Economic Impact of COVID-19

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Author :
Publisher : ABDO
ISBN 13 : 1098212940
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (982 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Impact of COVID-19 by : Emily Hudd

Download or read book Economic Impact of COVID-19 written by Emily Hudd and published by ABDO. This book was released on 2020-08-01 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many of the world’s largest economies shut down almost overnight as nations tried to slow the spread of COVID-19. These measures saved lives, but they also cost millions of jobs and shuttered many companies—some temporarily, others forever. The Economic Impact of COVID-19 studies how the pandemic and the fight against it affected every part of the economy, from individuals to huge corporations. Features include a glossary, references, websites, source notes, and an index. Aligned to Common Core Standards and correlated to state standards. Core Library is an imprint of Abdo Publishing, a division of ABDO.

The Economics of COVID-19

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Author :
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1800377223
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economics of COVID-19 by : Moosa, Imad A.

Download or read book The Economics of COVID-19 written by Moosa, Imad A. and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2021-11-16 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely book explores the neglected risk in the advent of the Covid-19 pandemic, illustrating the ways in which four decades of neoliberal economic and public policy has eroded the functional capacity of states to handle catastrophic events.

Economic Impact and Recovery Following a Global Health Crisis

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Author :
Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1799869024
Total Pages : 253 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (998 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Impact and Recovery Following a Global Health Crisis by : Sloboda, Brian W.

Download or read book Economic Impact and Recovery Following a Global Health Crisis written by Sloboda, Brian W. and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2022-01-14 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic has raised challenges in the assessment of macroeconomic and microeconomic impacts. The impacts of COVID-19 on the macro and micro sectors of the economy and the current and future economic tendencies have yet to be determined. The impact of COVID-19 research holds limitless potential, but the necessary research for professionals to understand the economic impacts is lacking and unclear. Economic Impact and Recovery Following a Global Health Crisis assesses the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic with a focus on the macroeconomic and microeconomic and uses various statistical methods and real-world data to predict and establish specific trends within the economy. Covering topics such as firm behavior and national economies, it is ideal for policymakers, industry professionals, researchers, academicians, instructors, and students.

Shutdown

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Author :
Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0593297555
Total Pages : 369 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (932 download)

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Book Synopsis Shutdown by : Adam Tooze

Download or read book Shutdown written by Adam Tooze and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2021-09-07 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book’s great service is that it challenges us to consider the ways in which our institutions and systems, and the assumptions, positions and divisions that undergird them, leave us ill prepared for the next crisis."—Robert Rubin, The New York Times Book Review "Full of valuable insight and telling details, this may well be the best thing to read if you want to know what happened in 2020." --Paul Krugman, New York Review of Books Deftly weaving finance, politics, business, and the global human experience into one tight narrative, a tour-de-force account of 2020, the year that changed everything--from the acclaimed author of Crashed. The shocks of 2020 have been great and small, disrupting the world economy, international relations and the daily lives of virtually everyone on the planet. Never before has the entire world economy contracted by 20 percent in a matter of weeks nor in the historic record of modern capitalism has there been a moment in which 95 percent of the world's economies were suffering all at the same time. Across the world hundreds of millions have lost their jobs. And over it all looms the specter of pandemic, and death. Adam Tooze, whose last book was universally lauded for guiding us coherently through the chaos of the 2008 crash, now brings his bravura analytical and narrative skills to a panoramic and synthetic overview of our current crisis. By focusing on finance and business, he sets the pandemic story in a frame that casts a sobering new light on how unprepared the world was to fight the crisis, and how deep the ruptures in our way of living and doing business are. The virus has attacked the economy with as much ferocity as it has our health, and there is no vaccine arriving to address that. Tooze's special gift is to show how social organization, political interests, and economic policy interact with devastating human consequences, from your local hospital to the World Bank. He moves fluidly from the impact of currency fluctuations to the decimation of institutions--such as health-care systems, schools, and social services--in the name of efficiency. He starkly analyzes what happened when the pandemic collided with domestic politics (China's party conferences; the American elections), what the unintended consequences of the vaccine race might be, and the role climate change played in the pandemic. Finally, he proves how no unilateral declaration of 'independence" or isolation can extricate any modern country from the global web of travel, goods, services, and finance.

The Effects of COVID-19 on the Global and Domestic Economy

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Author :
Publisher : Nova Snova
ISBN 13 : 9781536199529
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (995 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effects of COVID-19 on the Global and Domestic Economy by : Magnus Strömberg

Download or read book The Effects of COVID-19 on the Global and Domestic Economy written by Magnus Strömberg and published by Nova Snova. This book was released on 2021-08-03 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the year since the COVID-19 outbreak was first diagnosed, it has spread to over 200 countries and all U.S. states. The pandemic has negatively affected global economic growth beyond anything experienced in nearly a century. Estimates so far indicate the virus reduced global economic growth to an annualized rate of -4.5% to -6.0% in 2020, with a partial recovery of 2.5% to 5.2% projected for 2021. Global trade is estimated to have fallen by 5.3% in 2020, but is projected to grow by 8.0% in 2021. The full economic impact of the pandemic likely will remain unclear until the negative health effects peak. This book provides an overview of the global and domestic economic costs to date and the response by governments and international institutions to address these effects.

Impact Of Covid-19 On Asian Economies And Policy Responses

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Author :
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9811229392
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Impact Of Covid-19 On Asian Economies And Policy Responses by : Sumit Agarwal

Download or read book Impact Of Covid-19 On Asian Economies And Policy Responses written by Sumit Agarwal and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-12-23 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: On March 12th 2020, World Health Organization (WHO) declared the spreading of the new virus, 2019-nCoV, a pandemic. In Asia, the virus, more commonly referred to as COVID-19, has been spreading since the end of December. To contain the public health threat, almost all countries enforced a variety of measures, including lockdowns, to minimize face-to-face human interactions between the infected and the susceptible.While these vigilant measures save lives, they also generate a substantial negative economic shock that immediately halts demand and significantly disrupts supply, global production value chain and trade. The consequences are dire — considerable decline in output, massive surge in unemployment, countless bankruptcy cases, and unrelentless worries over financial stability. The result, a worldwide economic setback, is more severe than that experienced during the Great Financial Crisis of 2008-2009.Asia's experiences with COVID-19 precede that in the West. This fortuitous timing allows Asia to share its learnings drawn from experiences to benefit the world.The Asian Bureau of Finance and Economic Research's (ABFER) community has gathered a collection of insights to inform the public. Besides providing access to research on the pandemic conducted in Asia, these commentaries offer comprehensive information on the effects of the pandemic, the effectiveness of measures employed to contain it and the subsequent economic impacts from such implementation. With granular analyses of government policies and their associated economic rescue packages, these commentaries elucidate the hard trade-offs between public health protection and economic security. Finally, the commentaries address the broader impact of the pandemic on international trade, global value chains and society.

Covid-19's Economic Impact And Countermeasures In China

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Author :
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9811252939
Total Pages : 518 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Covid-19's Economic Impact And Countermeasures In China by : Shi Yi Chen

Download or read book Covid-19's Economic Impact And Countermeasures In China written by Shi Yi Chen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2022-07-14 with total page 518 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book studies the impact of COVID-19 on the Chinese economy and the country's response to policies. It examines various aspects of national macroeconomic operations, industrial shocks, changes in financial markets, regional economic order, public governance challenges. It also analyzes changes in the world economy while integrating economic, financial, industrial, and environmental disciplines.At the macro level, the book emphasizes counter-cyclical responses, with an emphasis on comprehensive measures and precise efforts. It highlights differentiated development strategies for industries and promotes structural adjustment and supply-side reform. At the micro-level, the book emphasizes enterprises' resumption of work and production and supply chain management. The book promotes the concept of integration, stressing that China's economy was and is sufficiently resilient and the importance of maintaining and improving public confidence. At the same time, it attaches importance to prescribing the correct remedies for shortcomings, strengthening weaknesses, confronting the obstacles and difficulties in economic development, and restoring social order. The studies are not restricted to the facts but also focus on transforming and upgrading a modernized socialist economy and governance in the long term.

Asian Development Outlook 2020

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Author :
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9292621564
Total Pages : 737 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (926 download)

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Book Synopsis Asian Development Outlook 2020 by : Asian Development Bank

Download or read book Asian Development Outlook 2020 written by Asian Development Bank and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2020-04-01 with total page 737 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After a disappointing 2019, growth prospects in developing Asia have worsened under the impact of the current health crisis. Signs of incipient recovery near the turn of this year were quickly overthrown as COVID-19 broke out in January 2020 in the region’s largest economy and subsequently expanded into a global pandemic. Disruption to regional and global supply chains, trade, and tourism, and the continued spread of the outbreak, leave the region reeling under massive economic shocks and financial turmoil. Across Asia, the authorities are responding with policies to contain the outbreak, facilitate medical interventions, and support vulnerable businesses and households. Assuming that the outbreak is contained this year, growth is expected to recover in 2021. Especially to face down fundamental threats such as the current medical emergency, innovation is critical to growth and development. As some economies in developing Asia challenge the innovation frontier, many others lag. More and better innovation is needed in the region to sustain growth that is more inclusive and environmentally sustainable. Five key drivers of innovation are sound education, productive entrepreneurship, high-quality institutions, efficient financial systems, and dynamic cities that excite knowledge exchange. The journey to creating an innovative society takes long-term commitment and hard work.

Economic Effects of COVID-19 Related Uncertainty Shocks

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Author :
Publisher : Frontiers Media SA
ISBN 13 : 2889716783
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (897 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Effects of COVID-19 Related Uncertainty Shocks by : Giray Gozgor

Download or read book Economic Effects of COVID-19 Related Uncertainty Shocks written by Giray Gozgor and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2021-11-24 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Economic Effects of COVID-19 Containment Measures

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781513550251
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (52 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economic Effects of COVID-19 Containment Measures by : Pragyan Deb

Download or read book The Economic Effects of COVID-19 Containment Measures written by Pragyan Deb and published by . This book was released on 2020-08-07 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Containment measures are crucial to halt the spread of the 2019 COVID-19 pandemic but entail large short-term economic costs. This paper tries to quantify these effects using daily global data on real-time containment measures and indicators of economic activity such as Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2) emissions, flights, energy consumption, maritime trade, and mobility indices. Results suggest that containment measures have had, on average, a very large impact on economic activity--equivalent to a loss of about 15 percent in industrial production over a 30-day period following their implementation. Using novel data on fiscal and monetary policy measures used in response to the crisis, we find that these policy measures were effective in mitigating some of these economic costs. We also find that while workplace closures and stay-at-home orders are more effective in curbing infections, they are associated with the largest economic costs. Finally, while easing of containment measures has led to a pickup in economic activity, the effect has been lower (in absolute value) than that from the tightening of measures.

Economics in One Virus

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Author :
Publisher : Cato Institute
ISBN 13 : 1952223075
Total Pages : 321 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (522 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics in One Virus by : Ryan A. Bourne

Download or read book Economics in One Virus written by Ryan A. Bourne and published by Cato Institute. This book was released on 2021-04-07 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A truly excellent book that explains where our pandemic response went wrong, and how we can understand those failings using the tools of economics." —Tyler Cowen, Holbert L. Harris Chair of Economics at George Mason University and coauthor of the blog Marginal Revolution Have you ever stopped to wonder why hand sanitizer was missing from your pharmacy for months after the COVID-19 pandemic hit? Why some employers and employees were arguing over workers being re-hired during the first COVID-19 lockdown? Why passenger airlines were able to get their own ring-fenced bailout from Congress? Economics in One Virus answers all these pandemic-related questions and many more, drawing on the dramatic events of 2020 to bring to life some of the most important principles of economic thought. Packed with supporting data and the best new academic evidence, those uninitiated in economics will be given a crash-course in the subject through the applied case-study of the COVID-19 pandemic, to help explain everything from why the U.S. was underprepared for the pandemic to how economists go about valuing the lives saved from lockdowns. After digesting this highly readable, fast-paced, and provocative virus-themed economic tour, readers will be able to make much better sense of the events that they've lived through. Perhaps more importantly, the insights on everything from the role of the price mechanism to trade and specialization will grant even those wholly new to economics the skills to think like an economist in their own lives and when evaluating the choices of their political leaders.

The Economic and Legal Impact of Covid-19

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000405613
Total Pages : 134 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economic and Legal Impact of Covid-19 by : Jerzy Menkes

Download or read book The Economic and Legal Impact of Covid-19 written by Jerzy Menkes and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-07-13 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In response to the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, governments and international institutions took steps to contain the harmful consequences on citizens’ lives and health, as well as the economy. In the short term, the goal was to limit the spread of the virus and the effects of the restrictions on the economy and, in the longer run, to prevent the appearance of new cases, facilitate the end of social restrictions, reboot the economy, and return to a path of sustainable growth and development. This is an economic and legal exploration of the impact of the pandemic, in the Polish context, examining Polish society and the economy as well as the response of the Polish authorities to the pandemic. The choice of Poland as the subject of the research is justified by its specificity. On the one hand, Poland is a country undergoing systemic transformation with access to European and transatlantic institutions. On the other hand, in recent years, it has evolved towards a hybrid democracy and is currently diverging away from the EU project. The book presents Poland’s legal and institutional response to the pandemic, analysed through the prism of common European values and Poland’s international commitments. It signposts the financial solutions adopted by the EU in the aftermath of the outbreak to assess how they will be used in combatting the short and longer-term consequences of the pandemic in Poland. The book is an introduction to original research, shaped by the novelty of the subject matter, and as such, will be essential reading for students and researchers of economics, law, and international relations.

The Social and Economic Impact of Covid–19: Rapid Transformation of the 21st Century Society

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Author :
Publisher : IJOPEC PUBLICATION
ISBN 13 : 1913809994
Total Pages : 201 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (138 download)

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Book Synopsis The Social and Economic Impact of Covid–19: Rapid Transformation of the 21st Century Society by : Marcel Mečiar

Download or read book The Social and Economic Impact of Covid–19: Rapid Transformation of the 21st Century Society written by Marcel Mečiar and published by IJOPEC PUBLICATION. This book was released on 2021-05-05 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The contributions in this book demonstrate that the Covid-19 pandemic has led to negative socioeconomic impacts, put a tremendous strain on social institutions in many countries, and changed the lives of people around the world. Society, economy, business companies, management structures of companies, consumption habits of society, education, and health sector have been significantly affected by the Covid-19 pandemic. Some of these effects are thought to be permanent even after the pandemic subsides. It is obvious that the process of digitization will continue in making a consumer’s life more comfortable and safer. Some researchers estimate that approximately 60 percent of companies plan to let their employees continue working remotely from home offices in the post-pandemic period. Many experts emphasize that online shopping, which increased rapidly during the pandemic period, will continue to dominate after the pandemic. Therefore, the social effects of the Covid-19 pandemic will be the subject of many academic studies today and in the future.

Will the Economic Impact of COVID-19 Persist? Prognosis from 21st Century Pandemics

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513582356
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Will the Economic Impact of COVID-19 Persist? Prognosis from 21st Century Pandemics by : Johannes Emmerling

Download or read book Will the Economic Impact of COVID-19 Persist? Prognosis from 21st Century Pandemics written by Johannes Emmerling and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-04-30 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: COVID-19 has had a disruptive economic impact in 2020, but how long its impact will persist remains unclear. We offer a prognosis based on an analysis of the effects of five previous major epidemics in this century. We find that these pandemics led to significant and persistent reductions in disposable income, along with increases in unemployment, income inequality and public debt-to-GDP ratios. Energy use and CO2 emissions dropped, but mostly because of the persistent decline in the level of economic activity rather than structural changes in the energy sector. Applying our empirical estimates to project the impact of COVID-19, we foresee significant scarring in economic performance and income distribution through 2025, which be associated with an increase in poverty of about 75 million people. Policy responses more effective than those in the past would be required to forestall these outcomes.

Economic Policy and the Covid-19 Crisis

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000461718
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Policy and the Covid-19 Crisis by : Bernadette Andreosso-O'Callaghan

Download or read book Economic Policy and the Covid-19 Crisis written by Bernadette Andreosso-O'Callaghan and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-09-28 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an assessment of the different monetary and fiscal policy responses that have been implemented by national governments in major European and Asian countries faced with the Covid-19 crisis since 2020; it also deals with the case of the US experience as a benchmarking example. The book provides a comprehensive cross-country comparative study on health crisis management at the macroeconomic level. Its focus on monetary and fiscal policies across different countries in Asia, Europe and the USA makes it unique. Divided into three parts following a general introduction that sets the context of the study, the book deals with the case of the USA, EU and European countries as well as with that of key Asian countries. Of specific relevance is the European Union and euro-area contexts that serve as a framework to the different EU national monetary and fiscal policy responses. Each chapter deals with a specific country, including Italy and the UK in Europe and Singapore and South Korea in Asia, and covers the following topics: the extent of the outbreak of the public health crisis and its macroeconomic impact; the comparative examination of fiscal and monetary policy responses to both crises; and an overall assessment of the effectiveness of these policies along with the public health policy to mitigate the economic impact. Given the unprecedented nature of the Covid-19 crisis, anyone eager to know more about its macroeconomic impact and ensuing policies in a comparative framework will be keen to read this book. It will be essential reading to any researcher, policy maker and/or analyst working in the area of public policy and is also a unique contribution to the field of European studies, Asian studies and Comparative Economic Studies.

Reshaping Global Value Chains in Light of COVID-19

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464818223
Total Pages : 217 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Reshaping Global Value Chains in Light of COVID-19 by : Paul Brenton

Download or read book Reshaping Global Value Chains in Light of COVID-19 written by Paul Brenton and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2022-03-01 with total page 217 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global value chains (GVCs) have driven dramatic expansions in trade, productivity, and economic growth in developing countries. This book examines the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on GVCs and explores whether they can continue to be a driver of trade and development. The report reviews previous crises and what these tell us about the resilience of GVC firms to shocks. It examines the observed impact of COVID-19 on trade during the sharp global recession of 2020. It summarizes discussions with GVC firms on the impacts of, and their responses to, the COVID shock. GVCs showed surprising resilience, but the rapid recovery raised new issues with supply chains. The book then explores simulations from a global economic model of the potential longer-term impacts of COVID-19 on developing countries and other key factors shaping the global economy, including the evolving role of China, increasing trade restrictions and policy responses to global warming. The analysis shows that while there are risks associated with GVCs, especially those concentrated around key nodes and where opportunities to find alternative suppliers or buyers are limited, there are mechanisms by which GVCs maintain trade relationships during a crisis, paving the way for a strong trade-led recovery. Measures are identified that can enhance the resilience of GVCs in low-income countries. This report finds that policies that maintain and enhance trade can contribute toward crisis management and recovery. Attempts to reshore production would make all countries worse off, including those that implement them, and could drive 52 million people, mainly in Africa, into extreme poverty. Measures to meet climate change commitments will have more profound impacts, leading to a shift away from carbon-intensive GVCs, while new opportunities for trade will arise in GVCs that are less carbon intensive.

Estimating the economic impacts of the first wave of COVID-19 in Pakistan using a SAM Multiplier Model

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Author :
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating the economic impacts of the first wave of COVID-19 in Pakistan using a SAM Multiplier Model by : Moeen, Muhammad Saad

Download or read book Estimating the economic impacts of the first wave of COVID-19 in Pakistan using a SAM Multiplier Model written by Moeen, Muhammad Saad and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2021-02-13 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) multiplier analysis has been employed to assess the impacts of COVID-19 on various macroeconomic variables including Gross Domestic Product (GDP), employment, and poverty in Pakistan. SAM multiplier models are well-suited to estimate the direct and indirect effects of unanticipated demand-side shocks and short-term fluctuations on various sectors and agents in the economy, such as those caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. The results show that Pakistan’s GDP declined by 26.4 percent from mid-March to the end of June 2020 (14 weeks) compared to a non-COVID scenario. Services were hit the hardest, registering losses of 17.6 percent, followed by industry with losses of 6.7 percent. Agriculture turned out to be resilient and remained relatively unhurt, falling by 2.1 percent. All households witnessed a reduction in incomes, but higher-income quartiles appeared to have lost more than lower-income ones. Our approach for economic impact with mitigation measures is to assess the effectiveness of Emergency Response Packages (ERP) by altering the remittances to levels that reflect the magnitude of the support from the government. The total government expenditures were directed towards different kinds of households of PKR 318.6 billion (USD 2.12 billion). This led to a reduction of about USD 3.1 billion in GDP losses, which, compared to the amount spent implied a multiplier of 1.4 in GDP per PKR spent. The national poverty rate soared to 43 percent and 38.7 percent in April and May respectively. The Government’s cash transfers program proved highly effective and led to 11 percent reduction in poverty rate during the pandemic. The recovery scenarios indicate a cumulative GDP loss of USD 11.8 billion and 11.1 USD billion under slow and fast recovery scenarios, respectively, by December 2020. Our estimates show that Pakistan’s annual GDP (at market prices) will register a decline of 4.6 percent in the year 2020 due to negative effects of the pandemic and sluggish economic recovery. Poverty is expected to stabilize at 27.6 percent and 27.4 percent for the two recovery scenarios by December 2020.