Structured Decision Making

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Structured Decision Making

Author : Robin Gregory
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1444333410
Total Pages : 315 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (443 download)

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Book Synopsis Structured Decision Making by : Robin Gregory

Download or read book Structured Decision Making written by Robin Gregory and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-03-19 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book outlines the creative process of making environmental management decisions using the approach called Structured Decision Making. It is a short introductory guide to this popular form of decision making and is aimed at environmental managers and scientists. This is a distinctly pragmatic label given to ways for helping individuals and groups think through tough multidimensional choices characterized by uncertain science, diverse stakeholders, and difficult tradeoffs. This is the everyday reality of environmental management, yet many important decisions currently are made on an ad hoc basis that lacks a solid value-based foundation, ignores key information, and results in selection of an inferior alternative. Making progress – in a way that is rigorous, inclusive, defensible and transparent – requires combining analytical methods drawn from the decision sciences and applied ecology with deliberative insights from cognitive psychology, facilitation and negotiation. The authors review key methods and discuss case-study examples based in their experiences in communities, boardrooms, and stakeholder meetings. The goal of this book is to lay out a compelling guide that will change how you think about making environmental decisions. Visit www.wiley.com/go/gregory/ to access the figures and tables from the book.

Structured Decision Making

Author : David R. Smith
Publisher : Johns Hopkins University Press
ISBN 13 : 1421437562
Total Pages : 285 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (214 download)

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Book Synopsis Structured Decision Making by : David R. Smith

Download or read book Structured Decision Making written by David R. Smith and published by Johns Hopkins University Press. This book was released on 2020-05-12 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Smith, Jennifer A. Szymanski, Terry Walshe, Nicolas Zuël

Decision Making in Natural Resource Management

Author : Michael J. Conroy
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470671742
Total Pages : 480 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (76 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making in Natural Resource Management by : Michael J. Conroy

Download or read book Decision Making in Natural Resource Management written by Michael J. Conroy and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-03-18 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is intended for use by natural resource managers and scientists, and students in the fields of natural resource management, ecology, and conservation biology, who are confronted with complex and difficult decision making problems. The book takes readers through the process of developing a structured approach to decision making, by firstly deconstructing decisions into component parts, which are each fully analyzed and then reassembled to form a working decision model. The book integrates common-sense ideas about problem definitions, such as the need for decisions to be driven by explicit objectives, with sophisticated approaches for modeling decision influence and incorporating feedback from monitoring programs into decision making via adaptive management. Numerous worked examples are provided for illustration, along with detailed case studies illustrating the authors’ experience in applying structured approaches. There is also a series of detailed technical appendices. An accompanying website provides computer code and data used in the worked examples. Additional resources for this book can be found at: www.wiley.com/go/conroy/naturalresourcemanagement.

Critical Thinking for Managers

Author : Radu Atanasiu
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030736008
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Critical Thinking for Managers by : Radu Atanasiu

Download or read book Critical Thinking for Managers written by Radu Atanasiu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-05-10 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses critical thinking as a tool for more compassionate leadership, presenting tried and tested methods for managing disagreement, for anticipating and solving problems, and for enhancing empathy. Employing a lighter tone of voice than most management books, it also shows how and when less-than-rational mechanisms such as intuition and heuristics may be efficient decision-making tools in any manager’s toolbox. Critical thinking is useful for analyzing incoming information in the context of decision-making and is crucial for structuring outgoing information in the context of persuasion. When trying to convince a client to buy a service, an executive board to fund a project, or a colleague to change a procedure, managers can use the simple step-by-step guides provided here to prepare for successful meetings and effective pitches. Managerial thinking can be steadily improved, using a structured process, especially if we learn to think about our thinking. This book guides current and would-be managers through this process of improving and metathinking, in connection with decision-making and persuasion. Using examples from business, together with research insights from Behavioral Economics and from Management and Organizational Cognition, the author illustrates common pitfalls like hidden assumptions and cognitive biases, and provides easy-to-use solutions for testing hypotheses and resolving dilemmas.

Decision-Making in Conservation and Natural Resource Management

Author : Nils Bunnefeld
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107092361
Total Pages : 291 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision-Making in Conservation and Natural Resource Management by : Nils Bunnefeld

Download or read book Decision-Making in Conservation and Natural Resource Management written by Nils Bunnefeld and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-07-06 with total page 291 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide to making good decisions about wildlife management and biodiversity conservation against a backdrop of socio-environmental change.

Structured Decision Making with Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM)

Author : Donna M. Lee
Publisher : Sorach, Incorporated
ISBN 13 : 9780968491416
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (914 download)

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Book Synopsis Structured Decision Making with Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM) by : Donna M. Lee

Download or read book Structured Decision Making with Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM) written by Donna M. Lee and published by Sorach, Incorporated. This book was released on 2007 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The pace and complexity of life is increasing dramatically due to fierce competition, globalization, and unprecedented choice. Success in this environment is dependent upon making sound, timely decisions. In the business world, managers often postpone major decisions, fearing that a wrong choice could harm the business and their career. Similarly, in our personal lives, many important decisions are put off or made by default. Lack of insight and understanding of a complex issue is a common reason why people postpone making major decisions. An astounding tool, known only in select circles of management consultants, can help remedy this situation. This tool is called Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM). ISM can bring diverse ideas together to provide thorough understanding of complex issues, leading to better solutions and decisions. ISM also forms the core of a powerful method that focuses the knowledge of a group to create outstanding results.Widespread use of ISM can provide significant benefits to the world community, from delivering better products with faster market introduction, to understanding and correcting problems such as global warming. Every knowledge worker and consulting professional should have access to this powerful tool. Unfortunately, suitable literature is not available for a new user to learn ISM without going through several trial and error cycles. This book is intended to fill that gap.

Strategic Decision Making

Author : Navneet Bhushan
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1852338644
Total Pages : 175 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (523 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Decision Making by : Navneet Bhushan

Download or read book Strategic Decision Making written by Navneet Bhushan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-28 with total page 175 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Strategic Decision Making provides an effective, formal methodology that provides help with decision making problems, especially strategic ones with high stakes involving human perceptions and judgements. Focusing on applying the AHP to decision-making problems, Strategic Decision Making covers problems in the realms of business, defence and governance. Using case studies drawn from years of experience, the book discusses decision making for real life problems and includes many worked examples and solutions to problems throughout. The reader will gain comprehensive exposure to the extent of assistance that a formal methodology, such as AHP, can provide to the decision maker in evolving decisions in complex and varied domains.

A Decision Framework for Managing the Spirit Lake and Toutle River System at Mount St. Helens

Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309464447
Total Pages : 337 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (94 download)

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Book Synopsis A Decision Framework for Managing the Spirit Lake and Toutle River System at Mount St. Helens by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book A Decision Framework for Managing the Spirit Lake and Toutle River System at Mount St. Helens written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2018-04-29 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens in southwest Washington State radically changed the physical and socio-economic landscapes of the region. The eruption destroyed the summit of the volcano, sending large amounts of debris into the North Fork Toutle River, and blocking the sole means of drainage from Spirit Lake 4 miles north of Mount St. Helens. As a result of the blockage, rising lake levels could cause failure of the debris blockage, putting the downstream population of approximately 50,000 at risk of catastrophic flooding and mud flows. Further, continued transport of sediment to the river from volcanic debris deposits surrounding the mountain reduces the flood carrying capacity of downstream river channels and leaves the population vulnerable to chronic flooding. The legacy of the 1980 eruption and the prospect of future volcanic, seismic, and flood events mean that risk management in the Spirit Lake Toutle River system will be challenging for decades to come. This report offers a decision framework to support the long-term management of risks related to the Spirit Lake and Toutle River system in light of the different regional economic, cultural, and social priorities, and the respective roles of federal, tribal, state, and local authorities, as well as other entities and groups in the region. It also considers the history and adequacy of characterization, monitoring, and management associated with the Spirit Lake debris blockage and outflow tunnel, other efforts to control transport of water and sediment from the 1980 and later eruptions, and suggests additional information needed to support implementation of the recommended decision framework.

Strategic Decisions

Author : Vassilis Papadakis
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461561957
Total Pages : 315 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (615 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Decisions by : Vassilis Papadakis

Download or read book Strategic Decisions written by Vassilis Papadakis and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past ten years, there has been growing interest in the process of strategic decision-making among both managers and researchers. Strategic decisions are important for five main reasons: They are large-scale, risky and hard to reverse; they are a bridge between deliberate and emerging strategies; they can be a major source of organizational learning; they play an important part in the development of individual managers and they cut accross functions and academic disciplines. Strategic Decisions summarizes the current state of the art in research on strategic decision-making, with chapters prepared by leading strategy researchers. The editors also present implications for current application and proposed directions for future research.

Multi-objective Decision Analysis

Author : Clinton W. Brownley
Publisher : Business Expert Press
ISBN 13 : 1606494538
Total Pages : 172 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (64 download)

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Book Synopsis Multi-objective Decision Analysis by : Clinton W. Brownley

Download or read book Multi-objective Decision Analysis written by Clinton W. Brownley and published by Business Expert Press. This book was released on 2013-03-28 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Whether managing strategy, operations or products, knowing how to make the best decision in a complex, uncertain business environment is difficult. You might be faced with multiple, competing objectives, which means making trade-offs. To complicate matters, any uncertainty makes it hard to explicitly understand how different objectives will impact potential outcomes. This book will help you face these problems. It provides a decision analysis framework implemented as a simple spreadsheet tool. This multi-objective decision analysis framework helps you to measure trade-offs among objectives and incorporate uncertainties and risk preferences. With this book, you will be able to identify what information is needed to make a decision, define how that information should be combined, and, finally, provide quantifiable evidence to clearly communicate and justify the decision. The process involves minimal overhead and is perfect for busy professionals who need a simple, structured process for making, tracking, and communicating decisions. This process makes decision making more efficient by focusing only on information and factors that are well-defined, measureable, and relevant to the decision at hand. The framework requires clear characterization of a decision, ensuring that it can be traced and is consistent with the intended objectives and organizational values. Using this structured decision-making framework, anyone can consistently make better decisions to gain competitive and strategic advantage.

Environmental Modeling with Stakeholders

Author : Steven Gray
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319250531
Total Pages : 370 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Environmental Modeling with Stakeholders by : Steven Gray

Download or read book Environmental Modeling with Stakeholders written by Steven Gray and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-12-16 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume brings together, in a central text, chapters written by leading scholars working at the intersection of modeling, the natural and social sciences, and public participation. This book presents the current state of knowledge regarding the theory and practice of engaging stakeholders in environmental modeling for decision-making, and includes basic theoretical considerations, an overview of methods and tools available, and case study examples of these principles and methods in practice. Although there has been a significant increase in research and development regarding participatory modeling, a unifying text that provides an overview of the different methodologies available to scholars and a systematic review of case study applications has been largely unavailable. This edited volume seeks to address a gap in the literature and provide a primer that addresses the growing demand to adopt and apply a range of modeling methods that includes the public in environmental assessment and management. The book is divided into two main sections. The first part of the book covers basic considerations for including stakeholders in the modeling process and its intersection with the theory and practice of public participation in environmental decision-making. The second part of the book is devoted to specific applications and products of the various methods available through case study examination. This second part of the book also provides insight from several international experts currently working in the field about their approaches, types of interactions with stakeholders, models produced, and the challenges they perceived based on their practical experiences.

Decide & Deliver

Author : Marcia W. Blenko
Publisher : Harvard Business Press
ISBN 13 : 1422147576
Total Pages : 182 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (221 download)

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Book Synopsis Decide & Deliver by : Marcia W. Blenko

Download or read book Decide & Deliver written by Marcia W. Blenko and published by Harvard Business Press. This book was released on 2010 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: -Identify your critical decisions. Focus on those that matter most to your company's performance. --

The Paradox of Choice

Author : Barry Schwartz
Publisher : Harper Collins
ISBN 13 : 0061748994
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (617 download)

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Book Synopsis The Paradox of Choice by : Barry Schwartz

Download or read book The Paradox of Choice written by Barry Schwartz and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2009-10-13 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Whether we're buying a pair of jeans, ordering a cup of coffee, selecting a long-distance carrier, applying to college, choosing a doctor, or setting up a 401(k), everyday decisions—both big and small—have become increasingly complex due to the overwhelming abundance of choice with which we are presented. As Americans, we assume that more choice means better options and greater satisfaction. But beware of excessive choice: choice overload can make you question the decisions you make before you even make them, it can set you up for unrealistically high expectations, and it can make you blame yourself for any and all failures. In the long run, this can lead to decision-making paralysis, anxiety, and perpetual stress. And, in a culture that tells us that there is no excuse for falling short of perfection when your options are limitless, too much choice can lead to clinical depression. In The Paradox of Choice, Barry Schwartz explains at what point choice—the hallmark of individual freedom and self-determination that we so cherish—becomes detrimental to our psychological and emotional well-being. In accessible, engaging, and anecdotal prose, Schwartz shows how the dramatic explosion in choice—from the mundane to the profound challenges of balancing career, family, and individual needs—has paradoxically become a problem instead of a solution. Schwartz also shows how our obsession with choice encourages us to seek that which makes us feel worse. By synthesizing current research in the social sciences, Schwartz makes the counter intuitive case that eliminating choices can greatly reduce the stress, anxiety, and busyness of our lives. He offers eleven practical steps on how to limit choices to a manageable number, have the discipline to focus on those that are important and ignore the rest, and ultimately derive greater satisfaction from the choices you have to make.

Smart Choices

Author : John S. Hammond
Publisher : Harvard Business School Press
ISBN 13 : 9781633691049
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Smart Choices by : John S. Hammond

Download or read book Smart Choices written by John S. Hammond and published by Harvard Business School Press. This book was released on 2015-08 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Where should I live? Is it time to get a new job? Which job candidate should I hire? What business strategy should I pursue? We spend the majority of our lives making decisions, both big and small. Yet, even though our success is largely determined by the choices that we make, very few of us are equipped with useful decision-making skills. Because of this, we often approach our choices tentatively, or even fearfully, and avoid giving them the time and thought required to put our best foot forward. In Smart Choices, John Hammond, Ralph Keeney, and Howard Raiffa--experts with over 100 years of experience resolving complex decision problems--offer a proven, straightforward, and flexible roadmap for making better and more impactful decisions, and offer the tools to achieve your goals in every aspect of your life. Their step-by-step, divide-and conquer approach will teach you how to: * Evaluate your plans * Break your potential decision into its key elements * Identify the key drivers that are most relevant to your goals * Apply systematic thinking * Use the right information to make the smartest choice Smart Choices doesn’t tell you what to decide; it tells you how. As you routinely use the process, you’ll become more confident in your ability to make decisions at work and at home. And, more importantly, by applying its time-tested methods, you’ll make better decisions going forward. Be proactive. Don’t wait until a decision is forced on you--or made for you. Seek out decisions that advance your long-term goals, values, and beliefs. Take charge of your life by making Smart Choices a lifetime habit.

Structured Decision Making

Author : Lee Failing
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (794 download)

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Book Synopsis Structured Decision Making by : Lee Failing

Download or read book Structured Decision Making written by Lee Failing and published by . This book was released on with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Sources of Power

Author : Gary A. Klein
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262260867
Total Pages : 372 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (622 download)

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Book Synopsis Sources of Power by : Gary A. Klein

Download or read book Sources of Power written by Gary A. Klein and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1999-02-18 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Anyone who watches the television news has seen images of firefighters rescuing people from burning buildings and paramedics treating bombing victims. How do these individuals make the split-second decisions that save lives? Most studies of decision making, based on artificial tasks assigned in laboratory settings, view people as biased and unskilled. Gary Klein is one of the developers of the naturalistic decision making approach, which views people as inherently skilled and experienced. It documents human strengths and capabilities that so far have been downplayed or ignored. Since 1985, Klein has conducted fieldwork to find out how people tackle challenges in difficult, nonroutine situations. Sources of Power is based on observations of humans acting under such real-life constraints as time pressure, high stakes, personal responsibility, and shifting conditions. The professionals studied include firefighters, critical care nurses, pilots, nuclear power plant operators, battle planners, and chess masters. Each chapter builds on key incidents and examples to make the description of the methodology and phenomena more vivid. In addition to providing information that can be used by professionals in management, psychology, engineering, and other fields, the book presents an overview of the research approach of naturalistic decision making and expands our knowledge of the strengths people bring to difficult tasks.

The Great Mental Models, Volume 1

Author : Shane Parrish
Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0593719972
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (937 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Mental Models, Volume 1 by : Shane Parrish

Download or read book The Great Mental Models, Volume 1 written by Shane Parrish and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2024-10-15 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast. This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you. Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields. Mastering a small number of mental models enables you to rapidly grasp new information, identify patterns others miss, and avoid the common mistakes that hold people back. The Great Mental Models: Volume 1, General Thinking Concepts shows you how making a few tiny changes in the way you think can deliver big results. Drawing on examples from history, business, art, and science, this book details nine of the most versatile, all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making and productivity. This book will teach you how to: Avoid blind spots when looking at problems. Find non-obvious solutions. Anticipate and achieve desired outcomes. Play to your strengths, avoid your weaknesses, … and more. The Great Mental Models series demystifies once elusive concepts and illuminates rich knowledge that traditional education overlooks. This series is the most comprehensive and accessible guide on using mental models to better understand our world, solve problems, and gain an advantage.