Using Artificial Neural Networks for Timeseries Smoothing and Forecasting

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030756491
Total Pages : 197 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Using Artificial Neural Networks for Timeseries Smoothing and Forecasting by : Jaromír Vrbka

Download or read book Using Artificial Neural Networks for Timeseries Smoothing and Forecasting written by Jaromír Vrbka and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-09-04 with total page 197 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The aim of this publication is to identify and apply suitable methods for analysing and predicting the time series of gold prices, together with acquainting the reader with the history and characteristics of the methods and with the time series issues in general. Both statistical and econometric methods, and especially artificial intelligence methods, are used in the case studies. The publication presents both traditional and innovative methods on the theoretical level, always accompanied by a case study, i.e. their specific use in practice. Furthermore, a comprehensive comparative analysis of the individual methods is provided. The book is intended for readers from the ranks of academic staff, students of universities of economics, but also the scientists and practitioners dealing with the time series prediction. From the point of view of practical application, it could provide useful information for speculators and traders on financial markets, especially the commodity markets.

Artificial Intelligence and Soft Computing

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 364238658X
Total Pages : 657 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (423 download)

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Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence and Soft Computing by : Leszek Rutkowski

Download or read book Artificial Intelligence and Soft Computing written by Leszek Rutkowski and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-06-04 with total page 657 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The two-volume set LNAI 7894 and LNCS 7895 constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Soft Computing, ICAISC 2013, held in Zakopane, Poland in June 2013. The 112 revised full papers presented together with one invited paper were carefully reviewed and selected from 274 submissions. The 57 papers included in the first volume are organized in the following topical sections: neural networks and their applications; fuzzy systems and their applications; pattern classification; and computer vision, image and speech analysis.

Artificial Neural Nets and Genetic Algorithms

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9783211833643
Total Pages : 190 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (336 download)

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Book Synopsis Artificial Neural Nets and Genetic Algorithms by : Andrej Dobnikar

Download or read book Artificial Neural Nets and Genetic Algorithms written by Andrej Dobnikar and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1999-07-15 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the contents: Neural networks – theory and applications: NNs (= neural networks) classifier on continuous data domains– quantum associative memory – a new class of neuron-like discrete filters to image processing – modular NNs for improving generalisation properties – presynaptic inhibition modelling for image processing application – NN recognition system for a curvature primal sketch – NN based nonlinear temporal-spatial noise rejection system – relaxation rate for improving Hopfield network – Oja's NN and influence of the learning gain on its dynamics Genetic algorithms – theory and applications: transposition: a biological-inspired mechanism to use with GAs (= genetic algorithms) – GA for decision tree induction – optimising decision classifications using GAs – scheduling tasks with intertask communication onto multiprocessors by GAs – design of robust networks with GA – effect of degenerate coding on GAs – multiple traffic signal control using a GA – evolving musical harmonisation – niched-penalty approach for constraint handling in GAs – GA with dynamic population size – GA with dynamic niche clustering for multimodal function optimisation Soft computing and uncertainty: self-adaptation of evolutionary constructed decision trees by information spreading – evolutionary programming of near optimal NNs

Forecasting: principles and practice

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Publisher : OTexts
ISBN 13 : 0987507117
Total Pages : 380 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (875 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting: principles and practice by : Rob J Hyndman

Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Artificial Neural Networks and Machine Learning -- ICANN 2013

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3642407285
Total Pages : 660 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (424 download)

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Book Synopsis Artificial Neural Networks and Machine Learning -- ICANN 2013 by : Valeri Mladenov

Download or read book Artificial Neural Networks and Machine Learning -- ICANN 2013 written by Valeri Mladenov and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-09-04 with total page 660 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book constitutes the proceedings of the 23rd International Conference on Artificial Neural Networks, ICANN 2013, held in Sofia, Bulgaria, in September 2013. The 78 papers included in the proceedings were carefully reviewed and selected from 128 submissions. The focus of the papers is on following topics: neurofinance graphical network models, brain machine interfaces, evolutionary neural networks, neurodynamics, complex systems, neuroinformatics, neuroengineering, hybrid systems, computational biology, neural hardware, bioinspired embedded systems, and collective intelligence.

TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS. EXAMPLES WITH MATLAB

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Author :
Publisher : CESAR PEREZ
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 283 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS. EXAMPLES WITH MATLAB by : Cesar Perez Lopez

Download or read book TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS. EXAMPLES WITH MATLAB written by Cesar Perez Lopez and published by CESAR PEREZ. This book was released on with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: MATLAB has the tool Deep Leraning Toolbox that provides algorithms, functions, and apps to create, train, visualize, and simulate neural networks. You can perform classification, regression, clustering, dimensionality reduction, timeseries forecasting, and dynamic system modeling and control. Dynamic neural networks are good at timeseries prediction. You can use the Neural Net Time Series app to solve different kinds of time series problems It is generally best to start with the GUI, and then to use the GUI to automatically generate command line scripts. Before using either method, the first step is to define the problem by selecting a data set. Each GUI has access to many sample data sets that you can use to experiment with the toolbox. If you have a specific problem that you want to solve, you can load your own data into the workspace. With MATLAB is possibe to solve three different kinds of time series problems. In the first type of time series problem, you would like to predict future values of a time series y(t) from past values of that time series and past values of a second time series x(t). This form of prediction is called nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous (external) input, or NARX. In the second type of time series problem, there is only one series involved. The future values of a time series y(t) are predicted only from past values of that series. This form of prediction is called nonlinear autoregressive, or NAR. The third time series problem is similar to the first type, in that two series are involved, an input series (predictors) x(t) and an output series (responses) y(t). Here you want to predict values of y(t) from previous values of x(t), but without knowledge of previous values of y(t). This book develops methods for time series forecasting using neural networks across MATLAB

Non-Linear Time Series

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319070282
Total Pages : 255 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Non-Linear Time Series by : Kamil Feridun Turkman

Download or read book Non-Linear Time Series written by Kamil Feridun Turkman and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-09-29 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a useful combination of probabilistic and statistical tools for analyzing nonlinear time series. Key features of the book include a study of the extremal behavior of nonlinear time series and a comprehensive list of nonlinear models that address different aspects of nonlinearity. Several inferential methods, including quasi likelihood methods, sequential Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods and particle filters, are also included so as to provide an overall view of the available tools for parameter estimation for nonlinear models. A chapter on integer time series models based on several thinning operations, which brings together all recent advances made in this area, is also included. Readers should have attended a prior course on linear time series, and a good grasp of simulation-based inferential methods is recommended. This book offers a valuable resource for second-year graduate students and researchers in statistics and other scientific areas who need a basic understanding of nonlinear time series.

Practical Time Series Forecasting with R

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Author :
Publisher : Axelrod Schnall Publishers
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Practical Time Series Forecasting with R by : Galit Shmueli

Download or read book Practical Time Series Forecasting with R written by Galit Shmueli and published by Axelrod Schnall Publishers. This book was released on 2024-02-24 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Third Edition provides an applied approach to time-series forecasting. Forecasting is an essential component of predictive analytics. The book introduces popular forecasting methods and approaches used in a variety of business applications. The book offers clear explanations, practical examples, and end-of-chapter exercises and cases. Readers will learn to use forecasting methods using the free open-source R software to develop effective forecasting solutions that extract business value from time series data. This edition features the R fable package, full color, enhanced organization, and new material. It includes: • Popular forecasting methods including smoothing algorithms, regression models, ARIMA, neural networks, deep learning, and ensembles • A practical approach to evaluating the performance of forecasting solutions • A business-analytics exposition focused on linking time-series forecasting to business goals • Guided cases for integrating the acquired knowledge using real data • End-of-chapter problems to facilitate active learning • Data, R code, and instructor materials on companion website • Affordable and globally-available textbook, available in hardcover, paperback, and Kindle formats Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Third Edition is the perfect textbook for upper-undergraduate, graduate and MBA-level courses as well as professional programs in data science and business analytics. The book is also designed for practitioners in the fields of operations research, supply chain management, marketing, economics, information systems, finance, and management.

Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting

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Author :
Publisher : Machine Learning Mastery
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 572 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting by : Jason Brownlee

Download or read book Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting written by Jason Brownlee and published by Machine Learning Mastery. This book was released on 2018-08-30 with total page 572 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Deep learning methods offer a lot of promise for time series forecasting, such as the automatic learning of temporal dependence and the automatic handling of temporal structures like trends and seasonality. With clear explanations, standard Python libraries, and step-by-step tutorial lessons you’ll discover how to develop deep learning models for your own time series forecasting projects.

Artificial Neural Networks

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319099035
Total Pages : 487 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Artificial Neural Networks by : Petia Koprinkova-Hristova

Download or read book Artificial Neural Networks written by Petia Koprinkova-Hristova and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-09-02 with total page 487 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book reports on the latest theories on artificial neural networks, with a special emphasis on bio-neuroinformatics methods. It includes twenty-three papers selected from among the best contributions on bio-neuroinformatics-related issues, which were presented at the International Conference on Artificial Neural Networks, held in Sofia, Bulgaria, on September 10-13, 2013 (ICANN 2013). The book covers a broad range of topics concerning the theory and applications of artificial neural networks, including recurrent neural networks, super-Turing computation and reservoir computing, double-layer vector perceptrons, nonnegative matrix factorization, bio-inspired models of cell communities, Gestalt laws, embodied theory of language understanding, saccadic gaze shifts and memory formation, and new training algorithms for Deep Boltzmann Machines, as well as dynamic neural networks and kernel machines. It also reports on new approaches to reinforcement learning, optimal control of discrete time-delay systems, new algorithms for prototype selection, and group structure discovering. Moreover, the book discusses one-class support vector machines for pattern recognition, handwritten digit recognition, time series forecasting and classification, and anomaly identification in data analytics and automated data analysis. By presenting the state-of-the-art and discussing the current challenges in the fields of artificial neural networks, bioinformatics and neuroinformatics, the book is intended to promote the implementation of new methods and improvement of existing ones, and to support advanced students, researchers and professionals in their daily efforts to identify, understand and solve a number of open questions in these fields.

Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118745159
Total Pages : 670 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (187 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by : Douglas C. Montgomery

Download or read book Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting written by Douglas C. Montgomery and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-04-21 with total page 670 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for the First Edition "...[t]he book is great for readers who need to apply the methods and models presented but have little background in mathematics and statistics." -MAA Reviews Thoroughly updated throughout, Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition presents the underlying theories of time series analysis that are needed to analyze time-oriented data and construct real-world short- to medium-term statistical forecasts. Authored by highly-experienced academics and professionals in engineering statistics, the Second Edition features discussions on both popular and modern time series methodologies as well as an introduction to Bayesian methods in forecasting. Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition also includes: Over 300 exercises from diverse disciplines including health care, environmental studies, engineering, and finance More than 50 programming algorithms using JMP®, SAS®, and R that illustrate the theory and practicality of forecasting techniques in the context of time-oriented data New material on frequency domain and spatial temporal data analysis Expanded coverage of the variogram and spectrum with applications as well as transfer and intervention model functions A supplementary website featuring PowerPoint® slides, data sets, and select solutions to the problems Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition is an ideal textbook upper-undergraduate and graduate-levels courses in forecasting and time series. The book is also an excellent reference for practitioners and researchers who need to model and analyze time series data to generate forecasts.

Practical Time Series Forecasting with R

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Author :
Publisher : Axelrod Schnall Publishers
ISBN 13 : 0997847921
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (978 download)

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Book Synopsis Practical Time Series Forecasting with R by : Galit Shmueli

Download or read book Practical Time Series Forecasting with R written by Galit Shmueli and published by Axelrod Schnall Publishers. This book was released on 2016-08-30 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Second Edition provides an applied approach to time-series forecasting. Forecasting is an essential component of predictive analytics. The book introduces popular forecasting methods and approaches used in a variety of business applications. The book offers clear explanations, practical examples, and end-of-chapter exercises and cases. Readers will learn to use forecasting methods using the free open-source R software to develop effective forecasting solutions that extract business value from time-series data. Featuring improved organization and new material, the Second Edition also includes: - Popular forecasting methods including smoothing algorithms, regression models, and neural networks - A practical approach to evaluating the performance of forecasting solutions - A business-analytics exposition focused on linking time-series forecasting to business goals - Guided cases for integrating the acquired knowledge using real data* End-of-chapter problems to facilitate active learning - A companion site with data sets, R code, learning resources, and instructor materials (solutions to exercises, case studies) - Globally-available textbook, available in both softcover and Kindle formats Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Second Edition is the perfect textbook for upper-undergraduate, graduate and MBA-level courses as well as professional programs in data science and business analytics. The book is also designed for practitioners in the fields of operations research, supply chain management, marketing, economics, finance and management. For more information, visit forecastingbook.com

Neural Network-based Time Series Forecasting of Student Enrollment with Exponential Smoothing Baseline and Statistical Analysis of Performance

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (132 download)

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Book Synopsis Neural Network-based Time Series Forecasting of Student Enrollment with Exponential Smoothing Baseline and Statistical Analysis of Performance by : Friday James

Download or read book Neural Network-based Time Series Forecasting of Student Enrollment with Exponential Smoothing Baseline and Statistical Analysis of Performance written by Friday James and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The sustainability of educational institutions generally depends largely on strategic planning, both in terms of optimal allocation of resources/manpower and budgeting for financial aids/scholarships to incoming students. Hence, forecasting of student enrollment plays a vital role in making crucial decisions based on previous time-bound records. This work demonstrates the power of neural network-based time series forecast over a traditional time series model and recommends the better network architecture between deep and shallow neural networks based on 25-year historical records of student enrollment in Programming Fundamentals from 1995 - 2020 at Kansas State University, Manhattan Campus. The study reveals that Vanilla Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model performs better than the deep neural network with Root Mean Square Errors (RMSE) of 0.11 and 0.24 respectively - both of which produced better results than the Single Exponential Smoothing baseline having a RMSE of 0.27. The study also carries out a statistical analysis of 5-year student performance based on weekly Labs, Projects and Mid-Terms using Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). The result shows the existence of differences in the yearly average performance of students. Post Hoc Tukey's pairwise multiple comparison tests reveals consistency in performance up to the period of the semester where possible dropouts would have occurred. Students' delay in tackling challenging projects also accounts for the significant differences in the mean scores.

Practical Time Series Forecasting with R

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Author :
Publisher : Axelrod Schnall Publishers
ISBN 13 : 0997847948
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (978 download)

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Book Synopsis Practical Time Series Forecasting with R by : Galit Shmueli

Download or read book Practical Time Series Forecasting with R written by Galit Shmueli and published by Axelrod Schnall Publishers. This book was released on 2024-02-24 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Third Edition provides an applied approach to time-series forecasting. Forecasting is an essential component of predictive analytics. The book introduces popular forecasting methods and approaches used in a variety of business applications. The book offers clear explanations, practical examples, and end-of-chapter exercises and cases. Readers will learn to use forecasting methods using the free open-source R software to develop effective forecasting solutions that extract business value from time series data. This edition features the R fable package, full color, enhanced organization, and new material. It includes: Popular forecasting methods including smoothing algorithms, regression models, ARIMA, neural networks, deep learning, and ensembles - A practical approach to evaluating the performance of forecasting solutions - A business-analytics exposition focused on linking time-series forecasting to business goals - Guided cases for integrating the acquired knowledge using real data - End-of-chapter problems to facilitate active learning - Data, R code, and instructor materials on companion website - Affordable and globally-available textbook, available in hardcover, paperback, and Kindle formats Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Third Edition is the perfect textbook for upper-undergraduate, graduate and MBA-level courses as well as professional programs in data science and business analytics. The book is also designed for practitioners in the fields of operations research, supply chain management, marketing, economics, information systems, finance, and management.

Singular Spectrum Analysis for Time Series

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3662624362
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (626 download)

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Book Synopsis Singular Spectrum Analysis for Time Series by : Nina Golyandina

Download or read book Singular Spectrum Analysis for Time Series written by Nina Golyandina and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-11-23 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gives an overview of singular spectrum analysis (SSA). SSA is a technique of time series analysis and forecasting combining elements of classical time series analysis, multivariate statistics, multivariate geometry, dynamical systems and signal processing. SSA is multi-purpose and naturally combines both model-free and parametric techniques, which makes it a very special and attractive methodology for solving a wide range of problems arising in diverse areas. Rapidly increasing number of novel applications of SSA is a consequence of the new fundamental research on SSA and the recent progress in computing and software engineering which made it possible to use SSA for very complicated tasks that were unthinkable twenty years ago. In this book, the methodology of SSA is concisely but at the same time comprehensively explained by two prominent statisticians with huge experience in SSA. The book offers a valuable resource for a very wide readership, including professional statisticians, specialists in signal and image processing, as well as specialists in numerous applied disciplines interested in using statistical methods for time series analysis, forecasting, signal and image processing. The second edition of the book contains many updates and some new material including a thorough discussion on the place of SSA among other methods and new sections on multivariate and multidimensional extensions of SSA.

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

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Author :
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
ISBN 13 : 1803232048
Total Pages : 552 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python by : Manu Joseph

Download or read book Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python written by Manu Joseph and published by Packt Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2022-11-24 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Build real-world time series forecasting systems which scale to millions of time series by applying modern machine learning and deep learning concepts Key Features Explore industry-tested machine learning techniques used to forecast millions of time series Get started with the revolutionary paradigm of global forecasting models Get to grips with new concepts by applying them to real-world datasets of energy forecasting Book DescriptionWe live in a serendipitous era where the explosion in the quantum of data collected and a renewed interest in data-driven techniques such as machine learning (ML), has changed the landscape of analytics, and with it, time series forecasting. This book, filled with industry-tested tips and tricks, takes you beyond commonly used classical statistical methods such as ARIMA and introduces to you the latest techniques from the world of ML. This is a comprehensive guide to analyzing, visualizing, and creating state-of-the-art forecasting systems, complete with common topics such as ML and deep learning (DL) as well as rarely touched-upon topics such as global forecasting models, cross-validation strategies, and forecast metrics. You’ll begin by exploring the basics of data handling, data visualization, and classical statistical methods before moving on to ML and DL models for time series forecasting. This book takes you on a hands-on journey in which you’ll develop state-of-the-art ML (linear regression to gradient-boosted trees) and DL (feed-forward neural networks, LSTMs, and transformers) models on a real-world dataset along with exploring practical topics such as interpretability. By the end of this book, you’ll be able to build world-class time series forecasting systems and tackle problems in the real world.What you will learn Find out how to manipulate and visualize time series data like a pro Set strong baselines with popular models such as ARIMA Discover how time series forecasting can be cast as regression Engineer features for machine learning models for forecasting Explore the exciting world of ensembling and stacking models Get to grips with the global forecasting paradigm Understand and apply state-of-the-art DL models such as N-BEATS and Autoformer Explore multi-step forecasting and cross-validation strategies Who this book is for The book is for data scientists, data analysts, machine learning engineers, and Python developers who want to build industry-ready time series models. Since the book explains most concepts from the ground up, basic proficiency in Python is all you need. Prior understanding of machine learning or forecasting will help speed up your learning. For experienced machine learning and forecasting practitioners, this book has a lot to offer in terms of advanced techniques and traversing the latest research frontiers in time series forecasting.

Linear and Nonlinear Time Series Forecasting with Artificial Neural Networks

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (41 download)

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Book Synopsis Linear and Nonlinear Time Series Forecasting with Artificial Neural Networks by : Guoqiang Zhang

Download or read book Linear and Nonlinear Time Series Forecasting with Artificial Neural Networks written by Guoqiang Zhang and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: