A Chronicle of Permutation Statistical Methods

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3319027441
Total Pages : 535 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis A Chronicle of Permutation Statistical Methods by : Kenneth J. Berry

Download or read book A Chronicle of Permutation Statistical Methods written by Kenneth J. Berry and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2014-04-11 with total page 535 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The focus of this book is on the birth and historical development of permutation statistical methods from the early 1920s to the near present. Beginning with the seminal contributions of R.A. Fisher, E.J.G. Pitman, and others in the 1920s and 1930s, permutation statistical methods were initially introduced to validate the assumptions of classical statistical methods. Permutation methods have advantages over classical methods in that they are optimal for small data sets and non-random samples, are data-dependent, and are free of distributional assumptions. Permutation probability values may be exact, or estimated via moment- or resampling-approximation procedures. Because permutation methods are inherently computationally-intensive, the evolution of computers and computing technology that made modern permutation methods possible accompanies the historical narrative. Permutation analogs of many well-known statistical tests are presented in a historical context, including multiple correlation and regression, analysis of variance, contingency table analysis, and measures of association and agreement. A non-mathematical approach makes the text accessible to readers of all levels.

A Chronicle of Permutation Statistical Methods

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783319027456
Total Pages : 540 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (274 download)

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Book Synopsis A Chronicle of Permutation Statistical Methods by : Kenneth J. Berry

Download or read book A Chronicle of Permutation Statistical Methods written by Kenneth J. Berry and published by . This book was released on 2014-04-30 with total page 540 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Primer of Permutation Statistical Methods

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030209334
Total Pages : 476 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis A Primer of Permutation Statistical Methods by : Kenneth J. Berry

Download or read book A Primer of Permutation Statistical Methods written by Kenneth J. Berry and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-08-02 with total page 476 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The primary purpose of this textbook is to introduce the reader to a wide variety of elementary permutation statistical methods. Permutation methods are optimal for small data sets and non-random samples, and are free of distributional assumptions. The book follows the conventional structure of most introductory books on statistical methods, and features chapters on central tendency and variability, one-sample tests, two-sample tests, matched-pairs tests, one-way fully-randomized analysis of variance, one-way randomized-blocks analysis of variance, simple regression and correlation, and the analysis of contingency tables. In addition, it introduces and describes a comparatively new permutation-based, chance-corrected measure of effect size. Because permutation tests and measures are distribution-free, do not assume normality, and do not rely on squared deviations among sample values, they are currently being applied in a wide variety of disciplines. This book presents permutation alternatives to existing classical statistics, and is intended as a textbook for undergraduate statistics courses or graduate courses in the natural, social, and physical sciences, while assuming only an elementary grasp of statistics.

Permutation Statistical Methods with R

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030743616
Total Pages : 677 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Permutation Statistical Methods with R by : Kenneth J. Berry

Download or read book Permutation Statistical Methods with R written by Kenneth J. Berry and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-09-27 with total page 677 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book takes a unique approach to explaining permutation statistics by integrating permutation statistical methods with a wide range of classical statistical methods and associated R programs. It opens by comparing and contrasting two models of statistical inference: the classical population model espoused by J. Neyman and E.S. Pearson and the permutation model first introduced by R.A. Fisher and E.J.G. Pitman. Numerous comparisons of permutation and classical statistical methods are presented, supplemented with a variety of R scripts for ease of computation. The text follows the general outline of an introductory textbook in statistics with chapters on central tendency and variability, one-sample tests, two-sample tests, matched-pairs tests, completely-randomized analysis of variance, randomized-blocks analysis of variance, simple linear regression and correlation, and the analysis of goodness of fit and contingency. Unlike classical statistical methods, permutation statistical methods do not rely on theoretical distributions, avoid the usual assumptions of normality and homogeneity, depend only on the observed data, and do not require random sampling. The methods are relatively new in that it took modern computing power to make them available to those working in mainstream research. Designed for an audience with a limited statistical background, the book can easily serve as a textbook for undergraduate or graduate courses in statistics, psychology, economics, political science or biology. No statistical training beyond a first course in statistics is required, but some knowledge of, or some interest in, the R programming language is assumed.

Permutation Statistical Methods

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319287702
Total Pages : 622 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Permutation Statistical Methods by : Kenneth J. Berry

Download or read book Permutation Statistical Methods written by Kenneth J. Berry and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-03 with total page 622 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research monograph provides a synthesis of a number of statistical tests and measures, which, at first consideration, appear disjoint and unrelated. Numerous comparisons of permutation and classical statistical methods are presented, and the two methods are compared via probability values and, where appropriate, measures of effect size. Permutation statistical methods, compared to classical statistical methods, do not rely on theoretical distributions, avoid the usual assumptions of normality and homogeneity of variance, and depend only on the data at hand. This text takes a unique approach to explaining statistics by integrating a large variety of statistical methods, and establishing the rigor of a topic that to many may seem to be a nascent field in statistics. This topic is new in that it took modern computing power to make permutation methods available to people working in the mainstream of research. lly-informed="" audience,="" and="" can="" also="" easily="" serve="" as="" textbook="" in="" graduate="" course="" departments="" such="" statistics,="" psychology,="" or="" biology.="" particular,="" the="" audience="" for="" book="" is="" teachers="" of="" practicing="" statisticians,="" applied="" quantitative="" students="" fields="" medical="" research,="" epidemiology,="" public="" health,="" biology.

The Measurement of Association

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 331998926X
Total Pages : 647 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis The Measurement of Association by : Kenneth J. Berry

Download or read book The Measurement of Association written by Kenneth J. Berry and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-02 with total page 647 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research monograph utilizes exact and Monte Carlo permutation statistical methods to generate probability values and measures of effect size for a variety of measures of association. Association is broadly defined to include measures of correlation for two interval-level variables, measures of association for two nominal-level variables or two ordinal-level variables, and measures of agreement for two nominal-level or two ordinal-level variables. Additionally, measures of association for mixtures of the three levels of measurement are considered: nominal-ordinal, nominal-interval, and ordinal-interval measures. Numerous comparisons of permutation and classical statistical methods are presented. Unlike classical statistical methods, permutation statistical methods do not rely on theoretical distributions, avoid the usual assumptions of normality and homogeneity of variance, and depend only on the data at hand. This book takes a unique approach to explaining statistics by integrating a large variety of statistical methods, and establishing the rigor of a topic that to many may seem to be a nascent field. This topic is relatively new in that it took modern computing power to make permutation methods available to those working in mainstream research. Written for a statistically informed audience, it is particularly useful for teachers of statistics, practicing statisticians, applied statisticians, and quantitative graduate students in fields such as psychology, medical research, epidemiology, public health, and biology. It can also serve as a textbook in graduate courses in subjects like statistics, psychology, and biology.

Permutation Statistical Methods with R

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783030743628
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (436 download)

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Book Synopsis Permutation Statistical Methods with R by : Kenneth J. Berry

Download or read book Permutation Statistical Methods with R written by Kenneth J. Berry and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book takes a unique approach to explaining permutation statistics by integrating permutation statistical methods with a wide range of classical statistical methods and associated R programs. It opens by comparing and contrasting two models of statistical inference: the classical population model espoused by J. Neyman and E.S. Pearson and the permutation model first introduced by R.A. Fisher and E.J.G. Pitman. Numerous comparisons of permutation and classical statistical methods are presented, supplemented with a variety of R scripts for ease of computation. The text follows the general outline of an introductory textbook in statistics with chapters on central tendency and variability, one-sample tests, two-sample tests, matched-pairs tests, completely-randomized analysis of variance, randomized-blocks analysis of variance, simple linear regression and correlation, and the analysis of goodness of fit and contingency. Unlike classical statistical methods, permutation statistical methods do not rely on theoretical distributions, avoid the usual assumptions of normality and homogeneity, depend only on the observed data, and do not require random sampling. The methods are relatively new in that it took modern computing power to make them available to those working in mainstream research. Designed for an audience with a limited statistical background, the book can easily serve as a textbook for undergraduate or graduate courses in statistics, psychology, economics, political science or biology. No statistical training beyond a first course in statistics is required, but some knowledge of, or some interest in, the R programming language is assumed.

Statistical Methods: Connections, Equivalencies, and Relationships

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031418964
Total Pages : 795 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (314 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Methods: Connections, Equivalencies, and Relationships by : Kenneth J. Berry

Download or read book Statistical Methods: Connections, Equivalencies, and Relationships written by Kenneth J. Berry and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-12-08 with total page 795 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The primary purpose of this book is to introduce the reader to a wide variety of interesting and useful connections, relationships, and equivalencies between and among conventional and permutation statistical methods. There are approximately 320 statistical connections and relationships described in this book. For each connection or connections the tests are described, the connection is explained, and an example analysis illustrates both the tests and the connection(s). The emphasis is more on demonstrations than on proofs, so little mathematical expertise is assumed. While the book is intended as a stand-alone monograph, it can also be used as a supplement to a standard textbook such as might be used in a second- or third-term course in conventional statistical methods. Students, faculty, and researchers in the social, natural, or hard sciences will find an interesting collection of statistical connections and relationships - some well-known, some more obscure, and some presented here for the first time.

Combinatorial Inference in Geometric Data Analysis

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1351651331
Total Pages : 234 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (516 download)

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Book Synopsis Combinatorial Inference in Geometric Data Analysis by : Brigitte Le Roux

Download or read book Combinatorial Inference in Geometric Data Analysis written by Brigitte Le Roux and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-03-20 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Geometric Data Analysis designates the approach of Multivariate Statistics that conceptualizes the set of observations as a Euclidean cloud of points. Combinatorial Inference in Geometric Data Analysis gives an overview of multidimensional statistical inference methods applicable to clouds of points that make no assumption on the process of generating data or distributions, and that are not based on random modelling but on permutation procedures recasting in a combinatorial framework. It focuses particularly on the comparison of a group of observations to a reference population (combinatorial test) or to a reference value of a location parameter (geometric test), and on problems of homogeneity, that is the comparison of several groups for two basic designs. These methods involve the use of combinatorial procedures to build a reference set in which we place the data. The chosen test statistics lead to original extensions, such as the geometric interpretation of the observed level, and the construction of a compatibility region. Features: Defines precisely the object under study in the context of multidimensional procedures, that is clouds of points Presents combinatorial tests and related computations with R and Coheris SPAD software Includes four original case studies to illustrate application of the tests Includes necessary mathematical background to ensure it is self–contained This book is suitable for researchers and students of multivariate statistics, as well as applied researchers of various scientific disciplines. It could be used for a specialized course taught at either master or PhD level.

Randomization, Masking, and Allocation Concealment

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1315305100
Total Pages : 251 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (153 download)

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Book Synopsis Randomization, Masking, and Allocation Concealment by : Vance Berger

Download or read book Randomization, Masking, and Allocation Concealment written by Vance Berger and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-10-30 with total page 251 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Randomization, Masking, and Allocation Concealment is indispensable for any trial researcher who wants to use state of the art randomization methods, and also wants to be able to describe these methods correctly. Far too often the subtle nuances that distinguish proper randomization from flawed randomization are completely ignored in trial reports that state only that randomization was used, with no additional information. Experience has shown that in many cases, the type of randomization that was used was flawed. It is only a matter of time before medical journals and regulatory agencies come to realize that we can no longer rely on (or publish) flawed trials, and that flawed randomization in and of itself disqualifies a trial from being robust or high quality, even if that trial is of high quality otherwise. This book will help to clarify the role randomization plays in ensuring internal validity, and in drawing valid inferences from the data. The various chapters cover a variety of randomization methods, and are not limited to the most common (and most flawed) ones. Readers will come away with a profound understanding of what constitutes a valid randomization procedure, so that they can distinguish the valid from the flawed among not only existing methods but also methods yet to be developed.

Permutation Methods

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475734492
Total Pages : 359 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Permutation Methods by : Paul W. Jr. Mielke

Download or read book Permutation Methods written by Paul W. Jr. Mielke and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 359 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book provides a comprehensive treatment of statistical inference using permutation techniques. It features a variety of useful and powerful data analytic tools that rely on very few distributional assumptions. Although many of these procedures have appeared in journal articles, they are not readily available to practitioners.

Sex Estimation of the Human Skeleton

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128157682
Total Pages : 424 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Sex Estimation of the Human Skeleton by : Alexandra R. Klales

Download or read book Sex Estimation of the Human Skeleton written by Alexandra R. Klales and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2020-05-30 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sex Estimation of the Human Skeleton is a comprehensive work on the theory, methods, and current issues for sexing human skeletal remains. This work provides practitioners a starting point for research and practice on sex estimation to assist with the identification and analysis of human remains. It contains a collection of the latest scientific research, using metric and morphological methods, and contains case studies, where relevant, to highlight methodological application to real cases. This volume presents a truly comprehensive representation of the current state of sex estimation while also detailing the history and how we got to this point. Divided into three main sections, this reference text first provides an introduction to the book and to sex estimation overall, including a history, practitioner preferences, and a deeper understanding of biological sex. The second section addresses the main methodological areas used to estimate sex, including metric and morphological methods, statistical applications, and software. Each chapter topic provides a review of older techniques and emphasizes the latest research and methodological improvements. Chapters are written by practicing physical anthropologists and also include their latest research on the topics, as well as relevant case studies. The third section addresses current considerations and future directions for sex estimation in forensic and bioarchaeological contexts, including DNA, secular change, and medical imaging Sex Estimation of the Human Skeleton is a one-of-a-kind resource for those involved in estimating the sex of human skeletal remains. Provides the first comprehensive text reference on sex estimation, with historical perspectives and current best practices Contains real case studies to underscore key estimation concepts Demonstrates the changing role of technology in sex estimation

Biological Distance Analysis

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128019719
Total Pages : 518 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (28 download)

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Book Synopsis Biological Distance Analysis by : Marin A. Pilloud

Download or read book Biological Distance Analysis written by Marin A. Pilloud and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2016-08-19 with total page 518 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Biological Distance Analysis: Forensic and Bioarchaeological Perspectives synthesizes research within the realm of biological distance analysis, highlighting current work within the field and discussing future directions. The book is divided into three main sections. The first section clearly outlines datasets and methods within biological distance analysis, beginning with a brief history of the field and how it has progressed to its current state. The second section focuses on approaches using the individual within a forensic context, including ancestry estimation and case studies. The final section concentrates on population-based bioarchaeological approaches, providing key techniques and examples from archaeological samples. The volume also includes an appendix with additional resources available to those interested in biological distance analyses. Defines datasets and how they are used within biodistance analysis Applies methodology to individual and population studies Bridges the sub-fields of forensic anthropology and bioarchaeology Highlights current research and future directions of biological distance analysis Identifies statistical programs and datasets for use in biodistance analysis Contains cases studies and thorough index for those interested in biological distance analyses

Analysis of Incidence Rates

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 0429621205
Total Pages : 474 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (296 download)

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Book Synopsis Analysis of Incidence Rates by : Peter Cummings

Download or read book Analysis of Incidence Rates written by Peter Cummings and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-04-16 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Incidence rates are counts divided by person-time; mortality rates are a well-known example. Analysis of Incidence Rates offers a detailed discussion of the practical aspects of analyzing incidence rates. Important pitfalls and areas of controversy are discussed. The text is aimed at graduate students, researchers, and analysts in the disciplines of epidemiology, biostatistics, social sciences, economics, and psychology. Features: Compares and contrasts incidence rates with risks, odds, and hazards. Shows stratified methods, including standardization, inverse-variance weighting, and Mantel-Haenszel methods Describes Poisson regression methods for adjusted rate ratios and rate differences. Examines linear regression for rate differences with an emphasis on common problems. Gives methods for correcting confidence intervals. Illustrates problems related to collapsibility. Explores extensions of count models for rates, including negative binomial regression, methods for clustered data, and the analysis of longitudinal data. Also, reviews controversies and limitations. Presents matched cohort methods in detail. Gives marginal methods for converting adjusted rate ratios to rate differences, and vice versa. Demonstrates instrumental variable methods. Compares Poisson regression with the Cox proportional hazards model. Also, introduces Royston-Parmar models. All data and analyses are in online Stata files which readers can download. Peter Cummings is Professor Emeritus, Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle WA. His research was primarily in the field of injuries. He used matched cohort methods to estimate how the use of seat belts and presence of airbags were related to death in a traffic crash. He is author or co-author of over 100 peer-reviewed articles.

Classic Topics on the History of Modern Mathematical Statistics

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119127939
Total Pages : 776 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis Classic Topics on the History of Modern Mathematical Statistics by : Prakash Gorroochurn

Download or read book Classic Topics on the History of Modern Mathematical Statistics written by Prakash Gorroochurn and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-03-29 with total page 776 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "There is nothing like it on the market...no others are as encyclopedic...the writing is exemplary: simple, direct, and competent." —George W. Cobb, Professor Emeritus of Mathematics and Statistics, Mount Holyoke College Written in a direct and clear manner, Classic Topics on the History of Modern Mathematical Statistics: From Laplace to More Recent Times presents a comprehensive guide to the history of mathematical statistics and details the major results and crucial developments over a 200-year period. Presented in chronological order, the book features an account of the classical and modern works that are essential to understanding the applications of mathematical statistics. Divided into three parts, the book begins with extensive coverage of the probabilistic works of Laplace, who laid much of the foundations of later developments in statistical theory. Subsequently, the second part introduces 20th century statistical developments including work from Karl Pearson, Student, Fisher, and Neyman. Lastly, the author addresses post-Fisherian developments. Classic Topics on the History of Modern Mathematical Statistics: From Laplace to More Recent Times also features: A detailed account of Galton's discovery of regression and correlation as well as the subsequent development of Karl Pearson's X2 and Student's t A comprehensive treatment of the permeating influence of Fisher in all aspects of modern statistics beginning with his work in 1912 Significant coverage of Neyman–Pearson theory, which includes a discussion of the differences to Fisher’s works Discussions on key historical developments as well as the various disagreements, contrasting information, and alternative theories in the history of modern mathematical statistics in an effort to provide a thorough historical treatment Classic Topics on the History of Modern Mathematical Statistics: From Laplace to More Recent Times is an excellent reference for academicians with a mathematical background who are teaching or studying the history or philosophical controversies of mathematics and statistics. The book is also a useful guide for readers with a general interest in statistical inference.

Permutation Tests

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 147573235X
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Permutation Tests by : Phillip Good

Download or read book Permutation Tests written by Phillip Good and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A step-by-step manual on the application of permutation tests in biology, business, medicine, science, and engineering. Its intuitive and informal style make it ideal for students and researchers, whether experienced or coming to these resampling methods for the first time. The real-world problems of missing and censored data, multiple comparisons, nonresponders, after-the-fact covariates, and outliers are all dealt with at length. This new edition has more than 100 additional pages, and includes streamlined statistics for the k-sample comparison and analysis of variance plus expanded sections on computational techniques, multiple comparisons, multiple regression, comparing variances, and testing interactions in balanced designs. The comprehensive author and subject indexes, plus an expert-system guide to methods, provide for further ease of use, while the exercises at the end of every chapter have been supplemented with drills and a number of graduate-level thesis problems.

Global Business Analytics Models

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Publisher : FT Press
ISBN 13 : 0134057619
Total Pages : 239 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Business Analytics Models by : Hokey Min

Download or read book Global Business Analytics Models written by Hokey Min and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2016-03-05 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: THE COMPLETE GUIDE TO USING ANALYTICS TO MANAGE RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN COMPLEX GLOBAL BUSINESS ENVIRONMENTS Practical techniques for developing reliable, actionable intelligence–and using it to craft strategy Analytical opportunities to solve key managerial problems in global enterprises Written for working managers: packed with realistic, useful examples This guide helps global managers use modern analytics to gain reliable, actionable, and timely business intelligence–and use it to manage risk, build winning strategies, and solve urgent problems. Dr. Hokey Min offers a practical, easy-to-understand overview of business analytics in a global context, focusing especially on managerial and strategic implications. After demystifying today’s core quantitative tools, he demonstrates them at work in a wide spectrum of global applications. You’ll build models to help segment global markets, forecast demand, assess risk, plan financing, optimize supply chains, and more. Along the way, you’ll find practical guidance for developing analytic thinking, operationalizing Big Data in global environments, and preparing for future analytical innovations. Whether you’re a global executive, strategist, analyst, marketer, supply chain professional, student or researcher, this book will help you drive real value from analytics–in smarter decisions, improved strategy, and better management. In today’s global business environments characterized by growing complexity, volatility, and uncertainty, business analytics has become an indispensable tool for managing these challenges. Specifically, global managers need analytics expertise to solve problems, identify opportunities, shape strategy, mitigate risk, and improve their day-to-day operational efficiency. Now, for the first time, there’s an analytics guide designed specifically for decision-makers in global organizations. Leveraging his experience teaching a number of students and training hundreds of managers and executives, Dr. Hokey Min demystifies the principles and tools of modern business analytics, and demonstrates their real-world use in global business. First, Dr. Min identifies key success factors and mindsets, helping you establish the preconditions for effective analysis. Next, he walks you through the practicalities of collecting, organizing, and analyzing Big Data, and developing models to transform them into actionable insight. Building on these foundations, he illustrates core analytical applications in finance, healthcare, and global supply chains. He concludes by previewing emerging trends in analytics, including the newest tools for automated decision-making. Compare today’s key quantitative tools Stats, data mining, OR, and simulation: how they work, when to use them Get the right data... ...and get the data right Predict the future... ...and sense its arrival sooner than others can