An Alternative Estimate of Canadian Potential Output

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 13 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis An Alternative Estimate of Canadian Potential Output by : Lise Pichette

Download or read book An Alternative Estimate of Canadian Potential Output written by Lise Pichette and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "In this paper, we extend the state-space methodology proposed by Blagrave et al. (2015) and decompose Canadian potential output into trend labour productivity and trend labour input. As in Blagrave et al. (2015), we include output growth and inflation expectations from consensus forecasts to help refine our estimates. Our alternative model, which we call the multivariate state-space framework (MSSF), adds to the Bank's existing set of tools for estimating potential output and the output gap in Canada. We find that while the MSSF shares similar dynamics to the main approaches used by the Bank, it also indicates that the economy experienced greater excess supply in both the 1990 and 2008 recessions than the Bank's other tools would suggest. Finally, the MSSF estimates that the Canadian economy has been operating close to capacity since the end of 2017"--Abstract.

Estimating Sri Lanka’s Potential Output

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475515383
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating Sri Lanka’s Potential Output by : Ding Ding

Download or read book Estimating Sri Lanka’s Potential Output written by Ding Ding and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-03-11 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we present various techniques to estimate Sri Lanka’s potential output and output gap, including statistical and model-based approaches. Compared to conventional statistical filters that rely exclusively on information in a single series, the model-based approaches allow potential output estimates to incorporate information contained in observable data series including inflation, actual output, unemployment and capacity utilization. The estimation results suggest that Sri Lanka’s potential output has risen slightly in the last few years.

A Comparison of Alternative Methodologies for Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap [electronic Resource]

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (497 download)

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Book Synopsis A Comparison of Alternative Methodologies for Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap [electronic Resource] by : Bank of Canada

Download or read book A Comparison of Alternative Methodologies for Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap [electronic Resource] written by Bank of Canada and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Estimating Poland's Potential Output

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451962096
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating Poland's Potential Output by : Mr.Natan P. Epstein

Download or read book Estimating Poland's Potential Output written by Mr.Natan P. Epstein and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper develops a methodology based on the production-function approach to estimate potential output of the Polish economy. The paper concentrates on obtaining a robust estimate of the labor input by deriving Poland's natural rate of unemployment. The estimated unemployment gap is found to track well pressures on resource constraints. Moreover, the overall results show that, prior to the recent global financial crisis, Poland's output and employment were both growing above potential. The production function is also used to derive medium-term projections of the output gap. According to our methodology, in the aftermath of the global crisis, Poland is not expected to experience a sizable and persistent negative output gap.

Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates

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Publisher : Peterson Institute
ISBN 13 : 9780881320763
Total Pages : 608 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (27 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates by : John Williamson

Download or read book Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by John Williamson and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 1994 with total page 608 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The problems of exchange rate misalignments and the resulting payments imbalances have plagued the world economy for decades. At the Louvre Accord of 1987, the Group of Five industrial countries adopted a system of reference ranges for exchange rate management, influenced by proposals of C. Fred Bergstan and John Williamson for a target zone system. The reference range approach has, however, been operated only intermittently and half-heartedly, and questions continue to be raised in policy and scholarly circles about the design and operation of a full-fledged target zone regime. This volume, with chapters by leading international economists, explores one crucial issue in the design of a target zone system: the problem of calculating Williamson's concept of the fundamental equilibrium exchange rate (FEER). Williamson contributes an overview of the policy and analytic issues and a second chapter on his own calculations.

Projecting Potential Output

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3790821764
Total Pages : 201 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis Projecting Potential Output by : Sebastian Hauptmeier

Download or read book Projecting Potential Output written by Sebastian Hauptmeier and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-03-20 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In spite of the widespread use of the concept of potential output in economic theory and empirical applications as well as in economic policy debates, the historical background and the assumptions inherent to this concept are rarely made transparent, let alone critically questioned. Against this background this book sets out to determine the extent to which the concept of potential output rests on clearly defined theoretical foundations and how far prevailing empirical quantification methods really provide reliable insights into potential output growth of an economy. In addition, the authors examine alternative methods for a forward-looking assessment of potential output growth.

Canada

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451806876
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Canada by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Canada written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2001-04-23 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Canadian economy ended the 1990s with a very strong performance, underpinned by the sound macroeconomic policies put in place during the decade. The Bank of Canada raised interest rates markedly in 2000 as estimates of slack in the economy were narrowing rapidly. Executive Directors agreed with the authorities' view that monetary policy should be set to reflect economic conditions in Canada and should aim to allow the economy to seek its productive potential without compromising the official inflation target.

The Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Projection Model (QPM)

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780662251019
Total Pages : 98 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (51 download)

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Book Synopsis The Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Projection Model (QPM) by : Leo Butler

Download or read book The Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Projection Model (QPM) written by Leo Butler and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 98 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The level of potential output plays a central role in the Bank of Canada's new Quarterly Projection Model (QPM). This report describes a general method to measure potential output, as well as its implementation in the QPM system. The report begins with a short history of the measurement of potential output. Building on this experience, a hybrid method of measuring potential output is developed that combines economic structure with a time-series filter. The resulting filter, known as the extended multivariate (EMV) filter, exploits theoretical relationships that are embodied in QPM in an effort to identify demand-side and supply-side influences on output. These various relationships are combined in a filter that imposes a smoothness property on the dynamics of potential output. The report describes the general structure of the EMV filter, the various economic relationships that it uses, and the weights applied to these different pieces of information. It concludes with an evaluation of the EMV filter and some suggestions for future improvements.

Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475598386
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States by : Ali Alichi

Download or read book Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States written by Ali Alichi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-04 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimates of potential output are an important component of a structured forecasting and policy analysis system. Using information on capacity utilization, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Laxton and Tetlow (1992) and modified by Benes and others (2010), Blagrave and others (2015), and Alichi and others (2015). We show that, although still fairly uncertain, the real-time estimates from this approach are more accurate than estimates constructed from naïve univariate statistical filters. The paper presents illustrative estimates for the United States and discusses how the end-of-sample estimates can be improved with additional information.

Estimating Potential Output for New Zealand

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating Potential Output for New Zealand by : Iris Claus

Download or read book Estimating Potential Output for New Zealand written by Iris Claus and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Estimates of Potential Output and the Neutral Rate for the U.S. Economy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484366328
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimates of Potential Output and the Neutral Rate for the U.S. Economy by : Ali Alichi

Download or read book Estimates of Potential Output and the Neutral Rate for the U.S. Economy written by Ali Alichi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-06 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimates of potential output and the neutral short-term interest rate play important roles in policy making. However, such estimates are associated with significant uncertainty and subject to significant revisions. This paper extends the structural multivariate filter methodology by adding a monetary policy block, which allows estimating the neutral rate of interest for the U.S. economy. The addition of the monetary policy block further improves the reliability of the structural multivariate filter.

The Euro Area Business Cycle

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Publisher : Centre for Economic Policy Research
ISBN 13 : 1898128839
Total Pages : 103 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (981 download)

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Book Synopsis The Euro Area Business Cycle by : Lucrezia Reichlin

Download or read book The Euro Area Business Cycle written by Lucrezia Reichlin and published by Centre for Economic Policy Research. This book was released on 2004 with total page 103 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Simple Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475565135
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis A Simple Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output by : Patrick Blagrave

Download or read book A Simple Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output written by Patrick Blagrave and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-04-07 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimates of potential output are an important ingredient of structured forecasting and policy analysis. Using information on consensus forecasts, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Benes and others (2010). Although the estimates in real time are more robust relative to those of naïve statistical filters, there is still significant uncertainty surrounding the estimates. The paper presents estimates for 16 countries and provides an example of how the filtered estimates at the end of the sample period can be improved with additional information.

Sweden

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451835922
Total Pages : 79 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Sweden by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Sweden written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-10-12 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper describes a variety of methodologies for estimating a country’s potential output level and presents empirical estimates for Sweden. The paper explains why these methods produce a variety of results, some of which are more plausible than others. The paper looks more closely at one aspect of growth in potential output: how it has been affected by the structural policy improvements of the past several years. The paper examines the pattern of output and unemployment over time to separate permanent changes from cyclical and other temporary changes.

Israel

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451819447
Total Pages : 114 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Israel by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Israel written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-04-05 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews economic developments in Israel during the 1990s. The paper analyzes tax revenue shortfalls in 1995–97. The factors that have contributed to overruns in the budget deficit relative to its targeted level are examined. The analysis indicates that the main difficulty has stemmed from the revenue side, and details the various areas where problems have occurred. The paper examines whether stable estimating equations for the major tax components can be established. The paper also examines volatility of interest rates in Israel.

Canadian Statistical Review

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 930 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Canadian Statistical Review by :

Download or read book Canadian Statistical Review written by and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 930 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Aggregate Demand and Employment

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1786432056
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (864 download)

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Book Synopsis Aggregate Demand and Employment by : Brian K. MacLean

Download or read book Aggregate Demand and Employment written by Brian K. MacLean and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2020-03-28 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With an emphasis on developments during and after the Great Recession, and paying due attention to the impacts of austerity policies, the chapters assembled for this book explain that high growth of aggregate demand is as essential as ever for achieving full employment and rising living standards. Written by distinguished Keynesian and Post-Keynesian economists from diverse national backgrounds, the book tackles critical theoretical and empirical issues to illuminate the economic experiences both of large geographic regions such as Europe, Latin America, and Africa, as well as specific national economies including the USA, Japan, India, and Canada.