Complexity Theory And Uncertainties

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Simplifying Complexity: Life is Uncertain, Unfair and Unequal

Author : Bruce J. West
Publisher : Bentham Science Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1681082179
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Simplifying Complexity: Life is Uncertain, Unfair and Unequal by : Bruce J. West

Download or read book Simplifying Complexity: Life is Uncertain, Unfair and Unequal written by Bruce J. West and published by Bentham Science Publishers. This book was released on 2016-08-03 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In life, we often face unavoidable complexities in terms of our ability to understand or influence outcomes. Some questions which arise due to these complexities are: Why can’t the future be made certain? Why do the some people or events always end up at the center of controversy? Why do only a select few get ahead of their peers? Each question pertains to three central elements of complexities and these elements are: uncertainty, inequality and unfairness. Simplifying Complexity explains the scientific study of complex cognitive networks, as well as the methods scientists use to parse difficult problems into manageable pieces. Readers are introduced to scientific methodology and thought processes, followed by a discourse on perspectives on the three elements of complexity through concepts such as normal and non-normal statistics, scaling and complexity management. Simplifying Complexity combines basic cognitive science and scientific philosophy for both advanced students (in the fields of sociology, cognitive science, complex networks and change management) and for general readers looking for a more scientific guide to understanding and managing the nature of change in a complex world.

Complexity Theory and Uncertainties

Author : Wei-Bin Zhang
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031423941
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (314 download)

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Book Synopsis Complexity Theory and Uncertainties by : Wei-Bin Zhang

Download or read book Complexity Theory and Uncertainties written by Wei-Bin Zhang and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-11-13 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an overview of recent developments of complexity theory within the realm of social sciences. At a time when global and local social, political, cultural, and economic affairs are engulfed in chaos, this book sheds light on the mechanisms of uncertainties, offering new visions and frameworks for analyzing the nonlinear interactions between individuals, societies, and the environment. From exploring the foundational elements that shape our understanding of humanity, such as worldviews, justice, and trust, to applying complexity theory in the realms of politics, economics, management, strategies, and wars, this monograph provides a comprehensive examination of its far-reaching implications. By examining historical bifurcations and structural changes in American history and China's modern development, it emphasizes how complexity theory can serve as a bridge for intellectual and cultural communication between Western (Newtonian) and East Asian (yin-yang-based) civilizations. Moreover, the book elucidates that nonlinear phenomena, including bifurcations, catastrophes, structural changes, emergence of structures, and chaos, are integral aspects of human evolution. It unveils the positive potential within chaos, demonstrating that a comprehensive understanding of catastrophic mechanisms enables humanity to prevent global disasters by leading systems to chaotic attractors without destructive consequences. Through an exploration of the intricate interdependencies among individuals, societies, and the environment, this book offers a unique and comprehensive introduction to the application of complexity theory to the realm of humanity.

A Complexity Theory for Public Policy

Author : Göktuğ Morçöl
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136283463
Total Pages : 314 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (362 download)

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Book Synopsis A Complexity Theory for Public Policy by : Göktuğ Morçöl

Download or read book A Complexity Theory for Public Policy written by Göktuğ Morçöl and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-05-02 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Complexity theory has become popular in the natural and social sciences over the last few decades as a result of the advancements in our understanding of the complexities in natural and social phenomena. Concepts and methods of complexity theory have been applied by scholars of public affairs in North America and Europe, but a comprehensive framework for these applications is lacking. A Complexity Theory for Public Policy proposes a conceptual synthesis and sets a foundation for future developments and applications. In this book, Göktuğ Morçöl convincingly makes the case that complexity theory can help us understand better the self-organizational, emergent, and co-evolutionary characteristics of complex policy systems. In doing so, he discuss the epistemological implications of complexity theory and the methods complexity researchers use, and those methods they could use. As the complexity studies spread more around the world in the coming decades, the contents of this book will become appealing to larger audiences, particularly to scholars and graduate students in public affairs. The unique combination of synthesis and explanation of concepts and methods found in this book will serve as reference frames for future works.

Uncertainty and Surprise in Complex Systems

Author : Reuben R. McDaniel
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9783540237730
Total Pages : 220 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (377 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty and Surprise in Complex Systems by : Reuben R. McDaniel

Download or read book Uncertainty and Surprise in Complex Systems written by Reuben R. McDaniel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-03-11 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Complexity science has been a source of new insight in physical and social systems and has demonstrated that unpredictability and surprise are fundamental aspects of the world around us. This book is the outcome of a discussion meeting of leading scholars and critical thinkers with expertise in complex systems sciences and leaders from a variety of organizations, sponsored by the Prigogine Center at The University of Texas at Austin and the Plexus Institute, to explore strategies for understanding uncertainty and surprise. Besides contributions to the conference, it includes a key digest by the editors as well as a commentary by the late nobel laureate Ilya Prigogine, "Surprises in half of a century". The book is intended for researchers and scientists in complexity science, as well as for a broad interdisciplinary audience of both practitioners and scholars. It will well serve those interested in the research issues and in the application of complexity science to physical and social systems.

Risk, Uncertainty and Profit

Author : Frank H. Knight
Publisher : Cosimo, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 1602060053
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk, Uncertainty and Profit by : Frank H. Knight

Download or read book Risk, Uncertainty and Profit written by Frank H. Knight and published by Cosimo, Inc.. This book was released on 2006-11-01 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A timeless classic of economic theory that remains fascinating and pertinent today, this is Frank Knight's famous explanation of why perfect competition cannot eliminate profits, the important differences between "risk" and "uncertainty," and the vital role of the entrepreneur in profitmaking. Based on Knight's PhD dissertation, this 1921 work, balancing theory with fact to come to stunning insights, is a distinct pleasure to read. FRANK H. KNIGHT (1885-1972) is considered by some the greatest American scholar of economics of the 20th century. An economics professor at the University of Chicago from 1927 until 1955, he was one of the founders of the Chicago school of economics, which influenced Milton Friedman and George Stigler.

Diversity and Complexity

Author : Scott E. Page
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400835143
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Diversity and Complexity by : Scott E. Page

Download or read book Diversity and Complexity written by Scott E. Page and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2010-11-08 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an introduction to the role of diversity in complex adaptive systems. A complex system--such as an economy or a tropical ecosystem--consists of interacting adaptive entities that produce dynamic patterns and structures. Diversity plays a different role in a complex system than it does in an equilibrium system, where it often merely produces variation around the mean for performance measures. In complex adaptive systems, diversity makes fundamental contributions to system performance. Scott Page gives a concise primer on how diversity happens, how it is maintained, and how it affects complex systems. He explains how diversity underpins system level robustness, allowing for multiple responses to external shocks and internal adaptations; how it provides the seeds for large events by creating outliers that fuel tipping points; and how it drives novelty and innovation. Page looks at the different kinds of diversity--variations within and across types, and distinct community compositions and interaction structures--and covers the evolution of diversity within complex systems and the factors that determine the amount of maintained diversity within a system. Provides a concise and accessible introduction Shows how diversity underpins robustness and fuels tipping points Covers all types of diversity The essential primer on diversity in complex adaptive systems

Textbook of Patient Safety and Clinical Risk Management

Author : Liam Donaldson
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030594033
Total Pages : 496 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Textbook of Patient Safety and Clinical Risk Management by : Liam Donaldson

Download or read book Textbook of Patient Safety and Clinical Risk Management written by Liam Donaldson and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-12-14 with total page 496 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Implementing safety practices in healthcare saves lives and improves the quality of care: it is therefore vital to apply good clinical practices, such as the WHO surgical checklist, to adopt the most appropriate measures for the prevention of assistance-related risks, and to identify the potential ones using tools such as reporting & learning systems. The culture of safety in the care environment and of human factors influencing it should be developed from the beginning of medical studies and in the first years of professional practice, in order to have the maximum impact on clinicians' and nurses' behavior. Medical errors tend to vary with the level of proficiency and experience, and this must be taken into account in adverse events prevention. Human factors assume a decisive importance in resilient organizations, and an understanding of risk control and containment is fundamental for all medical and surgical specialties. This open access book offers recommendations and examples of how to improve patient safety by changing practices, introducing organizational and technological innovations, and creating effective, patient-centered, timely, efficient, and equitable care systems, in order to spread the quality and patient safety culture among the new generation of healthcare professionals, and is intended for residents and young professionals in different clinical specialties.

Complexity Theory for a Sustainable Future

Author : Jon Norberg
Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780231508865
Total Pages : 340 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis Complexity Theory for a Sustainable Future by : Jon Norberg

Download or read book Complexity Theory for a Sustainable Future written by Jon Norberg and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2008-07-11 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Complexity theory illuminates the many interactions between natural and social systems, providing a better understanding of the general principles that can help solve some of today's most pressing environmental issues. Complexity theory was developed from key ideas in economics, physics, biology, and the social sciences and contributes to important new concepts for approaching issues of environmental sustainability such as resilience, scaling, and networks. Complexity Theory for a Sustainable Future is a hands-on treatment of this exciting new body of work and its applications, bridging the gap between theoretical and applied perspectives in the management of complex adaptive systems. Focusing primarily on natural resource management and community-based conservation, the book features contributions by leading scholars in the field, many of whom are among the leaders of the Resilience Alliance. Theoreticians will find a valuable synthesis of new ideas on resilience, sustainability, asymmetries, information processing, scaling, and networks. Managers and policymakers will benefit from the application of these ideas to practical approaches and empirical studies linked to social-ecological systems. Chapters present new twists on such existing approaches as scenario planning, scaling analyses, and adaptive management, and the book concludes with recommendations on how to manage natural resources, how to involve stakeholders in the dynamics of a system, and how to explain the difficult topic of scale. A vital reference for an emerging discipline, this volume provides a clearer understanding of the conditions required for systems self-organization, since the capacity of any system to self-organize is crucial for its sustainability over time.

Chaos and Complexity Theory in World Politics

Author : Erçetin, ?efika ?ule
Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1466660716
Total Pages : 374 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (666 download)

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Book Synopsis Chaos and Complexity Theory in World Politics by : Erçetin, ?efika ?ule

Download or read book Chaos and Complexity Theory in World Politics written by Erçetin, ?efika ?ule and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2014-05-31 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As an important research field in mathematics, chaos theory impacts many different disciplines such as physics, engineering, economics, and biology. Most recently, however, chaos theory has also been applied to the social sciences, helping to explain the complex and interdependent nature of international politics. Chaos and Complexity Theory in World Politics aims to bring attention to new developments in global politics within the last few years. Demonstrating various issues in international relations and the application of chaos theory within this field, this publication serves as an essential reference for researchers and professionals, as well as useful educational material for academicians and students.

A Crude Look at the Whole

Author : John H. Miller
Publisher : Hachette UK
ISBN 13 : 0465073867
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (65 download)

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Book Synopsis A Crude Look at the Whole by : John H. Miller

Download or read book A Crude Look at the Whole written by John H. Miller and published by Hachette UK. This book was released on 2016-01-05 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A top expert explains why a social and economic understanding of complex systems will help society to anticipate and confront our biggest challenges Imagine trying to understand a stained glass window by breaking it into pieces and examining it one shard at a time. While you could probably learn a lot about each piece, you would have no idea about what the entire picture looks like. This is reductionism -- the idea that to understand the world we only need to study its pieces -- and it is how most social scientists approach their work. In A Crude Look at the Whole, social scientist and economist John H. Miller shows why we need to start looking at whole pictures. For one thing, whether we are talking about stock markets, computer networks, or biological organisms, individual parts only make sense when we remember that they are part of larger wholes. And perhaps more importantly, those wholes can take on behaviors that are strikingly different from that of their pieces. Miller, a leading expert in the computational study of complex adaptive systems, reveals astounding global patterns linking the organization of otherwise radically different structures: It might seem crude, but a beehive's temperature control system can help predict market fluctuations and a mammal's heartbeat can help us understand the "heartbeat" of a city and adapt urban planning accordingly. From enduring racial segregation to sudden stock market disasters, once we start drawing links between complex systems, we can start solving what otherwise might be totally intractable problems. Thanks to this revolutionary perspective, we can finally transcend the limits of reductionism and discover crucial new ideas. Scientifically founded and beautifully written, A Crude Look at the Whole is a powerful exploration of the challenges that we face as a society. As it reveals, taking the crude look might be the only way to truly see.

Applying Complexity Theory

Author : Aaron Pycroft
Publisher : Policy Press
ISBN 13 : 144731140X
Total Pages : 327 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (473 download)

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Book Synopsis Applying Complexity Theory by : Aaron Pycroft

Download or read book Applying Complexity Theory written by Aaron Pycroft and published by Policy Press. This book was released on 2014 with total page 327 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Complexity theorywhich examines the dynamic interactions of parts in a systemhas increasingly been used to study human organizations. This is the first book to explore its application to professions in criminal justice and social work. It brings together experts in this emerging theoretical field from a range of different perspectives, providing detailed but accessible discussions of the key issues at hand, including the nature of complex adaptive systems, their application to service delivery, and the efficacy and ethics of criminal justice and social work interventions. Together the contributors demonstrate the usefulness of complexity theory in addressing some of our most significant and intractable social problems.

Uncertainty and Information

Author : George J. Klir
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0471755567
Total Pages : 499 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (717 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty and Information by : George J. Klir

Download or read book Uncertainty and Information written by George J. Klir and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-11-22 with total page 499 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Deal with information and uncertainty properly and efficientlyusing tools emerging from generalized information theory Uncertainty and Information: Foundations of Generalized InformationTheory contains comprehensive and up-to-date coverage of resultsthat have emerged from a research program begun by the author inthe early 1990s under the name "generalized information theory"(GIT). This ongoing research program aims to develop a formalmathematical treatment of the interrelated concepts of uncertaintyand information in all their varieties. In GIT, as in classicalinformation theory, uncertainty (predictive, retrodictive,diagnostic, prescriptive, and the like) is viewed as amanifestation of information deficiency, while information isviewed as anything capable of reducing the uncertainty. A broadconceptual framework for GIT is obtained by expanding theformalized language of classical set theory to include moreexpressive formalized languages based on fuzzy sets of varioustypes, and by expanding classical theory of additive measures toinclude more expressive non-additive measures of varioustypes. This landmark book examines each of several theories for dealingwith particular types of uncertainty at the following fourlevels: * Mathematical formalization of the conceived type ofuncertainty * Calculus for manipulating this particular type ofuncertainty * Justifiable ways of measuring the amount of uncertainty in anysituation formalizable in the theory * Methodological aspects of the theory With extensive use of examples and illustrations to clarify complexmaterial and demonstrate practical applications, generoushistorical and bibliographical notes, end-of-chapter exercises totest readers' newfound knowledge, glossaries, and an Instructor'sManual, this is an excellent graduate-level textbook, as well as anoutstanding reference for researchers and practitioners who dealwith the various problems involving uncertainty and information. AnInstructor's Manual presenting detailed solutions to all theproblems in the book is available from the Wiley editorialdepartment.

Computational Complexity

Author : Sanjeev Arora
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521424267
Total Pages : 609 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (214 download)

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Book Synopsis Computational Complexity by : Sanjeev Arora

Download or read book Computational Complexity written by Sanjeev Arora and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-04-20 with total page 609 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: New and classical results in computational complexity, including interactive proofs, PCP, derandomization, and quantum computation. Ideal for graduate students.

On Complexity

Author : Edgar Morin
Publisher : Hampton Press (NJ)
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 188 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis On Complexity by : Edgar Morin

Download or read book On Complexity written by Edgar Morin and published by Hampton Press (NJ). This book was released on 2008 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This volume contains some key essays by French thinker Edgar Morin on the subject of complexity, and specifically on what Morin calls complex thought."--Pub. desc.

Chaos Theory in Politics

Author : Santo Banerjee
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9401786917
Total Pages : 201 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Chaos Theory in Politics by : Santo Banerjee

Download or read book Chaos Theory in Politics written by Santo Banerjee and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-05-02 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present work investigates global politics and political implications of social science and management with the aid of the latest complexity and chaos theories. Until now, deterministic chaos and nonlinear analysis have not been a focal point in this area of research. This book remedies this deficiency by utilizing these methods in the analysis of the subject matter. The authors provide the reader a detailed analysis on politics and its associated applications with the help of chaos theory, in a single edited volume.

Control of Complex Systems

Author : Kyriakos Vamvoudakis
Publisher : Butterworth-Heinemann
ISBN 13 : 0128054379
Total Pages : 762 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (28 download)

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Book Synopsis Control of Complex Systems by : Kyriakos Vamvoudakis

Download or read book Control of Complex Systems written by Kyriakos Vamvoudakis and published by Butterworth-Heinemann. This book was released on 2016-07-27 with total page 762 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the era of cyber-physical systems, the area of control of complex systems has grown to be one of the hardest in terms of algorithmic design techniques and analytical tools. The 23 chapters, written by international specialists in the field, cover a variety of interests within the broader field of learning, adaptation, optimization and networked control. The editors have grouped these into the following 5 sections: “Introduction and Background on Control Theory”, “Adaptive Control and Neuroscience”, “Adaptive Learning Algorithms”, “Cyber-Physical Systems and Cooperative Control”, “Applications”. The diversity of the research presented gives the reader a unique opportunity to explore a comprehensive overview of a field of great interest to control and system theorists. This book is intended for researchers and control engineers in machine learning, adaptive control, optimization and automatic control systems, including Electrical Engineers, Computer Science Engineers, Mechanical Engineers, Aerospace/Automotive Engineers, and Industrial Engineers. It could be used as a text or reference for advanced courses in complex control systems. • Collection of chapters from several well-known professors and researchers that will showcase their recent work • Presents different state-of-the-art control approaches and theory for complex systems • Gives algorithms that take into consideration the presence of modelling uncertainties, the unavailability of the model, the possibility of cooperative/non-cooperative goals and malicious attacks compromising the security of networked teams • Real system examples and figures throughout, make ideas concrete Includes chapters from several well-known professors and researchers that showcases their recent work Presents different state-of-the-art control approaches and theory for complex systems Explores the presence of modelling uncertainties, the unavailability of the model, the possibility of cooperative/non-cooperative goals, and malicious attacks compromising the security of networked teams Serves as a helpful reference for researchers and control engineers working with machine learning, adaptive control, and automatic control systems

Complexity

Author : Nam P. Suh
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199799075
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (997 download)

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Book Synopsis Complexity by : Nam P. Suh

Download or read book Complexity written by Nam P. Suh and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2005-02-24 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nam P. Suh focussed his axiomatic design theories on methods to understand and deal with complexity. Suh is a well-respected designer and researcher in the fields of manufacturing and composite materials. He is best known for his systems that aim to speed up and simplify the process of design for manufacturing. The 'axioms' in axiomatic design refer to a process to help engineers reduce design specifications down to their simplest components, so that the engineers can produce the simplest possible solution to a problem. Complexity, besides being a key area of burgeoning research in disciplines interested in complex systems and chaos theory (like computer science and physics), is a complicating factor in engineering design that many engineers find difficult to overcome. Suh's multidisciplinary exploration of complex systems is meant to eliminate much of the confusion and allow engineers to accommodate complexity within simple, elegant design solutions.