Decision Making Under Uncertainty

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262331713
Total Pages : 350 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making Under Uncertainty by : Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Download or read book Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Mykel J. Kochenderfer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-07-24 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.

Risk and Decision Making

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Risk and Decision Making by :

Download or read book Risk and Decision Making written by and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Understanding Initial Coin Offerings

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Author :
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1803921587
Total Pages : 275 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (39 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Initial Coin Offerings by : Dmitri Boreiko

Download or read book Understanding Initial Coin Offerings written by Dmitri Boreiko and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2024-03-14 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Delving into the comprehensive evolution of Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs), this innovative book traces their origins and transition into modern forms such as Security Token Offerings, Initial Exchange Offerings, Initial DEX Offerings, and Non-Fungible Tokens. It provides an in-depth analysis of the factors behind the appeal of ICOs, the complex ecosystem surrounding them, and the key developments within the blockchain and cryptocurrency space.

Value of Information and Flexibility

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 303086989X
Total Pages : 295 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Value of Information and Flexibility by : Martin J. Vilela

Download or read book Value of Information and Flexibility written by Martin J. Vilela and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-10-21 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a consistent methodology for making decisions under uncertain conditions, as is almost always the case. Tools such as value of information and value of flexibility are explored as a means to make more complex and nuanced decisions. The book develops the complete formalism for assessing the value of acquiring information with two novel approaches. Firstly, it integrates the fuzzy characteristics of data, and secondly develops a methodology for assessing data acquisition actions that optimize the value of projects from a holistic perspective. The book also discusses the formalism for including flexibility in the project decision assessment. Practical examples of oil- and gas-related decision problems are included and discussed to facilitate the learning process. This book provides valuable advice and case studies applicable to engineers, researchers, and graduate students, particularly in the oil and gas industry and pharmaceutic industry.

Predecisional Processes in Decision Making

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Predecisional Processes in Decision Making by :

Download or read book Predecisional Processes in Decision Making written by and published by . This book was released on 1964 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Structured Decision Making

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Publisher : Johns Hopkins University Press
ISBN 13 : 1421437562
Total Pages : 285 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (214 download)

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Book Synopsis Structured Decision Making by : David R. Smith

Download or read book Structured Decision Making written by David R. Smith and published by Johns Hopkins University Press. This book was released on 2020-05-12 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides and analyzes real examples of how structured decision making (SDM) can help solve complex problems involving natural resources. When faced with complicated, potentially controversial decisions that affect our environment, many resource management agencies have come to realize the value of structured decision making (SDM)—the systematic use of principles and tools of decision analysis. Few professionals, however, have extensive experience implementing SDM. Structured Decision Making provides key information to both current adopters of the method and those who are deploying it for the first time by demonstrating the formal use of decision analysis to support difficult, real-world natural resource management decisions. Drawing on case studies from multiple public agencies in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Mauritius, the editors present an overview of decision analysis, a classification of decision types, and a catalog of decision analysis methods. Dozens of detailed charts and maps help contextualize the material. These case studies examine a rich variety of topics, including • keeping forest birds free from disease • conserving imperiled freshwater mussels • managing water for oil sands mining • dealing with coastal wetlands in the face of sea-level rise • designing networks for prairie-dependent taxa • combatting invasive alpine shrubs • managing vernal pool habitats for obligate amphibian species • and much more Aimed at decision makers tackling natural resource challenges in government agencies around the world, as well as advanced undergraduate and graduate students preparing to work in natural resource management, Structured Decision Making shows how SDM can be implemented to achieve optimal outcomes that integrate social values and scientific understanding. Contributors: Taber D. Allison, Larissa L. Bailey, Ellen A. Bean, Clint W. Boal, Gregory Breese, Stefano Canessa, Jean Fitts Cochrane, Sarah J. Converse, Cami S. Dixon, John G. Ewen, Christelle Ferrière, Jill J. Gannon, Beth Gardner, Adam W. Green, Justin A. Gude, Victoria M. Hunt, Kevin S. Kalasz, Melinda G. Knutson, Jim Kraus, Graham Long, Eric V. Lonsdorf, James E. Lyons, Conor P. McGowan, Sarah E. McRae, Michael S. Mitchell, Clinton T. Moore, Joslin L. Moore, Steven Morey, Dan W. Ohlson, Charlie Pascoe, Andrew Paul, Eben H. Paxton, Lori B. Pruitt, Michael C. Runge, Sarah N. Sells, Terry L. Shaffer, Stephanie Slade, David R. Smith, Jennifer A. Szymanski, Terry Walshe, Nicolas Zuël

Decision Making

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521368513
Total Pages : 640 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (685 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making by : David E. Bell

Download or read book Decision Making written by David E. Bell and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1988-10-28 with total page 640 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A compilation of different approaches--normative, descriptive,and prescriptive--develops this integrated analysis of decision-making that emphasizes the contributions of various disciplinary interests.

Quantitative Measures and Warranty Coverage of the Risk of Misinforming

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Author :
Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1668488019
Total Pages : 370 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (684 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantitative Measures and Warranty Coverage of the Risk of Misinforming by : Christozov, Dimitar Grozdanov

Download or read book Quantitative Measures and Warranty Coverage of the Risk of Misinforming written by Christozov, Dimitar Grozdanov and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2024-02-08 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The relentless flood of data has given rise to a pressing concern: the widespread issue of misinformation. In an era where being well-informed is vital, the consequences of inaccurate information can be dire and wide-spread, impacting not only individuals but entire societies. The critical need for reliable, accurate, and high-quality information is more pronounced than ever, and the risk of being misled by this information has reached unprecedented levels. Quantitative Measures and Warranty Coverage of the Risk of Misinforming offers an extensive exploration of the origins, risks, and contributing factors of deception, presenting these together in the form of an invaluable resource for scholars and academics seeking a solution to this pressing issue. The book’s comprehensive examination of misinforming identifies the challenges and provides practical strategies and techniques to address and mitigate these risks. By delving into the depths of misinforming, this book equips readers with the knowledge and tools needed to navigate the information maze of the digital age, ensuring that they can make informed, accurate, and impactful decisions in an era dominated by data.

Handbook of Experimental Economics Results

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444826424
Total Pages : 1175 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (448 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Experimental Economics Results by : Charles R. Plott

Download or read book Handbook of Experimental Economics Results written by Charles R. Plott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2008-08-21 with total page 1175 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While the field of economics makes sharp distinctions and produces precise theory, the work of experimental economics sometimes appears blurred and may produce uncertain results. The contributors to this volume have provided brief notes describing specific experimental results.

Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030052524
Total Pages : 408 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty by : Vincent A. W. J. Marchau

Download or read book Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty written by Vincent A. W. J. Marchau and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-04 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work. The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.

Interpretable Three-Way Decision with Hesitant Risk Information and Its Healthcare Application

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031455010
Total Pages : 181 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (314 download)

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Book Synopsis Interpretable Three-Way Decision with Hesitant Risk Information and Its Healthcare Application by : Decui Liang

Download or read book Interpretable Three-Way Decision with Hesitant Risk Information and Its Healthcare Application written by Decui Liang and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-11-30 with total page 181 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As a new interpretable model, three-way decision has also received academic attention in machine learning. With respect to different hesitant fuzzy information, this book deeply discusses the deduction process of decision rules of three-way decision and generates interpretable knowledge with the risk semantics. It further explores the applications of three-way decision to support healthcare management. This book is used as a reference for engineers, technicians, and researchers who are working in the fields of management science, operation management, computer science, information management, fuzzy mathematics, business intelligence, and other fields. It also serves as a textbook for postgraduate and senior undergraduate students of the relevant professional institutions of higher learning.

Coping with Uncertainty

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540352627
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (43 download)

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Book Synopsis Coping with Uncertainty by : Kurt Marti

Download or read book Coping with Uncertainty written by Kurt Marti and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-11-23 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ongoing global changes pose fundamentally new scientific problems requiring new concepts and tools. A key issue concerns a vast variety of practically irreducible uncertainties, which challenge traditional models and require new concepts and analytical tools. Uncertainty can dominate, as in the climate change debates. Increasing the resolution of models does not always yield sufficient certainty. This book presents much-needed new tools for modeling and management of uncertainty.

Medical Decision Making

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111962780X
Total Pages : 373 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Medical Decision Making by : Harold C. Sox

Download or read book Medical Decision Making written by Harold C. Sox and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2024-04-22 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: MEDICAL DECISION MAKING Detailed resource showing how to best make medical decisions while incorporating clinical practice guidelines and decision support systems Sir William Osler, a legendary physician of an earlier era, once said, “Medicine is a science of uncertainty and an art of probability.” In Osler’s day, and now, decisions about treatment often cannot wait until the diagnosis is certain. Medical Decision Making is about how to make the best possible decision given that uncertainty. The book shows how to tailor decisions under uncertainty to achieve the best outcome based on published evidence, features of a patient’s illness, and the patient’s preferences. Medical Decision Making describes a powerful framework for helping clinicians and their patients reach decisions that lead to outcomes that the patient prefers. That framework contains the key principles of patient-centered decision-making in clinical practice. Since the first edition of Medical Decision Making in 1988, the authors have focused on explaining key concepts and illustrating them with clinical examples. For the Third Edition, every chapter has been revised and updated. Written by four distinguished and highly qualified authors, Medical Decision Making includes information on: How to consider the possible causes of a patient’s illness and decide on the probability of the most important diagnoses. How to measure the accuracy of a diagnostic test. How to help patients express their concerns about the risks that they face and how an illness may affect their lives. How to describe uncertainty about how an illness may change over time. How to construct and analyze decision trees. How to identify the threshold for doing a test or starting treatment How to apply these concepts to the design of practice guidelines and medical policy making. Medical Decision Making is a valuable resource for clinicians, medical trainees, and students of decision analysis who wish to fully understand and apply the principles of decision making to clinical practice.

Exploring Services Science

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319569252
Total Pages : 444 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Exploring Services Science by : Stefano Za

Download or read book Exploring Services Science written by Stefano Za and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-04-04 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Exploring Services Science, IESS 2017, held in Rome, Italy, in May 2017. The 33 papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 48 submissions. IESS 2017 covered major research and development areas related to Service Science foundations, service engineering and management, service innovation, service orientation of processes, applications in service sectors and ICT support for services. The presented papers were organized in topical sections named: theoretical contributions: literature analysis and conceptual models; service systems analysis and design; service organizations case studies and practices; and sustainability: service ecosystems, environment control and transportation.

Managerial Economics

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119554918
Total Pages : 560 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Managerial Economics by : William F. Samuelson

Download or read book Managerial Economics written by William F. Samuelson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-01-13 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Managerial Economics, 9th Edition, introduces undergraduates, MBAs, and executives to the complex decision problems today’s managers face, providing the knowledge and analytical skills required to make informed decisions and prosper in the modern business environment. Going beyond the traditional academic approach to teaching economic analysis, this comprehensive textbook describes how practicing managers use various economic methods in the real world. Each in-depth chapter opens with a central managerial problem—challenging readers to consider and evaluate possible choices—and concludes by reviewing and analyzing the decision through the lens of the concepts introduced in the chapter. Extensively updated throughout, the text makes use of numerous extended decision-making examples to discuss the foundational principles of managerial economics, illustrate key concepts, and strengthen students' critical thinking skills. A range of problems, building upon material covered in previous chapters, are applied to increasingly challenging applications as students advance through the text. Favoring practical skills development over complicated theoretical discussion, the book includes numerous mini-problems that reinforce students' quantitative understanding without overwhelming them with an excessive amount of mathematics.

Leadership for Health Professionals

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Publisher : Jones & Bartlett Learning
ISBN 13 : 1284109410
Total Pages : 532 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (841 download)

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Book Synopsis Leadership for Health Professionals by : Ledlow

Download or read book Leadership for Health Professionals written by Ledlow and published by Jones & Bartlett Learning. This book was released on 2017-02-10 with total page 532 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Leadership for Health Professionals, Third Edition is the first textbook of its kind to apply classical knowledge of leadership theory and time-honored best practices of industry leaders to a health organization context. This comprehensive and well-organized text is grounded in real-world applications of theoretical concepts, and focuses on practical examples of leadership in actual healthcare scenarios.

Wildlife Management and Conservation

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Publisher : JHU Press
ISBN 13 : 1421443961
Total Pages : 468 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (214 download)

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Book Synopsis Wildlife Management and Conservation by : Paul R. Krausman

Download or read book Wildlife Management and Conservation written by Paul R. Krausman and published by JHU Press. This book was released on 2022-09-20 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The book contains the essential information that wildlife biologists and managers use to manage wildlife populations today, and it gives students the information they need to pursue a profession in wildlife management and conservation"--