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Exchange Rate Pass Through And Monetary Policy In South Africa
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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in South Africa by : Alain N. Kabundi
Download or read book Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in South Africa written by Alain N. Kabundi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-30 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the key factors that explain the documented decline in the exchange rate pass-through in South Africa over the past two decades, which coincides with the adoption of the inflation-targeting regime. The paper conjectures, in line with the literature, that this outcome is largely due to improved monetary policy credibility. To do this, it first documents the factors that explain monetary policy credibility. Using the standard deviation of individual inflation forecasts as a measure of monetary policy credibility, its shows that the latter is negatively affected by the level of inflation itself, monetary policy uncertainty, and a measure of the unobserved stochastic volatility of inflation. The second phase proceeds by analyzing the determinants of the pass-through using the monetary policy credibility index derived from the first phase. The paper confirms the remarkable achievement that, despite the many shocks that the economy has witnessed, the declining pass-through is indeed explained by the improving monetary policy credibility.
Book Synopsis Exchange rate pass-through and monetary policy in South Africa by : Janine Aron
Download or read book Exchange rate pass-through and monetary policy in South Africa written by Janine Aron and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Volatility and Pass-Through to Inflation in South Africa by : Mr.Ken Miyajima
Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Pass-Through to Inflation in South Africa written by Mr.Ken Miyajima and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-12-13 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Does the South African rand’s relatively large volatility affect inflation? To shed some light on this question, a standard estimation technique of exchange rate pass-through to inflation is extended to incorporate exchange rate volatility. Estimated results suggest that higher exchange rate volatility tends to increase core inflation but to a relatively limited extent in South Africa. The finding lends support to the policy of allowing the rand to float freely and work as a shock absorber, consistent with the nation’s successful inflation targeting regime.
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate, Second Round Effects and Inflation Processes by : Eliphas Ndou
Download or read book Exchange Rate, Second Round Effects and Inflation Processes written by Eliphas Ndou and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-23 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT), second round effects and the inflation process in South Africa. The authors demonstrate that magnitudes of the second round effects of the exchange rate depreciation and oil price shocks depend on inflation regimes. The impact of positive oil price shocks on inflation is weakened by monetary policy credibility. Evidence shows the influence of oil price on unit labour costs and correlation between exchange rate changes and inflation has weakened. In addition, ERPT is reduced by low business and consumer confidence, high trade openness, low inflation and high exchange rate volatility which weaken real economic activity. Both monetary and fiscal policy credibility lowers the sizes of ERPT to inflation and inflation expectations. Fiscal policy via fuel levies, administered prices and public transport inflation channel impacts the responses of monetary policy to inflation shocks. The authors show that second round effects contribute very little to wage inflation following an exchange rate depreciation shock. Both lending rate and household consumption responds asymmetrical to repo rate changes. This book will appeal to policymakers, students, academics and analysts.
Author :Mr.Ivohasina Fizara Razafimahefa Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1475530021 Total Pages :57 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (755 download)
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Sub-Saharan African Economies and its Determinants by : Mr.Ivohasina Fizara Razafimahefa
Download or read book Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Sub-Saharan African Economies and its Determinants written by Mr.Ivohasina Fizara Razafimahefa and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-06-01 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices and its determinants in sub-Saharan African countries. It finds that the pass-through is incomplete. The pass-through is larger following a depreciation than after an appreciation of the local currency. The average elasticity is estimated at about 0.4. It is lower in countries with more flexible exchange rate regimes and in countries with a higher income. A low inflation environment, a prudent monetary policy, and a sustainable fiscal policy are associated with a lower pass-through. The degree of pass-through has declined in the SSA region since the mid-1990s following marked improvements in macroeconomic and political environments.
Book Synopsis An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass-through in Mozambique by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass-through in Mozambique written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-06 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Determining the magnitude and speed of the exchange rate passthrough (ERPT) to inflation has been of paramount importance for policy-makers in developed and emerging economies. This paper estimates the exchange rate passthrough in Mozambique using econometric techniques on a sample spanning from 2001 to 2019. Results suggest that the ERPT is assymetric, sizable and fast, with 50 percent of the exchange rate variations passing through to prices in less than six months. Policy-makers should continue to pursue low and stable inflation and develop a strong track record of prudent macroeconomic policies for the ERPT to decline.
Book Synopsis Inflation Dynamics in South Africa by : Eliphas Ndou
Download or read book Inflation Dynamics in South Africa written by Eliphas Ndou and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-02-21 with total page 546 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a comprehensive empirical analysis of South African inflation dynamics, using a variety of techniques including counterfactual analysis. The authors elaborate the roles in inflation of thresholds, nonlinearities and asymmetries introduced by economic conditions such as the size of exchange rate changes and volatility, GDP growth, inflation, output gap, credit growth, sovereign spreads and fiscal policy, providing new policy evidence on the impact of these. Ndou and Gumata apply techniques to determine the prevalence of updating inflation expectations, and reconsider the propagation effects of a number of inflation risk factors. Asking to what extent the evidence points to a need to enforce price stability and the anchoring of inflation expectation, the book fills existing gaps in South African Policy, and maintains a clear argument that price stability is consistent with the 3 to 6 per cent inflation target range, and that threshold application should form an important aspect of policy analysis in periods of macroeconomic uncertainty. As such, the book serves as an excellent reference text for academic and policy discussions alike.
Book Synopsis An Empirical Investigation of Exchange Rate Pass-through in South Africa by : Ashok Bhundia
Download or read book An Empirical Investigation of Exchange Rate Pass-through in South Africa written by Ashok Bhundia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :Commission of Inquiry into the Monetary System and Monetary Policy in South Africa Publisher : ISBN 13 : Total Pages :124 pages Book Rating :4.F/5 ( download)
Book Synopsis Exchange Rates in South Africa by : Commission of Inquiry into the Monetary System and Monetary Policy in South Africa
Download or read book Exchange Rates in South Africa written by Commission of Inquiry into the Monetary System and Monetary Policy in South Africa and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Interest Rate Pass-through and Monetary Policy Regimes in South Africa by : Meshach Jesse Aziakpono
Download or read book Interest Rate Pass-through and Monetary Policy Regimes in South Africa written by Meshach Jesse Aziakpono and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Effect of Exchange Rate Movements on Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Laurent Kemoe
Download or read book Effect of Exchange Rate Movements on Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Laurent Kemoe and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-03-15 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides new evidence on the exchange rate passthrough to domestic inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) using both bilateral US dollar exchange rate and the nominal effective exchange rate (NEER), and monthly data. We find that depreciations cause sizable increases in domestic inflation. The passthrough in SSA is higher than in other regions and its magnitude depends on the exchange rate regime, type of exchange rate (bilateral versus NEER), natural resource endowment and domestic market competitiveness. The passthrough is found to be disproportionately larger and more persistent for large depreciation shocks, and for exchange rate changes that are more persistent. We also find evidence of asymmetry, with passthrough eight times stronger during depreciations than appreciations. Additional findings suggest that improved monetary policy effectiveness is an important driver of our observed declining estimates of exchange rate passthrough over time, supporting the long-standing view that strengthening monetary policy frameworks and credibility helps mitigate the impact of depreciations on inflation.
Book Synopsis The Consequences of Policy Uncertainty by : Sandile Hlatshwayo
Download or read book The Consequences of Policy Uncertainty written by Sandile Hlatshwayo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-06-09 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, the link between the real effective exchange rate (REER) and exports in South Africa has weakened. While exports still rise in response to REER depreciations, the REER-export elasticity is below historical estimates. The literature has put forward a number of possible explanations, from multi-national supply-chains to muted exchange rate pass-through. This research explores the role of policy uncertainty in reducing the responsiveness of exports to relative price changes. We construct a novel “news chatter” measure of policy uncertainty and examine how it, paired with other supply-side constraints, can improve our understanding of export performance. We find that increased policy uncertainty diminishes the responsiveness of exports to the REER and has short and long-run level effects on export performance. Finally, we show that a measure of competitiveness that adjusts for uncertainty and supply-side constraints greatly outperforms the REER in tracking exports performance.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and the Economy in South Africa by : M. Ncube
Download or read book Monetary Policy and the Economy in South Africa written by M. Ncube and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-08-30 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monetary Policy and the Economy in South Africa covers both modern theories and empirical analysis, linking monetary policy with relating house wealth, drivers of current account based on asset approach, expenditure switching and income absorption effects of monetary policy on trade balance, effects of inflation uncertainty on output growth and international spill overs. Each chapter uses data and relevant methodology to answer empirical and pertinent policy questions in South Africa. The book gives new insights into understanding these areas of economic policy and the wider emerging-markets.
Author :Commission of Inquiry into the Monetary System and Monetary Policy in South Africa Publisher : ISBN 13 : Total Pages :444 pages Book Rating :4.F/5 ( download)
Book Synopsis The Monetary System and Monetary Policy in South Africa by : Commission of Inquiry into the Monetary System and Monetary Policy in South Africa
Download or read book The Monetary System and Monetary Policy in South Africa written by Commission of Inquiry into the Monetary System and Monetary Policy in South Africa and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :Mr.Jorge I Canales Kriljenko Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1475510152 Total Pages :36 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (755 download)
Book Synopsis South Africa: Macro Policy Mix and Its Effects on Growth and the Real Exchange Rate--Empirical Evidence and GIMF Simulations by : Mr.Jorge I Canales Kriljenko
Download or read book South Africa: Macro Policy Mix and Its Effects on Growth and the Real Exchange Rate--Empirical Evidence and GIMF Simulations written by Mr.Jorge I Canales Kriljenko and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-08-25 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines whether a mix of tighter fiscal policy, looser monetary policy, and greater reserve build-up would increase growth and depreciate the rand in real terms. The experience of South Africa over the last twenty years is looked at using a number of econometric techniques that control for the external environment.
Book Synopsis The Exchange Rate Pass-through to Inflation and Its Implications for Monetary Policy in Cameroon and Kenya by : Dongue Ndongo Patrick Revelli
Download or read book The Exchange Rate Pass-through to Inflation and Its Implications for Monetary Policy in Cameroon and Kenya written by Dongue Ndongo Patrick Revelli and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis South Africa by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Download or read book South Africa written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-01-30 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper studies the growth-inflation trade-off of monetary policy in South Africa. The combination of low growth and stubbornly high inflation expectations for a protracted period has complicated monetary policy decisions. The IMF staff analysis contributes to the ongoing growth-inflation trade-off discussion in South Africa, concluding that there is limited growth trade-off of monetary policy efforts to anchor inflation expectations at a lower level at present. The findings in this note suggest that the South African Reserve Bank should continue its efforts of anchoring inflation and inflation expectations at a lower level because monetary policy lends limited support to growth dampened by structural issues. During the 2010s, domestic demand growth responded little to monetary policy action. The environment of weak growth, low interest rates, and relatively moderate inflation (expectations) could have muted monetary policy transmission. Ultimately, the constraints to economic growth need to be removed. Meanwhile, inflation expectations continue to respond to monetary policy action albeit to a lesser extent. Monetary policy transmission through demand has weakened––demand growth does not systematically respond to monetary policy action nor does core inflation––but the exchange rate and credibility channels appear to remain operational.
