A Solution To The Ecological Inference Problem

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A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem

Author : Gary King
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400849209
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem by : Gary King

Download or read book A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem written by Gary King and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-09-20 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a solution to the ecological inference problem, which has plagued users of statistical methods for over seventy-five years: How can researchers reliably infer individual-level behavior from aggregate (ecological) data? In political science, this question arises when individual-level surveys are unavailable (for instance, local or comparative electoral politics), unreliable (racial politics), insufficient (political geography), or infeasible (political history). This ecological inference problem also confronts researchers in numerous areas of major significance in public policy, and other academic disciplines, ranging from epidemiology and marketing to sociology and quantitative history. Although many have attempted to make such cross-level inferences, scholars agree that all existing methods yield very inaccurate conclusions about the world. In this volume, Gary King lays out a unique--and reliable--solution to this venerable problem. King begins with a qualitative overview, readable even by those without a statistical background. He then unifies the apparently diverse findings in the methodological literature, so that only one aggregation problem remains to be solved. He then presents his solution, as well as empirical evaluations of the solution that include over 16,000 comparisons of his estimates from real aggregate data to the known individual-level answer. The method works in practice. King's solution to the ecological inference problem will enable empirical researchers to investigate substantive questions that have heretofore proved unanswerable, and move forward fields of inquiry in which progress has been stifled by this problem.

Ecological Inference

Author : Gary King
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521542807
Total Pages : 436 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (428 download)

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Book Synopsis Ecological Inference by : Gary King

Download or read book Ecological Inference written by Gary King and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-09-13 with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Drawing upon the recent explosion of research in the field, a diverse group of scholars surveys the latest strategies for solving ecological inference problems, the process of trying to infer individual behavior from aggregate data. The uncertainties and information lost in aggregation make ecological inference one of the most difficult areas of statistical inference, but these inferences are required in many academic fields, as well as by legislatures and the Courts in redistricting, marketing research by business, and policy analysis by governments. This wide-ranging collection of essays offers many fresh and important contributions to the study of ecological inference.

Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (16 download)

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Book Synopsis Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem by :

Download or read book Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cf.: http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR01132.v1.

Designing Social Inquiry

Author : Gary King
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691034710
Total Pages : 259 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Designing Social Inquiry by : Gary King

Download or read book Designing Social Inquiry written by Gary King and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 1994-05-22 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Designing Social Inquiry focuses on improving qualitative research, where numerical measurement is either impossible or undesirable. What are the right questions to ask? How should you define and make inferences about causal effects? How can you avoid bias? How many cases do you need, and how should they be selected? What are the consequences of unavoidable problems in qualitative research, such as measurement error, incomplete information, or omitted variables? What are proper ways to estimate and report the uncertainty of your conclusions?

Unifying Political Methodology

Author : Gary King
Publisher : University of Michigan Press
ISBN 13 : 9780472085545
Total Pages : 290 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (855 download)

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Book Synopsis Unifying Political Methodology by : Gary King

Download or read book Unifying Political Methodology written by Gary King and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 1998-06-24 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: DIVArgues that likelihood theory is a unifying approach to statistical modeling in political science /div

Statistical Models and Causal Inference

Author : David A. Freedman
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521195004
Total Pages : 416 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (211 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Models and Causal Inference by : David A. Freedman

Download or read book Statistical Models and Causal Inference written by David A. Freedman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: David A. Freedman presents a definitive synthesis of his approach to statistical modeling and causal inference in the social sciences.

Oxford Textbook of Global Public Health

Author : Roger Detels
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 019881013X
Total Pages : 1717 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (988 download)

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Book Synopsis Oxford Textbook of Global Public Health by : Roger Detels

Download or read book Oxford Textbook of Global Public Health written by Roger Detels and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2017 with total page 1717 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sixth edition of the hugely successful, internationally recognised textbook on global public health and epidemiology, with 3 volumes comprehensively covering the scope, methods, and practice of the discipline

Multivariate Analysis of Ecological Data

Author : Michael Greenacre
Publisher : Fundacion BBVA
ISBN 13 : 8492937505
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (929 download)

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Book Synopsis Multivariate Analysis of Ecological Data by : Michael Greenacre

Download or read book Multivariate Analysis of Ecological Data written by Michael Greenacre and published by Fundacion BBVA. This book was released on 2014-01-09 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: La diversidad biológica es fruto de la interacción entre numerosas especies, ya sean marinas, vegetales o animales, a la par que de los muchos factores limitantes que caracterizan el medio que habitan. El análisis multivariante utiliza las relaciones entre diferentes variables para ordenar los objetos de estudio según sus propiedades colectivas y luego clasificarlos; es decir, agrupar especies o ecosistemas en distintas clases compuestas cada una por entidades con propiedades parecidas. El fin último es relacionar la variabilidad biológica observada con las correspondientes características medioambientales. Multivariate Analysis of Ecological Data explica de manera completa y estructurada cómo analizar e interpretar los datos ecológicos observados sobre múltiples variables, tanto biológicos como medioambientales. Tras una introducción general a los datos ecológicos multivariantes y la metodología estadística, se abordan en capítulos específicos, métodos como aglomeración (clustering), regresión, biplots, escalado multidimensional, análisis de correspondencias (simple y canónico) y análisis log-ratio, con atención también a sus problemas de modelado y aspectos inferenciales. El libro plantea una serie de aplicaciones a datos reales derivados de investigaciones ecológicas, además de dos casos detallados que llevan al lector a apreciar los retos de análisis, interpretación y comunicación inherentes a los estudios a gran escala y los diseños complejos.

Research Methods for Political Science

Author : David E. McNabb
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000316599
Total Pages : 477 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Research Methods for Political Science by : David E. McNabb

Download or read book Research Methods for Political Science written by David E. McNabb and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-12-30 with total page 477 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The third edition of Research Methods for Political Science retains its effective approach to helping students learn what to research, why to research and how to research. The text integrates both quantitative and qualitative approaches to research in one volume and covers such important topics as research design, specifying research problems, designing questionnaires and writing questions, designing and carrying out qualitative research and analyzing both quantitative and qualitative research data. Heavily illustrated, classroom tested, exceptionally readable and engaging, the text presents statistical methods in a conversational tone to help students surmount "math phobia." Updates to this new edition include: Research topics chapters have been upgraded and expanded. Two mixed methods design chapters have been added. A new chapter on hermeneutic analysis designs and research with large data sets. The chapter on multivariate statistics has been expanded, with an expanded discussion on logistic regression. Tools on how to prepare and present research findings are now featured in the appendix, allowing instructors more flexibility when teaching their courses. Research Methods for Political Science will give students the confidence and knowledge they need to understand the methods and basics skills for data collection, presentation and analysis.

Ecological Models and Data in R

Author : Benjamin M. Bolker
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691125228
Total Pages : 408 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Ecological Models and Data in R by : Benjamin M. Bolker

Download or read book Ecological Models and Data in R written by Benjamin M. Bolker and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2008-07-21 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction and background; Exploratory data analysis and graphics; Deterministic functions for ecological modeling; Probability and stochastic distributions for ecological modeling; Stochatsic simulation and power analysis; Likelihood and all that; Optimization and all that; Likelihood examples; Standar statistics revisited; Modeling variance; Dynamic models.

Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition

Author : Andrew Gelman
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439840954
Total Pages : 677 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition by : Andrew Gelman

Download or read book Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition written by Andrew Gelman and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2013-11-01 with total page 677 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Now in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied approach to analysis using up-to-date Bayesian methods. The authors—all leaders in the statistics community—introduce basic concepts from a data-analytic perspective before presenting advanced methods. Throughout the text, numerous worked examples drawn from real applications and research emphasize the use of Bayesian inference in practice. New to the Third Edition Four new chapters on nonparametric modeling Coverage of weakly informative priors and boundary-avoiding priors Updated discussion of cross-validation and predictive information criteria Improved convergence monitoring and effective sample size calculations for iterative simulation Presentations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, variational Bayes, and expectation propagation New and revised software code The book can be used in three different ways. For undergraduate students, it introduces Bayesian inference starting from first principles. For graduate students, the text presents effective current approaches to Bayesian modeling and computation in statistics and related fields. For researchers, it provides an assortment of Bayesian methods in applied statistics. Additional materials, including data sets used in the examples, solutions to selected exercises, and software instructions, are available on the book’s web page.

Microeconometrics

Author : A. Colin Cameron
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139444867
Total Pages : 1058 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Microeconometrics by : A. Colin Cameron

Download or read book Microeconometrics written by A. Colin Cameron and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2005-05-09 with total page 1058 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides the most comprehensive treatment to date of microeconometrics, the analysis of individual-level data on the economic behavior of individuals or firms using regression methods for cross section and panel data. The book is oriented to the practitioner. A basic understanding of the linear regression model with matrix algebra is assumed. The text can be used for a microeconometrics course, typically a second-year economics PhD course; for data-oriented applied microeconometrics field courses; and as a reference work for graduate students and applied researchers who wish to fill in gaps in their toolkit. Distinguishing features of the book include emphasis on nonlinear models and robust inference, simulation-based estimation, and problems of complex survey data. The book makes frequent use of numerical examples based on generated data to illustrate the key models and methods. More substantially, it systematically integrates into the text empirical illustrations based on seven large and exceptionally rich data sets.

An Introduction to Methods and Models in Ecology, Evolution, and Conservation Biology

Author : Stanton Braude
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400835453
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Methods and Models in Ecology, Evolution, and Conservation Biology by : Stanton Braude

Download or read book An Introduction to Methods and Models in Ecology, Evolution, and Conservation Biology written by Stanton Braude and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2010-01-04 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An innovative introduction to ecology and evolution This unique textbook introduces undergraduate students to quantitative models and methods in ecology, behavioral ecology, evolutionary biology, and conservation. It explores the core concepts shared by these related fields using tools and practical skills such as experimental design, generating phylogenies, basic statistical inference, and persuasive grant writing. And contributors use examples from their own cutting-edge research, providing diverse views to engage students and broaden their understanding. This is the only textbook on the subject featuring a collaborative "active learning" approach that emphasizes hands-on learning. Every chapter has exercises that enable students to work directly with the material at their own pace and in small groups. Each problem includes data presented in a rich array of formats, which students use to answer questions that illustrate patterns, principles, and methods. Topics range from Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium and population effective size to optimal foraging and indices of biodiversity. The book also includes a comprehensive glossary. In addition to the editors, the contributors are James Beck, Cawas Behram Engineer, John Gaskin, Luke Harmon, Jon Hess, Jason Kolbe, Kenneth H. Kozak, Robert J. Robertson, Emily Silverman, Beth Sparks-Jackson, and Anton Weisstein. Provides experience with hypothesis testing, experimental design, and scientific reasoning Covers core quantitative models and methods in ecology, behavioral ecology, evolutionary biology, and conservation Turns "discussion sections" into "thinking labs" Professors: A supplementary Instructor's Manual is available for this book. It is restricted to teachers using the text in courses. For information on how to obtain a copy, refer to: http://press.princeton.edu/class_use/solutions.html

Individual-based Modeling and Ecology

Author : Volker Grimm
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400850622
Total Pages : 445 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Individual-based Modeling and Ecology by : Volker Grimm

Download or read book Individual-based Modeling and Ecology written by Volker Grimm and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-11-28 with total page 445 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Individual-based models are an exciting and widely used new tool for ecology. These computational models allow scientists to explore the mechanisms through which population and ecosystem ecology arises from how individuals interact with each other and their environment. This book provides the first in-depth treatment of individual-based modeling and its use to develop theoretical understanding of how ecological systems work, an approach the authors call "individual-based ecology.? Grimm and Railsback start with a general primer on modeling: how to design models that are as simple as possible while still allowing specific problems to be solved, and how to move efficiently through a cycle of pattern-oriented model design, implementation, and analysis. Next, they address the problems of theory and conceptual framework for individual-based ecology: What is "theory"? That is, how do we develop reusable models of how system dynamics arise from characteristics of individuals? What conceptual framework do we use when the classical differential equation framework no longer applies? An extensive review illustrates the ecological problems that have been addressed with individual-based models. The authors then identify how the mechanics of building and using individual-based models differ from those of traditional science, and provide guidance on formulating, programming, and analyzing models. This book will be helpful to ecologists interested in modeling, and to other scientists interested in agent-based modeling.

Demographic Forecasting

Author : Federico Girosi
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780691130958
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (39 download)

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Book Synopsis Demographic Forecasting by : Federico Girosi

Download or read book Demographic Forecasting written by Federico Girosi and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2008-08-24 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Demographic Forecasting introduces new statistical tools that can greatly improve forecasts of population death rates. Mortality forecasting is used in a wide variety of academic fields, and for policymaking in global health, social security and retirement planning, and other areas. Federico Girosi and Gary King provide an innovative framework for forecasting age-sex-country-cause-specific variables that makes it possible to incorporate more information than standard approaches. These new methods more generally make it possible to include different explanatory variables in a time-series regression for each cross section while still borrowing strength from one regression to improve the estimation of all. The authors show that many existing Bayesian models with explanatory variables use prior densities that incorrectly formalize prior knowledge, and they show how to avoid these problems. They also explain how to incorporate a great deal of demographic knowledge into models with many fewer adjustable parameters than classic Bayesian approaches, and develop models with Bayesian priors in the presence of partial prior ignorance. By showing how to include more information in statistical models, Demographic Forecasting carries broad statistical implications for social scientists, statisticians, demographers, public-health experts, policymakers, and industry analysts. Introduces methods to improve forecasts of mortality rates and similar variables Provides innovative tools for more effective statistical modeling Makes available free open-source software and replication data Includes full-color graphics, a complete glossary of symbols, a self-contained math refresher, and more

Cross-Level Inference

Author : Christopher H. Achen
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 9780226002194
Total Pages : 266 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (21 download)

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Book Synopsis Cross-Level Inference by : Christopher H. Achen

Download or read book Cross-Level Inference written by Christopher H. Achen and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 1995-05-15 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last several years, new disputes have erupted over the use of group averages from census areas or voting districts to draw inferences about individual social behavior. Social scientists, policy analysts, and historians often have little choice about using this kind of data, but statistical analysis of them is fraught with pitfalls. The recent debates have led to a new menu of choices for the applied researcher. This volume explains why older methods like ecological regression so often fail, and it gives the most comprehensive treatment available of the promising new techniques for cross-level inference. Experts in statistical analysis of aggregate data, Christopher H. Achen and W. Philips Shively contend that cross-level inference makes unusually strong demands on substantive knowledge, so that no one method, such as Goodman's ecological regression, will fit all situations. Criticizing Goodman's model and some recent attempts to replace it, the authors argue for a range of alternate techniques, including estensions of cross-tabular, regression analysis, and unobservable variable estimators.

Building a Foundation for Sound Environmental Decisions

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309057957
Total Pages : 104 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Building a Foundation for Sound Environmental Decisions by : National Research Council

Download or read book Building a Foundation for Sound Environmental Decisions written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1997-09-01 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past decades, environmental problems have attracted enormous attention and public concern. Many actions have been taken by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and others to protect human health and ecosystems from particular threats. Despite some successes, many problems remain unsolved and new ones are emerging. Increasing population and related pressures, combined with a realization of the interconnectedness and complexity of environmental systems, present new challenges to policymakers and regulators. Scientific research has played, and will continue to play, an essential part in solving environmental problems. Decisions based on incorrect or incomplete understanding of environmental systems will not achieve the greatest reduction of risk at the lowest cost. This volume describes a framework for acquiring the knowledge needed both to solve current recognized problems and to be prepared for the kinds of problems likely to emerge in the future. Many case examples are included to illustrate why some environmental control strategies have succeeded where others have fallen short and how we can do better in the future.