Conditionals And Prediction

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Conditionals and Prediction

Author : Barbara Dancygier
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139425501
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Conditionals and Prediction by : Barbara Dancygier

Download or read book Conditionals and Prediction written by Barbara Dancygier and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1999-01-13 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a new and in-depth analysis of English conditional sentences. In a wide-ranging discussion, Dancygier classifies conditional constructions according to time-reference and modality. She shows how the basic meaning parameters of conditionality correlate to formal parameters of the linguistic constructions which are used to express them. Dancygier suggests that the function of prediction is central to the definition of conditionality, and that conditional sentences display certain formal features which correlate to aspects of interpretation. Although the analysis is based primarily on English, it provides a theoretical framework that can be extended cross-linguistically to a broad range of grammatical phenomena. It will be essential reading for scholars and students concerned with the role of conditionals in English and many other languages.

Identification for Prediction and Decision

Author : Charles F. Manski
Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780674033665
Total Pages : 370 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (336 download)

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Book Synopsis Identification for Prediction and Decision by : Charles F. Manski

Download or read book Identification for Prediction and Decision written by Charles F. Manski and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2009-06-30 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a full-scale exposition of Charles Manski's new methodology for analyzing empirical questions in the social sciences. He recommends that researchers first ask what can be learned from data alone, and then ask what can be learned when data are combined with credible weak assumptions. Inferences predicated on weak assumptions, he argues, can achieve wide consensus, while ones that require strong assumptions almost inevitably are subject to sharp disagreements. Building on the foundation laid in the author's Identification Problems in the Social Sciences (Harvard, 1995), the book's fifteen chapters are organized in three parts. Part I studies prediction with missing or otherwise incomplete data. Part II concerns the analysis of treatment response, which aims to predict outcomes when alternative treatment rules are applied to a population. Part III studies prediction of choice behavior. Each chapter juxtaposes developments of methodology with empirical or numerical illustrations. The book employs a simple notation and mathematical apparatus, using only basic elements of probability theory.

Mental Spaces in Grammar

Author : Barbara Dancygier
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 113944610X
Total Pages : 315 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Mental Spaces in Grammar by : Barbara Dancygier

Download or read book Mental Spaces in Grammar written by Barbara Dancygier and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2005-07-07 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Conditional constructions have long fascinated linguists, grammarians and philosophers. In this pioneering new study, Barbara Dancygier and Eve Sweetser offer a new descriptive framework for the study of conditionality, broadening the range of richly described conditional constructions. They explore theoretical issues such as the mental-space-building processes underlying conditional thinking and the form-meaning relationship involved in expressing conditionality. Using a broad range of attested English conditional constructions, the book examines inter-constructional relationships. Within the framework of Mental Spaces Theory, shared parameters of meaning are shown to be relevant to conditional constructions generally, as well as related temporal and causal constructions. This significant contribution to the field will be welcomed by a wide range of researchers in theoretical and cognitive linguistics.

On Conditionals Again

Author : Angeliki Athanasiadou
Publisher : John Benjamins Publishing
ISBN 13 : 902727598X
Total Pages : 428 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (272 download)

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Book Synopsis On Conditionals Again by : Angeliki Athanasiadou

Download or read book On Conditionals Again written by Angeliki Athanasiadou and published by John Benjamins Publishing. This book was released on 1997-04-24 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volume brings together a selection of papers from a symposium on Conditionality held in the University of Duisburg on 25-26 March 1994. Ten years after the Stanford symposium, the Proceedings of which were edited by Traugott et al. (1986), the area of conditionality is revisited in a synthesis of issues and aspects with insights drawn from the wider framework of general processes of conceptualisation. One major question is therefore what conceptual categories fall under conditionality or how far the notion of conditionality can be extended. The volume represents the up-to-date research on most aspects of conditionality some of which include the relationship between conditionality, hypotheticality and counterfactuality, polarity, historical perspectives, concessives, the acquisition of conditionals.

Causation, Prediction, and Search

Author : Peter Spirtes
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461227488
Total Pages : 551 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

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Book Synopsis Causation, Prediction, and Search by : Peter Spirtes

Download or read book Causation, Prediction, and Search written by Peter Spirtes and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 551 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is intended for anyone, regardless of discipline, who is interested in the use of statistical methods to help obtain scientific explanations or to predict the outcomes of actions, experiments or policies. Much of G. Udny Yule's work illustrates a vision of statistics whose goal is to investigate when and how causal influences may be reliably inferred, and their comparative strengths estimated, from statistical samples. Yule's enterprise has been largely replaced by Ronald Fisher's conception, in which there is a fundamental cleavage between experimental and non experimental inquiry, and statistics is largely unable to aid in causal inference without randomized experimental trials. Every now and then members of the statistical community express misgivings about this turn of events, and, in our view, rightly so. Our work represents a return to something like Yule's conception of the enterprise of theoretical statistics and its potential practical benefits. If intellectual history in the 20th century had gone otherwise, there might have been a discipline to which our work belongs. As it happens, there is not. We develop material that belongs to statistics, to computer science, and to philosophy; the combination may not be entirely satisfactory for specialists in any of these subjects. We hope it is nonetheless satisfactory for its purpose.

Prediction

Author : Daniel R. Sarewitz
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 434 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Prediction by : Daniel R. Sarewitz

Download or read book Prediction written by Daniel R. Sarewitz and published by . This book was released on 2000-04 with total page 434 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based upon ten case studies, Prediction explores how science-based predictions guide policy making and what this means in terms of global warming, biogenetically modifying organisms and polluting the environment with chemicals.

Probabilistic-Statistical Approaches to the Prediction of Aircraft Navigation Systems Condition

Author : Eliseev B. P.
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811399239
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (113 download)

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Book Synopsis Probabilistic-Statistical Approaches to the Prediction of Aircraft Navigation Systems Condition by : Eliseev B. P.

Download or read book Probabilistic-Statistical Approaches to the Prediction of Aircraft Navigation Systems Condition written by Eliseev B. P. and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-09-19 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book highlights the development of new methods for assessing and forecasting the state of various complex ageing systems in service; analyzing the influence of destabilizing factors on the accuracy of aircraft flight navigation support; and making recommendations on the ideal aircraft route, taking into consideration the available information on the reliability of the navigation and communication equipment.

Prediction or Prophecy?

Author : Gregor Betz
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3835090534
Total Pages : 287 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Prediction or Prophecy? by : Gregor Betz

Download or read book Prediction or Prophecy? written by Gregor Betz and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-10-06 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gregor Betz explores the following questions: Where are the limits of economics, in particular the limits of economic foreknowledge? Are macroeconomic forecasts credible predictions or mere prophecies and what would this imply for the way economic policy decisions are taken? Is rational economic decision making possible without forecasting at all?

Interpretable Machine Learning

Author : Christoph Molnar
Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 0244768528
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (447 download)

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Book Synopsis Interpretable Machine Learning by : Christoph Molnar

Download or read book Interpretable Machine Learning written by Christoph Molnar and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2020 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is about making machine learning models and their decisions interpretable. After exploring the concepts of interpretability, you will learn about simple, interpretable models such as decision trees, decision rules and linear regression. Later chapters focus on general model-agnostic methods for interpreting black box models like feature importance and accumulated local effects and explaining individual predictions with Shapley values and LIME. All interpretation methods are explained in depth and discussed critically. How do they work under the hood? What are their strengths and weaknesses? How can their outputs be interpreted? This book will enable you to select and correctly apply the interpretation method that is most suitable for your machine learning project.

Prediction, Learning, and Games

Author : Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 113945482X
Total Pages : 4 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Prediction, Learning, and Games by : Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi

Download or read book Prediction, Learning, and Games written by Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2006-03-13 with total page 4 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important text and reference for researchers and students in machine learning, game theory, statistics and information theory offers a comprehensive treatment of the problem of predicting individual sequences. Unlike standard statistical approaches to forecasting, prediction of individual sequences does not impose any probabilistic assumption on the data-generating mechanism. Yet, prediction algorithms can be constructed that work well for all possible sequences, in the sense that their performance is always nearly as good as the best forecasting strategy in a given reference class. The central theme is the model of prediction using expert advice, a general framework within which many related problems can be cast and discussed. Repeated game playing, adaptive data compression, sequential investment in the stock market, sequential pattern analysis, and several other problems are viewed as instances of the experts' framework and analyzed from a common nonstochastic standpoint that often reveals new and intriguing connections.

Advanced Structured Prediction

Author : Sebastian Nowozin
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262028379
Total Pages : 430 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Advanced Structured Prediction by : Sebastian Nowozin

Download or read book Advanced Structured Prediction written by Sebastian Nowozin and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2014-12-05 with total page 430 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An overview of recent work in the field of structured prediction, the building of predictive machine learning models for interrelated and dependent outputs. The goal of structured prediction is to build machine learning models that predict relational information that itself has structure, such as being composed of multiple interrelated parts. These models, which reflect prior knowledge, task-specific relations, and constraints, are used in fields including computer vision, speech recognition, natural language processing, and computational biology. They can carry out such tasks as predicting a natural language sentence, or segmenting an image into meaningful components. These models are expressive and powerful, but exact computation is often intractable. A broad research effort in recent years has aimed at designing structured prediction models and approximate inference and learning procedures that are computationally efficient. This volume offers an overview of this recent research in order to make the work accessible to a broader research community. The chapters, by leading researchers in the field, cover a range of topics, including research trends, the linear programming relaxation approach, innovations in probabilistic modeling, recent theoretical progress, and resource-aware learning. Contributors Jonas Behr, Yutian Chen, Fernando De La Torre, Justin Domke, Peter V. Gehler, Andrew E. Gelfand, Sébastien Giguère, Amir Globerson, Fred A. Hamprecht, Minh Hoai, Tommi Jaakkola, Jeremy Jancsary, Joseph Keshet, Marius Kloft, Vladimir Kolmogorov, Christoph H. Lampert, François Laviolette, Xinghua Lou, Mario Marchand, André F. T. Martins, Ofer Meshi, Sebastian Nowozin, George Papandreou, Daniel Průša, Gunnar Rätsch, Amélie Rolland, Bogdan Savchynskyy, Stefan Schmidt, Thomas Schoenemann, Gabriele Schweikert, Ben Taskar, Sinisa Todorovic, Max Welling, David Weiss, Thomáš Werner, Alan Yuille, Stanislav Živný

Surfing Uncertainty

Author : Andy Clark
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0190217014
Total Pages : 425 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Surfing Uncertainty by : Andy Clark

Download or read book Surfing Uncertainty written by Andy Clark and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2016 with total page 425 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title brings together work on embodiment, action, and the predictive mind. At the core is the vision of human minds as prediction machines - devices that constantly try to stay one step ahead of the breaking waves of sensory stimulation, by actively predicting the incoming flow. In every situation we encounter, that complex prediction machinery is already buzzing, proactively trying to anticipate the sensory barrage. The book shows in detail how this strange but potent strategy of self-anticipation ushers perception, understanding, and imagination simultaneously onto the cognitive stage.

Probably Not

Author : Lawrence N. Dworsky
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119518105
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Probably Not by : Lawrence N. Dworsky

Download or read book Probably Not written by Lawrence N. Dworsky and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-09-04 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A revised edition that explores random numbers, probability, and statistical inference at an introductory mathematical level Written in an engaging and entertaining manner, the revised and updated second edition of Probably Not continues to offer an informative guide to probability and prediction. The expanded second edition contains problem and solution sets. In addition, the book’s illustrative examples reveal how we are living in a statistical world, what we can expect, what we really know based upon the information at hand and explains when we only think we know something. The author introduces the principles of probability and explains probability distribution functions. The book covers combined and conditional probabilities and contains a new section on Bayes Theorem and Bayesian Statistics, which features some simple examples including the Presecutor’s Paradox, and Bayesian vs. Frequentist thinking about statistics. New to this edition is a chapter on Benford’s Law that explores measuring the compliance and financial fraud detection using Benford’s Law. This book: Contains relevant mathematics and examples that demonstrate how to use the concepts presented Features a new chapter on Benford’s Law that explains why we find Benford’s law upheld in so many, but not all, natural situations Presents updated Life insurance tables Contains updates on the Gantt Chart example that further develops the discussion of random events Offers a companion site featuring solutions to the problem sets within the book Written for mathematics and statistics students and professionals, the updated edition of Probably Not: Future Prediction Using Probability and Statistical Inference, Second Edition combines the mathematics of probability with real-world examples. LAWRENCE N. DWORSKY, PhD, is a retired Vice President of the Technical Staff and Director of Motorola’s Components Research Laboratory in Schaumburg, Illinois, USA. He is the author of Introduction to Numerical Electrostatics Using MATLAB from Wiley.

Time Series Prediction

Author : Andreas S. Weigend
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 042997227X
Total Pages : 665 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (299 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Prediction by : Andreas S. Weigend

Download or read book Time Series Prediction written by Andreas S. Weigend and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-05-04 with total page 665 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book is a summary of a time series forecasting competition that was held a number of years ago. It aims to provide a snapshot of the range of new techniques that are used to study time series, both as a reference for experts and as a guide for novices.

Philosophico-Methodological Analysis of Prediction and its Role in Economics

Author : Wenceslao J. Gonzalez
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319088858
Total Pages : 362 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Philosophico-Methodological Analysis of Prediction and its Role in Economics by : Wenceslao J. Gonzalez

Download or read book Philosophico-Methodological Analysis of Prediction and its Role in Economics written by Wenceslao J. Gonzalez and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-02-19 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book develops a philosophico-methodological analysis of prediction and its role in economics. Prediction plays a key role in economics in various ways. It can be seen as a basic science, as an applied science and in the application of this science. First, it is used by economic theory in order to test the available knowledge. In this regard, prediction has been presented as the scientific test for economics as a science. Second, prediction provides a content regarding the possible future that can be used for prescription in applied economics. Thus, it can be used as a guide for economic policy, i.e., as knowledge concerning the future to be employed for the resolution of specific problems. Third, prediction also has a role in the application of this science in the public arena. This is through the decision-making of the agents — individuals or organizations — in quite different settings, both in the realm of microeconomics and macroeconomics. Within this context, the research is organized in five parts, which discuss relevant aspects of the role of prediction in economics: I) The problem of prediction as a test for a science; II) The general orientation in methodology of science and the problem of prediction as a scientific test; III) The methodological framework of social sciences and economics: Incidence for prediction as a test; IV) Epistemology and methodology of economic prediction: Rationality and empirical approaches and V) Methodological aspects of economic prediction: From description to prescription. Thus, the book is of interest for philosophers and economists as well as policy-makers seeking to ascertain the roots of their performance. The style used lends itself to a wide audience.

Inference and Prediction in Large Dimensions

Author : Denis Bosq
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780470724026
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (24 download)

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Book Synopsis Inference and Prediction in Large Dimensions by : Denis Bosq

Download or read book Inference and Prediction in Large Dimensions written by Denis Bosq and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-03-11 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a predominantly theoretical coverage of statistical prediction, with some potential applications discussed, when data and/ or parameters belong to a large or infinite dimensional space. It develops the theory of statistical prediction, non-parametric estimation by adaptive projection – with applications to tests of fit and prediction, and theory of linear processes in function spaces with applications to prediction of continuous time processes. This work is in the Wiley-Dunod Series co-published between Dunod (www.dunod.com) and John Wiley and Sons, Ltd.

ROC Analysis for Classification and Prediction in Practice

Author : Christos Nakas
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1482233711
Total Pages : 234 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (822 download)

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Book Synopsis ROC Analysis for Classification and Prediction in Practice by : Christos Nakas

Download or read book ROC Analysis for Classification and Prediction in Practice written by Christos Nakas and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2023-05-15 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a unified and up-to-date introduction to ROC methodologies, covering both diagnosis (classification) and prediction. The emphasis is on the conceptual underpinning of ROC analysis and the practical implementation in diverse scientific fields. A plethora of examples accompany the methodologic discussion using standard statistical software such as R and STATA. The book arrives after two decades of intensive growth in both the methods and the applications of ROC analysis and presents a new synthesis. The authors provide a contemporary, integrated exposition of ROC methodology for both classification and prediction and include material on multiple-class ROC. This book avoids lengthy technical exposition and provides code and datasets in each chapter. Receiver Operating Characteristic Analysis for Classification and Prediction is intended for researchers and graduate students, but will also be useful for those that use ROC analysis in diverse disciplines such as diagnostic medicine, bioinformatics, medical physics, and perception psychology.