Valuation Model Of Defaultable Bond Values In Emerging Markets

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Drivers of Emerging Market Bond Flows and Prices

Author : Mr. Evan Papageorgiou
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1616357592
Total Pages : 14 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (163 download)

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Book Synopsis Drivers of Emerging Market Bond Flows and Prices by : Mr. Evan Papageorgiou

Download or read book Drivers of Emerging Market Bond Flows and Prices written by Mr. Evan Papageorgiou and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-12-16 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An interesting disconnect has taken shape between local currency- and hard currency-denominated bonds in emerging markets with respect to their portfolio flows and prices since the start of the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. Emerging market assets have recovered sharply from the COVID-19 sell-off in 2020, but the post-pandemic recovery in 2021 has been highly uneven. This note seeks to answer why. Yields of local currency-denominated bonds have risen faster and are approaching their pandemic highs, while hard currency bond yields are still near their post-pandemic lows. Portfolio flows to local currency debt have similarly lagged flows to hard currency bonds. This disconnect is closely linked to the external environment and fiscal and inflationary pressures. Its evolution remains a key consideration for policymakers and investors, since local markets are the main source of funding for emerging markets. This note draws from the methodology developed in earlier Global Financial Stability Reports on fundamentals-based asset valuation models for funding costs and forecasting models for capital flows (using the at-risk framework). The results are consistent across models, indicating that local currency assets are significantly more sensitive to domestic fundamentals while hard currency assets are dependent on the external risk sentiment to a greater extent. This suggests that the post-pandemic, stressed domestic fundamentals have weighed on local currency bonds, partially offsetting the boost from supportive global risk sentiment. The analysis also highlights the risks emerging markets face from an asynchronous recovery and weak domestic fundamentals.

Bond Valuation in Emerging Markets

Author : Valentin Ulrici
Publisher : Josef Eul Verlag GmbH
ISBN 13 : 3899366409
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (993 download)

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Book Synopsis Bond Valuation in Emerging Markets by : Valentin Ulrici

Download or read book Bond Valuation in Emerging Markets written by Valentin Ulrici and published by Josef Eul Verlag GmbH. This book was released on 2007 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads

Author : Iva Petrova
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455252859
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads by : Iva Petrova

Download or read book Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads written by Iva Petrova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyses the determimants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads by examining the short and long-run effects of fundamental (macroeconomic) and temporary (financial market) factors on these spreads. During the current global financial and economic crisis, sovereign bond spreads widened dramatically for both developed and emerging market economies. This deterioration has widely been attributed to rapidly growing public debts and balance sheet risks. Our results indicate that in the long run, fundamentals are significant determinants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads, while in the short run, financial volatility is a more important determinant of sperads than fundamentals indicators.

Banks, Government Bonds, and Default

Author : Nicola Gennaioli
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498391990
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Banks, Government Bonds, and Default by : Nicola Gennaioli

Download or read book Banks, Government Bonds, and Default written by Nicola Gennaioli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-07-08 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze holdings of public bonds by over 20,000 banks in 191 countries, and the role of these bonds in 20 sovereign defaults over 1998-2012. Banks hold many public bonds (on average 9% of their assets), particularly in less financially-developed countries. During sovereign defaults, banks increase their exposure to public bonds, especially large banks and when expected bond returns are high. At the bank level, bondholdings correlate negatively with subsequent lending during sovereign defaults. This correlation is mostly due to bonds acquired in pre-default years. These findings shed light on alternative theories of the sovereign default-banking crisis nexus.

Valuation Approaches and Metrics

Author : Aswath Damodaran
Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1601980140
Total Pages : 102 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Valuation Approaches and Metrics by : Aswath Damodaran

Download or read book Valuation Approaches and Metrics written by Aswath Damodaran and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Valuation lies at the heart of much of what we do in finance, whether it is the study of market efficiency and questions about corporate governance or the comparison of different investment decision rules in capital budgeting. In this paper, we consider the theory and evidence on valuation approaches. We begin by surveying the literature on discounted cash flow valuation models, ranging from the first mentions of the dividend discount model to value stocks to the use of excess return models in more recent years. In the second part of the paper, we examine relative valuation models and, in particular, the use of multiples and comparables in valuation and evaluate whether relative valuation models yield more or less precise estimates of value than discounted cash flow models. In the final part of the paper, we set the stage for further research in valuation by noting the estimation challenges we face as companies globalize and become exposed to risk in multiple countries.

A Guide to IMF Stress Testing

Author : Ms.Li L Ong
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498370411
Total Pages : 610 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis A Guide to IMF Stress Testing by : Ms.Li L Ong

Download or read book A Guide to IMF Stress Testing written by Ms.Li L Ong and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-23 with total page 610 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The IMF has had extensive involvement in the stress testing of financial systems in its member countries. This book presents the methods and models that have been developed by IMF staff over the years and that can be applied to the gamut of financial systems. An added resource for readers is the companion CD-Rom, which makes available the toolkit with some of the models presented in the book (also located at elibrary.imf.org/page/stress-test-toolkit).

Credit Risk

Author : Niklas Wagner
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1584889950
Total Pages : 600 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (848 download)

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Book Synopsis Credit Risk by : Niklas Wagner

Download or read book Credit Risk written by Niklas Wagner and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2008-05-28 with total page 600 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Featuring contributions from leading international academics and practitioners, Credit Risk: Models, Derivatives, and Management illustrates how a risk management system can be implemented through an understanding of portfolio credit risks, a set of suitable models, and the derivation of reliable empirical results. Divided into six sectio

Valuation

Author : McKinsey & Company Inc.
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119611881
Total Pages : 964 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Valuation by : McKinsey & Company Inc.

Download or read book Valuation written by McKinsey & Company Inc. and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-05-21 with total page 964 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: McKinsey & Company's bestselling guide to teaching corporate valuation - the fully updated seventh edition Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies, University Edition is filled with the expert guidance from McKinsey & Company that students and professors have come to rely on for over nearly three decades. Now in its seventh edition, this acclaimed volume continues to help financial professionals and students around the world gain a deep understanding of valuation and help their companies create, manage, and maximize economic value for their shareholders. This latest edition has been carefully revised and updated throughout, and includes new insights on topics such as digital, ESG (environmental, social and governance), and long-term investing, as well as fresh case studies. For thirty years, Valuation has remained true to its basic principles and continues to offer a step-by-step approach to teaching valuation fundamentals, including: Analyzing historical performance Forecasting performance Estimating the cost of capital Interpreting the results of a valuation in context Linking a company's valuation multiples to core performance drivers The University Edition contains end-of-chapter review questions to help students master key concepts from the book. Wiley also offers an Online Instructor's Manual with a full suite of learning resources to complement valuation classroom instruction.

Emerging Markets in an Upside Down World

Author : Jerome Booth
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118879678
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (188 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Markets in an Upside Down World by : Jerome Booth

Download or read book Emerging Markets in an Upside Down World written by Jerome Booth and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-04-21 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The world is upside down. The emerging market countries are more important than many investors realise. They have been catching up with the West over the past few decades. Greater market freedom has spread since the end of the Cold War, and with it institutional changes which have further assisted emerging economies in becoming more productive, flexible, and resilient. The Western financial crisis from 2008 has quickened the pace of the relative rise of emerging markets - their relative economic power, and with it political power, but also their financial power as savers, investors and creditors. Emerging Markets in an Upside Down World - Challenging Perceptions in Asset Allocation and Investment argues that finance theory has misunderstood risk and that this has led to poor investment decisions; and that emerging markets constitute a good example of why traditional finance theory is faulty. The book accurately describes the complex and changing global environment currently facing the investor and asset allocator. It raises many questions often bypassed because of the use of simplifying assumptions and models. The narrative builds towards a checklist of issues and questions for the asset allocator and investor and then to a discussion of a variety of regulatory and policy issues. Aimed at institutional and retail investors as well as economics, finance, business and international relations students, Emerging Markets in an Upside Down World covers many complex ideas, but is written to be accessible to the non-expert.

Managing Economic Volatility and Crises

Author : Joshua Aizenman
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139446940
Total Pages : 615 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing Economic Volatility and Crises by : Joshua Aizenman

Download or read book Managing Economic Volatility and Crises written by Joshua Aizenman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2005-10-03 with total page 615 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic volatility has come into its own after being treated for decades as a secondary phenomenon in the business cycle literature. This evolution has been driven by the recognition that non-linearities, long buried by the economist's penchant for linearity, magnify the negative effects of volatility on long-run growth and inequality, especially in poor countries. This collection organizes empirical and policy results for economists and development policy practitioners into four parts: basic features, including the impact of volatility on growth and poverty; commodity price volatility; the financial sector's dual role as an absorber and amplifier of shocks; and the management and prevention of macroeconomic crises. The latter section includes a cross-country study, case studies on Argentina and Russia, and lessons from the debt default episodes of the 1980s and 1990s.

Chinese Debt Capital Markets: An Emerging Global Market With Chinese Characteristics

Author : Xuebin Chen
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9811280371
Total Pages : 778 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Chinese Debt Capital Markets: An Emerging Global Market With Chinese Characteristics by : Xuebin Chen

Download or read book Chinese Debt Capital Markets: An Emerging Global Market With Chinese Characteristics written by Xuebin Chen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2024-01-23 with total page 778 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the deepening of China's reform and opening up, and the sustained development of the Chinese economy, the Chinese bond market has become an important player in the global bond market. As at the end of 2022, the custodial balance of the Chinese bond market reached RMB14.48 trillion, ranking second in the world and the largest bond market in Asia. As a maturing emerging market in the world, the Chinese bond market not only follows the general rules of global bond markets, but also has some of its own characteristics. To make effective investments and financing in this market, a comprehensive and profound understanding of the market is required.This book is the result of a joint research project 'Function, Structure, and Development of China's Debt Capital Market,' supported by the China National Natural Science Foundation and the Economic and Social Research Council of the United Kingdom. It includes contributions by professors, associate professors, and postgraduates from Fudan University and the London School of Economics. From the perspectives of institutional framework, market functions, market structure, and market development, the book provides a systematic and in-depth analysis and exploration of the macro-effects, microstructure, local government bond market, corporate bond market, debt derivatives market, and market supervision and regulation of the Chinese credit bond market. It is an important reference for international investors and researchers to gain a deep understanding of the evolution of the fundamental institutional framework, structure, and functions of the Chinese credit bond market.

Financial Derivatives

Author : Jamil Baz
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521815109
Total Pages : 358 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (151 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Derivatives by : Jamil Baz

Download or read book Financial Derivatives written by Jamil Baz and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-01-12 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Publisher Description

Sovereign Default Risk Valuation

Author : Jochen Andritzky
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540374493
Total Pages : 261 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (43 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Default Risk Valuation by : Jochen Andritzky

Download or read book Sovereign Default Risk Valuation written by Jochen Andritzky and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-11-23 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Past cycles of sovereign lending and default suggest that debt crises will recur at some point. This book shows why investors should reckon with similar credit events in the future. Surveying the sovereign bond market, the author provides investors with a useful toolkit for analyzing sovereign bonds and foreseeing trends in the international financial architecture. The result should be a better understanding of debt crises and more deliberate investment decisions.

The Dark Side of Valuation

Author : Aswath Damodaran
Publisher : FT Press
ISBN 13 : 0137036558
Total Pages : 604 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis The Dark Side of Valuation by : Aswath Damodaran

Download or read book The Dark Side of Valuation written by Aswath Damodaran and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2009-06-19 with total page 604 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Renowned valuation expert Aswath Damodaran reviews the core tools of valuation, examines today’s most difficult estimation questions and issues, and then systematically addresses the valuation challenges that arise throughout a firm’s lifecycle in The Dark Side of Valuation: Valuing Young, Distressed and Complex Businesses. In this thoroughly revised edition, he broadens his perspective to consider all companies that resist easy valuation, highlighting specific types of hard-to-value firms, including commodity firms, cyclical companies, financial services firms, organizations dependent on intangible assets, and global firms operating diverse businesses. He covers the entire corporate lifecycle, from “idea” and “nascent growth” companies to those in decline and distress, and offers specific guidance for valuing technology, human capital, commodity, and cyclical firms. ·

Valuation + DCF Model Download

Author : McKinsey & Company Inc.
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118873688
Total Pages : 852 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (188 download)

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Book Synopsis Valuation + DCF Model Download by : McKinsey & Company Inc.

Download or read book Valuation + DCF Model Download written by McKinsey & Company Inc. and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-08-17 with total page 852 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: McKinsey & Company's #1 best-selling guide to corporate valuation, now in its sixth edition Valuation is the single best guide of its kind, helping financial professionals worldwide excel at measuring, managing, and maximizing shareholder and company value. This new sixth edition provides insights on the strategic advantages of value-based management, complete detailed instruction, and nuances managers should know about valuation and valuation techniques as applied to different industries, emerging markets, and other special situations. The accompanying DCF model download allows you to complete computations automatically for error-free analysis and valuation of real companies. The model ensures that all important measures, such as return on investment capital and free cash flow are calculated correctly, so you can focus on the company's performance rather than computational errors. Valuation lies at the crossroads of corporate strategy and finance. In today's economy, it has become an essential role—and one that requires excellence at all points. This guide shows you everything you need to know, and gives you the understanding you need to be effective. Estimate the value of business strategies to drive better decision making Understand which business units a corporate parent is best positioned to own Assess major transactions, including acquisitions, divestitures, and restructurings Design a capital structure that supports strategy and minimizes risk As the valuation function becomes ever more central to long- and short-term strategy, analysts and managers need an authoritative reference to turn to for answers to challenging situations. Valuation stands ahead of the field for its reputation, quality, and prestige, putting the solutions you need right at your fingertips.

Emerging Market Capital Flows

Author : Richard M. Levich
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461561973
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (615 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Market Capital Flows by : Richard M. Levich

Download or read book Emerging Market Capital Flows written by Richard M. Levich and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a little over one decade, the spread of market-oriented policies has turned the once so-called lesser developed countries into emerging markets. Many forces have been responsible for the tremendous growth in emerging markets. Trends toward market-oriented policies that permit private ownership of economic activities, such as public utilities and telecommunications, are part of the explanation. Corporate restructuring, following the debt crisis of the early 1980's has permitted many emerging market companies to gain international competitiveness. And an essential condition, a basic sea-change in economic policy, has opened up many emerging markets to international investors. This growth in emerging markets has been accompanied by volatility in individual markets, and a sector-wide shock after the meltdown in the Mexican Bolsa and Mexican peso, resulting in heated debate over the nature of these markets. Emerging market capital flows continue to be the subject of intense discussion around the world among investors, academics, and policymakers. Emerging Market Capital Flows examines the issues of emerging market capital flows from several distinct perspectives, addressing a number of related questions about emerging markets.

Systematic Fixed Income

Author : Scott A. Richardson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119900190
Total Pages : 310 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Systematic Fixed Income by : Scott A. Richardson

Download or read book Systematic Fixed Income written by Scott A. Richardson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2022-05-17 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understand the role and potential of fixed income as an asset class Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide offers readers a powerful, practical, and robust framework for investors and asset managers to preserve the diversifying properties of a fixed income allocation, and add to that unique sources of excess returns via systematic security selection. In other words, this framework allows for efficient capture of fixed income beta and fixed income alpha. Celebrated finance professional Dr. Scott Richardson presents concrete strategies for identifying the relevant sources of risk and return in public fixed income markets and explains the tactical and strategic roles played by fixed income in typical portfolios. In the book, readers will explore: The implementation challenges associated with a systematic fixed income portfolio, including liquidity and risk The systematic return sources for rate and credit sensitive fixed income assets in both developed and emerging markets An essential read for asset managers and institutional investors with a professional interest in fixed income markets, Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide deserves a place in the libraries of advanced degree students of finance, business, and investment, as well as other investment professionals seeking to refine their understanding of the full potential of this foundational asset class.