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Book Synopsis Worst-Case Scenarios by : Cass R. Sunstein
Download or read book Worst-Case Scenarios written by Cass R. Sunstein and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2009-05-15 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nuclear bombs in suitcases, anthrax bacilli in ventilators, tsunamis and meteors, avian flu, scorchingly hot temperatures: nightmares that were once the plot of Hollywood movies are now frighteningly real possibilities. How can we steer a path between willful inaction and reckless overreaction? Cass Sunstein explores these and other worst-case scenarios and how we might best prevent them in this vivid, illuminating, and highly original analysis. Singling out the problems of terrorism and climate change, Sunstein explores our susceptibility to two opposite and unhelpful reactions: panic and utter neglect. He shows how private individuals and public officials might best respond to low-probability risks of disaster—emphasizing the need to know what we will lose from precautions as well as from inaction. Finally, he offers an understanding of the uses and limits of cost–benefit analysis, especially when current generations are imposing risks on future generations. Throughout, Sunstein uses climate change as a defining case, because it dramatically illustrates the underlying principles. But he also discusses terrorism, depletion of the ozone layer, genetic modification of food, hurricanes, and worst-case scenarios faced in our ordinary lives. Sunstein concludes that if we can avoid the twin dangers of overreaction and apathy, we will be able to ameliorate if not avoid future catastrophes, retaining our sanity as well as scarce resources that can be devoted to more constructive ends.
Book Synopsis Algorithms for Worst-Case Design and Applications to Risk Management by : Berç Rustem
Download or read book Algorithms for Worst-Case Design and Applications to Risk Management written by Berç Rustem and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-02-09 with total page 405 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recognizing that robust decision making is vital in risk management, this book provides concepts and algorithms for computing the best decision in view of the worst-case scenario. The main tool used is minimax, which ensures robust policies with guaranteed optimal performance that will improve further if the worst case is not realized. The applications considered are drawn from finance, but the design and algorithms presented are equally applicable to problems of economic policy, engineering design, and other areas of decision making. Critically, worst-case design addresses not only Armageddon-type uncertainty. Indeed, the determination of the worst case becomes nontrivial when faced with numerous--possibly infinite--and reasonably likely rival scenarios. Optimality does not depend on any single scenario but on all the scenarios under consideration. Worst-case optimal decisions provide guaranteed optimal performance for systems operating within the specified scenario range indicating the uncertainty. The noninferiority of minimax solutions--which also offer the possibility of multiple maxima--ensures this optimality. Worst-case design is not intended to necessarily replace expected value optimization when the underlying uncertainty is stochastic. However, wise decision making requires the justification of policies based on expected value optimization in view of the worst-case scenario. Conversely, the cost of the assured performance provided by robust worst-case decision making needs to be evaluated relative to optimal expected values. Written for postgraduate students and researchers engaged in optimization, engineering design, economics, and finance, this book will also be invaluable to practitioners in risk management.
Book Synopsis Proceedings of a Symposium on Worst Case Analysis by :
Download or read book Proceedings of a Symposium on Worst Case Analysis written by and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Worst-Case Scenario Survive-o-pedia by : David Borgenicht
Download or read book The Worst-Case Scenario Survive-o-pedia written by David Borgenicht and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2012-01-20 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It's the best of the worst! This edition of the popular series loved by parents and kids alike serves up a wild ride through mudslides, volcanos, shark-infested oceans, menacing mountains, and more. Seventy entries are packed with illuminating facts, eye-popping photos, hilarious illustrations, must-see maps, heaps of humor, and step-by-step instructions. Readers will be armed with the knowledge and skills needed to survive anything and live to tell about it!
Book Synopsis The Worst-Case Scenario Pocket Guide: Retirement by : David Borgenicht
Download or read book The Worst-Case Scenario Pocket Guide: Retirement written by David Borgenicht and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2011-04-29 with total page 97 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Drive a golf cart in a hurricane; dock your yacht in a typhoon; treat a knitting needle injury; and get your grown kids to move out.
Book Synopsis The Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook by : Joshua Piven
Download or read book The Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook written by Joshua Piven and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2011-04-29 with total page 185 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book that launched the ten-million-copy bestselling series—for “those with deep-seated fears about killer bees, quicksand, mountain lions and sharks” (USA Today). Danger! It lurks at every corner. The pilot of the plane blacks out and it’s up to you to land the jet. What do you do? The Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook is here to help: jam-packed with how-to, hands-on, step-by-step, illustrated instructions on everything you need to know FAST—from defusing a bomb to delivering a baby in the back of a cab. Providing frightening and funny real information in the bestselling tradition of The Paranoid’s Pocket Guide and The Hypochondriac’s Handbook, this indispensable, indestructible, take-with-you-anywhere guide is the definitive handbook for those times when life takes a sudden turn for the worse. The essential companion for a perilous age. Because you never know . . . Praise for the Worst-Case Scenario Survival series “The scenarios owe a debt to action flick clichés—how often do you find yourself leaping from rooftop to rooftop?—but their utter implausibility doesn’t make this read any less riveting.” —People “What this book lacks in spiritual enlightenment, it more than makes up for with the practical advice you thought you’d never need.” —The Irish Times “There is something for everyone. It has a wide range of scenarios from dangerous to just downright irritating . . . It is fun, witty, entertaining and you learn something along the way too.” —Quill Quotes
Book Synopsis The Worst-Case Scenario Pocket Guide: Dogs by : David Borgenicht
Download or read book The Worst-Case Scenario Pocket Guide: Dogs written by David Borgenicht and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2010-07-01 with total page 97 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Your "best friend" shouldn't poop on the rug. Puppy-proof your home; remove skunk odors; give your dog the Heimlich maneuver.
Book Synopsis 2011 Daily Calendar: Worst-Case Scenario by : David Borgenicht
Download or read book 2011 Daily Calendar: Worst-Case Scenario written by David Borgenicht and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2010-07-01 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Be prepared for the worst with expert advise and survival trivia all year long.
Book Synopsis 2013 Daily Calendar: Worst-Case Scenario by : David Borgenicht
Download or read book 2013 Daily Calendar: Worst-Case Scenario written by David Borgenicht and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2012-07-13 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Be prepared for the worst with expert advice and survival trivia all year long.
Book Synopsis The Worst-Case Scenario Pocket Guide: Cars by : David Borgenicht
Download or read book The Worst-Case Scenario Pocket Guide: Cars written by David Borgenicht and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2010-07-01 with total page 97 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learn to reattach a bumper, drive down a flight of stairs, and survive road rage—your own and other people's. The essential driver's manual!
Book Synopsis The Worst-Case Scenario Pocket Guide: Cats by : David Borgenicht
Download or read book The Worst-Case Scenario Pocket Guide: Cats written by David Borgenicht and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2010-07-01 with total page 97 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The ultimate survival guide for dealing with all things feline, from hairballs and litter box malfunctions to catnip overdoses, apathy, and bossiness.
Book Synopsis The Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook: Golf by : Joshua Piven
Download or read book The Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook: Golf written by Joshua Piven and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2011-04-29 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors of The Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook take to the links! Dave and Josh join golf fanatic James Grace, drawing on their own tragic exploits and the experience of experts to help golfers survive dozens of dire situations. Learn how to finish a round with a broken arm, deal with a cigar brush fire, cure golf addiction, or remove a tick. Discover the best way to play out of a water hazard, make it through a lightning storm, or survive being hit in the privates. Hands-on, illustrated, step-by-step instructions guide you through these and other perils lurking on the fairway. With an appendix of rules for bizarre mis-haps, strategies for surmounting dress-code and equipment crises, and other essential survival tips, this handy guide won't help you save par-but it could save your bacon! Don't tee off without it.
Book Synopsis Ultimate Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook by : David Borgenicht
Download or read book Ultimate Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook written by David Borgenicht and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2012-09-19 with total page 277 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With over 9 million copies sold worldwide, the Worst-Case Scenario series has been preparing readers for dangers of all kinds for more than a decade. This handsome large-format hardcover compendium is truly the ultimate guide for handling life's inevitable Worst-Case Scenarios, collecting—for the first time—hundreds of the best and most crucial scenarios from across the entire 26-book series, along with dozens of all-new and expanded scenarios, charts, and expert tips. Topical, tabloid-style pages explore more than 100 subjects, from storms to stampedes to technology failures and beyond, with special sections highlighting critical information on starting fires, animal encounters, emergency signals, "Can I eat that?" questions, and more. Packed with expert advice and sturdy enough to stop a tiger bite, this gifty tome will keep longtime fans and new initiates safe and entertained in equal measure.
Book Synopsis The Worst-Case Scenario Almanac: Politics by : David Borgenicht
Download or read book The Worst-Case Scenario Almanac: Politics written by David Borgenicht and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2010-07-01 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Leave it to the experts of the best-selling Worst-Case Scenario series to ferret out the most scandalous, dangerous, incompetent, and downright awful people to ever seek power. The most lavish palaces, the bloodiest coups, the stupidest declarations. . . . Plus all the lists, charts, maps, and profiles that have made the Worst-Case Scenario Almanacs such a success. Which country had more governments in the past 175 years—Italy or Bolivia? What ever happened to all those people who ran for vice president of the United States of America—and lost? Illustrated, step-by-step scenarios describe how to respond when confronted with misfortune or challenge, including how to give a concession speech, kiss a drooling baby, escape a sex scandal, and evade the truth.
Book Synopsis The Worst-Case Scenario Ultimate Adventure: Mars by : Hena Khan
Download or read book The Worst-Case Scenario Ultimate Adventure: Mars written by Hena Khan and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2011-04-29 with total page 207 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this interactive science fiction adventure, you blast off to Mars and must make the right decisions to achieve your mission and safely return to Earth. Join the youngest crew of astronauts ever to make the trip to Mars! Faced with fearsome dangers and difficult decisions, your choices will determine your fate on the Red Planet. Will you achieve the mission and return home to Earth safely, successfully earning the title of the youngest astronaut ever to make it to Mars? Or will you be forced to turn back early? This thrilling adventure offers twenty-two possible endings, but only ONE leads to the ultimate success! With eye-catching comic book style illustrations and information based on scientific facts related to Mars and space exploration, young readers will be over the moon with this entertaining addition to the Worst-Case Scenario series!
Book Synopsis The Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook: Work by : David Borgenicht
Download or read book The Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook: Work written by David Borgenicht and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2011-04-29 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Work is bad enough, but what if things go really wrong? The Worst-Case Scenario authors come to the rescue with expert advice for surviving dozens of nightmare on-the-job scenarios, whether in the office or on the loading dock. From savage bike messengers to a bag of pretzels stuck in the lunchroom vending machine, peril is everywhere. Learn how to sneak out of a meeting, treat a deep-fryer burn, and survive a stockroom avalanche. Expertly remove a dent from the company car, extract a tie caught in the photocopier, and survive a workplace romance. Hands-on, step-by-step instructions guide you through these and other crises that can strike between 9 and 5, or on the swing shift. With an appendix of useful interview phrases, a career-path decoder, instructions for playing Jargon Bingo, and more, this is the one desk reference you can't live without.
Book Synopsis The Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook: Parenting by : Joshua Piven
Download or read book The Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook: Parenting written by Joshua Piven and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2011-04-29 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forget quicksand and shark attacks, child-rearing is the truly terrifying activity. A screaming baby on an airplane, no diapers(!), monsters hiding in the closet, a long family car trip, the first date—these are the high-risk adventures you need to survive. Fortunately, the authors of the phenomenally best-selling Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook series now keep parents safe, from cradle to teens. Hands-on, step-by-step instructions show you how to remove objects stuck in a child's nose or gum stuck in hair, and how to survive endless soccer games, slumber parties, and sleep deprivation. From baby-proofing the house to dealing with a dead pet, from the perils of the play-date to explaining about the birds and the bees, this essential guide tells parents what to really expect when your worst-case scenario is all in the family.
