Age Of Inference

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Age of Inference

Author : Philip C. Short
Publisher : IAP
ISBN 13 : 1648027997
Total Pages : 487 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (48 download)

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Book Synopsis Age of Inference by : Philip C. Short

Download or read book Age of Inference written by Philip C. Short and published by IAP. This book was released on 2021-12-01 with total page 487 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In an age where we are inundated with information, the ability to discern verifiable information to make proper decisions and solve problems is ever more critical. Modern science, which espouses a systematic approach to making “inferences,” requires a certain mindset that allows for a degree of comfort with uncertainty. This book offers inspirations and ideas for cultivating the proper mindset for the studying, teaching, and practicing of science that will be useful for those new to as well as familiar with the field. Although a paradigm shift from traditional instruction is suggested in the National Framework for K-12 science, this volume is intended to help educators develop a personal mental framework in which to transition from a teacher-centered, didactical approach to a student-centered, evidence-guided curriculum. While the topics of the book derive from currently published literature on STEM education as they relate to the National Framework for K-12 Science and the Three-Dimensional science instruction embedded in the Next Generation Science Standards, this book also examines these topics in the context of a new societal age posited as the “Age of Inference” and addresses how to make sense of the ever-increasing deluge of information that we are experiencing by having a scientific and properly discerning mindset. ENDORSEMENTS: "This volume takes on one of the thorniest existential problems of our time, the contradiction between the exponentially growing amount of information that individuals have access to, and the diminished capacity of those individuals to understand it. Its chapters provide the reader with an introduction to the relationship between knowledge, science, and inference; needed new approaches to learning science in our new data rich world; and a discussion of what we can and must do to reduce or eliminate the growing gap between the inference have’s and have nots. It is not too much to say that how we resolve the issues outlined in this volume will determine the future of our species on this planet." — Joseph L. Graves Jr., Professor of Biological Sciences North Carolina A&T State University, Fellow, American Association for the Advancement of Science: Biological Sciences, Author of: The Emperor’s New Clothes: Biological Theories of Race at the Millennium "Big data is not enough for addressing dangers to the environment or tackling threats to democracy; we need the ability to draw sound inferences from the data. Cultivating a scientific mindset requires fundamental changes to the way we teach and learn. This important and well -written volume shows how." — Ashok Goel, Professor of Computer Science and Human Centered Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology. Editor of AI Magazine Founding Editor of AAAI’s Interactive AI Magazine "If you are a science teacher concerned about the implications of information overload, analysis paralysis, and intellectual complacency on our health, economic future, and democracy, then I recommend this book." — Michael Svec, Professor for Physics and Astronomy Education, Furman University, Fulbright Scholar to Czech Republic

Computer Age Statistical Inference, Student Edition

Author : Bradley Efron
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108915876
Total Pages : 514 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Computer Age Statistical Inference, Student Edition by : Bradley Efron

Download or read book Computer Age Statistical Inference, Student Edition written by Bradley Efron and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-06-17 with total page 514 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The twenty-first century has seen a breathtaking expansion of statistical methodology, both in scope and influence. 'Data science' and 'machine learning' have become familiar terms in the news, as statistical methods are brought to bear upon the enormous data sets of modern science and commerce. How did we get here? And where are we going? How does it all fit together? Now in paperback and fortified with exercises, this book delivers a concentrated course in modern statistical thinking. Beginning with classical inferential theories - Bayesian, frequentist, Fisherian - individual chapters take up a series of influential topics: survival analysis, logistic regression, empirical Bayes, the jackknife and bootstrap, random forests, neural networks, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, inference after model selection, and dozens more. The distinctly modern approach integrates methodology and algorithms with statistical inference. Each chapter ends with class-tested exercises, and the book concludes with speculation on the future direction of statistics and data science.

Computer Age Statistical Inference

Author : Bradley Efron
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108107958
Total Pages : 496 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Computer Age Statistical Inference by : Bradley Efron

Download or read book Computer Age Statistical Inference written by Bradley Efron and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-07-21 with total page 496 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The twenty-first century has seen a breathtaking expansion of statistical methodology, both in scope and in influence. 'Big data', 'data science', and 'machine learning' have become familiar terms in the news, as statistical methods are brought to bear upon the enormous data sets of modern science and commerce. How did we get here? And where are we going? This book takes us on an exhilarating journey through the revolution in data analysis following the introduction of electronic computation in the 1950s. Beginning with classical inferential theories - Bayesian, frequentist, Fisherian - individual chapters take up a series of influential topics: survival analysis, logistic regression, empirical Bayes, the jackknife and bootstrap, random forests, neural networks, Markov chain Monte Carlo, inference after model selection, and dozens more. The distinctly modern approach integrates methodology and algorithms with statistical inference. The book ends with speculation on the future direction of statistics and data science.

Statistical Inference

Author : George Casella
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1040024025
Total Pages : 1746 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Inference by : George Casella

Download or read book Statistical Inference written by George Casella and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2024-05-23 with total page 1746 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This classic textbook builds theoretical statistics from the first principles of probability theory. Starting from the basics of probability, the authors develop the theory of statistical inference using techniques, definitions, and concepts that are statistical and natural extensions, and consequences, of previous concepts. It covers all topics from a standard inference course including: distributions, random variables, data reduction, point estimation, hypothesis testing, and interval estimation. Features The classic graduate-level textbook on statistical inference Develops elements of statistical theory from first principles of probability Written in a lucid style accessible to anyone with some background in calculus Covers all key topics of a standard course in inference Hundreds of examples throughout to aid understanding Each chapter includes an extensive set of graduated exercises Statistical Inference, Second Edition is primarily aimed at graduate students of statistics, but can be used by advanced undergraduate students majoring in statistics who have a solid mathematics background. It also stresses the more practical uses of statistical theory, being more concerned with understanding basic statistical concepts and deriving reasonable statistical procedures, while less focused on formal optimality considerations. This is a reprint of the second edition originally published by Cengage Learning, Inc. in 2001.

Order Statistics & Inference

Author : Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 1483297497
Total Pages : 399 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Order Statistics & Inference by : Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

Download or read book Order Statistics & Inference written by Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-06-28 with total page 399 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The literature on order statistics and inferenc eis quite extensive and covers a large number of fields ,but most of it is dispersed throughout numerous publications. This volume is the consolidtion of the most important results and places an emphasis on estimation. Both theoretical and computational procedures are presented to meet the needs of researchers, professionals, and students. The methods of estimation discussed are well-illustrated with numerous practical examples from both the physical and life sciences, including sociology,psychology,a nd electrical and chemical engineering. A complete, comprehensive bibliography is included so the book can be used both aas a text and reference.

Parametric Statistical Inference

Author : James K. Lindsey
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780198523598
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (235 download)

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Book Synopsis Parametric Statistical Inference by : James K. Lindsey

Download or read book Parametric Statistical Inference written by James K. Lindsey and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1996 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Two unifying components of statistics are the likelihood function and the exponential family. These are brought together for the first time as the central themes in this book on statistical inference, written for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in mathematical statistics.

Causal Inference

Author : Scott Cunningham
Publisher : Yale University Press
ISBN 13 : 0300251688
Total Pages : 585 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Causal Inference by : Scott Cunningham

Download or read book Causal Inference written by Scott Cunningham and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2021-01-26 with total page 585 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An accessible, contemporary introduction to the methods for determining cause and effect in the social sciences "Causation versus correlation has been the basis of arguments--economic and otherwise--since the beginning of time. Causal Inference: The Mixtape uses legit real-world examples that I found genuinely thought-provoking. It's rare that a book prompts readers to expand their outlook; this one did for me."--Marvin Young (Young MC) Causal inference encompasses the tools that allow social scientists to determine what causes what. In a messy world, causal inference is what helps establish the causes and effects of the actions being studied--for example, the impact (or lack thereof) of increases in the minimum wage on employment, the effects of early childhood education on incarceration later in life, or the influence on economic growth of introducing malaria nets in developing regions. Scott Cunningham introduces students and practitioners to the methods necessary to arrive at meaningful answers to the questions of causation, using a range of modeling techniques and coding instructions for both the R and the Stata programming languages.

Statistical and Inductive Inference by Minimum Message Length

Author : C.S. Wallace
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780387237954
Total Pages : 456 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical and Inductive Inference by Minimum Message Length by : C.S. Wallace

Download or read book Statistical and Inductive Inference by Minimum Message Length written by C.S. Wallace and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-05-26 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Minimum Message Length (MML) Principle is an information-theoretic approach to induction, hypothesis testing, model selection, and statistical inference. MML, which provides a formal specification for the implementation of Occam's Razor, asserts that the ‘best’ explanation of observed data is the shortest. Further, an explanation is acceptable (i.e. the induction is justified) only if the explanation is shorter than the original data. This book gives a sound introduction to the Minimum Message Length Principle and its applications, provides the theoretical arguments for the adoption of the principle, and shows the development of certain approximations that assist its practical application. MML appears also to provide both a normative and a descriptive basis for inductive reasoning generally, and scientific induction in particular. The book describes this basis and aims to show its relevance to the Philosophy of Science. Statistical and Inductive Inference by Minimum Message Length will be of special interest to graduate students and researchers in Machine Learning and Data Mining, scientists and analysts in various disciplines wishing to make use of computer techniques for hypothesis discovery, statisticians and econometricians interested in the underlying theory of their discipline, and persons interested in the Philosophy of Science. The book could also be used in a graduate-level course in Machine Learning and Estimation and Model-selection, Econometrics and Data Mining. C.S. Wallace was appointed Foundation Chair of Computer Science at Monash University in 1968, at the age of 35, where he worked until his death in 2004. He received an ACM Fellowship in 1995, and was appointed Professor Emeritus in 1996. Professor Wallace made numerous significant contributions to diverse areas of Computer Science, such as Computer Architecture, Simulation and Machine Learning. His final research focused primarily on the Minimum Message Length Principle.

Statistical Inference as Severe Testing

Author : Deborah G. Mayo
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108563309
Total Pages : 503 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Inference as Severe Testing by : Deborah G. Mayo

Download or read book Statistical Inference as Severe Testing written by Deborah G. Mayo and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-09-20 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.

Causal Inference

Author : Miquel A. Hernan
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9781420076165
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (761 download)

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Book Synopsis Causal Inference by : Miquel A. Hernan

Download or read book Causal Inference written by Miquel A. Hernan and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-07-07 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The application of causal inference methods is growing exponentially in fields that deal with observational data. Written by pioneers in the field, this practical book presents an authoritative yet accessible overview of the methods and applications of causal inference. With a wide range of detailed, worked examples using real epidemiologic data as well as software for replicating the analyses, the text provides a thorough introduction to the basics of the theory for non-time-varying treatments and the generalization to complex longitudinal data.

A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem

Author : Gary King
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400849209
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem by : Gary King

Download or read book A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem written by Gary King and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-09-20 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a solution to the ecological inference problem, which has plagued users of statistical methods for over seventy-five years: How can researchers reliably infer individual-level behavior from aggregate (ecological) data? In political science, this question arises when individual-level surveys are unavailable (for instance, local or comparative electoral politics), unreliable (racial politics), insufficient (political geography), or infeasible (political history). This ecological inference problem also confronts researchers in numerous areas of major significance in public policy, and other academic disciplines, ranging from epidemiology and marketing to sociology and quantitative history. Although many have attempted to make such cross-level inferences, scholars agree that all existing methods yield very inaccurate conclusions about the world. In this volume, Gary King lays out a unique--and reliable--solution to this venerable problem. King begins with a qualitative overview, readable even by those without a statistical background. He then unifies the apparently diverse findings in the methodological literature, so that only one aggregation problem remains to be solved. He then presents his solution, as well as empirical evaluations of the solution that include over 16,000 comparisons of his estimates from real aggregate data to the known individual-level answer. The method works in practice. King's solution to the ecological inference problem will enable empirical researchers to investigate substantive questions that have heretofore proved unanswerable, and move forward fields of inquiry in which progress has been stifled by this problem.

Information Theory, Inference and Learning Algorithms

Author : David J. C. MacKay
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521642989
Total Pages : 694 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (429 download)

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Book Synopsis Information Theory, Inference and Learning Algorithms by : David J. C. MacKay

Download or read book Information Theory, Inference and Learning Algorithms written by David J. C. MacKay and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2003-09-25 with total page 694 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Information theory and inference, taught together in this exciting textbook, lie at the heart of many important areas of modern technology - communication, signal processing, data mining, machine learning, pattern recognition, computational neuroscience, bioinformatics and cryptography. The book introduces theory in tandem with applications. Information theory is taught alongside practical communication systems such as arithmetic coding for data compression and sparse-graph codes for error-correction. Inference techniques, including message-passing algorithms, Monte Carlo methods and variational approximations, are developed alongside applications to clustering, convolutional codes, independent component analysis, and neural networks. Uniquely, the book covers state-of-the-art error-correcting codes, including low-density-parity-check codes, turbo codes, and digital fountain codes - the twenty-first-century standards for satellite communications, disk drives, and data broadcast. Richly illustrated, filled with worked examples and over 400 exercises, some with detailed solutions, the book is ideal for self-learning, and for undergraduate or graduate courses. It also provides an unparalleled entry point for professionals in areas as diverse as computational biology, financial engineering and machine learning.

Hilbert Space Methods in Probability and Statistical Inference

Author : Christopher G. Small
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118165535
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis Hilbert Space Methods in Probability and Statistical Inference by : Christopher G. Small

Download or read book Hilbert Space Methods in Probability and Statistical Inference written by Christopher G. Small and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-09-15 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explains how Hilbert space techniques cross the boundaries into the foundations of probability and statistics. Focuses on the theory of martingales stochastic integration, interpolation and density estimation. Includes a copious amount of problems and examples.

Large-Scale Inference

Author : Bradley Efron
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139492136
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Large-Scale Inference by : Bradley Efron

Download or read book Large-Scale Inference written by Bradley Efron and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-11-29 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We live in a new age for statistical inference, where modern scientific technology such as microarrays and fMRI machines routinely produce thousands and sometimes millions of parallel data sets, each with its own estimation or testing problem. Doing thousands of problems at once is more than repeated application of classical methods. Taking an empirical Bayes approach, Bradley Efron, inventor of the bootstrap, shows how information accrues across problems in a way that combines Bayesian and frequentist ideas. Estimation, testing and prediction blend in this framework, producing opportunities for new methodologies of increased power. New difficulties also arise, easily leading to flawed inferences. This book takes a careful look at both the promise and pitfalls of large-scale statistical inference, with particular attention to false discovery rates, the most successful of the new statistical techniques. Emphasis is on the inferential ideas underlying technical developments, illustrated using a large number of real examples.

Computer Age Statistical Inference

Author : Bradley Efron
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107149894
Total Pages : 496 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Computer Age Statistical Inference by : Bradley Efron

Principles of Statistical Inference

Author : D. R. Cox
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139459139
Total Pages : 227 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles of Statistical Inference by : D. R. Cox

Download or read book Principles of Statistical Inference written by D. R. Cox and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2006-08-10 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this definitive book, D. R. Cox gives a comprehensive and balanced appraisal of statistical inference. He develops the key concepts, describing and comparing the main ideas and controversies over foundational issues that have been keenly argued for more than two-hundred years. Continuing a sixty-year career of major contributions to statistical thought, no one is better placed to give this much-needed account of the field. An appendix gives a more personal assessment of the merits of different ideas. The content ranges from the traditional to the contemporary. While specific applications are not treated, the book is strongly motivated by applications across the sciences and associated technologies. The mathematics is kept as elementary as feasible, though previous knowledge of statistics is assumed. The book will be valued by every user or student of statistics who is serious about understanding the uncertainty inherent in conclusions from statistical analyses.

Statistical Inference for Engineers and Data Scientists

Author : Pierre Moulin
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107185920
Total Pages : 423 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Inference for Engineers and Data Scientists by : Pierre Moulin

Download or read book Statistical Inference for Engineers and Data Scientists written by Pierre Moulin and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019 with total page 423 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A mathematically accessible textbook introducing all the tools needed to address modern inference problems in engineering and data science.