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Author : Benjamin I. Page
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780226644714
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (447 download)
Download or read book Choices and Echoes in Presidential Elections written by Benjamin I. Page and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Robert S. Erikson
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226922162
Total Pages : 221 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (269 download)
Download or read book The Timeline of Presidential Elections written by Robert S. Erikson and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2012-08-24 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In presidential elections, do voters cast their ballots for the candidates whose platform and positions best match their own? Or is the race for president of the United States come down largely to who runs the most effective campaign? It’s a question those who study elections have been considering for years with no clear resolution. In The Timeline of Presidential Elections, Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien reveal for the first time how both factors come into play. Erikson and Wlezien have amassed data from close to two thousand national polls covering every presidential election from 1952 to 2008, allowing them to see how outcomes take shape over the course of an election year. Polls from the beginning of the year, they show, have virtually no predictive power. By mid-April, when the candidates have been identified and matched in pollsters’ trial heats, preferences have come into focus—and predicted the winner in eleven of the fifteen elections. But a similar process of forming favorites takes place in the last six months, during which voters’ intentions change only gradually, with particular events—including presidential debates—rarely resulting in dramatic change. Ultimately, Erikson and Wlezien show that it is through campaigns that voters are made aware of—or not made aware of—fundamental factors like candidates’ policy positions that determine which ticket will get their votes. In other words, fundamentals matter, but only because of campaigns. Timely and compelling, this book will force us to rethink our assumptions about presidential elections.
Author : Samuel L. Popkin
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022677287X
Total Pages : 335 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (267 download)
Download or read book The Reasoning Voter written by Samuel L. Popkin and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2020-05-15 with total page 335 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Reasoning Voter is an insider's look at campaigns, candidates, media, and voters that convincingly argues that voters make informed logical choices. Samuel L. Popkin analyzes three primary campaigns—Carter in 1976; Bush and Reagan in 1980; and Hart, Mondale, and Jackson in 1984—to arrive at a new model of the way voters sort through commercials and sound bites to choose a candidate. Drawing on insights from economics and cognitive psychology, he convincingly demonstrates that, as trivial as campaigns often appear, they provide voters with a surprising amount of information on a candidate's views and skills. For all their shortcomings, campaigns do matter. "Professor Popkin has brought V.O. Key's contention that voters are rational into the media age. This book is a useful rebuttal to the cynical view that politics is a wholly contrived business, in which unscrupulous operatives manipulate the emotions of distrustful but gullible citizens. The reality, he shows, is both more complex and more hopeful than that."—David S. Broder, The Washington Post
Author : James W. Ceaser
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780691021881
Total Pages : 392 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (218 download)
Download or read book Presidential Selection written by James W. Ceaser and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 1979-06-21 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examining the development of the process of presidential selection from the founding of the republic to the present day, James Ceaser contends that many of the major purposes of the selection system as it was formerly understood have been ignored by current reformers and modern scholars. In an attempt to reverse this trend, Professor Ceaser discusses the theories of selection offered by leading American statesmen from the Founders and Thomas Jefferson to Martin Van Buren and Woodrow Wilson. From these theories he identifies a set of criteria for a sound selection system that he then uses to analyze and evaluate the recent changes in the selection process. Five normative functions of a presidential selection system comprise the author's criteria: it should minimize the harmful effects of ambitious contenders for the office, promote responsible executive leadership and power, help secure an able president, ensure a legitimate accession, and provide for an appropriate amount of choice and change. Professor Ceaser finds that the present system is characterized by weak parties and candidate-centered campaigns that lead to the problems of "image" politics and demagogic leadership appeals. He therefore argues for a more republican selection system in which political parties would be strengthened to serve as a restraining force on popular authority, public opinion, and individual aspirations for executive power.
Author : James E. Campbell
Publisher : Texas A&M University Press
ISBN 13 : 1603444475
Total Pages : 337 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (34 download)
Download or read book The American Campaign, Second Edition written by James E. Campbell and published by Texas A&M University Press. This book was released on 2008 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reporting data and predicting trends through the 2008 campaign, this classroom-tested volume offers again James E. Campbell's "theory of the predictable campaign," incorporating the fundamental conditions that systematically affect the presidential vote: political competition, presidential incumbency, and election-year economic conditions. Campbell's cogent thinking and clear style present students with a readable survey of presidential elections and political scientists' ways of studying them. The American Campaign also shows how and why journalists have mistakenly assigned a pattern of unpredictability and critical significance to the vagaries of individual campaigns. This excellent election-year text provides:a summary and assessment of each of the serious predictive models of presidential election outcomes;a historical summary of many of America's important presidential elections;a significant new contribution to the understanding of presidential campaigns and how they matter.
Author : D. Sunshine Hillygus
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400831598
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)
Download or read book The Persuadable Voter written by D. Sunshine Hillygus and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2014-04-24 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The use of wedge issues such as abortion, gay marriage, and immigration has become standard political strategy in contemporary presidential campaigns. Why do candidates use such divisive appeals? Who in the electorate is persuaded by these controversial issues? And what are the consequences for American democracy? In this provocative and engaging analysis of presidential campaigns, Sunshine Hillygus and Todd Shields identify the types of citizens responsive to campaign information, the reasons they are responsive, and the tactics candidates use to sway these pivotal voters. The Persuadable Voter shows how emerging information technologies have changed the way candidates communicate, who they target, and what issues they talk about. As Hillygus and Shields explore the complex relationships between candidates, voters, and technology, they reveal potentially troubling results for political equality and democratic governance. The Persuadable Voter examines recent and historical campaigns using a wealth of data from national surveys, experimental research, campaign advertising, archival work, and interviews with campaign practitioners. With its rigorous multimethod approach and broad theoretical perspective, the book offers a timely and thorough understanding of voter decision making, candidate strategy, and the dynamics of presidential campaigns.
Author : Robert E. DiClerico
Publisher : McGraw-Hill Companies
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Few are Chosen written by Robert E. DiClerico and published by McGraw-Hill Companies. This book was released on 1984 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Benjamin I. Page
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780226644707
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (447 download)
Download or read book Choices and Echoes in Presidential Elections written by Benjamin I. Page and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Lee Learner Gray
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 206 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)
Download or read book How We Choose a President written by Lee Learner Gray and published by . This book was released on 1968 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Describes and explains the activities of a presidential election year. Discusses the search for candidates, nominations, campaigns, and election day. Includes a table of presidential elections in the United States, noting candidates, parties, and electoral votes received.
Author : Sharon E. Jarvis
Publisher : Penn State Press
ISBN 13 : 0271082887
Total Pages : 201 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (71 download)
Download or read book Votes That Count and Voters Who Don’t written by Sharon E. Jarvis and published by Penn State Press. This book was released on 2019-06-27 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For decades, journalists have called the winners of U.S. presidential elections—often in error—well before the closing of the polls. In Votes That Count and Voters Who Don’t, Sharon E. Jarvis and Soo-Hye Han investigate what motivates journalists to call elections before the votes have been tallied and, more importantly, what this and similar practices signal to the electorate about the value of voter participation. Jarvis and Han track how journalists have told the story of electoral participation during the last eighteen presidential elections, revealing how the portrayal of voters in the popular press has evolved over the last half century from that of mobilized partisan actors vital to electoral outcomes to that of pawns of political elites and captives of a flawed electoral system. The authors engage with experiments and focus groups to reveal the effects that these portrayals have on voters and share their findings in interviews with prominent journalists. Votes That Count and Voters Who Don’t not only explores the failings of the media but also shows how the story of electoral participation might be told in ways that support both democratic and journalistic values. At a time when professional strategists are pressuring journalists to provide favorable coverage for their causes and candidates, this book invites academics, organizations, the press, and citizens alike to advocate for the voter’s place in the news.
Author : Larry M. Bartels
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691221901
Total Pages : 399 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)
Download or read book Presidential Primaries and the Dynamics of Public Choice written by Larry M. Bartels and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2020-12-08 with total page 399 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An illuminating look at how national political parties nominate presidential candidates This innovative study blends sophisticated statistical analyses, campaign anecdotes, and penetrating political insight to produce a fascinating exploration of one of America's most controversial political institutions—the process by which our major parties nominate candidates for the presidency. Larry Bartels focuses on the nature and impact of "momentum" in the contemporary nominating system. He describes the complex interconnections among primary election results, expectations, and subsequent primary results that have made it possible for candidates like Jimmy Carter, George Bush, and Gary Hart to emerge from relative obscurity into political prominence in nominating campaigns. In the course of his analysis, he addresses questions central to any understanding—or evaluation—of the modern nominating process. How do fundamental political predispositions influence the behavior of primary voters? How quickly does the public learn about new candidates? Under what circumstances will primary success itself generate subsequent primary success? And what are the psychological processes underlying this dynamic tendency? Bartels examines the likely consequences of some proposed alternatives to the nominating process, including a regional primary system and a one-day national primary. Thus the work will be of interest to political activists, would-be reformers, and interested observers of the American political scene, as well as to students of public opinion, voting behavior, the news media, campaigns, and electoral institutions.
Author : Alexander Heard
Publisher : Durham : Duke University Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 430 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Presidential Selection written by Alexander Heard and published by Durham : Duke University Press. This book was released on 1987 with total page 430 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study incorporates three important themes into the study of presidential selection: What are the international implications of how the Unites States chooses its presidents? How does the process affect other nations? Does it enhance or diminish the ability of the United States to deal effectively with the rest of the world? How do the changing characteristics of the the presidential selection process affect the shaping of public policies, and vice versa? For example, how have changes in citizen participation, campaign technologies, and campaign finance laws altered the balance of political power among institutions and interests? What is the influence of the Constitution on presidential selection, as in the prescribed qualifications for the office and in provisions for unusual circumstances?
Author : Keith Archer
Publisher : McGill-Queen's Press - MQUP
ISBN 13 : 0773562370
Total Pages : 127 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (735 download)
Download or read book Political Choices and Electoral Consequences written by Keith Archer and published by McGill-Queen's Press - MQUP. This book was released on 1990-08-01 with total page 127 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The most important link between labour and the NDP is the direct party affiliation of union locals. While this sort of affiliation had existed with the CCF, the Canadian Labour Congress showed a greater commitment to encouraging union locals to affiliate with the NDP. Although, as Archer discusses in both theoretical and empirical terms, individuals who belong to union locals formally linked to the NDP are more likely to vote for that party than are other people with similar socio-demographic characteristics, this has had little positive effect on the NDP's fortunes. Archer reveals that although, in principle, each union local may favour high rates of affiliation, it is often not in a local's self-interest to affiliate. Archer suggests that the main reason for such a disappointing record of affiliation is structural rather than ideological or cultural. He compares the Canadian situation to that in Britain, where the Labour Party rules governing affiliation have supported high rates of affiliation. The rules of the NDP, Archer goes on to show, are not significantly different from those that were developed between labour and the CCF. However, the CCF was not a labour party as such but rather an amalgam of farmers, labourers, and members of constituency associations. Labour's role has consequently remained that of a junior partner with the constituency groups. Under these circumstances, Archer argues, one would expect rates of affiliation to remain low.
Author : Robert E. DiClerico
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 9780847694488
Total Pages : 168 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (944 download)
Download or read book Choosing Our Choices written by Robert E. DiClerico and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2000 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probably no feature of the American political system has been subject to more sustained criticism over the last twenty-five years than the process by which we choose our presidents. In Choosing Our Choices, Robert E. DiClerico and James W. Davis debate the question: should we retain the present, primary centered 'direct democracy' method in selecting presidential candidates or should we return to a representative decision-making process to nominate our candidates? This timely and thought-provoking text offers the reader a concise yet comprehensive analysis of the presidential nominating system, arguments for and against the current system, and supplemental documents and essays for further reading. Choosing Our Choices will be an invaluable resource for students and scholars interested in exploring how Americans choose their leaders.
Author : R. Michael Alvarez
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691220190
Total Pages : 8 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)
Download or read book Hard Choices, Easy Answers written by R. Michael Alvarez and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2020-10-06 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Those who seek to accurately gauge public opinion must first ask themselves: Why are certain opinions highly volatile while others are relatively fixed? Why are some surveys affected by question wording or communicative medium (e.g., telephone) while others seem immune? In Hard Choices, Easy Answers, R. Michael Alvarez and John Brehm develop a new theory of response variability that, by reconciling the strengths and weaknesses of the standard approaches, will help pollsters and scholars alike better resolve such perennial problems. Working within the context of U.S. public opinion, they contend that the answers Americans give rest on a variegated structure of political predispositions--diverse but widely shared values, beliefs, expectations, and evaluations. Alvarez and Brehm argue that respondents deploy what they know about politics (often little) to think in terms of what they value and believe. Working with sophisticated statistical models, they offer a unique analysis of not just what a respondent is likely to choose, but also how variable those choices would be under differing circumstances. American public opinion can be characterized in one of three forms of variability, conclude the authors: ambivalence, equivocation, and uncertainty. Respondents are sometimes ambivalent, as in attitudes toward abortion or euthanasia. They are often equivocal, as in views about the scope of government. But most often, they are uncertain, sure of what they value, but unsure how to use those values in political choices.
Author : Gary L. Rose
Publisher : SUNY Press
ISBN 13 : 9780791419359
Total Pages : 378 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (193 download)
Download or read book Controversial Issues in Presidential Selection written by Gary L. Rose and published by SUNY Press. This book was released on 1994-01-01 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book is designed to stimulate lively debate and critical thinking about the modern process of presidential selection. Eleven issues that impact directly on the selection of the president of the United States are examined in a scholarly and argumentative format. Essays pro and con on each issue educate students in the dynamics of presidential selection and help them evaluate competing perspectives on today's pressing issues.
Author : Shaun Bowler
Publisher : University of Michigan Press
ISBN 13 : 9780472087150
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (871 download)
Download or read book Demanding Choices written by Shaun Bowler and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 2000-12-21 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: DIVReferenda are becoming a more common way to resolve heated political questions. This book shows how voters make choices in referenda /div
