Complex Decision Making

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The Little Black Book of Decision Making

Author : Michael Nicholas
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0857087029
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis The Little Black Book of Decision Making by : Michael Nicholas

Download or read book The Little Black Book of Decision Making written by Michael Nicholas and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-08-28 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The secret to making the right call in an increasingly complex world The decisions we make every day – frequently automatic and incredibly fast – impact every area of our lives. The Little Black Book of Decision Making delves into the cognition behind decision making, guiding you through the different ways your mind approaches various scenarios. You'll learn to notice that decision making is a matter of balance between your rational side and your intuition – the trick is in honing your intuition to steer you down the right path. Pure reasoning cannot provide all of the answers, and relying solely on intuition could prove catastrophic in business. There must be a balance between the two, and the proportions may change with each situation. This book helps you quickly pinpoint the right mix of logic and 'gut feeling,' and use it to find the best possible solution. Balance logic and intuition in your decision making approach Avoid traps set by the mind's inherent bias Understand the cognitive process of decision making Sharpen your professional judgement in any situation Decision making is the primary difference between organisations that lead and those that struggle. The Little Black Book of Decision Making helps you uncover errors in thinking before they become errors in judgement.

Complex Decision Making

Author : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3540736654
Total Pages : 337 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Complex Decision Making by : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah

Download or read book Complex Decision Making written by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah and published by Springer. This book was released on 2007-09-22 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today's ever more complex world creates challenges for decision makers. This volume reviews the principles underlying complex decision making, the handling of uncertainties in dynamic environments, and the various modeling approaches. Beginning with a discussion of the underlying concepts, theories and empirical evidence, the book gives you a range of practical tools and techniques for decision making in complex environments and systems.

Successful Decision-making

Author : Rudolf Grünig
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540275037
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Successful Decision-making by : Rudolf Grünig

Download or read book Successful Decision-making written by Rudolf Grünig and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-03-14 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unlike other publications on decision making, the book focuses on discovering the problem, analyzing it and on developing and assessing solution options. One whole chapter describes a case study. It illustrates how the proposed decision making procedure is used in practice. Executives get an approach to systematically and successfully solving complex problems.

Solving Complex Decision Problems

Author : Rudolf Grünig
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3662538148
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Solving Complex Decision Problems by : Rudolf Grünig

Download or read book Solving Complex Decision Problems written by Rudolf Grünig and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-06-13 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Making decisions is certainly the most important task managers are faced with, and it is often a very difficult one. This book offers a procedure for solving complex decision problems step by step. Unlike other texts, the book focuses on problem analysis, on developing potential solutions, and on establishing a decision-making matrix. In this fourth edition of the book, published under a new title, the authors present simplified, actionable guidelines that can be easily applied to the individual steps in the heuristic process. The book is intended for decision-makers at companies, non-profit organizations and in public administration whose work involves complex problems. It will also benefit students and participants in executive courses.

Problem Solved

Author : Cheryl Strauss Einhorn
Publisher : Red Wheel/Weiser
ISBN 13 : 1632659174
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (326 download)

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Book Synopsis Problem Solved by : Cheryl Strauss Einhorn

Download or read book Problem Solved written by Cheryl Strauss Einhorn and published by Red Wheel/Weiser. This book was released on 2017-04-17 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: *International Book Awards Finalist It can be messy and overwhelming to figure out how to solve thorny problems. Where do you start? How do you know where to look for information and evaluate its quality and bias? How can you feel confident that you are making a careful and thoroughly researched decision? Whether you are deciding between colleges, navigating a career decision, helping your aging parents find the right housing, or expanding your business, Problem Solved will show you how to use the powerful AREA Method to make complex personal and professional decisions with confidence and conviction. Cheryl’s AREA Method coaches you to make smarter, better decisions because it: Recognizes that research is a fundamental part of decision making and breaks down the process into a series of easy-to-follow steps. Solves for problematic mental shortcuts such as bias, judgment, and assumptions. Builds in strategic stops that help you chunk your learning, stay focused, and make your work work for you. Provides a flexible and repeatable process that acts as a feedback loop. Life is filled with uncertainty, but that uncertainty needn’t hobble us. Problem Solved offers a proactive way to work with, and work through, ambiguity to make thoughtful, confident decisions despite our uncertain and volatile world.

Complex Decision Making

Author : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Publisher : Springer Verlag
ISBN 13 : 9783540736646
Total Pages : 337 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (366 download)

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Book Synopsis Complex Decision Making by : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah

Download or read book Complex Decision Making written by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah and published by Springer Verlag. This book was released on 2008 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today's ever more complex world creates challenges for decision makers. This volume reviews the principles underlying complex decision making, the handling of uncertainties in dynamic environments, and the various modeling approaches. Beginning with a discussion of the underlying concepts, theories and empirical evidence, the book gives you a range of practical tools and techniques for decision making in complex environments and systems.

Smart Economic Decision-Making in a Complex World

Author : Morris Altman
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128131780
Total Pages : 302 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Smart Economic Decision-Making in a Complex World by : Morris Altman

Download or read book Smart Economic Decision-Making in a Complex World written by Morris Altman and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2020-05-22 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Smart Economic Decision-Making in a Complex World is a fresh and reality-based perspective on decision-making with significant implications for analysis, self-understanding and policy. The book examines the conditions under which smart people generate outcomes that improve their place of work, their household and society. Within this work, the curious reader will find interesting open questions on many fascinating areas of current economic debate, including, the role of realistic assumptions robust model building, understanding how and when non-neoclassical behavior is best practice, why the assumption of smart decision-makers is best to understand and explain our economies and societies, and under what conditions individuals can make the best possible choices for themselves and society at large. Additional sections cover when and how efficiency is achieved, why inefficiencies can persist, when and how consumer welfare is maximized, and what benchmarks should be used to determine efficiency and rationality. Makes the case for ‘smart and rational’ decision-making as a context-dependent rational process that is framed by socio-cultural environment and conditioned by institutional capacities Explains how incorporation of the ‘smart’ decision-maker concept into economic thought improves our understanding of how, why and when people generate certain outcomes Explores how economic efficiency can be achieved, individual preferences realized, and social welfare maximized through the use of ‘smart and rational’ approaches

Complex Political Decision-Making

Author : Peter Bursens
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1315453517
Total Pages : 239 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (154 download)

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Book Synopsis Complex Political Decision-Making by : Peter Bursens

Download or read book Complex Political Decision-Making written by Peter Bursens and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-11-18 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Political and societal elites are increasingly confronted with complex environments in which they need to take collective decisions. Decision-makers are faced with policy issues situated at different intertwined levels which need to be negotiated with different actors. The negotiation and decision-making processes raise issues of legitimacy, leadership and communication. Modern societal systems are not only affected by horizontal specialization and diversity but also by a vertical expansion of governance layers. The national level is no longer the sole, or even the most important, level of governance. In these complex environments, cognitive abilities and personalities of political and societal elites have gained importance. This book addresses the impact of an increasingly complex environment on the legitimacy and transparency of polities, on the role of leadership and political personality and on motivated images, rhetoric and communication. Examining how these issues interact at the macro and theoretical level, the types of problems decision-makers face and how they communicate ideas with their audiences, it brings together leading experts in political psychology, law and political science to bridge the gap in the way these disciplines explore the issue of complex decision-making.

Complex Operational Decision Making in Networked Systems of Humans and Machines

Author : National Research Council
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780309307703
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (77 download)

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Book Synopsis Complex Operational Decision Making in Networked Systems of Humans and Machines by : National Research Council

Download or read book Complex Operational Decision Making in Networked Systems of Humans and Machines written by National Research Council and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Complex Operational Decision Making in Networked Systems of Humans and Machines explores the possibilities for better decision making through collaboration between humans and computers. This study is situated around the essence of decision making; the vast amounts of data that have become available as the basis for complex decision making; and the nature of collaboration that is possible between humans and machines in the process of making complex decisions. This report discusses the research goals and relevant milestones in several enabling subfields as they relate to enhanced human-machine collaboration for complex decision making; the relevant impediments and systems-integration challenges that are preventing technological breakthroughs in these subfields; and a sense of the research that is occurring in university, government and industrial labs outside of the United States, and the implications of this research for U.S. policy. The development of human-machine collaboration for complex decision making is still in its infancy relative to where cross-disciplinary research could take it over the next generation."--Publisher's description.

Decision Making for Leaders

Author : Thomas L. Saaty
Publisher : RWS Publications
ISBN 13 : 1888603135
Total Pages : 301 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (886 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making for Leaders by : Thomas L. Saaty

Download or read book Decision Making for Leaders written by Thomas L. Saaty and published by RWS Publications. This book was released on with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is about how to make decisions using the Analytic Hierarchy Process. The basics of the theory are described in a clear, non-technical manner with many examples. It is suitable for business leaders and also is probably the best book for introducing the AHP to students at the college and graduate level. In this fifth printing of the book the reader will find a new appendix containing real-life applications that validate the use of the fundamental scale of the AHP.

Investing in Financial Research

Author : Cheryl Strauss Einhorn
Publisher : Cornell Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1501730959
Total Pages : 249 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Investing in Financial Research by : Cheryl Strauss Einhorn

Download or read book Investing in Financial Research written by Cheryl Strauss Einhorn and published by Cornell Publishing. This book was released on 2019-03-15 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finalist in the Business/Personal Finance category of the 2019 International Book Awards Every day, people around the world make financial decisions. They choose to invest in a stock, sell their holdings in a mutual fund or buy a condominium. These decisions are complex and financially tricky—even for financial professionals. But the literature available on financial research is dated and narrowly focused without any real practical application. Until now there's been a gap in the literature: a book that shows you how to conduct a step by step comprehensive financial investigation that ends in a decision. This book gives you that how. Investing in Financial Research is a guidebook for conducting financial investigations and lays out Cheryl Strauss Einhorn's AREA Method—a research and decision-making system that uniquely controls for bias, focuses on the incentives of others and expands knowledge while improving judgement—and applies it to investigating financial situations. AREA is applicable to all sorts of financial sleuthing, whether for investment analysis or investigative journalism. It allows you to be the expert in your own life. The AREA Method provides you with: *Defined tasks that guide and focus your research on your vision of success; *A structure that isolates your sources, giving you insight into their perspectives, biases and incentives; *Investigative resources, tips and techniques to upgrade your research and analysis beyond document-based sources; *Exercises to foster creativity and originality in your thinking; *A sequence and framework that brings your disparate pieces of research together to build your confidence and conviction about your financial decision.

Process Management

Author : Hans de Bruijn
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642139418
Total Pages : 171 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (421 download)

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Book Synopsis Process Management by : Hans de Bruijn

Download or read book Process Management written by Hans de Bruijn and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-08-13 with total page 171 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: • End: pro?t and loss account. As a result, there will be a stage at which the parties have developed relations and prospects of gain, while there are still a number of problems that are dif?cult to solve and that fail to evoke consensus. Each party will then draw up a pro?t and loss account. On the positive side of the balance are the relations developed and the gains collected, on the negative side there are the losses and the unsolved problems. For particular parties, who have no interest in the problem, the latter side is uninteresting; for others, who have an interest in a particular solution of this problem, it represents a form of loss. • Pro?t and loss balance positive for a critical mass: speed. The speed of the process will increase if the pro?t and loss account shows a positive balance for a critical mass of parties. They wish to collect their gains and therefore to make ?nal decisions. At this point there will be an important psychological mec- nism: parties tend to anticipate on collecting their gains, which increases their urge to speed up the process. It is clear from the above, however, that the end of a process is dif?cult to predict.

Decision Modes in Complex Task Environments

Author : Norbert Steigenberger
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 135164985X
Total Pages : 314 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (516 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Modes in Complex Task Environments by : Norbert Steigenberger

Download or read book Decision Modes in Complex Task Environments written by Norbert Steigenberger and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-05-25 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite intense research on decision-making in action, we still know little about when decision-makers rely on deliberate vs. intuitive decision-making in decision situations under complexity and uncertainty. Building on default-interventionist dual-processing theory, this book studies decision-making modes (deliberate vs. intuitive) in complex task environments contingent on perceived complexity, experience, and decision style preference. We find that relatively inexperienced decision-makers respond to increases in subjective complexity with an increase in deliberation and tend to follow their decision style preference. Experienced decision-makers are less guided by their decision preference and respond to increases in subjective complexity only minimally. This book contributes to a developing stream of research linking decision-making with intra-personal and environmental properties and fosters our understanding of the conditions under which decision-makers rely on intuitive vs. deliberate decision modes. In doing so, we go one step further towards a comprehensive theory of decision-making in action.

Uncertainty in Policy Making

Author : Michael Heazle
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136530320
Total Pages : 205 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (365 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Policy Making by : Michael Heazle

Download or read book Uncertainty in Policy Making written by Michael Heazle and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-08-21 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty in Policy Making explores how uncertainty is interpreted and used by policy makers, experts and politicians. It argues that conventional notions of rational, evidence-based policy making - hailed by governments and organisations across the world as the only way to make good policy - is an impossible aim in highly complex and uncertain environments; the blind pursuit of such a 'rational' goal is in fact irrational in a world of competing values and interests. The book centres around two high-profile and important case studies: the Iraq war and climate change policy in the US, UK and Australia. Based on three years' research, including interviews with experts such as Hans Blix, Paul Pillar, and Brian Jones, these two case studies show that the treatment of uncertainty issues in specialist advice is largely determined by how well the advice fits with or contradicts the policy goals and orientation of the policy elite. Instead of allowing the debates to be side-tracked by arguments over whose science or expert advice is 'more right', we must accept that uncertainty in complex issues is unavoidable and recognise the values and interests that lie at the heart of the issues. The book offers a 'hedging' approach which will enable policy makers to manage rather than eliminate uncertainty.

Solving Complex Problems

Author : Alexander de Haan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789462365049
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (65 download)

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Book Synopsis Solving Complex Problems by : Alexander de Haan

Download or read book Solving Complex Problems written by Alexander de Haan and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We live in an ever-modifying world, where people with different interests and goals have to deal with a constantly changing future. Problem solving is a daily experience for everyone. But, especially when problems become highly complex, how does one achieve the best solution to a problem? How are the different insights and interests of those involved included in the problem solving? How is a desired future outcome reached? People are best motivated to act upon complex problems when the essence of the problem is captured in a simple way. This book presents new and practical techniques to do so. Applying these techniques will help the reader to understand and oversee a problem and, eventually, to make decisions and act in situations in which it is not at all obvious what to do. The techniques in this second edition of Solving Complex Problems cover rational problem analysis, creative idea generation, dealing with uncertainty, and comparing different possible solutions. [Subject: Public Administration, Business Management, Sales and Marketing]

Multi-stakeholder Decision Making For Complex Problems: A Systems Thinking Approach With Cases

Author : Kambiz Maani
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814619752
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (146 download)

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Book Synopsis Multi-stakeholder Decision Making For Complex Problems: A Systems Thinking Approach With Cases by : Kambiz Maani

Download or read book Multi-stakeholder Decision Making For Complex Problems: A Systems Thinking Approach With Cases written by Kambiz Maani and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2016-11-28 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the complex world of today, important policy and business decisions are still made with a 17th Century reductionist mindset and approach. Yet, complex challenges such as climate change, poverty, public health, security, energy futures, and sustainability transcend any single science, discipline or agency. Rather, they require integration of social, economic, cultural, political, and environmental concerns to achieve acceptable and sustainable outcomes. This entails synthesis of diverse knowledge and perspectives in a transparent and unifying decision-making process, engaging stakeholders with competing interests, perspectives, and agendas under uncertain and often adversarial conditions.Multi-Stakeholder Decision Making for Complex Problems — A Systems Thinking Approach with Cases brings together a unique self-contained volume to address this challenge. The book introduces the systems approach in non-technical language for multi-issue, multi-stakeholder decision making supplemented by numerous case studies including business, economics, healthcare, agriculture, energy, sustainability, policy, and planning. The book provides a fresh and timely approach with practical tools for dealing with complex challenges facing evolving global business and society today.

Decision Making in Complex Environments

Author : Jan Noyes
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1317153944
Total Pages : 458 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (171 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making in Complex Environments by : Jan Noyes

Download or read book Decision Making in Complex Environments written by Jan Noyes and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-09-18 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many complex systems in civil and military operations are highly automated with the intention of supporting human performance in difficult cognitive tasks. The complex systems can involve teams or individuals working on real-time supervisory control, command or information management tasks where a number of constraints must be satisfied. Decision Making in Complex Environments addresses the role of the human, the technology and the processes in complex socio-technical and technological systems. The aim of the book is to apply a multi-disciplinary perspective to the examination of the human factors in complex decision making. It contains more than 30 contributions on key subjects such as military human factors, team decision making issues, situation awareness, and technology support. In addition to the major application area of military human factors there are chapters on business, medical, governmental and aeronautical decision making. The book provides a unique blend of expertise from psychology, human factors, industry, commercial environments, the military, computer science, organizational psychology and training that should be valuable to academics and practitioners alike.