Synopsis International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards by :

Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Target Zones and Interest Rate Variability

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451979991
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Target Zones and Interest Rate Variability by : Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson

Download or read book Target Zones and Interest Rate Variability written by Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-04-01 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The trade-off between interest rate variability and the width of an exchange rate target zone is examined, using the regulated Brownian motion model of target zones. The interest rate differential’s asymptotic (unconditional) variability is increasing in the exchange rate band for narrow bands; whereas it is slowly decreasing for wide bands. The interest rate differential’s instantaneous (conditional) variability is decreasing in the exchange rate band. The model is extended to include a realignment/devaluation risk, as well as an endogenous exchange rate risk premium. The risk premium is small for reasonable parameter values.

Currency Risk Premium, Interest Rate Differentials, and the Holding Period

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Currency Risk Premium, Interest Rate Differentials, and the Holding Period by : Shingo Goto

Download or read book Currency Risk Premium, Interest Rate Differentials, and the Holding Period written by Shingo Goto and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Conducting a Beveridge-Nelson decomposition on exchange rates reveals that the prospective interest rate differential -- the expected infinite sum of future interest rate differentials (i.e., the "prospective'') -- can help predict foreign exchange market excess returns. We find that the prospective is even more negatively correlated with excess returns than interest rate differential, implying a more profitable trading strategy and further deepening the forward premium puzzle. Moreover, relative to the U.S. dollar, foreign currencies with higher interest rates, on average, turn from more risky to less risky over cumulative holding periods (i.e., a "level'' effect). However, foreign currencies with higher interest rates remain more risky than foreign currencies with lower interest rates in the cross section (a "slope'' effect). These level and slope effects further deepen the puzzle raised in Engel (2011) and impose more challenges on extant asset pricing models.

The Effect of Risk on Interest Rates

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effect of Risk on Interest Rates by : Pentti J. K. Kouri

Download or read book The Effect of Risk on Interest Rates written by Pentti J. K. Kouri and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the effects of real income and price level uncertainty on equilibrium interest rates. It is demonstrated that even if there are no outside nominal assets, the interest rate on nominal bonds contains a risk premium, or as the case may be, a risk discount. The sign, and the magnitude, of the deviation from the Fisher parity depends on the covariance between the purchasing power of money on the one hand and real income on the other. The second part of the paper extends the model into a model of two countries, two monies and two bonds denominated in these two monies. It is shown, in contrast with statements made in the literature, that the 'efficiency' of international financial markets does not imply equality of expected real interest rates on bonds denominated in different currencies, nor does it imply that the forward exchange rate should be an unbiased predictor of the future spot exchange rate. This is again true even when there are no outside nominal assets in the world economy.

Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and Monetary Policy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 158 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and Monetary Policy by : Chung-Shu Wu

Download or read book Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and Monetary Policy written by Chung-Shu Wu and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: