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Cooperative Decision Making Under Risk
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Book Synopsis Cooperative Decision-Making Under Risk by : Jeroen Suijs
Download or read book Cooperative Decision-Making Under Risk written by Jeroen Suijs and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-09-15 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In cooperative games, one generally assumes that the agents know exactly the joint (monetary) gains that can be achieved by any possible coalition of cooperating agents. In reality, however, only little is known with certainty. This does not necessarily imply that traditional cooperative game theory cannot be applied in practical situations, for in various cases knowledge of the expected gains suffices. In many other cases, however, it is just the sharing of risk that is beneficial. Joint ventures, for instance, exist since cooperation reduces the risk of the investment for the individual parties. Since the existing models fail to incorporate such risks, they are not suitable for analyzing cooperative decision-making under risk. This book aims to rectify this deficiency by discussing a model of cooperative games with random payoffs.
Book Synopsis Cooperative Decision-Making Under Risk by : Jeroen Suijs
Download or read book Cooperative Decision-Making Under Risk written by Jeroen Suijs and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In cooperative games, one generally assumes that the agents know exactly the joint (monetary) gains that can be achieved by any possible coalition of cooperating agents. In reality, however, only little is known with certainty. This does not necessarily imply that traditional cooperative game theory cannot be applied in practical situations, for in various cases knowledge of the expected gains suffices. In many other cases, however, it is just the sharing of risk that is beneficial. Joint ventures, for instance, exist since cooperation reduces the risk of the investment for the individual parties. Since the existing models fail to incorporate such risks, they are not suitable for analyzing cooperative decision-making under risk. This book aims to rectify this deficiency by discussing a model of cooperative games with random payoffs.
Book Synopsis Decision Making Under Uncertainty by : Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Download or read book Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Mykel J. Kochenderfer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-07-24 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.
Book Synopsis The Formation of Groups for Cooperative Decision Making Under Uncertainty by : Jakob Rosing
Download or read book The Formation of Groups for Cooperative Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Jakob Rosing and published by . This book was released on 1968 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In many situations involving interaction among parties, the individual welfare of each party can be improved by cooperation. This requires a cooperative decision, which specifies the course of action to be followed by each party, and a rule for sharing the total payoff resulting from that decision. In general, the total payoff will depend on the value of a random variable that is unknown at the time of the decision making. This study determines the conditions under which the parties are willing to delegate cooperative decision making to a group. In arriving at its optimal decision, this group does not take into account the division of the total payoff among the parties. Furthermore, the parties are willing to form this group independent of the set of alternative payoff functions. The results are based on the assumption of complete information; that is, each party knows his own and his opponents' utility functions, subjective probability distributions, available strategies, and payoff functions. (Author).
Book Synopsis Cooperative Decision Making in Common Pool Situations by : Holger I Meinhardt
Download or read book Cooperative Decision Making in Common Pool Situations written by Holger I Meinhardt and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-05-12 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Experiments in decision-making under Risk by : Michał Wiktor Krawczyk
Download or read book Experiments in decision-making under Risk written by Michał Wiktor Krawczyk and published by Rozenberg Publishers. This book was released on 2009 with total page 171 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Distributed Decision Making by : Jens Rasmussen
Download or read book Distributed Decision Making written by Jens Rasmussen and published by Wiley. This book was released on 1991-08-26 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Frequently (and often inappropriately) decision making in the work environment has been analyzed and modeled in terms of isolated decisions made by one person. In reality, decision making is a continuous, interpersonal process usually involving several ``decision makers'' aiming at dynamic and cooperative control of the state of affairs at work. Based on original contributions from researchers and research teams, this book provides an urgently needed cognitive approach to models of distributed decision making, exploring the basis for design of decision support systems in various complex, collective, modern work environments. It identifies the state of the art of modeling distributed decision making and the problems imposed by modern high-tech systems. A also formulates promising research avenues.
Book Synopsis Advances in Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty by : Mohammed Abdellaoui
Download or read book Advances in Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty written by Mohammed Abdellaoui and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-08-29 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Whether we like it or not we all feel that the world is uncertain. From choosing a new technology to selecting a job, we rarely know in advance what outcome will result from our decisions. Unfortunately, the standard theory of choice under uncertainty developed in the early forties and fifties turns out to be too rigid to take many tricky issues of choice under uncertainty into account. The good news is that we have now moved away from the early descriptively inadequate modeling of behavior. This book brings the reader into contact with the accomplished progress in individual decision making through the most recent contributions to uncertainty modeling and behavioral decision making. It also introduces the reader into the many subtle issues to be resolved for rational choice under uncertainty.
Book Synopsis Group Decision-making by : Edward Lewis Cook
Download or read book Group Decision-making written by Edward Lewis Cook and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present work explores improvements in group decision-making. It begins with a practical example using state-of-the-art techniques for a complex, high-risk decision. We show how these techniques can reveal a better alternative. Although we created an improved decision process, decision-makers were apt to protect their own organizations instead of the project. This tendency was reduced over the course of the decision-making process but inspired the first conceptual component of this work. The first concept describes the "Cost of Conflict" that can arise in a group decision, using game theory to represent the non-cooperative approach and comparing the outcome to the cooperative approach. We demonstrate that it is possible for the group to settle on a non-Paretto Nash equilibrium. The sensitivity of the decision-maker weights is revealed which led to the second conceptual portion of this work. The second concept applies social network theory to study the influence between decision-makers in a group decision. By examining the number and strength of connections between decision-makers, we build from intrinsically derived weights to extrinsically derived weights by adding the network influences from other decision-makers. The two conceptual approaches provide a descriptive view of non-cooperative decisions where decision-makers still influence each other. These concepts suggest a prescriptive approach to achieving a higher group utility.
Book Synopsis A Consensus Handbook by : Seeds For Change Lancaster Co-operative ltd
Download or read book A Consensus Handbook written by Seeds For Change Lancaster Co-operative ltd and published by Seeds for Change Lancaster Co-operative Ltd. This book was released on 2013-05-01 with total page 4 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Excellent - clear guidance, thoughtful reflection on power and conflict" - THE GUARDIAN (UK) A practical guide to facilitating consensus decision making The essential manual for grassroots organising by Seeds for Change, one of the UK's leading activist training collectives This book explains the spirit and philosophy of co-operative decision making, and gives practical, easy to read guidance on how to facilitate a consensus process. A Consensus Handbook looks at common situations and explains the skills and tools your group can use to ease the path to a decision. Includes: · Skills and tools for facilitation and decision making · Small and large groups · Face to face or virtual meetings · Spirit and philosophy of consensus decision making · Troubleshoot your consensus process - a guide to dealing with common pitfalls and problems · Consensus in the wider world - how can consensus decision making be used outside small groups? Whether you’re new to consensus or are experienced; whether you think it’s the best way to make decisions or are struggling to make it work: this book is for you!
Book Synopsis Trust in Cooperative Risk Management by : Timothy C. Earle
Download or read book Trust in Cooperative Risk Management written by Timothy C. Earle and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-05-04 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Trust is an important factor in risk management, affecting judgements of risk and benefit, technology acceptance and other forms of cooperation. In this book the world?s leading risk researchers explore all aspects of trust as it relates to risk management and communication. Drawing on a wide variety of disciplinary approaches and empirical case studies (on topics such as mobile phone technology, well-known food accidents and crises, wetland management, smallpox vaccination, cooperative risk management of US forests and the disposal of the Brent Spar oil drilling platform), this is the most thorough and up-to-date examination of trust in all its forms and complexities. The book integrates diverse research traditions and provides new insights into the phenomenon of trust. Factors that lead to the establishment and erosion of trust are identified. Insightful analyses are provided for researchers and students of environmental and social science and professionals engaged in risk management and communication in both public and private sectors. Related titles The Tolerability of Risk (2007) 978-1-84407-398-6
Book Synopsis Completing the Forecast by : National Research Council
Download or read book Completing the Forecast written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2006-10-09 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.
Book Synopsis Decision Making Under Risk by : Ale Smidts
Download or read book Decision Making Under Risk written by Ale Smidts and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cum laude graduation (with distinction).
Book Synopsis Axioms of Cooperative Decision Making by : Hervé Moulin
Download or read book Axioms of Cooperative Decision Making written by Hervé Moulin and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1991-07-26 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a unified and comprehensive study of welfarism, cooperative games, public decision making, and voting and social choice theory.
Book Synopsis Decision Making in Membership Organizations by : Brian M. Henehan
Download or read book Decision Making in Membership Organizations written by Brian M. Henehan and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Large-Scale Group Decision-Making by : Su-Min Yu
Download or read book Large-Scale Group Decision-Making written by Su-Min Yu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-01-03 with total page 195 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores clustering operations in the context of social networks and consensus-reaching paths that take into account non-cooperative behaviors. This book focuses on the two key issues in large-scale group decision-making: clustering and consensus building. Clustering aims to reduce the dimension of a large group. Consensus reaching requires that the divergent individual opinions of the decision makers converge to the group opinion. This book emphasizes the similarity of opinions and social relationships as important measurement attributes of clustering, which makes it different from traditional clustering methods with single attribute to divide the original large group without requiring a combination of the above two attributes. The proposed consensus models focus on the treatment of non-cooperative behaviors in the consensus-reaching process and explores the influence of trust loss on the consensus-reaching process.The logic behind is as follows: firstly, a clustering algorithm is adopted to reduce the dimension of decision-makers, and then, based on the clusters’ opinions obtained, a consensus-reaching process is carried out to obtain a decision result acceptable to the majority of decision-makers. Graduates and researchers in the fields of management science, computer science, information management, engineering technology, etc., who are interested in large-scale group decision-making and consensus building are potential audience of this book. It helps readers to have a deeper and more comprehensive understanding of clustering analysis and consensus building in large-scale group decision-making.
Book Synopsis Distributed Decision Making by : Berndt Brehmer
Download or read book Distributed Decision Making written by Berndt Brehmer and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
