Volatility, Volume and Pricing Efficiency in the Stock Index Futures Market When the Underlying Cash Market Does Not Trade

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility, Volume and Pricing Efficiency in the Stock Index Futures Market When the Underlying Cash Market Does Not Trade by : Yue-Cheong Chan

Download or read book Volatility, Volume and Pricing Efficiency in the Stock Index Futures Market When the Underlying Cash Market Does Not Trade written by Yue-Cheong Chan and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents an event study of the trading of Hang Seng Index (HSI) futures contracts on the Hong Kong Futures Exchange (HKFE) after it begins to open fifteen minutes earlier and close fifteen minutes later than the underlying cash market, the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong (SEHK) in November 1998. The empirical results show that the extension of trading hours in the HKFE causes futures traders to shift their orders from other sessions of the day to the first 15-minute trading session preceding the opening in cash market. However, the increase in trading volume during the opening session does not bring any corresponding upsurge in return volatility. Instead, futures returns during the opening session are found to be relatively less volatile than before. In addition, the futures contract opening prices appear to have little change (or even reduction) in pricing errors when compared with the pre-extension period. These observations suggest that trading activities during the extended opening session of the futures market are dominated by the better-informed traders which help to speed up the price discovery process in the market. On the other hand, there are no notable changes in return volatility, trading volume and pricing efficiency in the last 15-minute trading session of the HKFE during the post-extension period.

Stock Index Futures

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351148540
Total Pages : 844 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (511 download)

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Book Synopsis Stock Index Futures by : Charles M.S. Sutcliffe

Download or read book Stock Index Futures written by Charles M.S. Sutcliffe and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-01-18 with total page 844 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global value of trading in index futures is about $20 trillion per year and rising and for many countries the value traded is similar to that traded on their stock markets. This book describes how index futures markets work and clearly summarises the substantial body of international empirical evidence relating to these markets. Using the concepts and tools of finance, the book also provides a comprehensive description of the economic forces that underlie trading in index futures. Stock Index Futures 3/e contains many teaching and learning aids including numerous examples, a glossary, essay questions, comprehensive references, and a detailed subject index. Written primarily for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students, this text will also be useful to researchers and market participants who want to gain a better understanding of these markets.

The Effect of Futures Trading on Cash Market Volatility

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Effect of Futures Trading on Cash Market Volatility by : Gary Robinson

Download or read book The Effect of Futures Trading on Cash Market Volatility written by Gary Robinson and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Market Volatility and Investor Confidence

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 396 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Market Volatility and Investor Confidence by : New York Stock Exchange. Market Volatility and Investor Confidence Panel

Download or read book Market Volatility and Investor Confidence written by New York Stock Exchange. Market Volatility and Investor Confidence Panel and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Index Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility Evidence from an Emerging Market

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Index Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility Evidence from an Emerging Market by : Kiran

Download or read book Index Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility Evidence from an Emerging Market written by Kiran and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Studies on the impact of futures introduction on the volatility of the underlying index report no increase in the spot volatility after the futures introduction. However, the prior studies do not comment on how exactly the information transmits from the futures market to the spot market. This paper focuses on investigating whether the change in the structure of spot volatility evolution process is due to the futures trading activity. The relation between the Futures trading activity (measured through trading volume and open interest) and spot index volatility is documented, following Bessembinder and Seguin (1992), by partitioning trading activity into expected and shock components by an appropriate ARMA model. The series are then appended in the variance equation through an appropriate ARMA-GARCH model, following Gulen and Mayhew (2000). Further, the study examines the effect of the Sept. 11th terrorist attack has had on the Nifty spot-futures relation.The study concludes that post the Sept. 11th attack, the relation between Futures Trading Activity and Spot volatility has strengthened, implying that the market has become more efficient in assimilating the information into its prices. This is evident in both volume and open interest (expected and activity shock) being significant post Sept. 11 while not being significant pre Sept. 11.

Cash Trading and Index Futures Price Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Cash Trading and Index Futures Price Volatility by : Jinliang Li

Download or read book Cash Trading and Index Futures Price Volatility written by Jinliang Li and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the effect of cash market liquidity on the volatility of stock index futures. Two facets of cash market liquidity are considered: (1) the level of liquidity trading proxied by the expected New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) trading volume and (2) the noise composition of trading proxied by the average NYSE trading commission cost. Under the framework of spline - GARCH with a liquidity component, both the quarterly average commission cost and the quarterly expected NYSE volume are negatively associated with the ex ante daily volatility of S&P 500 and NYSE composite index futures. Conversely, liquidity and noise trading in the cash market both dampen futures price volatility, ceteris paribus. This negative association between secular cash trading liquidity and daily futures price volatility is amplified during times of market crisis. These results retain statistical significance and materiality after controlling for bid - ask bounce of futures prices and volume of traded futures contracts. This study establishes empirical evidence to affirm the conventional prediction of a liquidity-volatility relationship: the liquidity effect is secular and persistent across markets.

Trading Mechanisms, Speculative Behavior of Investors, and the Volatility of Prices

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Trading Mechanisms, Speculative Behavior of Investors, and the Volatility of Prices by : Hun Y. Park

Download or read book Trading Mechanisms, Speculative Behavior of Investors, and the Volatility of Prices written by Hun Y. Park and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper compares the volatility of spot prices (dealership market) with that of futures prices (auction market) to test the implications of different trading mechanisms for the volatility of prices. First, a natural estimator of the volatility is sued. Using the intraday data of the major Market Index and its futures prices, we show that the volatility of opening prices is higher than that of closing prices not only in the spot market but in the futures market, and that the intraday volatility patterns are U-shaped in both markets. Of particular interest is that futures prices do not appear to be as volatile as spot prices when the natural estimator of volatility is used, to the contrary of the conventional wisdom. We argue that the different volatility patterns during the day are not necessarily due to the different trading mechanisms, auction market versus dealership market. Instead, after developing a simple theoretical model of speculative prices, we show that at least part of the different volatility patterns during the day may be attributable to speculative behavior of investors based on heterogeneous information. In addition, we further investigate the volatilities of spot and futures prices using a temporal estimator of price volatility as an alternative to the natural estimator. Based on the temporal estimator, we cannot find any systematic pattern of volatilities during the day in both spot and futures markets, and that futures prices appear to be more volatile than spot prices in terms of how quickly the price moves beyond a given unit price level, but not in terms of how much the price changes during a given unit time interval. Some policy implications are also discussed.

S&P 500 Cash Stock Price Volatilities

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (511 download)

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Book Synopsis S&P 500 Cash Stock Price Volatilities by : Lawrence Harris

Download or read book S&P 500 Cash Stock Price Volatilities written by Lawrence Harris and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Unconditional First Moment and Conditional Second Moment Effects

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Unconditional First Moment and Conditional Second Moment Effects by : Gerard Gannon

Download or read book Unconditional First Moment and Conditional Second Moment Effects written by Gerard Gannon and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A theoretical framework is developed in order to consider effects of mis-specification in either first and/or second moment equations on resultant conditional volatility parameter estimates. The conditional volatility model is considered as a special case of a general stochastic volatility structure. Conditions necessary for the behaviour of the underlying asset price processes to approximate a diffusion limit are considered as the observation interval approaches 0 (d~0). The asymptotic distribution of the measurement error process may not be obtainable as d~0 if these conditions are violated. The relative impact of mis-specification of drift in mean and drift in conditional volatility is the focus. Market features such as bid/ask bounce effects in futures and stock price processes and non-synchronous trading effects in cash index processes are explored within this framework. Other mis-specifications in mean equations such as over-differencing are jointly explored. The most important effect is mis-specification of conditional volatility equations by failing to account for contemporaneous market trading and volume of trade effects. Empirical examples are provided employing Australian, U.S. and U.K. cash index, stock price and futures price data sampled from transactions records. These estimates help quantify the relative effects on conditional volatility estimates from mis-specifying the dynamics and sampling interval for these asset price mean equations. The relative importance of mis-specification of conditional volatility equations from incorrect exclusion of variables is seen to be crucial. Volume of trade, market opening/closing and other contemporaneous volatility effects in parallel processes are allowed to enter conditional volatility equations to highlight this issue.

Electronic Bulls and Bears

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Electronic Bulls and Bears by :

Download or read book Electronic Bulls and Bears written by and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Determinants of Trading Activity on the Single-stock Futures Market

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (122 download)

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Book Synopsis Determinants of Trading Activity on the Single-stock Futures Market by : Jędrzej Białkowski

Download or read book Determinants of Trading Activity on the Single-stock Futures Market written by Jędrzej Białkowski and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A number of exchanges around the world have attempted to introduce single-stock futures, but only a few have succeeded. We argue that this situation can be attributed to the use of inadequate selection criteria for the underlyings. Therefore, our paper investigates the determinants of trading activity on the Eurex derivative exchange and looks beyond systematic reasons extensively examined in prior research. It is found that trading activity is higher for single-stock futures on stock characterized by low institutional ownership and high volume and volatility on the spot market. The mispricing between the spot and futures markets also attracts investors to the single-stock futures market. Moreover, factors such as the size of contract, tick size, and age of contract on a particular stock significantly contribute to the increase of open interest and traded volume. Furthermore, evidence is found that single-stock futures become more efficiently priced around an ex-dividend date for the underlying stock. This is due to dividend stripping trading which allows a reduction in the tax burden. Our findings have important implications for investors who have an interest in that segment of the derivatives market. These implications should also be taken into consideration by market regulators and tax authorities. Keywords: Happiness, Single-stock futures; Futures market efficiency; Listing selection, Short sale"--Page [ii].

An Analysis of the Implications for Stock and Futures Price Volatility of Program Trading and Dynamic Hedging Strategies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis An Analysis of the Implications for Stock and Futures Price Volatility of Program Trading and Dynamic Hedging Strategies by : Sanford J. Grossman

Download or read book An Analysis of the Implications for Stock and Futures Price Volatility of Program Trading and Dynamic Hedging Strategies written by Sanford J. Grossman and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Trader Type Effects on the Volatility-Volume Relationship

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Trader Type Effects on the Volatility-Volume Relationship by : Aris Kartsaklas

Download or read book Trader Type Effects on the Volatility-Volume Relationship written by Aris Kartsaklas and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines empirically the volatility-volume relationship implied by various market microstructure models which associate movements in prices and trading volume with information, dispersion of beliefs and trading motives. Our unique dataset allows to investigate whether different types of traders (members vs non-members, institutional vs individual) have a positive or negative effect upon volatility. Our empirical results show that surprises in non-member investors' trading volume are positively related with volatility in most of the cases. These results are more reinforcing in the case of log-volume and generally consistent with existing theoretical and empirical evidence. As regards member investors, we primarily find that unexpected volume is positively related to volatility, providing further support for the argument that informed rational speculators exacerbate volatility especially when noise traders follow positive feedback strategies. Another result of our study is that the coefficients relating the unexpected component of open interest with volatility are uniformly negative, implying that an increase in open interest during the day lessens the impact of a volume shock in volatility. Finally, when we allow for time-to-maturity effects, non-member institutional investors are not associated with any movement in volatility while surprises in open interest are associated with more volatility towards the end of the contract life.

Efficiency and Price Discovery in the Stock and Index Futures Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (172 download)

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Book Synopsis Efficiency and Price Discovery in the Stock and Index Futures Markets by : Mario Gabriel C. Reyes

Download or read book Efficiency and Price Discovery in the Stock and Index Futures Markets written by Mario Gabriel C. Reyes and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Effects of Stock Index Futures on Cash Market Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (256 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effects of Stock Index Futures on Cash Market Volatility by : Al MacGartland

Download or read book The Effects of Stock Index Futures on Cash Market Volatility written by Al MacGartland and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Asset Pricing, Real Estate and Public Finance over the Crisis

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137293772
Total Pages : 314 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (372 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Pricing, Real Estate and Public Finance over the Crisis by : A. Carretta

Download or read book Asset Pricing, Real Estate and Public Finance over the Crisis written by A. Carretta and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-02-03 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current financial crisis started from the US real estate market and after, though the increase of risk premium requested by investors and due to the lack of liquidity of all financial markets, it became a world financial crisis. A detailed analysis during the crisis focuses attention on asset management, the real estate and public sector.

Does the Introduction of Stock Index Futures Effectively Reduce Stock Market Volatility? Is the 'Futures Effect' Immediate? Evidence from the Italian Stock Exchange Using GARCH.

Download Does the Introduction of Stock Index Futures Effectively Reduce Stock Market Volatility? Is the 'Futures Effect' Immediate? Evidence from the Italian Stock Exchange Using GARCH. PDF Online Free

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Does the Introduction of Stock Index Futures Effectively Reduce Stock Market Volatility? Is the 'Futures Effect' Immediate? Evidence from the Italian Stock Exchange Using GARCH. by : Pierluigi Bologna

Download or read book Does the Introduction of Stock Index Futures Effectively Reduce Stock Market Volatility? Is the 'Futures Effect' Immediate? Evidence from the Italian Stock Exchange Using GARCH. written by Pierluigi Bologna and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The impact of futures trading on the underlying asset volatility, and its characteristics, is still debated both in the economic literature and among practitioners. The aim of this study is to analyse the effect of the introduction of stock index futures on the volatility of the Italian Stock Exchange. This study mainly addresses two issues: first, the study analyses whether the reduction of stock market volatility showed in the post-futures period, already pointed out in previous research, is effectively due to the introduction of futures contract. Second, whether the 'futures effect', if confirmed, is immediate or delayed with respect to the moment of the futures trading onset is tested. The results show that the introduction of stock index futures per se has led to diminished stock market volatility and no other contingent cause seems to have systematically reduced it. Further, they also suggest that the impact of futures onset on the underlying market volatility is likely to be immediate. These findings are consistent with those theories stating that active and developed futures markets enhance the efficiency of the corresponding spot markets.