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Volatility Of Volatility Expected Stock Return And Variance Risk Premium
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Book Synopsis Volatility of Volatility, Expected Stock Return and Variance Risk Premium by : Ruoyang Wang
Download or read book Volatility of Volatility, Expected Stock Return and Variance Risk Premium written by Ruoyang Wang and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Theory suggests a relationship between both volatility of volatility, variance risk premium, and the equity risk premium. We empirically investigate the relationship between volatility of volatility and the equity risk premium, and the relationship between the variance risk premium and the equity risk premium. We find that volatility of volatility alone explains 5 to 10% of the total variation of equity risk premium, and together with VIX data, it explains more than 20% of the total variation of equity premium. We fail to find a significant relationship between volatility of volatility and the variance risk premium.We use six measures of volatility of volatility based on non-parametric models, a GARCH model and VVIX data.
Book Synopsis Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia by : Tim Bollerslev
Download or read book Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia written by Tim Bollerslev and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Variance Risk Premium by : Junye Li
Download or read book The Variance Risk Premium written by Junye Li and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the properties of the variance risk premium (VRP). We propose a flexible asset pricing model that captures co-jumps in prices and volatility, and self-exciting jump clustering. We estimate the model on equity returns and variance swap rates at different horizons. The total VRP is negative and has a downward-sloping term structure, while its jump component displays an upward-sloping term structure. The abrupt and persistent response of the short-term jump VRP to extreme events makes this specific premium a proxy for investors' fear of a market crash. Furthermore, the use of the VRP level and slope, and of its components, helps improve the short-run predictability of equity excess returns.
Book Synopsis Credit Risk Modeling by : David Lando
Download or read book Credit Risk Modeling written by David Lando and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-12-13 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit risk is today one of the most intensely studied topics in quantitative finance. This book provides an introduction and overview for readers who seek an up-to-date reference to the central problems of the field and to the tools currently used to analyze them. The book is aimed at researchers and students in finance, at quantitative analysts in banks and other financial institutions, and at regulators interested in the modeling aspects of credit risk. David Lando considers the two broad approaches to credit risk analysis: that based on classical option pricing models on the one hand, and on a direct modeling of the default probability of issuers on the other. He offers insights that can be drawn from each approach and demonstrates that the distinction between the two approaches is not at all clear-cut. The book strikes a fruitful balance between quickly presenting the basic ideas of the models and offering enough detail so readers can derive and implement the models themselves. The discussion of the models and their limitations and five technical appendixes help readers expand and generalize the models themselves or to understand existing generalizations. The book emphasizes models for pricing as well as statistical techniques for estimating their parameters. Applications include rating-based modeling, modeling of dependent defaults, swap- and corporate-yield curve dynamics, credit default swaps, and collateralized debt obligations.
Book Synopsis Beast on Wall Street by : Robert A. Haugen
Download or read book Beast on Wall Street written by Robert A. Haugen and published by Pearson. This book was released on 1999 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is now abundantly clear that stock volatility is a contagious disease that spreads virulently from market to market around the world. Price changes in one market drive subsequent price changes in that market as well as in others. In Beast, Haugen makes a compelling case for the fact that even under normal conditions, fully 80 percent of stock volatility is price driven. Moreover, this volatility is far from benign. It acts to reduce the level of investment spending and constitutes a significant and permanent drag on economic growth. Price-driven volatility is unstable. Dramatic and unpredictable explosions in price-driven volatility can send stock markets in a downward spiral and cause significant disruptions in economic activity. Haugen argues that this indeed happened in 1929 and 1930. If volatility in Asian markets persists, it can easily become the source of the problem rather than merely a symptom.
Book Synopsis Volatility Expectations and Returns by : Lars A. Lochstoer
Download or read book Volatility Expectations and Returns written by Lars A. Lochstoer and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide evidence that agents have slow-moving beliefs about stock market volatility that lead to initial underreaction to volatility shocks followed by delayed overreaction. These dynamics are mirrored in the VIX and variance risk premiums which reflect investor expectations about volatility and are also supported in surveys and in firm-level option prices. We embed these expectations into an asset pricing model and find that the model can account for a number of stylized facts about market returns and return volatility which are difficult to reconcile, including a weak, or even negative, risk-return tradeoff.
Download or read book Volatility written by Robert A. Jarrow and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by a number of authors, this text is aimed at market practitioners and applies the latest stochastic volatility research findings to the analysis of stock prices. It includes commentary and analysis based on real-life situations.
Book Synopsis Volatility and Time Series Econometrics by : Mark Watson
Download or read book Volatility and Time Series Econometrics written by Mark Watson and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2010-02-11 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A volume that celebrates and develops the work of Nobel Laureate Robert Engle, it includes original contributions from some of the world's leading econometricians that further Engle's work in time series economics
Book Synopsis Moment Risk Premia and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Richard D. F. Harris
Download or read book Moment Risk Premia and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Richard D. F. Harris and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the determinants of moment risk premia (MRP) and their relationship with stock returns. Stocks with high beta, idiosyncratic volatility and maximum return are associated with a high variance risk premium (VRP). The skew risk premium (SRP) is mainly driven by return reversals, the maximum return and idiosyncratic skewness, while the kurtosis risk premium (KRP) is associated with all firm characteristics. We find that both the VRP and SRP are negatively related to stock returns, while the KRP has no relation with stock returns. However, the negative relation between the SRP and stock returns is robust to the inclusion of firm-level variables, while the VRP is not.
Book Synopsis Extreme Correlation of International Equity Markets by : François M. Longin
Download or read book Extreme Correlation of International Equity Markets written by François M. Longin and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The VIX, the Variance Premium and Stock Market Volatility by : Geert Bekaert
Download or read book The VIX, the Variance Premium and Stock Market Volatility written by Geert Bekaert and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We decompose the squared VIX index, derived from US S&P500 options prices, into the conditional variance of stock returns and the equity variance premium. The latter is increasing in risk aversion in a wide variety of economic settings. We tackle several measurement issues assessing a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models. We then examine the predictive power of the VIX and its two components for stock market returns and economic activity. The variance premium predicts stock returns but the conditional stock market variance predicts economic activity, and is more contemporaneously correlated with financial instability than is the variance premium.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott
Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 667 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics
Book Synopsis Variance Premium, Downside Risk and Expected Stock Returns by : Bruno Feunou
Download or read book Variance Premium, Downside Risk and Expected Stock Returns written by Bruno Feunou and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'We decompose total variance into its bad and good components and measure the premia associated with their fluctuations using stock and option data from a large cross-section of firms. The total variance risk premium (VRP) represents the premium paid to insure against fluctuations in bad variance (called bad VRP), net of the premium received to compensate for fluctuations in good variance (called good VRP). Bad VRP provides a direct assessment of the degree to which asset downside risk may become extreme, while good VRP proxies for the degree to which asset upside potential may shrink. We find that bad VRP is important economically; in the cross-section, a one-standard-deviation increase is associated with an increase of up to 13% in annualized expected excess returns. Simultaneously going long on stocks with high bad VRP and short on stocks with low bad VRP yields an annualized risk-adjusted expected excess return of 18%. This result remains significant in double-sort strategies and cross-sectional regressions controlling for a host of firm characteristics and exposures to regular and downside risk factors'--Abstract, p. ii.
Author :A. R. Pagan Publisher :London : Centre for Decision Sciences and Econometrics, University of Western Ontario ISBN 13 : Total Pages :52 pages Book Rating :4.X/5 (1 download)
Book Synopsis The Econometric Analysis of Models with Risk Terms by : A. R. Pagan
Download or read book The Econometric Analysis of Models with Risk Terms written by A. R. Pagan and published by London : Centre for Decision Sciences and Econometrics, University of Western Ontario. This book was released on 1986 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Implied Volatility Spreads and Expected Market Returns by : Yigit Atilgan
Download or read book Implied Volatility Spreads and Expected Market Returns written by Yigit Atilgan and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the intertemporal relation between volatility spreads and expected returns on the aggregate stock market. We provide evidence for a significantly negative link between volatility spreads and expected returns at the daily and weekly frequencies. We argue that this link is driven by the information flow from option markets to stock markets. The documented relation is significantly stronger for the periods during which (i) S&P 500 constituent firms announce their earnings; (ii) cash flow and discount rate news are large in magnitude; and (iii) consumer sentiment index takes extreme values. The intertemporal relation remains strongly negative after controlling for conditional volatility, variance risk premium and macroeconomic variables. Moreover, a trading strategy based on the intertemporal relation with volatility spreads has higher portfolio returns compared to a passive strategy of investing in the S&P 500 index, after transaction costs are taken into account.
Book Synopsis Expected and Realized Returns on Volatility by : Guanglian Hu
Download or read book Expected and Realized Returns on Volatility written by Guanglian Hu and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Expected returns on market volatility, which can be obtained from VIX futures in closed form, predict subsequent multi-period realized volatility returns. Expected volatility returns are negative on average, but become more negative after volatility increases. This generates a positive relation with subsequent realized returns on volatility, which are more negative following increases in volatility. Expected volatility returns also predict future index returns, because realized volatility returns are negatively correlated with realized index returns. We show how these results are related to existing results on the predictive power of the market variance risk premium, the slope of the VIX term structure, and the VIX premium. The results are robust to a wide range of variations in the empirical setup.
Book Synopsis Credit Default Swap Spreads and Variance Risk Premia (VRP) by : Hao Wang
Download or read book Credit Default Swap Spreads and Variance Risk Premia (VRP) written by Hao Wang and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011-04 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
