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Assessing Risks To Stability In Sub Saharan Africa
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Book Synopsis Assessing Risks to Stability in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Richard Downie
Download or read book Assessing Risks to Stability in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Richard Downie and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This study examines potential fissures and stressors that might lead in the coming decade to signifant social dislocation or political instability in 10 African countries presented. The case studies are not intended to offer hard and fast predictions about the future. Each sketches out potential scenarios for the next 10 years, but the purpose of these scenarios is to illustrate how different dynamics and underlying vulnerabilities might converge to create the conditions for instability. Few, if any, of the countries in this series are at imminent risk of breakdown. All of them have coping mechanisms that militate against conflict, and discussions of potential "worst-case scenarios" have to be viewed with this qualification in mind."--P. iv.
Download or read book Nigeria written by Peter Lewis and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nigeria is Africa's most populous country, with an estimated 155 million people, and among its most diverse, with more than 250 distinct ethnic and linguistic groups. Islam and Christianity are nearly equally represented, while African traditional religions are also prevalent. The country has abundant natural resources, including the largest oil and gas reserves in sub-Saharan Africa. Since gaining independence from Britain in 1960, Nigeria has reflected deep-seated divisions, pervasive instability, and recurring conflict. The challenges to stability in Nigeria can be seen along political, social, and economic dimensions. There is no question that Nigeria contends with multiple vulnerabilities, and that the specter of failure is often present. Yet the country also embodies important sources of resilience, including institutional innovation, elite bargaining, and civic resources for attenuating conflict. It remains an open question whether Nigeria will realize a more positive trajectory, continue to experience stagnation and violence, or suffer a descent into calamity. The pivotal elements that could determine these alternate paths include elections, leadership, elite strategies, and key economic indicators.
Book Synopsis Stress Testing in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Mindaugas Leika
Download or read book Stress Testing in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Mindaugas Leika and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-05-11 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper finds that supervisory stress tests are conducted in more than half of sub-Saharan African countries, particularly in western and southern Africa, and that the number of individual stress tests has grown exponentially since the early 2010s. By contrast, few central banks publish assessments of macro-financial linkages; the focus leans more toward discussing trends and weaknesses within the financial sector than on outside risks that may negatively affect its performance.
Download or read book Uganda written by Joel D. Barkan and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For much of its postcolonial history, Uganda has provided a textbook example of so-called big man rule. The regimes of Milton Obote and Idi Amin were brutal and highly personalized. Yoweri Museveni promised something different. Yet, 25 years later, Museveni has failed to break the mold of Ugandan politics. There is a veneer of democracy, marked by regular elections, yet achieved on an unlevel playing field. Uganda's government is in essence an authoritarian patronage-based regime, albeit one that can still count on considerable yet tepid support from a population for whom the memory of war and civil conflict is still fairly recent. This style of governance has major implications for the future stability of Uganda. Although the long-term threats to Uganda are mostly internal, the short-term challenges come mainly from outside. The most immediate one is the potential spillover effect of instability in South Sudan.
Book Synopsis Killing Sub-Saharan Africa with Aid by : Humphrey Orjiako
Download or read book Killing Sub-Saharan Africa with Aid written by Humphrey Orjiako and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2001 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Annotation. Orijiako, who is not identified, examines the hypothesis that rather than promoting growth and development in sub-Saharan Africa, foreign aid interventions may have contributed in no small measure to the poor performance of the region's economies. Challenging conventional views that problems are technical details of delivery or administration, he suggests that an economy operating under appropriate circumstances and conditions may not require foreign aid to succeed, and presents historical records, common sense, and cognate experiments to bolster the view. c. Book News Inc.
Download or read book Rwanda written by Jennifer G. Cooke and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seventeen years after the 1994 civil war and genocide, Rwanda is apparently stable, posting consistently strong economic growth rates and managing the country's considerable development assistance revenues effectively and transparently. But the country's apparent stability masks deep-rooted tensions, unresolved resentments, and an authoritarian government that is unwilling to countenance criticism or open political debate. There is a real risk that, if left unaddressed, those shortcomings could exacerbate tensions and ultimately drive broader instability.
Download or read book Kenya written by Joel D. Barkan and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The violence that erupted in Kenya following the disputed outcome of the 2007 presidential election shook the country to its core and challenged the complacent view of many in the international community that Kenya was not a country to "worry about". For the past two decades, political life in Kenya has been characterized by a long-term struggle between two opposing forces: the "dinosaurs" who wish to cling to the old style of identity politics, and the "modernizers" who wish to break out of that mold, establishing a more inclusive and accountable political system. For now the outcome is uncertain. Growing economic inequalities, the influx of Somali refugees, the impact of climate change and environmental degradation, and rampant urbanization are all emerging issues that have the potential to destabilize the country in the long term.
Download or read book Sudan written by Richard Downie and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sudan's long-term stability depends on whether the country's North and South can reach and fully implement equitable agreements on the terms of their separation in July 2011. North Sudan faces a highly volatile period during the next decade. The ruling National Congress Party will face growing calls for political change, an economic slump, and the possibility of armed challenges from within. There is the added risk of contagion from the uprisings seen elsewhere in North Africa. The regime will most likely use violence to confront these challenges. The prospect of civil war cannot be ruled out. South Sudan faces the enormous challenge of the need to establish a functioning state with few resources in the face of serious security challenges. Its stability will depend on establishing its legitimacy as a state, which will mean being able to provide services to its citizens and keeping them safe. The next decade is likely to see slow progress checked by frequent reversals.
Download or read book Botswana written by David Throup and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Botswana's economy remains highly dependent on diamond revenues, and repeated efforts to create alternative types of economic growth and job creation have failed. [...] In the short term, Botswana's main vulnerability is its dependence on regional dynamics. As a landlocked and agriculturally unproductive country, Botswana is economically dependent on South Africa for its critical needs such as food, petroleum, and electricity. Thus, an economic or political crisis in South Africa would have significant subsequent effects in Botswana. Botswana's ruling political party is in long-term decline. Although the potential for social upheaval is minimal, a change in the political balance of power is possible during the next decade."--P. 1.
Book Synopsis Systemic Risk Assessment in Low Income Countries by : Daniela Marchettini
Download or read book Systemic Risk Assessment in Low Income Countries written by Daniela Marchettini and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-08-12 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a toolkit for the assessment of systemic risk buildup in low income countries. We show that, due to non-linearity in the relationship between credit and financial stability, the assessment should be conducted with different tools at different stages of financial development. In particular, when the level of financial depth is low, traditional leading indicators of banking crises have poor predictive performance and the analysis should be based on indicators that account for financial deepening while taking into consideration countries’ structural limits. By using this framework, we provide a preliminary assessment of systemic risk buildup in individual SSA countries.
Book Synopsis FinTech in Sub-Saharan African Countries by : Mr.Amadou N Sy
Download or read book FinTech in Sub-Saharan African Countries written by Mr.Amadou N Sy and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-02-14 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: FinTech is a major force shaping the structure of the financial industry in sub-Saharan Africa. New technologies are being developed and implemented in sub-Saharan Africa with the potential to change the competitive landscape in the financial industry. While it raises concerns on the emergence of vulnerabilities, FinTech challenges traditional structures and creates efficiency gains by opening up the financial services value chain. Today, FinTech is emerging as a technological enabler in the region, improving financial inclusion and serving as a catalyst for the emergence of innovations in other sectors, such as agriculture and infrastructure.
Download or read book Senegal written by Leonardo A. Villalón and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Senegal's contentious politics pose the most likely threat to stability in the coming years. President Abdoulaye Wade's intention to run for reelection in 2012 is likely to be a lightning rod of opposition. His victory would not be accepted by a significant proportion of Senegal's urban population; neither would any attempt by President Wade to line up his son, Karim, as his successor. Although unlikely to provoke any real and substantive instability, three other sources of political conflict remain noteworthy: intrareligious tensions among the Muslim majority; policy debates arising from anxiety about the increasing role of religion and politics in the era of democracy; and the ongoing conflict in the Casamance region, the southern portion of Senegal, which is largely cut off from the north by the country of Gambia. In the long term, the economy will remain a major challenge to stability, regardless of the government in power. Sturctural problems must be addressed, such as diversifying a limited resource base, providing for a swelling urban population, and employing a growing class of educated youth with rising expectations. The government's ability to manage urban poverty will prove crucial to maintaining credibility and quelling discontent."--P. 1.
Download or read book Sub-Saharan Africa written by World Bank and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 3. Investing in people.
Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council
Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
Download or read book Ghana written by David Throup and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Ghana's prospects for long-term stability are being undermined by important structural weaknesses. The political system is highly centralized, the executive is excessively powerful, and patronage politics is corroding public institutions. Social pressures are building due to the slow decline of the country's agricultural sector and its inability to provide jobs for its growing workforce. In the next 5 to 10 years, the main threats to Ghanaian stability will stem from the social and macroeconomic impact of its new oil export sector, the influence of drug trafficking on its political system, and youth unemployment. The 2012 elections are likely to be the single most significant potential trigger of violence in the near term. Ghana's two main parties are closely matched and are highly antagonistic toward each other. A contested election result is possible."--P. 1.
Download or read book Ethiopia written by Terrence Lyons and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the short to medium terms, Ethiopia is likely to remain stable but brittle. The authoritarian ruling party, the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front, has consolidated power across all levels of government and society, efficiently suppressing political opposition. The choice of a long-term successor to Prime Minister Meles Zenawi is likely to expose tensions within the ruling EPRDF and its ethnically defined subparties, and exacerbate friction between some of Ehtiopia's most volatile regions. Ethiopia faces multiple security threats, which taken alone can be contained by the military but if comgined would threaten to overwhelm the state, triggering serious instability and violence. Constant vigilance is required by Ethiopia to prevent its enemies in Eritrea and Somalia from linking up with internal armed groups such as the Oromo Libeeration Front and the Ogaden National Liberation Front.
Book Synopsis Financial Development in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Mr.Montfort Mlachila
Download or read book Financial Development in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Mr.Montfort Mlachila and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-14 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses how sub-Saharan Africa’s financial sector developed in the past few decades, compared with other regions. Sub-Saharan African countries have made substantial progress in financial development over the past decade, but there is still considerable scope for further development, especially compared with other regions. Indeed, until a decade or so ago, the level of financial development in a large number of sub-Saharan African countries had actually regressed relative to the early 1980s. With the exception of the region’s middle-income countries, both financial market depth and institutional development are lower than in other developing regions. The region has led the world in innovative financial services based on mobile telephony, but there remains scope to increase financial inclusion further. The development of mobile telephone-based systems has helped to incorporate a large share of the population into the financial system, especially in East Africa. Pan-African banks have been a driver for homegrown financial development, but they also bring a number of challenges.
