Bayesian Estimation Of Finite Horizon Discrete Choice Dynamic Programming Models

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Economic Dynamics in Discrete Time

Author : Jianjun Miao
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262325608
Total Pages : 737 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Dynamics in Discrete Time by : Jianjun Miao

Download or read book Economic Dynamics in Discrete Time written by Jianjun Miao and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2014-09-19 with total page 737 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A unified, comprehensive, and up-to-date introduction to the analytical and numerical tools for solving dynamic economic problems. This book offers a unified, comprehensive, and up-to-date treatment of analytical and numerical tools for solving dynamic economic problems. The focus is on introducing recursive methods—an important part of every economist's set of tools—and readers will learn to apply recursive methods to a variety of dynamic economic problems. The book is notable for its combination of theoretical foundations and numerical methods. Each topic is first described in theoretical terms, with explicit definitions and rigorous proofs; numerical methods and computer codes to implement these methods follow. Drawing on the latest research, the book covers such cutting-edge topics as asset price bubbles, recursive utility, robust control, policy analysis in dynamic New Keynesian models with the zero lower bound on interest rates, and Bayesian estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. The book first introduces the theory of dynamical systems and numerical methods for solving dynamical systems, and then discusses the theory and applications of dynamic optimization. The book goes on to treat equilibrium analysis, covering a variety of core macroeconomic models, and such additional topics as recursive utility (increasingly used in finance and macroeconomics), dynamic games, and recursive contracts. The book introduces Dynare, a widely used software platform for handling a range of economic models; readers will learn to use Dynare for numerically solving DSGE models and performing Bayesian estimation of DSGE models. Mathematical appendixes present all the necessary mathematical concepts and results. Matlab codes used to solve examples are indexed and downloadable from the book's website. A solutions manual for students is available for sale from the MIT Press; a downloadable instructor's manual is available to qualified instructors.

Handbook of Labor Economics

Author : Orley Ashenfelter
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444534539
Total Pages : 1140 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Labor Economics by : Orley Ashenfelter

Download or read book Handbook of Labor Economics written by Orley Ashenfelter and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2010-10-27 with total page 1140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What factors affect the ways individuals participate in labor markets?New Developments and Research on Labor Markets (volume 4B) proposes answers to this and other questions on important topics of public policy. Leading labor economists demonstrate how better data and advanced experiments help them apply economic theory, yielding sharper analyses and conclusions. The combinations of these improved empirical findings with new models enable the authors of these chapters to reveal how labor economists are developing new and innovative ways to measure key parameters and test important hypotheses. - Concentrates on empirical research in specific labor markets, including those defined by age, gender, and race - Reveals how questions and answers about these markets have changed and how models measure them - Documents how conceptual models and empirical work explain important practical issues

Approximate Dynamic Programming

Author : Warren B. Powell
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470182954
Total Pages : 487 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Approximate Dynamic Programming by : Warren B. Powell

Download or read book Approximate Dynamic Programming written by Warren B. Powell and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-10-05 with total page 487 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A complete and accessible introduction to the real-world applications of approximate dynamic programming With the growing levels of sophistication in modern-day operations, it is vital for practitioners to understand how to approach, model, and solve complex industrial problems. Approximate Dynamic Programming is a result of the author's decades of experience working in large industrial settings to develop practical and high-quality solutions to problems that involve making decisions in the presence of uncertainty. This groundbreaking book uniquely integrates four distinct disciplines—Markov design processes, mathematical programming, simulation, and statistics—to demonstrate how to successfully model and solve a wide range of real-life problems using the techniques of approximate dynamic programming (ADP). The reader is introduced to the three curses of dimensionality that impact complex problems and is also shown how the post-decision state variable allows for the use of classical algorithmic strategies from operations research to treat complex stochastic optimization problems. Designed as an introduction and assuming no prior training in dynamic programming of any form, Approximate Dynamic Programming contains dozens of algorithms that are intended to serve as a starting point in the design of practical solutions for real problems. The book provides detailed coverage of implementation challenges including: modeling complex sequential decision processes under uncertainty, identifying robust policies, designing and estimating value function approximations, choosing effective stepsize rules, and resolving convergence issues. With a focus on modeling and algorithms in conjunction with the language of mainstream operations research, artificial intelligence, and control theory, Approximate Dynamic Programming: Models complex, high-dimensional problems in a natural and practical way, which draws on years of industrial projects Introduces and emphasizes the power of estimating a value function around the post-decision state, allowing solution algorithms to be broken down into three fundamental steps: classical simulation, classical optimization, and classical statistics Presents a thorough discussion of recursive estimation, including fundamental theory and a number of issues that arise in the development of practical algorithms Offers a variety of methods for approximating dynamic programs that have appeared in previous literature, but that have never been presented in the coherent format of a book Motivated by examples from modern-day operations research, Approximate Dynamic Programming is an accessible introduction to dynamic modeling and is also a valuable guide for the development of high-quality solutions to problems that exist in operations research and engineering. The clear and precise presentation of the material makes this an appropriate text for advanced undergraduate and beginning graduate courses, while also serving as a reference for researchers and practitioners. A companion Web site is available for readers, which includes additional exercises, solutions to exercises, and data sets to reinforce the book's main concepts.

Econometric Models For Industrial Organization

Author : Matthew Shum
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 981310967X
Total Pages : 154 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (131 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometric Models For Industrial Organization by : Matthew Shum

Download or read book Econometric Models For Industrial Organization written by Matthew Shum and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2016-12-14 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Models for Industrial Organization focuses on the specification and estimation of econometric models for research in industrial organization. In recent decades, empirical work in industrial organization has moved towards dynamic and equilibrium models, involving econometric methods which have features distinct from those used in other areas of applied economics. These lecture notes, aimed for a first or second-year PhD course, motivate and explain these econometric methods, starting from simple models and building to models with the complexity observed in typical research papers. The covered topics include discrete-choice demand analysis, models of dynamic behavior and dynamic games, multiple equilibria in entry games and partial identification, and auction models.

Modeling Ordered Choices

Author : William H. Greene
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139485954
Total Pages : 383 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Ordered Choices by : William H. Greene

Download or read book Modeling Ordered Choices written by William H. Greene and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-04-08 with total page 383 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is increasingly common for analysts to seek out the opinions of individuals and organizations using attitudinal scales such as degree of satisfaction or importance attached to an issue. Examples include levels of obesity, seriousness of a health condition, attitudes towards service levels, opinions on products, voting intentions, and the degree of clarity of contracts. Ordered choice models provide a relevant methodology for capturing the sources of influence that explain the choice made amongst a set of ordered alternatives. The methods have evolved to a level of sophistication that can allow for heterogeneity in the threshold parameters, in the explanatory variables (through random parameters), and in the decomposition of the residual variance. This book brings together contributions in ordered choice modeling from a number of disciplines, synthesizing developments over the last fifty years, and suggests useful extensions to account for the wide range of sources of influence on choice.

A Concise Introduction to Decentralized POMDPs

Author : Frans A. Oliehoek
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319289292
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis A Concise Introduction to Decentralized POMDPs by : Frans A. Oliehoek

Download or read book A Concise Introduction to Decentralized POMDPs written by Frans A. Oliehoek and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-03 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces multiagent planning under uncertainty as formalized by decentralized partially observable Markov decision processes (Dec-POMDPs). The intended audience is researchers and graduate students working in the fields of artificial intelligence related to sequential decision making: reinforcement learning, decision-theoretic planning for single agents, classical multiagent planning, decentralized control, and operations research.

Dynamic Linear Models with R

Author : Giovanni Petris
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387772383
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Linear Models with R by : Giovanni Petris

Download or read book Dynamic Linear Models with R written by Giovanni Petris and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-06-12 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: State space models have gained tremendous popularity in recent years in as disparate fields as engineering, economics, genetics and ecology. After a detailed introduction to general state space models, this book focuses on dynamic linear models, emphasizing their Bayesian analysis. Whenever possible it is shown how to compute estimates and forecasts in closed form; for more complex models, simulation techniques are used. A final chapter covers modern sequential Monte Carlo algorithms. The book illustrates all the fundamental steps needed to use dynamic linear models in practice, using R. Many detailed examples based on real data sets are provided to show how to set up a specific model, estimate its parameters, and use it for forecasting. All the code used in the book is available online. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics or time series analysis is required, although familiarity with basic statistics and R is assumed.

Dynamic Economics

Author : Jerome Adda
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262547880
Total Pages : 297 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Economics by : Jerome Adda

Download or read book Dynamic Economics written by Jerome Adda and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2023-05-09 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An integrated approach to the empirical application of dynamic optimization programming models, for students and researchers. This book is an effective, concise text for students and researchers that combines the tools of dynamic programming with numerical techniques and simulation-based econometric methods. Doing so, it bridges the traditional gap between theoretical and empirical research and offers an integrated framework for studying applied problems in macroeconomics and microeconomics. In part I the authors first review the formal theory of dynamic optimization; they then present the numerical tools and econometric techniques necessary to evaluate the theoretical models. In language accessible to a reader with a limited background in econometrics, they explain most of the methods used in applied dynamic research today, from the estimation of probability in a coin flip to a complicated nonlinear stochastic structural model. These econometric techniques provide the final link between the dynamic programming problem and data. Part II is devoted to the application of dynamic programming to specific areas of applied economics, including the study of business cycles, consumption, and investment behavior. In each instance the authors present the specific optimization problem as a dynamic programming problem, characterize the optimal policy functions, estimate the parameters, and use models for policy evaluation. The original contribution of Dynamic Economics: Quantitative Methods and Applications lies in the integrated approach to the empirical application of dynamic optimization programming models. This integration shows that empirical applications actually complement the underlying theory of optimization, while dynamic programming problems provide needed structure for estimation and policy evaluation.

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing

Author : Simo Särkkä
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 110703065X
Total Pages : 255 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing by : Simo Särkkä

Download or read book Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing written by Simo Särkkä and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-09-05 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A unified Bayesian treatment of the state-of-the-art filtering, smoothing, and parameter estimation algorithms for non-linear state space models.

Equivariant Stable Homotopy Theory and the Kervaire Invariant Problem

Author : Michael A. Hill
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108831443
Total Pages : 881 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis Equivariant Stable Homotopy Theory and the Kervaire Invariant Problem by : Michael A. Hill

Download or read book Equivariant Stable Homotopy Theory and the Kervaire Invariant Problem written by Michael A. Hill and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-07-29 with total page 881 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A complete and definitive account of the authors' resolution of the Kervaire invariant problem in stable homotopy theory.

Contemporary Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics

Author : John Geweke
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0471744727
Total Pages : 322 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (717 download)

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Book Synopsis Contemporary Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics by : John Geweke

Download or read book Contemporary Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics written by John Geweke and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-10-03 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tools to improve decision making in an imperfect world This publication provides readers with a thorough understanding of Bayesian analysis that is grounded in the theory of inference and optimal decision making. Contemporary Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics provides readers with state-of-the-art simulation methods and models that are used to solve complex real-world problems. Armed with a strong foundation in both theory and practical problem-solving tools, readers discover how to optimize decision making when faced with problems that involve limited or imperfect data. The book begins by examining the theoretical and mathematical foundations of Bayesian statistics to help readers understand how and why it is used in problem solving. The author then describes how modern simulation methods make Bayesian approaches practical using widely available mathematical applications software. In addition, the author details how models can be applied to specific problems, including: * Linear models and policy choices * Modeling with latent variables and missing data * Time series models and prediction * Comparison and evaluation of models The publication has been developed and fine- tuned through a decade of classroom experience, and readers will find the author's approach very engaging and accessible. There are nearly 200 examples and exercises to help readers see how effective use of Bayesian statistics enables them to make optimal decisions. MATLAB? and R computer programs are integrated throughout the book. An accompanying Web site provides readers with computer code for many examples and datasets. This publication is tailored for research professionals who use econometrics and similar statistical methods in their work. With its emphasis on practical problem solving and extensive use of examples and exercises, this is also an excellent textbook for graduate-level students in a broad range of fields, including economics, statistics, the social sciences, business, and public policy.

Handbook of Labor Economics

Author : Orley Ashenfelter
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (113 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Labor Economics by : Orley Ashenfelter

Download or read book Handbook of Labor Economics written by Orley Ashenfelter and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Reinforcement Learning and Dynamic Programming Using Function Approximators

Author : Lucian Busoniu
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439821097
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis Reinforcement Learning and Dynamic Programming Using Function Approximators by : Lucian Busoniu

Download or read book Reinforcement Learning and Dynamic Programming Using Function Approximators written by Lucian Busoniu and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-07-28 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From household appliances to applications in robotics, engineered systems involving complex dynamics can only be as effective as the algorithms that control them. While Dynamic Programming (DP) has provided researchers with a way to optimally solve decision and control problems involving complex dynamic systems, its practical value was limited by algorithms that lacked the capacity to scale up to realistic problems. However, in recent years, dramatic developments in Reinforcement Learning (RL), the model-free counterpart of DP, changed our understanding of what is possible. Those developments led to the creation of reliable methods that can be applied even when a mathematical model of the system is unavailable, allowing researchers to solve challenging control problems in engineering, as well as in a variety of other disciplines, including economics, medicine, and artificial intelligence. Reinforcement Learning and Dynamic Programming Using Function Approximators provides a comprehensive and unparalleled exploration of the field of RL and DP. With a focus on continuous-variable problems, this seminal text details essential developments that have substantially altered the field over the past decade. In its pages, pioneering experts provide a concise introduction to classical RL and DP, followed by an extensive presentation of the state-of-the-art and novel methods in RL and DP with approximation. Combining algorithm development with theoretical guarantees, they elaborate on their work with illustrative examples and insightful comparisons. Three individual chapters are dedicated to representative algorithms from each of the major classes of techniques: value iteration, policy iteration, and policy search. The features and performance of these algorithms are highlighted in extensive experimental studies on a range of control applications. The recent development of applications involving complex systems has led to a surge of interest in RL and DP methods and the subsequent need for a quality resource on the subject. For graduate students and others new to the field, this book offers a thorough introduction to both the basics and emerging methods. And for those researchers and practitioners working in the fields of optimal and adaptive control, machine learning, artificial intelligence, and operations research, this resource offers a combination of practical algorithms, theoretical analysis, and comprehensive examples that they will be able to adapt and apply to their own work. Access the authors' website at www.dcsc.tudelft.nl/rlbook/ for additional material, including computer code used in the studies and information concerning new developments.

Partially Observed Markov Decision Processes

Author : Vikram Krishnamurthy
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107134609
Total Pages : 491 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Partially Observed Markov Decision Processes by : Vikram Krishnamurthy

Download or read book Partially Observed Markov Decision Processes written by Vikram Krishnamurthy and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-03-21 with total page 491 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book covers formulation, algorithms, and structural results of partially observed Markov decision processes, whilst linking theory to real-world applications in controlled sensing. Computations are kept to a minimum, enabling students and researchers in engineering, operations research, and economics to understand the methods and determine the structure of their optimal solution.

Markov Decision Processes

Author : Martin L. Puterman
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118625870
Total Pages : 544 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (186 download)

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Book Synopsis Markov Decision Processes by : Martin L. Puterman

Download or read book Markov Decision Processes written by Martin L. Puterman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-08-28 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Wiley-Interscience Paperback Series consists of selected books that have been made more accessible to consumers in an effort to increase global appeal and general circulation. With these new unabridged softcover volumes, Wiley hopes to extend the lives of these works by making them available to future generations of statisticians, mathematicians, and scientists. "This text is unique in bringing together so many results hitherto found only in part in other texts and papers. . . . The text is fairly self-contained, inclusive of some basic mathematical results needed, and provides a rich diet of examples, applications, and exercises. The bibliographical material at the end of each chapter is excellent, not only from a historical perspective, but because it is valuable for researchers in acquiring a good perspective of the MDP research potential." —Zentralblatt fur Mathematik ". . . it is of great value to advanced-level students, researchers, and professional practitioners of this field to have now a complete volume (with more than 600 pages) devoted to this topic. . . . Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming represents an up-to-date, unified, and rigorous treatment of theoretical and computational aspects of discrete-time Markov decision processes." —Journal of the American Statistical Association

Reinforcement Learning, second edition

Author : Richard S. Sutton
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262352702
Total Pages : 549 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Reinforcement Learning, second edition by : Richard S. Sutton

Download or read book Reinforcement Learning, second edition written by Richard S. Sutton and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2018-11-13 with total page 549 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The significantly expanded and updated new edition of a widely used text on reinforcement learning, one of the most active research areas in artificial intelligence. Reinforcement learning, one of the most active research areas in artificial intelligence, is a computational approach to learning whereby an agent tries to maximize the total amount of reward it receives while interacting with a complex, uncertain environment. In Reinforcement Learning, Richard Sutton and Andrew Barto provide a clear and simple account of the field's key ideas and algorithms. This second edition has been significantly expanded and updated, presenting new topics and updating coverage of other topics. Like the first edition, this second edition focuses on core online learning algorithms, with the more mathematical material set off in shaded boxes. Part I covers as much of reinforcement learning as possible without going beyond the tabular case for which exact solutions can be found. Many algorithms presented in this part are new to the second edition, including UCB, Expected Sarsa, and Double Learning. Part II extends these ideas to function approximation, with new sections on such topics as artificial neural networks and the Fourier basis, and offers expanded treatment of off-policy learning and policy-gradient methods. Part III has new chapters on reinforcement learning's relationships to psychology and neuroscience, as well as an updated case-studies chapter including AlphaGo and AlphaGo Zero, Atari game playing, and IBM Watson's wagering strategy. The final chapter discusses the future societal impacts of reinforcement learning.

Algorithms for Reinforcement Learning

Author : Csaba Grossi
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031015517
Total Pages : 89 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Algorithms for Reinforcement Learning by : Csaba Grossi

Download or read book Algorithms for Reinforcement Learning written by Csaba Grossi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-05-31 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reinforcement learning is a learning paradigm concerned with learning to control a system so as to maximize a numerical performance measure that expresses a long-term objective. What distinguishes reinforcement learning from supervised learning is that only partial feedback is given to the learner about the learner's predictions. Further, the predictions may have long term effects through influencing the future state of the controlled system. Thus, time plays a special role. The goal in reinforcement learning is to develop efficient learning algorithms, as well as to understand the algorithms' merits and limitations. Reinforcement learning is of great interest because of the large number of practical applications that it can be used to address, ranging from problems in artificial intelligence to operations research or control engineering. In this book, we focus on those algorithms of reinforcement learning that build on the powerful theory of dynamic programming. We give a fairly comprehensive catalog of learning problems, describe the core ideas, note a large number of state of the art algorithms, followed by the discussion of their theoretical properties and limitations. Table of Contents: Markov Decision Processes / Value Prediction Problems / Control / For Further Exploration