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Asymmetric Effects Of Return And Volatility On Correlation Between International Equity Markets
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Book Synopsis Asymmetric Effects of Return and Volatility on Correlation between International Equity Markets by : Abderrahim Taamouti
Download or read book Asymmetric Effects of Return and Volatility on Correlation between International Equity Markets written by Abderrahim Taamouti and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How the correlation between equity returns behaves during market turmoils has been an issue of discussion in the international finance literature. Some research suggest an increase of correlation during volatile periods [Ang and Bekaert, 2002], while others argue its stability [Forbes and Rigobon, 2002]. In this paper, we study the impact of returns and volatility on correlation between international equity markets. Our objective is to determine if there is any asymmetry in correlation and identify the main explanation for this asymmetry. Within a framework of autoregressive models we quantify the relationship between return, volatility, and correlation using the generalized impulse response function and we test for the asymmetries in the return-correlation and volatility-correlation relationships. We also examine the implications of these asymmetric effects for the optimal international portfolio. Empirical evidence using weekly data on US, Canada, UK, and France equity indices, show that without taking into account the effect of return, there is an asymmetric impact of volatility on correlation. The volatility seems to have more impact on correlation during market upturn periods than during downturn periods. However, once we introduce the effect of return, the asymmetric impact of volatility on correlation disappears. These observations suggest that, the relation between volatility and correlation is an association rather than a causality. The strong increase in the correlation is driven by the market direction and the level of return rather than the level of the volatility. These results are confirmed using some tests of the asymmetry in volatility-correlation and return-correlation relationships in separate models and then in a joint model. Finally, we find that taking into account the asymmetric effect of return on correlation leads to an average financial gain ranged between 3.35 and 37.25 basis points for optimal international diversification.
Book Synopsis Asymmetric Volatility and Risk in Equity Markets by : Geert Bekaert
Download or read book Asymmetric Volatility and Risk in Equity Markets written by Geert Bekaert and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It appears that volatility in equity markets is asymmetric: returns and conditional volatility are negatively correlated. We provide a unified framework to simultaneously investigate asymmetric volatility at the firm and the market level and to examine two potential explanations of the asymmetry: leverage effects and time-varying risk premiums. Our empirical application uses the market portfolio and portfolios with different leverage constructed from Nikkei 225 stocks, extending the empirical evidence on asymmetry to Japanese stocks. Although volatility asymmetry is present and significant at the market and the portfolio levels, its source differs across portfolios. We find that it is important to include leverage ratios in the volatility dynamics but that their economic effects are mostly dwarfed by the volatility feedback mechanism. Volatility feedback is enhanced by a phenomenon that we term covariance asymmetry: conditional covariances with the market increase only significantly following negative market news. We do not find significant asymmetries in conditional betas.
Book Synopsis Switching Volatility in International Equity Markets by : Raul Susmel
Download or read book Switching Volatility in International Equity Markets written by Raul Susmel and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we analyze the behavior of time-varying volatility, when structural changes are allowed in international stock markets. We use a recent model developed by Hamilton and Susmel (1994), the SWARCH model, which is a more general specification than the popular ARCH model. We fit an exponential SWARCH (E-SWARCH) model to eight series of weekly returns from international stock markets. Under the SWARCH model, we find that ARCH and asymmetric effects are significantly reduced. We also find, however, that when compared to a standard GARCH-t model, the benefits of a SWARCH model are marginal. Using the ability of the Hamilton (1989) filter to date states, we use the switching model to date volatility states. We compare these states and conclude that with the exception of Japan and the U.K., and the U.S. and Canada, the domestic volatility states tend to be independent of foreign volatility states. For these two pairs, we find evidence for common volatility states.
Book Synopsis Price Volatility and Volume Spillovers Between the Tokyo and New York Stock Markets by : Takatoshi Itō
Download or read book Price Volatility and Volume Spillovers Between the Tokyo and New York Stock Markets written by Takatoshi Itō and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a comprehensive study of the interactions among returns, volatility, and trading volume between the U.S. and Japanese stock markets by using intradaily data from October 1985 to December 1991. By examining the effect of foreign price volatility and trading volume on correlations between foreign and domestic stock returns, the paper aims to distinguish between the market contagion and informational efficiency hypotheses in order to explain the cause of international transmission of stock returns and volatility. Major findings are three-fold: (1) contemporaneous correlations of stock returns across these two markets are significant and tend to increase during a high volatility period, which support the informational efficiency hypothesis; (2) lagged volatility and volume spillovers are not found across the two markets; (3) the effect of the New York stock returns on the Tokyo returns exhibits a structural change in October 1987.
Book Synopsis Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics by : Seungho Jung
Download or read book Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics written by Seungho Jung and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-22 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has experienced large and unpredictable geopolitical swings that originate from North Korea. To do so, a monthly index of geopolitical risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the occurrence of nuclear tests, missile launches, or military confrontations, and decreases significantly around the times of summit meetings or multilateral talks. Using firm-level data, we find that heightened geopolitical risk reduces stock returns, and that the reductions in stock returns are greater especially for large firms, firms with a higher share of domestic investors, and for firms with a higher ratio of fixed assets to total assets. These results suggest that international portfolio diversification and investment irreversibility are important channels through which geopolitical risk affects stock returns.
Book Synopsis The Asymmetric Effect of the Business Cycle on the Relation between Stock Market Returns and Their Volatility by : Peter N. Smith
Download or read book The Asymmetric Effect of the Business Cycle on the Relation between Stock Market Returns and Their Volatility written by Peter N. Smith and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the relation between US stock market returns and the US business cycle for the period 1960 - 2003 using a new methodology that allows us to estimate a time-varying equity premium. We identify two channels in the transmission mechanism. One is through the mean of stock returns via the equity risk premium, and the other is through the volatility of returns. We confirm previous findings based on simple correlation analysis that the relation is asymmetric with downturns in the business cycle having a greater negative impact on stock returns than the positive effect of upturns. We also obtain a new result, that demand and supply shocks affect stock returns differently. Our model of the relation between returns and their volatility is derived from the stochastic discount factor model of asset pricing which encompasses CAPM, consumption CAPM and Merton's (1973) inter-temporal CAPM. It is implemented using a multi-variate GARCH-in-mean model with a time-varying conditional heteroskedasticity and correlation structure.
Book Synopsis Volatility in Financial Markets by :
Download or read book Volatility in Financial Markets written by and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation focuses on volatility in financial markets, with a special concern for: (i) volatility transmission between different financial markets and asset categories and, (ii) the effect of macroeconomic announcements on the returns, volatility and correlation of stock markets. These issues are analysed taking into account the phenomenon of asymmetric volatility and incorporating the period of financial turmoil caused by the Global Financial Crisis. The study focuses the attention on the emerging markets of the region of Southeast Asia. The asymmetric behaviour of volatility refers to the empirical evidence according to which a negative return shock (unexpected drop in the value of the stock) generates an increase in volatility higher than a positive return shock (unexpected increase in the value of the stock) of the same size. In the financial literature two explanations of the asymmetric effect of news on stock return volatility have been put forward. The analysis of financial assets volatility is important to academics, policy makers, and financial market participants for several reasons. First, prediction of financial assets volatility is crucial to economic agents because it helps them make rational portfolio risk management decisions. Volatility is critically important to economic agents because it represents a measure of risk exposure in their investments. Furthermore, from a theoretical perspective, volatility occupies a central stage in pricing of derivative securities. For example, to price an option we need to know, as a risk measure, the volatility of the underlying asset from now until the option expires. Moreover, in a market risk context, it is vital to know the volatility of an asset in order to calculate the Value-at-Risk of a portfolio selection. Finally, volatility is important for the economy as a whole. Policy makers often rely on market estimates of volatility as a barometer for the vulnerability of the financial markets and the economy. Regarding the Asian markets, it is worth mentioning that in recent years, the interrelations between the US and the Asian markets have raised due to the increasing financial relations. One typical portfolio diversification strategy consists of investing in similar asset classes in multiple markets (international diversification). In order to make appropriate risk management strategies it is vital to know the characteristics of the markets of the different geographical areas and how the markets co-move. Likewise, it is very important to analyse which factors can influence the behaviour of the assets in the financial markets. Within Asian markets, this thesis distinguishes between mature and emerging countries. Japan represents the mature market and the emerging economies are divided into three groups: the Asian Tigers (tigers hereafter), the Asian Tiger Cub (cubs hereafter) economies and, finally, China. The objectives of this thesis are threefold. First, to explore volatility spillovers and the time-varying behaviour of the correlation between the US and the Asian stock markets. Second, to analyse how the macroeconomic events in the US affect the Asian stock market returns, volatility and correlation. Finally, to investigate volatility spillovers between equity and currency markets in Asia. Throughout these analyses, this dissertation aims to establish behaviour patterns depending on the level of development of the emerging country analysed. Furthermore, the sample period used in the analyses incorporates the period of the recent financial turmoil originated by the subprime mortgage market in the United States in the summer of 2007, with the aim of studying the effect of the Global Financial crisis on the patterns found. In general, the results of the three analyses of this dissertation show some interesting visions. While the volatility transmission pattern between the US and the Asian stock markets is mostly observed when the degree of development of the Asian country is higher, the effect of US macroeconomic news releases on these Asian markets is greater as the Asian market analysed is less developed. It is worth mentioning that China arises as a general exception of the three analyses, performing in an independent way with respect to the other Asian economies analysed. The reason of this behaviour can be due, on the one hand, to the fact that in the past decades China has been reaching market-based financial system and has been trying to open it up towards the international financial markets. In spite of these efforts, its financial market is still not entirely open to other countries worldwide. All in all, the results suggest that emerging Asian financial markets have thus far suffered only limited impact from the Global Financial crisis. However, heightened risk perception and declining investor confidence could trigger a sudden reversal of financial flows from these region's capital markets, pushing down asset prices and intensifying financial market volatility. The results of this dissertation may be useful for analysts, traders and portfolio managers. In an asset allocation framework, it is crucial to diversify the assets of a portfolio to diminish its risk. Considering international diversification, before composing a portfolio, it is very useful to know volatility spillovers across countries and asset classes. In this regard, it is vital to take into account the role of the currency market, not only because of the effect of exchange rate in foreign investments, but also for the relationship between the stocks in which to invest and the exchange rate of the related country. Likewise, macroeconomic news releases play a significant role in the stocks markets, hence it is very important to know the effect of the arrival of macroeconomic announcements on the returns, volatility and correlations of the stocks markets in which we want to invest. Finally, it is remarkable that the results of this thesis suggest that exchange rate policies should not be implemented without considering the repercussions on the stock market, and vice versa.
Book Synopsis Asymmetric Dynamics in the Correlations of Global Equity and Bond Returns by : Lorenzo Cappiello
Download or read book Asymmetric Dynamics in the Correlations of Global Equity and Bond Returns written by Lorenzo Cappiello and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the presence of asymmetric conditional second moments in international equity and bond returns. The analysis is carried out through an asymmetric version of the Dynamic Conditional Correlation model of Engle (2002). Widespread evidence is found that national equity index return series show strong asymmetries in conditional volatility, while little evidence is seen that bond index returns exhibit this behaviour. However, both bonds and equities exhibit asymmetry in conditional correlation. Worldwide linkages in the dynamics of volatility and correlation are examined. It is also found that beginning in January 1999, with the introduction of the Euro, there is significant evidence of a structural break in correlation, although not in volatility. The introduction of a fixed exchange rate regime leads to near perfect correlation among bond returns within EMU countries. However, equity return correlation both within and outside the EMU also increases after January 1999.
Book Synopsis Correlation and Volatility Asymmetries in International Equity Markets by : CFA O'Toole (Randy)
Download or read book Correlation and Volatility Asymmetries in International Equity Markets written by CFA O'Toole (Randy) and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The co-movement of international equity markets in different return environments is examined using estimates of realized correlation and volatility. Using a simple ordinary least squares (OLS) regression framework, correlations are shown to be similarly elevated in periods characterized by extreme returns in both up and down markets, which contradicts a body of extant research that finds correlations increase in down markets but not in up markets. In contrast, volatility is much greater in down markets than in up markets. This suggests that it is not a lack of diversification that matters for comparative performance in bear markets, but rather the relative magnitude of negative returns typically experienced during such periods.
Book Synopsis Volatility in Financial Markets by : Natàlia Valls Ruiz
Download or read book Volatility in Financial Markets written by Natàlia Valls Ruiz and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This dissertation focuses on volatility in financial markets, with a special concern for: (i) volatility transmission between different financial markets and asset categories and, (ii) the effect of macroeconomic announcements on the returns, volatility and correlation of stock markets. These issues are analysed taking into account the phenomenon of asymmetric volatility and incorporating the period of financial turmoil caused by the Global Financial Crisis. The study focuses the attention on the emerging markets of the region of Southeast Asia. The asymmetric behaviour of volatility refers to the empirical evidence according to which a negative return shock (unexpected drop in the value of the stock) generates an increase in volatility higher than a positive return shock (unexpected increase in the value of the stock) of the same size. In the financial literature two explanations of the asymmetric effect of news on stock return volatility have been put forward. The analysis of financial assets volatility is important to academics, policy makers, and financial market participants for several reasons. First, prediction of financial assets volatility is crucial to economic agents because it helps them make rational portfolio risk management decisions. Volatility is critically important to economic agents because it represents a measure of risk exposure in their investments. Furthermore, from a theoretical perspective, volatility occupies a central stage in pricing of derivative securities. For example, to price an option we need to know, as a risk measure, the volatility of the underlying asset from now until the option expires. Moreover, in a market risk context, it is vital to know the volatility of an asset in order to calculate the Value-at-Risk of a portfolio selection. Finally, volatility is important for the economy as a whole. Policy makers often rely on market estimates of volatility as a barometer for the vulnerability of the financial markets and the economy. Regarding the Asian markets, it is worth mentioning that in recent years, the interrelations between the US and the Asian markets have raised due to the increasing financial relations. One typical portfolio diversification strategy consists of investing in similar asset classes in multiple markets (international diversification). In order to make appropriate risk management strategies it is vital to know the characteristics of the markets of the different geographical areas and how the markets co-move. Likewise, it is very important to analyse which factors can influence the behaviour of the assets in the financial markets. Within Asian markets, this thesis distinguishes between mature and emerging countries. Japan represents the mature market and the emerging economies are divided into three groups: the Asian Tigers (tigers hereafter), the Asian Tiger Cub (cubs hereafter) economies and, finally, China. The objectives of this thesis are threefold. First, to explore volatility spillovers and the time-varying behaviour of the correlation between the US and the Asian stock markets. Second, to analyse how the macroeconomic events in the US affect the Asian stock market returns, volatility and correlation. Finally, to investigate volatility spillovers between equity and currency markets in Asia. Throughout these analyses, this dissertation aims to establish behaviour patterns depending on the level of development of the emerging country analysed. Furthermore, the sample period used in the analyses incorporates the period of the recent financial turmoil originated by the subprime mortgage market in the United States in the summer of 2007, with the aim of studying the effect of the Global Financial crisis on the patterns found. In general, the results of the three analyses of this dissertation show some interesting visions. While the volatility transmission pattern between the US and the Asian stock markets is mostly observed when the degree of development of the Asian country is higher, the effect of US macroeconomic news releases on these Asian markets is greater as the Asian market analysed is less developed. It is worth mentioning that China arises as a general exception of the three analyses, performing in an independent way with respect to the other Asian economies analysed. The reason of this behaviour can be due, on the one hand, to the fact that in the past decades China has been reaching market-based financial system and has been trying to open it up towards the international financial markets. In spite of these efforts, its financial market is still not entirely open to other countries worldwide. All in all, the results suggest that emerging Asian financial markets have thus far suffered only limited impact from the Global Financial crisis. However, heightened risk perception and declining investor confidence could trigger a sudden reversal of financial flows from these region's capital markets, pushing down asset prices and intensifying financial market volatility. The results of this dissertation may be useful for analysts, traders and portfolio managers. In an asset allocation framework, it is crucial to diversify the assets of a portfolio to diminish its risk. Considering international diversification, before composing a portfolio, it is very useful to know volatility spillovers across countries and asset classes. In this regard, it is vital to take into account the role of the currency market, not only because of the effect of exchange rate in foreign investments, but also for the relationship between the stocks in which to invest and the exchange rate of the related country. Likewise, macroeconomic news releases play a significant role in the stocks markets, hence it is very important to know the effect of the arrival of macroeconomic announcements on the returns, volatility and correlations of the stocks markets in which we want to invest. Finally, it is remarkable that the results of this thesis suggest that exchange rate policies should not be implemented without considering the repercussions on the stock market, and vice versa."--TDX.
Book Synopsis Extreme Correlation of International Equity Markets by : Francois M. Longin
Download or read book Extreme Correlation of International Equity Markets written by Francois M. Longin and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Testing the hypothesis that international equity market correlation increases in volatile times is a difficult exercise and misleading results have often been reported in the past because of a spurious relationship between correlation and volatility. This paper focuses on extreme correlation, that is to say the correlation between returns in either the negative or positive tail of the multivariate distribution. Using ldquo;extreme value theoryrdquo; to model the multivariate distribution tails, we derive the distribution of extreme correlation for a wide class of return distributions. Using monthly data on the five largest stock markets from 1958 to 1996, we reject the null hypothesis of multivariate normality for the negative tail, but not for the positive tail. We also find that correlation is not related to market volatility per se but to the market trend. Correlation increases in bear markets, but not in bull markets.
Book Synopsis Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness by : Francis X. Diebold
Download or read book Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2015-02-03 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Connections among different assets, asset classes, portfolios, and the stocks of individual institutions are critical in examining financial markets. Interest in financial markets implies interest in underlying macroeconomic fundamentals. In Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness, Frank Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz propose a simple framework for defining, measuring, and monitoring connectedness, which is central to finance and macroeconomics. These measures of connectedness are theoretically rigorous yet empirically relevant. The approach to connectedness proposed by the authors is intimately related to the familiar econometric notion of variance decomposition. The full set of variance decompositions from vector auto-regressions produces the core of the 'connectedness table.' The connectedness table makes clear how one can begin with the most disaggregated pair-wise directional connectedness measures and aggregate them in various ways to obtain total connectedness measures. The authors also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so that these proposed connectedness measures are intimately related to key measures of connectedness used in the network literature. After describing their methods in the first part of the book, the authors proceed to characterize daily return and volatility connectedness across major asset (stock, bond, foreign exchange and commodity) markets as well as the financial institutions within the U.S. and across countries since late 1990s. These specific measures of volatility connectedness show that stock markets played a critical role in spreading the volatility shocks from the U.S. to other countries. Furthermore, while the return connectedness across stock markets increased gradually over time the volatility connectedness measures were subject to significant jumps during major crisis events. This book examines not only financial connectedness, but also real fundamental connectedness. In particular, the authors show that global business cycle connectedness is economically significant and time-varying, that the U.S. has disproportionately high connectedness to others, and that pairwise country connectedness is inversely related to bilateral trade surpluses.
Book Synopsis Essays in International Finance by : Oussama M'saddek
Download or read book Essays in International Finance written by Oussama M'saddek and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of an introductory chapter and three empirical studies that contribute to the international finance literature by investigating the dynamics of cojumps between major equity markets and assessing their impact on international portfolio allocation and asset pricing. The first study aims to examine the impact of cojumps between international stock markets on asset holdings and portfolio diversification benefits. Using intraday index-based data for exchange-traded funds (SPY, EFA and EEM) as proxies for international equity markets, we document evidence of significant intraday cojumps, with the intensity increasing during the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. The application of the Hawkes process also shows that jumps propagate from the US and other developed markets to emerging markets. However, the evidence of jump spillover from emerging markets to developed markets is weak. To assess the impact of cojumps on international asset holdings, we consider a representative American investor who allocates his wealth among one domestic risky asset, the SPY fund, and two foreign risky assets, the EFA and EEM funds and compute the optimal portfolio composition from the US investor perspective by minimizing the portfolio's risk. We find that the demand of foreign assets is negatively correlated to jump correlation, implying that a domestic investor will invest less in foreign markets when the frequency of cojumps between domestic and foreign assets increases. In contrast, idiosyncratic jumps are found to increase the diversification benefits and foreign asset holdings in international equity portfolios.The second study tackles the issue of pricing of both continuous and jump risks in the cross-section of international stock returns. We contribute to the literature on international asset pricing by considering a general pricing framework involving six separate market risk factors. We first decompose the systematic market risk into intraday and overnight components. The intraday market risk includes both continuous and jump parts. We then consider the asymmetry and size effects of market jumps by separating the systematic jump risk into positive vs. negative and small vs. large components. Using the intraday data of a set of country exchange traded funds covering developed, emerging and frontier markets, we show that continuous and downside discontinuous risks are positively rewarded in the cross-section of expected stock returns during the pre-financial crisis period whereas the upside and large jump risks are negatively priced during the crisis and post-crisis periods.The third study examines how international equity markets respond to aggregate market jumps at price and volatility levels. Using intraday data of ten exchange-traded funds covering major developed and emerging markets and two international market volatility indices (VIX and VXEEM), we show that both price and volatility jump betas are time-varying and exhibit asymmetric effects across upside and downside market movements. Looking at the relation between future stock market returns and aggregate market price and volatility jumps, we measure the proportion of future excess returns explained by market price and volatility jumps and provide evidence of a significant predictive power that market price and volatility jumps have on future stock returns.
Book Synopsis The Asymmetric Return - Volatility Relationship of Commodity Price Changes by : Dirk G. Baur
Download or read book The Asymmetric Return - Volatility Relationship of Commodity Price Changes written by Dirk G. Baur and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is a well documented asymmetric return - volatility effect of equity returns, that is, negative shocks increase volatility by more than positive shocks. This paper analyzes the return - volatility relationship of commodity price changes and finds an inverted asymmetric effect with a tendency to weaken and converge towards an equity-like effect since the mid 2000s. The change in the asymmetric relationship coincides with the financialization of commodity markets and thus provides an alternative perspective for this phenomenon. We argue that storage and real demand related price movements are increasingly dominated by finance-related price movements where positive commodity price changes provide positive signals for the economy whilst negative price changes provide negative signals and increase volatility.
Book Synopsis Asymmetric Return Patterns by : Twm Evans
Download or read book Asymmetric Return Patterns written by Twm Evans and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent evidence has suggested an asymmetric effect in the return dynamics of the US on the basis of the number of positive and negative consecutive return or holding days. This note extends that analysis by considering 33 international stock indices and longer consecutive day and holding periods. The results of this analysis may be of interest not only to those engaged in technical trading but also portfolio managers. Our results suggest that such asymmetric return patterns are identified for all stock markets and on both definitions of return continuations. Further, we also identify that consecutive positive return days exhibit a greater degree of persistence than consecutive negative return days. Finally, using the holding-period definition we also attempt to identify whether longer holding periods are always associated with increased returns. Evidence here whilst generally supportive is not ubiquitous, furthermore, the majority of the increase in returns occurs over a holding period of seven to ten days, with more limited increases over the remainder of the 45 day holding-period considered. This latter result may be of particular importance to those engaged in portfolio building.
Book Synopsis Volume Effect, Volatility, and International Transmission Between Stock Markets (In French). by : Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi
Download or read book Volume Effect, Volatility, and International Transmission Between Stock Markets (In French). written by Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using daily data covering the 1988-1995 period, this paper checks the effects of three kinds of determinants on the main stock market indices of the G5: interactions between return and volatility, international transmission mechanisms and impact of trading volumes. The non-significance of expected volatility in return equation can be explained by the influence of trading volumes on returns. On the other hand, asymmetric effects (from non-expected return to volatility) are very high, especially for Dow Jones, DAX and Nikkei. International transmission mechanisms are very clear-cut for return equations (in particular, from Dow Jones to other stock market indices), but much more contrasted for volatility equations. The trading volumes have marked effects on all the markets, both in the return and in the volatility equations.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Exchange Rates by : Jessica James
Download or read book Handbook of Exchange Rates written by Jessica James and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-05-29 with total page 674 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Handbook of Exchange Rates “This book is remarkable. I expect it to become the anchor reference for people working in the foreign exchange field.” —Richard K. Lyons, Dean and Professor of Finance, Haas School of Business, University of California Berkeley “It is quite easily the most wide ranging treaty of expertise on the forex market I have ever come across. I will be keeping a copy close to my fingertips.” —Jim O’Neill, Chairman, Goldman Sachs Asset Management How should we evaluate the forecasting power of models? What are appropriate loss functions for major market participants? Is the exchange rate the only means of adjustment? Handbook of Exchange Rates answers these questions and many more, equipping readers with the relevant concepts and policies for working in today’s international economic climate. Featuring contributions written by leading specialists from the global financial arena, this handbook provides a collection of original ideas on foreign exchange (FX) rates in four succinct sections: • Overview introduces the history of the FX market and exchange rate regimes, discussing key instruments in the trading environment as well as macro and micro approaches to FX determination. • Exchange Rate Models and Methods focuses on forecasting exchange rates, featuring methodological contributions on the statistical methods for evaluating forecast performance, parity relationships, fair value models, and flow–based models. • FX Markets and Products outlines active currency management, currency hedging, hedge accounting; high frequency and algorithmic trading in FX; and FX strategy-based products. • FX Markets and Policy explores the current policies in place in global markets and presents a framework for analyzing financial crises. Throughout the book, topics are explored in-depth alongside their founding principles. Each chapter uses real-world examples from the financial industry and concludes with a summary that outlines key points and concepts. Handbook of Exchange Rates is an essential reference for fund managers and investors as well as practitioners and researchers working in finance, banking, business, and econometrics. The book also serves as a valuable supplement for courses on economics, business, and international finance at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.
