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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 122 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (936 download)
Download or read book Value at Risk Using Stochastic Volatility Models written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Chuan-Hsiang Han
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (131 download)
Download or read book VaR/CVaR Estimation Under Stochastic Volatility Models written by Chuan-Hsiang Han and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes an improved procedure for stochastic volatility model estimation with an application to Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) estimation. This improved procedure is composed of the following instrumental components: Fourier transform method for volatility estimation, and importance sampling for extreme event probability estimation. The empirical analysis is based on several foreign exchange series and the S&P 500 index data. In comparison with empirical results by RiskMetrics, historical simulation, and the GARCH(1,1) model, our improved procedure outperforms on average.
Author : Makoto Takahashi
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 981990935X
Total Pages : 120 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (199 download)
Download or read book Stochastic Volatility and Realized Stochastic Volatility Models written by Makoto Takahashi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-04-18 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This treatise delves into the latest advancements in stochastic volatility models, highlighting the utilization of Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations for estimating model parameters and forecasting the volatility and quantiles of financial asset returns. The modeling of financial time series volatility constitutes a crucial aspect of finance, as it plays a vital role in predicting return distributions and managing risks. Among the various econometric models available, the stochastic volatility model has been a popular choice, particularly in comparison to other models, such as GARCH models, as it has demonstrated superior performance in previous empirical studies in terms of fit, forecasting volatility, and evaluating tail risk measures such as Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall. The book also explores an extension of the basic stochastic volatility model, incorporating a skewed return error distribution and a realized volatility measurement equation. The concept of realized volatility, a newly established estimator of volatility using intraday returns data, is introduced, and a comprehensive description of the resulting realized stochastic volatility model is provided. The text contains a thorough explanation of several efficient sampling algorithms for latent log volatilities, as well as an illustration of parameter estimation and volatility prediction through empirical studies utilizing various asset return data, including the yen/US dollar exchange rate, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the Nikkei 225 stock index. This publication is highly recommended for readers with an interest in the latest developments in stochastic volatility models and realized stochastic volatility models, particularly in regards to financial risk management.
Author : Pietro Penza
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780471393139
Total Pages : 324 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (931 download)
Download or read book Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk written by Pietro Penza and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2001 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book, Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk by Vipul Bansal and Pietro Penza, has three advantages over earlier works on the subject. First, it takes a decidedly global approach-an essential ingredient for any comprehensive work on market risk. Second, it ties the scientifically grounded, yet intuitively appealing, VaR measure to earlier, more idiosyncratic measures of market risk that are used in specific market environs (e.g., duration in fixed income). Finally, it encompasses all of the accepted approaches to calculating a VaR measure and presents them in a clearly explained fashion with supporting illustrations and completely worked-out examples." -from the Foreword by John F. Marshall, PhD, Principal, Marshall, Tucker & Associates, LLC "Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk offers a much-needed intellectual bridge, a translation from the esoteric realm of mathematical finance to the domain of financial managers who seek guidance in applying developments from this important field of research as well as that of MBA-level graduate instruction. I believe the authors have done a commendable job of providing a carefully crafted, highly readable, and most useful work, and intend to recommend it to all those involved in business risk management applications." -Anthony F. Herbst, PhD, Professor of Finance and C.R. and D.S. Carter Chair, The University of Texas, El Paso and Founding editor of The Journal of Financial Engineering (1991-1998) "Finally there's a book that strikes a balance between rigor and application in the area of risk management in the banking industry. This innovative book is a MUST for both novices and professionals alike." -Robert P. Yuyuenyongwatana, PhD, Associate Professor of Finance, Cameron University "Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk is one of the most complete discussions of this emerging topic in finance that I have seen. The authors develop a logical and rigorous framework for using VaR models, providing both historical references and analytical applications." -Kevin Wynne, PhD, Associate Professor of Finance, Lubin School of Business, Pace University
Author : M. M. Asai
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (795 download)
Download or read book Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Block Structure Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models written by M. M. Asai and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Luc Bauwens
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118272056
Total Pages : 566 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)
Download or read book Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications written by Luc Bauwens and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-03-22 with total page 566 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A complete guide to the theory and practice of volatility models in financial engineering Volatility has become a hot topic in this era of instant communications, spawning a great deal of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics. Providing an overview of the most recent advances, Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications explores key concepts and topics essential for modeling the volatility of financial time series, both univariate and multivariate, parametric and non-parametric, high-frequency and low-frequency. Featuring contributions from international experts in the field, the book features numerous examples and applications from real-world projects and cutting-edge research, showing step by step how to use various methods accurately and efficiently when assessing volatility rates. Following a comprehensive introduction to the topic, readers are provided with three distinct sections that unify the statistical and practical aspects of volatility: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Stochastic Volatility presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models, with a focus on recent research topics including mean, volatility, and skewness spillovers in equity markets Other Models and Methods presents alternative approaches, such as multiplicative error models, nonparametric and semi-parametric models, and copula-based models of (co)volatilities Realized Volatility explores issues of the measurement of volatility by realized variances and covariances, guiding readers on how to successfully model and forecast these measures Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in finance, business, and econometrics who work with volatility models in their everyday work. The book also serves as a supplement for courses on risk management and volatility at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (945 download)
Download or read book A Bayesian Approach to Value-at-Risk Using Nonparametric Stochastic Volatility Modeling written by and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Dinghai Xu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Risk Measures Under a Stochastic Volatility Model with a Mixture-of-Normal Error Distribution written by Dinghai Xu and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper constructs Value at Risk (VaR) measures from a stochastic volatility model with a discrete bivariate mixture-of-normal error distribution - henceforth SV-MN. This volatility-gnerating model is able to accommodate many of the salient features of financial asset returns, such as time-varying volatility, volatility clustering, excess skewness and kurtosis in the return distribution. In addition, it is also able to capture the so-called leverage effect prominent in many asset returns in the equity market. Three sets of Monte-Carlo simulations are conducted to assess the performances of the constructed VaR measures relative to those generated from other competing models. The results show that the VaR measures constructed from the SV-MN model perform well under different data generating processes. We also apply our proposed model to S&P 500 and CRSP stock indices. We find that the empirical VaR measures obtained from our SV-MN model also perform very well relative to those generated from other competing models for the sample return data examined in this paper.
Author : D.R. Cox
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000152944
Total Pages : 243 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (1 download)
Download or read book Time Series Models written by D.R. Cox and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-11-26 with total page 243 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The analysis prediction and interpolation of economic and other time series has a long history and many applications. Major new developments are taking place, driven partly by the need to analyze financial data. The five papers in this book describe those new developments from various viewpoints and are intended to be an introduction accessible to readers from a range of backgrounds. The book arises out of the second Seminaire European de Statistique (SEMSTAT) held in Oxford in December 1994. This brought together young statisticians from across Europe, and a series of introductory lectures were given on topics at the forefront of current research activity. The lectures form the basis for the five papers contained in the book. The papers by Shephard and Johansen deal respectively with time series models for volatility, i.e. variance heterogeneity, and with cointegration. Clements and Hendry analyze the nature of prediction errors. A complementary review paper by Laird gives a biometrical view of the analysis of short time series. Finally Astrup and Nielsen give a mathematical introduction to the study of option pricing. Whilst the book draws its primary motivation from financial series and from multivariate econometric modelling, the applications are potentially much broader.
Author : Jon Danielsson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119977118
Total Pages : 307 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (199 download)
Download or read book Financial Risk Forecasting written by Jon Danielsson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-04-20 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Risk Forecasting is a complete introduction to practical quantitative risk management, with a focus on market risk. Derived from the authors teaching notes and years spent training practitioners in risk management techniques, it brings together the three key disciplines of finance, statistics and modeling (programming), to provide a thorough grounding in risk management techniques. Written by renowned risk expert Jon Danielsson, the book begins with an introduction to financial markets and market prices, volatility clusters, fat tails and nonlinear dependence. It then goes on to present volatility forecasting with both univatiate and multivatiate methods, discussing the various methods used by industry, with a special focus on the GARCH family of models. The evaluation of the quality of forecasts is discussed in detail. Next, the main concepts in risk and models to forecast risk are discussed, especially volatility, value-at-risk and expected shortfall. The focus is both on risk in basic assets such as stocks and foreign exchange, but also calculations of risk in bonds and options, with analytical methods such as delta-normal VaR and duration-normal VaR and Monte Carlo simulation. The book then moves on to the evaluation of risk models with methods like backtesting, followed by a discussion on stress testing. The book concludes by focussing on the forecasting of risk in very large and uncommon events with extreme value theory and considering the underlying assumptions behind almost every risk model in practical use – that risk is exogenous – and what happens when those assumptions are violated. Every method presented brings together theoretical discussion and derivation of key equations and a discussion of issues in practical implementation. Each method is implemented in both MATLAB and R, two of the most commonly used mathematical programming languages for risk forecasting with which the reader can implement the models illustrated in the book. The book includes four appendices. The first introduces basic concepts in statistics and financial time series referred to throughout the book. The second and third introduce R and MATLAB, providing a discussion of the basic implementation of the software packages. And the final looks at the concept of maximum likelihood, especially issues in implementation and testing. The book is accompanied by a website - www.financialriskforecasting.com – which features downloadable code as used in the book.
Author : Gerard Cornuejols
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521861700
Total Pages : 358 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (617 download)
Download or read book Optimization Methods in Finance written by Gerard Cornuejols and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2006-12-21 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Optimization models play an increasingly important role in financial decisions. This is the first textbook devoted to explaining how recent advances in optimization models, methods and software can be applied to solve problems in computational finance more efficiently and accurately. Chapters discussing the theory and efficient solution methods for all major classes of optimization problems alternate with chapters illustrating their use in modeling problems of mathematical finance. The reader is guided through topics such as volatility estimation, portfolio optimization problems and constructing an index fund, using techniques such as nonlinear optimization models, quadratic programming formulations and integer programming models respectively. The book is based on Master's courses in financial engineering and comes with worked examples, exercises and case studies. It will be welcomed by applied mathematicians, operational researchers and others who work in mathematical and computational finance and who are seeking a text for self-learning or for use with courses.
Author : Jim Gatheral
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118046455
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)
Download or read book The Volatility Surface written by Jim Gatheral and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-03-10 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for The Volatility Surface "I'm thrilled by the appearance of Jim Gatheral's new book The Volatility Surface. The literature on stochastic volatility is vast, but difficult to penetrate and use. Gatheral's book, by contrast, is accessible and practical. It successfully charts a middle ground between specific examples and general models--achieving remarkable clarity without giving up sophistication, depth, or breadth." --Robert V. Kohn, Professor of Mathematics and Chair, Mathematical Finance Committee, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York University "Concise yet comprehensive, equally attentive to both theory and phenomena, this book provides an unsurpassed account of the peculiarities of the implied volatility surface, its consequences for pricing and hedging, and the theories that struggle to explain it." --Emanuel Derman, author of My Life as a Quant "Jim Gatheral is the wiliest practitioner in the business. This very fine book is an outgrowth of the lecture notes prepared for one of the most popular classes at NYU's esteemed Courant Institute. The topics covered are at the forefront of research in mathematical finance and the author's treatment of them is simply the best available in this form." --Peter Carr, PhD, head of Quantitative Financial Research, Bloomberg LP Director of the Masters Program in Mathematical Finance, New York University "Jim Gatheral is an acknowledged master of advanced modeling for derivatives. In The Volatility Surface he reveals the secrets of dealing with the most important but most elusive of financial quantities, volatility." --Paul Wilmott, author and mathematician "As a teacher in the field of mathematical finance, I welcome Jim Gatheral's book as a significant development. Written by a Wall Street practitioner with extensive market and teaching experience, The Volatility Surface gives students access to a level of knowledge on derivatives which was not previously available. I strongly recommend it." --Marco Avellaneda, Director, Division of Mathematical Finance Courant Institute, New York University "Jim Gatheral could not have written a better book." --Bruno Dupire, winner of the 2006 Wilmott Cutting Edge Research Award Quantitative Research, Bloomberg LP
Author : Cheng-Few Lee
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9781461477495
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (774 download)
Download or read book Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics written by Cheng-Few Lee and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-09-28 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics provides, in four volumes and over 100 chapters, a comprehensive overview of the primary methodologies in econometrics and statistics as applied to financial research. Including overviews of key concepts by the editors and in-depth contributions from leading scholars around the world, the Handbook is the definitive resource for both classic and cutting-edge theories, policies, and analytical techniques in the field. Volume 1 (Parts I and II) covers all of the essential theoretical and empirical approaches. Volumes 2, 3, and 4 feature contributed entries that showcase the application of financial econometrics and statistics to such topics as asset pricing, investment and portfolio research, option pricing, mutual funds, and financial accounting research. Throughout, the Handbook offers illustrative case examples and applications, worked equations, and extensive references, and includes both subject and author indices.
Author : Alexander Melichar
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3640761499
Total Pages : 20 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (47 download)
Download or read book Problems of Value At Risk - A Critical View written by Alexander Melichar and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2010-11-26 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2009 in the subject Business economics - Controlling, grade: 1,5, University of Innsbruck (Institut für Banken und Finanzen), course: Seminar SBWL Risk Management, language: English, abstract: This seminar paper is divided in the following chapters: 1. Definition of Value at Risk: What is VaR, several definitions of this figure. 2. The three common approaches for calculating Value at Risk: Historical simulation, Monte Carlo simulation, Variance-Covariance model. 3. The critical view: Problems and limitations of Value at Risk. Which approach can be meaningfully used and when not? Why is Value at Risk not the “only truth” in financial institutions? What are the strengths and weaknesses of the several approaches in calculating Value at Risk?
Author : Robert Buff
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642563236
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)
Download or read book Uncertain Volatility Models written by Robert Buff and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is one of the only books to describe uncertain volatility models in mathematical finance and their computer implementation for portfolios of vanilla, barrier and American options in equity and FX markets. Uncertain volatility models place subjective constraints on the volatility of the stochastic process of the underlying asset and evaluate option portfolios under worst- and best-case scenarios. This book, which is bundled with software, is aimed at graduate students, researchers and practitioners who wish to study advanced aspects of volatility risk in portfolios of vanilla and exotic options. The reader is assumed to be familiar with arbitrage pricing theory.
Author : Kin Keung Lai
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135006997
Total Pages : 102 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (35 download)
Download or read book Volatility Surface and Term Structure written by Kin Keung Lai and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-09-11 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides different financial models based on options to predict underlying asset price and design the risk hedging strategies. Authors of the book have made theoretical innovation to these models to enable the models to be applicable to real market. The book also introduces risk management and hedging strategies based on different criterions. These strategies provide practical guide for real option trading. This book studies the classical stochastic volatility and deterministic volatility models. For the former, the classical Heston model is integrated with volatility term structure. The correlation of Heston model is considered to be variable. For the latter, the local volatility model is improved from experience of financial practice. The improved local volatility surface is then used for price forecasting. VaR and CVaR are employed as standard criterions for risk management. The options trading strategies are also designed combining different types of options and they have been proven to be profitable in real market. This book is a combination of theory and practice. Users will find the applications of these financial models in real market to be effective and efficient.
Author : Paramita Saha
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 130 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (273 download)
Download or read book Robust Inference with Quantile Regression in Stochastic Volatility Models with Application to Value at Risk Calculation written by Paramita Saha and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Keywords: RQMM, SV, Quantile Regression, VaR, Indirect Inference.
