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A Statistical Analysis Of Officer Retention In The U S Military
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Book Synopsis A Statistical Analysis of Officer Retention in the U. S. Military by : Turgay Demirel
Download or read book A Statistical Analysis of Officer Retention in the U. S. Military written by Turgay Demirel and published by . This book was released on 2002-03-01 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis examines the effect of officer commissioning sources on the retention of officers at two different career points: 1) At the end of the initial service obligation (MSR), and (2) at ten-years of service. The goal of this study is to help policy makers in setting and implementing personnel policies by providing information on the effectiveness of each commissioning program. The Defense Manpower Data Center in Monterey, California, provided the data file used in the analysis of officer retention. The data file contained longitudinal information on the population of officers who entered the military between 1985 and 1995. Logit regression models were used to analyze officer retention at MSR and at the ten-year point. Results indicate that retention behavior varies across commissioning programs. Significant differences in retention are observed among graduates of the Service Academies, ROTC scholarship and ROTC Non-scholarship Programs, Officer Candidate/Training Schools, and Direct Appointment Programs. The differences are observed for all services combined and for each individual service. In most of the models, commissioning source variables are significant; however, the magnitude differences in retention between the five major commissioning sources often are not large. Moreover, the direction of the retention effect often varies across the services for each commissioning program. Further research on officer commissioning programs is recommended to include individual preferences and job satisfaction in the analysis of officer retention.
Book Synopsis An Analysis of Retention Issues of Scientists, Engineers, and Program Managers in the US Air Force by : Derek William Beck
Download or read book An Analysis of Retention Issues of Scientists, Engineers, and Program Managers in the US Air Force written by Derek William Beck and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States Air Force is having a difficult time retaining their technical officers, who are critical to the success of their research, development, and acquisitions of major military and defense systems. A statistical analysis is conducted on survey data collected, and the analysis seeks to explain the reasons why officers, mostly junior in rank, leave the Air Force after only a short time on active duty. This retention problem leads to fewer higher-ranking officers, since the military only hires from the bottom up. Results of the research show that about 47% of junior officers have intent to leave the Air Force after their initial commitment, which is 4 to 5 years. With nearly half of the Air Force's incoming officer leaving after their initial commitment, the problem is very serious. Job satisfaction and the closely related Air Force assignment system are shown to be the primary problems for junior officer retention. The thesis concludes with recommendations to Air Force leadership on where to focus their retention efforts. Special emphasis is given on how the Air Force may address tangible components of job satisfaction. Policy change recommendations that affect satisfaction levels with the assignment system are also given.
Book Synopsis An Analysis of the Effect of Commissioning Sources on Retention and Promotion of U. S. Army Officers by : Zafer Kizilkaya
Download or read book An Analysis of the Effect of Commissioning Sources on Retention and Promotion of U. S. Army Officers written by Zafer Kizilkaya and published by . This book was released on 2004-06-01 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis analyzes the effects of commissioning sources on the retention and promotion of U.S. Army officers. The data in this thesis were taken from the Active Duty Military Master File, with separate data sets for cohorts commissioned from 1981 through 2001. We describe three logistic regression models: Retention to the Grade of O-4, Promotion to O-4, and Promotion to 0-5. We conclude that Academy graduates have the lowest retention rates, whereas OCS graduates have the highest retention rates. Among male officers, retention rates are higher for ROTC graduates than for those with Direct Appointments; among female officers retention rates are higher for Direct Appointments than ROTC graduates. The Promotion to 0-4 Model indicates that the effect of commissioning source is different within gender, race and marital status groups. The results of the promotion to 0-5 model contrasts with those of the 0-4 models. Academy graduates are more likely to be promoted to Lieutenant Colonel than those from other sources, followed by ROTC graduates and then Direct Appointments. The effects of the Army's reduction in force ("drawdown") between 1989 and 1996 are not accounted for in this thesis as they cannot be modeled with the data at hand.
Book Synopsis A Multiperiod Model of U.S. Army Officer Retention Decisions by :
Download or read book A Multiperiod Model of U.S. Army Officer Retention Decisions written by and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report describes a study on the determinants of officer retention behavior. Stay-leave decisions for field-grade active-duty officers in the Infantry and Signal Corps branches were examined using multiperiod ACOL-2 models. This effort expanded upon a pilot study involving the Air Defense Artillery branch. A multiperiod model that predicts officer career decisions as a function of economic, demographic, and Army personnel policies (e.g., military compensation) was successfully estimated with longitudinal data from the U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences Officer Longitudinal Research Data Base. The estimation showed that financial incentives exerted strong behavioral influence on retention, although there is evidence that the strength varies by branch. Civilian labor market conditions, as measured by the unemployment rate, had a significant effect on career decisions. Retention behavior also varied by source of commission, gender, race, and marital status. Finally, unobserved hererogeneity had a significant impact: as officer cohorts age, the distribution of unobserved tastes for the military becomes truncated and retention rates rise.
Book Synopsis A Statistical Analysis of Variables Related to Officer Retention by : Gerald A. Scheuchner
Download or read book A Statistical Analysis of Variables Related to Officer Retention written by Gerald A. Scheuchner and published by . This book was released on 1996-09-01 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The overall objective of this research effort was to statistically analyze survey responses which indicate the extent to which exiting officers say different variables affected their decision to separate. Two surveys were utilized for this analysis. These surveys were administered by the Air Force Personnel and Survey Branch in 1991 and 1993. The first analysis tested whether significant differences existed between rated and non-rated officers with regard to how strongly they feel about each of the variables with respect to their separation decision. The second analysis tested whether significant differences existed between the rated and the non-rated officers respectively, with respect to their 1991 and 1993 responses. The third analysis utilized pairwise comparisons to determine whether any of the variables were reported to have a significantly larger contribution to officer separation decisions than other variables. The results showed that many significant differences existed between the responses of rated and non-rated officers and between the 1991 and 1993 responses. Some variables, most notably the officer's say in the assignment process, were found to contribute more than others to separation decisions.
Book Synopsis Towards a U.S. Army Officer Corps Strategy for Success by : Casey Wardynski
Download or read book Towards a U.S. Army Officer Corps Strategy for Success written by Casey Wardynski and published by Strategic Studies Institute. This book was released on 2010 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the last 3 decades, dramatic labor market changes and well-intentioned but uninformed policies have created significant officer talent flight. Poor retention engenders substantial risk for the Army as it directly affects accessions, development, and employment of talent. The Army cannot make thoughtful policy decisions if its officer talent pipeline continues to leak at current rates. Since the Army cannot insulate itself from labor market forces as it tries to retain talent, the retention component of its officer strategy must rest upon sound market principles. It must be continuously resourced, executed, measured, and adjusted across time and budget cycles. Absent these steps, systemic policy, and decisionmaking failures will continue to confound Army efforts to create a talent-focused officer corps strategy.
Book Synopsis The Effects of Perstempo on Officer Retention in the U.S. Military by : Ronald D. Fricker
Download or read book The Effects of Perstempo on Officer Retention in the U.S. Military written by Ronald D. Fricker and published by Minnesota Historical Society. This book was released on 2002 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Are increased deployments in the U.S. military associated with decreased retention? This report looks at retention of servicemembers in the decade following the Gulf War. The study casts doubt on hypotheses that say more deployment or hostile deployment causes lower retention. In fact, the study looks at the actual behavior of officers leaving active duty in relation to individual measures of deployment and does not find an association between increasing deployment and increasing separation rates.
Book Synopsis Impact of the Army Continuing Education System (ACES) on Soldier Retention and Performance by : Paul J. Sticha
Download or read book Impact of the Army Continuing Education System (ACES) on Soldier Retention and Performance written by Paul J. Sticha and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This evaluation of the Army Continuing Education System (ACES) considered the following programs: (a) Tuition Assistance (TA); (b) Functional Academic Skills Training (FAST; (c) Military Occupational Specialty Improvement Training (MOSIT); (d) Noncommissioned Officer (NCO) Leader Skill Enhancement Courses; and (e) the Armed Forces Classification Test (AFCT). The assessment of the effectiveness of these programs is based on their ability to enhance soldier performance and increase the prospects of promotion, as well as to reduce attrition and increase reenlistment. The evaluation data came from a longitudinal administrative database that tracked a three-year accession cohort over a six-year period and an NCO database including self-reported participation in ACES programs, promotion information, and observed performance ratings. The analysis was designed to separate effects of participant characteristics from the effects of the program, and to control for differences in the opportunity and propensity to participate in ACES. Participation in TA and FAST were associated with an increase in the probability of first term reenlistment FAST participation was also associated with lower first-term attrition. Participation in several ACES programs showed positive effects on measures of performance and promotion potential.
Book Synopsis Expectations about Civilian Labor Markets and Army Officer Retention by : Michael L. Hansen
Download or read book Expectations about Civilian Labor Markets and Army Officer Retention written by Michael L. Hansen and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2011 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph develops a comprehensive picture of the socioeconomic environment officers will encounter if they leave active-duty service and analyzes the potential impact of these factors on Army retention and how major differences between military and civilian employment ca n be effectively communicated to officers making stay/leave decisions.
Book Synopsis A Model of U.S. Army Officer Retention Behavior by :
Download or read book A Model of U.S. Army Officer Retention Behavior written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report summarizes the findings of a pilot study of the determinants of officer retention behavior. Stay-leave decisions for a sample of Air Defense Artillery officers were modeled in an ACOL-2 (panel probit) framework. The estimation showed that the officers were sensitive to changes in civilian and military pay, as well as to the condition of the civilian labor market. Retention behavior also varies by source of commission, gender, race, and marital status. Finally, the panel probit specification confirmed that unobserved heterogeneity had a significant impact. As officer cohorts age, the distribution of unobserved tastes for the military becomes truncated and retention rates rise. The study also included tests of alternative specifications for the pay variable and the size of the decision window, as well as an evaluation of the applicability of model results for a policy analysis model. The model will allow Army decision makers to track the effects of changes in policy, compensation, and economic conditions on the probability that officers will stay through key career decision points. Follow-on work will include estimating the model for all officers and increasing the number of decisions modeled.
Book Synopsis An Analysis and Evaluation of the U.S. Army's Approach to Junior Officer Retention by : Robert Riviello (Nicholas)
Download or read book An Analysis and Evaluation of the U.S. Army's Approach to Junior Officer Retention written by Robert Riviello (Nicholas) and published by . This book was released on 1972 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Determining the Impact of Family Programs Upon Retention: Why Successful Officers Stay by : Thomas P. Ross
Download or read book Determining the Impact of Family Programs Upon Retention: Why Successful Officers Stay written by Thomas P. Ross and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study identifies family related and other factors that are key to retention of successful US Army Officers. The study identifies twelve factors, some family-related, which influence successful commissioned officers to stay in the Army. To the extent that these factors have been identified, they could prove useful for inclusion within, or as reinforcement of, Army Retention and Family Programs. The study provides data gained by survey of commissioned officers who have reached an accepted level of 'success' in their Army careers, research of pertinent literature and sources, and conclusions and recommendations determined from analysis of the data. While the study is limited to consideration of issues involving commissioned officers, conclusions may be valuable in planning for retention of successful soldiers of all ranks, and for the consideration of Army families. The study represents a preliminary examination of a well defined officer population. The methodology is relevant to other military populations, at various points in their careers, who should be examined further.
Book Synopsis An Analysis of Factors Affecting the Retention Plans of Junior Male U. S. Army Officers by : Umit Gencer
Download or read book An Analysis of Factors Affecting the Retention Plans of Junior Male U. S. Army Officers written by Umit Gencer and published by . This book was released on 2002-03-01 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis investigates the factors that influence the retention intentions of 680 junior male Army officers who are serving within their initial obligated service. To estimate the models, data for this thesis were drawn from responses to the 1999 DoD Survey of Active Duty Personnel. The survey includes data on retention intentions of service members. Past research has shown that a member's intention is a good predictor of retention behavior. Logistic regression analysis is used to identify demographic, tenure, economic, and cognitive characteristics that significantly affect the intention to stay or to quit the military and to assess their relative importance. The SAS software package is used to analyze the data. The model developed for this thesis is successful in identifying several factors influencing the retention intentions of junior male Army officers. Eight of the seventeen variables included in the model have a significant impact upon retention. Officers' decision to remain on active duty were significantly influenced by the demographic characteristics of family status and race; the tenure characteristics of military rank (03) and military life expectation; the economic characteristics of the probability of finding a good civilian job, and the cognitive characteristics of satisfaction with military intrinsic values, military career advancement opportunities, and military deployment and economic life. A quadrant analysis of the satisfaction variables used to indicate areas for improvement in order to raise the military's overall level of job satisfaction. High impact candidate areas for improvement were identified: workload, personal time, and enjoyment satisfaction. These are excellent candidates for immediate attention since they have a considerable impact on overall satisfaction with military life and have substantial room for improvement. Finally, this thesis recommends areas for further related research and future policy.
Book Synopsis Military Personnel by : United States. Government Accountability Office
Download or read book Military Personnel written by United States. Government Accountability Office and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis An Analysis of Primary Military Occupational Specialities on Retention and Promotion of Mid-grade Officers in the U.S. Marine Corps by :
Download or read book An Analysis of Primary Military Occupational Specialities on Retention and Promotion of Mid-grade Officers in the U.S. Marine Corps written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this thesis is to identify and evaluate factors that affect retention and promotion of mid-grade officers in the U.S. Marine Corps. The analysis includes evaluation of survival patterns to ten-years of commissioned service and promotion patterns to O-4 and O-5. The primary goal is to explain the effect of an officers primary military occupational specialty (PMOS) on retention and promotion. The Marine Corps Commissioned Officer Accession Career (MCCOAC) data file contains cohort information from FY 1980 through FY 1999 and includes 27,659 observations. Using data from the MCCOAC data file, logistic regression and Cox Proportional Hazard models are used to estimate the effects of an officer's PMOS on survival and promotion patterns of Marine Corps officers. The findings indicate that an officers PMOS is significantly associated with whether an officer stays until 10 YCS or is promoted to O-4 or O-5. Logistic regression results show that pilot PMOSs are positively correlated with surviving until 10 YCS, but are negatively correlated with promotion to O-4, when compared to Infantry. The results also find that the remaining PMOSs are negatively correlated with whether and officer survives until 10 YCS, when compared to Infantry. In addition, only three PMOSs (0402, 7202, and 7523) are positively correlated with whether an officer is promoted to O-4 or O-5. Finally, the Cox Proportional Hazard results show the effect of having a particular PMOS or occupational field on the hazards of separation and promotion.
Book Synopsis An Analysis of Primary Military Occupational Specialties on Retention and Promotion of Mid-grade Officers in the U.S. Marine Corps by :
Download or read book An Analysis of Primary Military Occupational Specialties on Retention and Promotion of Mid-grade Officers in the U.S. Marine Corps written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this thesis is to identify and evaluate factors that affect retention and promotion of mid-grade officers in the U.S. Marine Corps. The analysis includes evaluation of survival patterns to ten-years of commissioned service and promotion patterns to O-4 and O-5. The primary goal is to explain the effect of an officers2 primary military occupational specialty (PMOS) on retention and promotion. The Marine Corps Commissioned Officer Accession Career (MCCOAC) data file contains cohort information from FY 1980 through FY 1999 and includes 27,659 observations. Using data from the MCCOAC data file, logistic regression and Cox Proportional Hazard models are used to estimate the effects of an officer2s PMOS on survival and promotion patterns of Marine Corps officers. The findings indicate that an officers PMOS is significantly associated with whether an officer stays until 10 YCS or is promoted to O-4 or O-5. Logistic regression results show that pilot PMOSs are positively correlated with surviving until 10 YCS, but are negatively correlated with promotion to O-4, when compared to Infantry. The results also find that the remaining PMOSs are negatively correlated with whether and officer survives until 10 YCS, when compared to Infantry. In addition, only three PMOSs (0402, 7202, and 7523) are positively correlated with whether an officer is promoted to O-4 or O-5. Finally, the Cox Proportional Hazard results show the effect of having a particular PMOS or occupational field on the hazards of separation and promotion.
Author :National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Publisher :National Academies Press ISBN 13 :0309678684 Total Pages :289 pages Book Rating :4.3/5 (96 download)
Book Synopsis Strengthening U.S. Air Force Human Capital Management by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Download or read book Strengthening U.S. Air Force Human Capital Management written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2021-03-02 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The USAir Force human capital management (HCM) system is not easily defined or mapped. It affects virtually every part of the Air Force because workforce policies, procedures, and processes impact all offices and organizations that include Airmen and responsibilities and relationships change regularly. To ensure the readiness of Airmen to fulfill the mission of the Air Force, strategic approaches are developed and issued through guidance and actions of the Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Manpower, Personnel and Services and the Office of the Assistant Secretary of the Air Force for Manpower and Reserve Affairs. Strengthening US Air Force Human Capital Management assesses and strengthens the various U.S. Air Force initiatives and programs working to improve person-job match and human capital management in coordinated support of optimal mission capability. This report considers the opportunities and challenges associated with related interests and needs across the USAF HCM system as a whole, and makes recommendations to inform improvements to USAF personnel selection and classification and other critical system components across career trajectories. Strengthening US Air Force Human Capital Management offers the Air Force a strategic approach, across a connected HCM system, to develop 21st century human capital capabilities essential for the success of 21st century Airmen.
